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1.
Am J Gastroenterol ; 2024 Jun 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38934496

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: New terminologies of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) have been developed. We assessed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk across MASLD and/or alcohol intake. METHODS: We included participants aged 40-79 years receiving a national health check-up from 2009 to 2010 in the Republic of Korea, classified as follows: non-MASLD, MASLD, MASLD with increased alcohol intake (MetALD; weekly alcohol 210-420 g for male and 140-350 g for female), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD; excessive alcohol intake with weekly alcohol ≥420 g for male or ≥350 g for female). The primary outcome was HCC incidence. HCC risk was estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Among 6,412,209 participants, proportions of non-MASLD, MASLD, MetALD, and ALD cases were 59.5%, 32.4%, 4.8%, and 3.4%, respectively. During follow-up (median 13.3 years), 27,118 had newly developed HCC. Compared to non-MASLD, the HCC risk increased from MASLD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.62-1.71), MetALD (aHR 2.17, 95% CI 2.08-2.27) to ALD (aHR 2.34, 95% CI 2.24-2.45) in a stepwise manner. Furthermore, the older and non-cirrhosis subgroups were more vulnerable to detrimental effect of MASLD and/or alcohol intake, concerning HCC risk. Among the older, female, and cirrhosis subgroups, MetALD poses similar HCC risks as ALD. CONCLUSION: HCC risk increased from MASLD, MetALD to ALD in a stepwise manner, compared to non-MASLD. For an effective primary prevention of HCC, a comprehensive approach should be required to modify both metabolic dysfunction and alcohol intake habit.

2.
Yonsei Med J ; 65(7): 371-379, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38910299

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Nivolumab and regorafenib are second-line therapies for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to compare the effectiveness of nivolumab and regorafenib. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients with HCC treated with nivolumab or regorafenib after sorafenib failure. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. An inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score (PS) was performed to reduce treatment selection bias. RESULTS: Among the 189 patients recruited, 137 and 52 patients received regorafenib and nivolumab after sorafenib failure, respectively. Nivolumab users showed higher Child-Pugh B patients (42.3% vs. 24.1%) and shorter median sorafenib maintenance (2.2 months vs. 3.5 months) compared to regorafenib users. Nivolumab users showed shorter median OS (4.2 months vs. 7.4 months, p=0.045) than regorafenib users and similar median PFS (1.8 months vs. 2.7 months, p=0.070). However, the median overall and PFS did not differ between the two treatment groups after the 1:1 PS matching (log-rank p=0.810 and 0.810, respectively) and after the stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (log-rank p=0.445 and 0.878, respectively). In addition, covariate-adjusted Cox regression analyses showed that overall and PFS did not significantly differ between nivolumab and regorafenib users after 1:1 PS matching and stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (all p>0.05). CONCLUSION: Clinical outcomes of patients treated with nivolumab and regorafenib after sorafenib treatment failure did not differ significantly.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Nivolumab , Phenylurea Compounds , Pyridines , Sorafenib , Humans , Nivolumab/therapeutic use , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/drug therapy , Phenylurea Compounds/therapeutic use , Pyridines/therapeutic use , Sorafenib/therapeutic use , Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Progression-Free Survival
3.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38744685

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To compare the treatment outcomes of glass and resin microspheres for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the prognostic factors that influence the outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 251 consecutive patients who underwent radioembolization for the treatment of HCC at a single tertiary center. Imaging responses after radioembolization were evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) 1.1. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify the prognostic factors. RESULTS: A total of 195 patients were included in this study (glass microsphere, n = 75; resin microsphere, n = 120). The complete and objective response rates were 16.0% and 50.7% in the glass microsphere group and 17.5% and 58.3% in the resin microsphere group, respectively. Median PFS was 241 days in the glass microsphere group and 268 days in the resin microsphere group (p = 0.871). Median OS was 29 months in the glass microsphere group and 40 months in the resin microsphere group (p = 0.669). The only significant prognostic factor was bilobar tumor distribution, which favored resin microspheres (p = 0.023). Procedure-related adverse events occurred more frequently in the resin microsphere group (glass, 2.7% vs. resin, 5.0%; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Glass and resin microspheres for the treatment of HCC did not show a significant difference in survival, though major adverse events occurred more frequently with the use of resin microspheres.

4.
Aliment Pharmacol Ther ; 59(12): 1616-1617, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38643495
5.
Clin Mol Hepatol ; 2024 Apr 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38623613

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The global proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) attributable to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is unclear. The MAFLD diagnostic criteria allows objective diagnosis in the presence of steatosis plus defined markers of metabolic dysfunction, irrespective of concurrent liver disease. We aimed to determine the total global prevalence of MAFLD in HCC cohorts (total-MAFLD), including the proportion with MAFLD as their sole liver disease (single-MAFLD), and the proportion of those with concurrent liver disease where MAFLD was a contributary factor (mixed-MAFLD). METHODS: This systematic review and meta-analysis included studies systematically ascertaining MAFLD in HCC cohorts, defined using international expert panel criteria including ethnicity specific BMI cut-offs. A comparison of clinical and tumour characteristics was performed between single-MAFLD, mixed-MAFLD and non-MAFLD HCC. RESULTS: 22 studies (56,565 individuals with HCC) were included. Total and single-MAFLD HCC prevalence was 48.7% (95% CI; 34.5% - 63.0%) and 12.4% (95% CI; 8.3% - 17.3%), respectively. In HCC due to chronic hepatitis B, C and alcohol-related liver disease, mixed-MAFLD prevalence was 40.0% (95% CI; 30.2% - 50.3%), 54.1% (95% CI; 40.4% - 67.6%) and 64.3% (95% CI; 52.7% - 75.0%), respectively. Mixed-MAFLD HCC had significantly higher likelihood of cirrhosis and lower likelihood of metastatic spread compared to single-MAFLD HCC, and a higher platelet count and lower likelihood of macrovascular invasion compared to non-MAFLD HCC. CONCLUSION: MAFLD is common as a sole aetiology, but more so and as a co-factor in mixed-aetiology HCC, supporting the use of a positive diagnostic criteria.

6.
Clin Mol Hepatol ; 2024 Mar 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38468561

ABSTRACT

Background: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (ATE+BEV) therapy has become the recommended first-line therapy for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because of favorable treatment responses. However, there is a lack of data on sequential regimens after ATE+BEV treatment failure. We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of patients with advanced HCC who received subsequent systemic therapy for disease progression after ATE+BEV. Methods: This multicenter, retrospective study included patients who started second-line systemic treatment with sorafenib or lenvatinib after HCC progressed on ATE+BEV between August 2019 and December 2022. Treatment response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1.). Clinical features of the two groups were balanced through propensity score (PS) matching. Results: This study enrolled 126 patients, 40 (31.7%) in the lenvatinib group, and 86 (68.3%) in the sorafenib group. The median age was 63 years, and males were predominant (88.1%). In PS-matched cohorts (36 patients in each group), the objective response rate was similar between the lenvatinib- and sorafenib-treated groups (5.6% vs. 8.3%; p=0.643), but the disease control rate was superior in the lenvatinib group (66.7% vs. 22.2%; p<0.001). Despite the superior progression-free survival (PFS) in the lenvatinib group (3.5 vs. 1.8 months, p=0.001), the overall survival (OS, 10.3 vs. 7.5 months, p=0.353) did not differ between the two PS-matched treatment groups. Conclusion: In second-line therapy for unresectable HCC after ATE+BEV failure, lenvatinib showed better PFS and comparable OS to sorafenib in a real-world setting. Future studies with larger sample sizes and longer follow-ups are needed to optimize second-line treatment.

7.
Hepatol Int ; 18(2): 299-383, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38416312

ABSTRACT

Liver transplantation is a highly complex and challenging field of clinical practice. Although it was originally developed in western countries, it has been further advanced in Asian countries through the use of living donor liver transplantation. This method of transplantation is the only available option in many countries in the Asia-Pacific region due to the lack of deceased organ donation. As a result of this clinical situation, there is a growing need for guidelines that are specific to the Asia-Pacific region. These guidelines provide comprehensive recommendations for evidence-based management throughout the entire process of liver transplantation, covering both deceased and living donor liver transplantation. In addition, the development of these guidelines has been a collaborative effort between medical professionals from various countries in the region. This has allowed for the inclusion of diverse perspectives and experiences, leading to a more comprehensive and effective set of guidelines.


Subject(s)
Liver Transplantation , Tissue and Organ Procurement , Humans , Asia , Liver , Liver Transplantation/methods , Living Donors
8.
Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 36(4): 445-451, 2024 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38417062

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Behçet's disease (BD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share pathogenetic mechanisms. In this study, we investigated whether NAFLD influences the clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD. METHODS: Patients with intestinal BD and available hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores were recruited between 2005 and 2022. An HSI of ≥30 and FIB-4 of ≥1.45 were used to diagnose hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis, respectively. The primary outcomes were intestinal BD-related hospitalization, surgery, emergency room visits, or the first use of corticosteroids, immunomodulators, or biologic agents for intestinal BD. RESULTS: A total of 780 patients with BD were selected. The prevalence of hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were 72.3% and 8.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that younger age, prior smoking history, concomitant skin lesions, higher white blood cell count, and lower serum albumin levels were independently associated with an increased risk of clinical relapse (all P < 0.05), whereas hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were not (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.164, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.923-1.468; P = 0.199 for hepatic steatosis; HR = 0.982, 95% CI 0.672-1.436; P = 0.927 for significant liver fibrosis). CONCLUSION: Hepatic steatosis and liver fibrotic burden were not independently associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD.


Subject(s)
Behcet Syndrome , Intestinal Diseases , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/diagnosis , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Behcet Syndrome/complications , Behcet Syndrome/diagnosis , Behcet Syndrome/drug therapy , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/etiology , Fibrosis
9.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 39(6): 1155-1163, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38357836

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Lack of awareness disturbs proper care for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in patients undergoing surgery. We investigated the status of HCV screening, confirmation, and treatment in patients who underwent surgery. METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery at a tertiary academic center between 2019 and 2021 were eligible for this retrospective study. RESULTS: Between 2019 and 2021, 96 894 patients (40 121 males; 41.4%) who underwent surgery under general anesthesia were recruited. The median age of the participants was 55.0 years. Of the 83 920 (86.6%) patients who tested positive for anti-HCV antibodies, 576 (0.7%) showed positive results, with a higher proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus (32.6% vs 18.5%), hypertension (50.5% vs 28.6%), liver cirrhosis (13.2% vs 1.7%), and unfavorable laboratory test results when compared with those with negative results (all P < 0.05). HCV RNA was tested in 215 patients (37.3%), with a positivity rate of 20.5% (n = 44). Of the 44 patients, 42 (95.5%) were referred for antiviral treatment, and 29 (69.0%) were successfully treated with direct-acting antiviral therapy. HCV RNA confirmation rates were higher in the Department of Hepatobiliary and Transplant Surgery (76.6%) than in the other surgical departments (25.0-33.5%) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of patients who were positive for anti-HCV antibodies and failed to receive proper management after surgery was not negligible. Increased awareness of HCV infection among surgeons through appropriate education may be required.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , Hepatitis C , Tertiary Care Centers , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Retrospective Studies , Hepatitis C/diagnosis , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Hepatitis C Antibodies/blood , Adult , Aged , Hepacivirus/immunology , Hepacivirus/genetics , RNA, Viral/blood , Surgical Procedures, Operative/adverse effects , Liver Cirrhosis/surgery , Mass Screening/methods
11.
Gut Liver ; 18(2): 294-304, 2024 Mar 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37203442

ABSTRACT

Background/Aims: Increased prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been reported. However, the effects of NAFLD on the outcome of IBD remains unclear. We investigated whether the presence of NAFLD could influence the outcomes of patients with IBD. Methods: We recruited 3,356 eligible patients with IBD into our study between November 2005 and November 2020. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis were diagnosed using hepatic steatosis index of ≥30 and fibrosis-4 of ≥1.45, respectively. The primary outcome was clinical relapse, defined based on the following: IBD-related admission, surgery, or first use of corticosteroids, immunomodulators, or biologic agents for IBD. Results: The prevalence of NAFLD in patients with IBD was 16.7%. Patients with hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis were older, had a higher body mass index, and were more likely to have diabetes (all p<0.05). Conclusions: Hepatic steatosis was independently associated with increased risks of clinical relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, whereas fibrotic burden in the liver was not. Future studies should investigate whether assessment and therapeutic intervention for NAFLD will improve the clinical outcomes of patients with IBD.


Subject(s)
Inflammatory Bowel Diseases , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/complications , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/drug therapy , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/epidemiology , Fibrosis , Recurrence , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology
12.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 39(2): 280-288, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37961007

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Serotonin affects the balance and integrity of the gut microbiome; however, studies have confirmed the influence of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) on irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). We evaluated the association between SSRI use and subsequent IBS occurrence in a real-world setting. METHODS: A multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was adopted, and the National Health Insurance Service cohort claims database between 2010 and 2019 was used. Non-SSRI users were selected using the propensity score matching method. Subgroup analyses were performed using the point of use, cumulative dose, and duration of SSRI use. Additional analysis was performed using a control group without psychiatric medications. RESULTS: We included 2901 SSRI users and 2727 non-SSRI users. After adjusting covariates, the risk of developing IBS in SSRI users was 1.54 times that in non-SSRI users (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-2.33). The hazard ratio (HR) of the recent, heavy, and short-term user groups were 3.19 (95% CI: 2.03-4.99), 2.22 (95% CI: 1.50-3.29), and 4.83 (95% CI: 3.02-7.73), respectively, compared with that of non-users. In patients without a history of psychiatric medications, the risk of IBS incidence after SSRI use increased significantly (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.06-2.42), whereas HR was insignificant in patients with a history of psychiatric medications (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 0.98-1.60). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of subsequent IBS occurrence following SSRI use was high in patients who initially took a heavy SSRI dose and those who did not have a history of psychiatric drug use.


Subject(s)
Irritable Bowel Syndrome , Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors , Humans , Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Irritable Bowel Syndrome/chemically induced , Irritable Bowel Syndrome/epidemiology , Irritable Bowel Syndrome/drug therapy , Incidence , Proportional Hazards Models
13.
Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 22(3): 602-610.e7, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37993034

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The existing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk scores have modest accuracy, and most are specific to chronic hepatitis B infection. In this study, we developed and validated a liver stiffness-based machine learning algorithm (ML) for prediction and risk stratification of HCC in various chronic liver diseases (CLDs). METHODS: MLs were trained for prediction of HCC in 5155 adult patients with various CLDs in Korea and further tested in 2 prospective cohorts from Hong Kong (HK) (N = 2732) and Europe (N = 2384). Model performance was assessed according to Harrell's C-index and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: We developed the SMART-HCC score, a liver stiffness-based ML HCC risk score, with liver stiffness measurement ranked as the most important among 9 clinical features. The Harrell's C-index of the SMART-HCC score in HK and Europe validation cohorts were 0.89 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.92) and 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.87-0.95), respectively. The area under ROC curves of the SMART-HCC score for HCC in 5 years was ≥0.89 in both validation cohorts. The performance of SMART-HCC score was significantly better than existing HCC risk scores including aMAP score, Toronto HCC risk index, and 7 hepatitis B-related risk scores. Using dual cutoffs of 0.043 and 0.080, the annual HCC incidence was 0.09%-0.11% for low-risk group and 2.54%-4.64% for high-risk group in the HK and Europe validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The SMART-HCC score is a useful machine learning-based tool for clinicians to stratify HCC risk in patients with CLDs.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis B, Chronic , Hepatitis B , Liver Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Hepatitis B, Chronic/drug therapy , Algorithms , Machine Learning , Hepatitis B/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis/drug therapy , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use
14.
J Liver Cancer ; 24(1): 113-117, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38017367

ABSTRACT

Portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) is an uncommon condition in which tumor cells expand into the vessels, causing blood clot formation in the portal vein. PVTT is mainly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma, leading to an unfavorable prognosis; however, it can also develop in patients with other cancer types. Herein, we report a case of metastatic renal cell carcinoma diagnosed by a blind liver biopsy in a patient with dynamic computed tomography-confirmed portal vein thrombosis and cholangiopathy. This case illustrates the importance of systematic surveillance with routine laboratory tests and contrast-enhanced imaging studies on patients with cancer to detect potential liver infiltration of metastatic cancer.

15.
Cell Commun Signal ; 21(1): 339, 2023 11 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38012711

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Sorafenib improves the overall survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Dickkopf-1 (DKK1) is commonly overexpressed in HCC. In this study, we investigated whether the inhibition of DKK1 enhances the anti-tumor efficacy of sorafenib in HCC. METHODS: HCC cells were treated with sorafenib and WAY-262611, which is an inhibitor of DKK1. Transgenic mouse models were also developed using hydrodynamic tail vein injection. Mice were orally administered with sorafenib (32 mg/kg), WAY-262611 (16 mg/kg), or sorafenib + WAY-262611 for 10 days. Mechanisms of sorafenib and WAY-262611 were explored via western blotting, immunostaining, and RNA sequencing. RESULTS: DKK1 was significantly overexpressed in patients with HCC than in the healthy controls and patients with liver diseases except HCC (all P < 0.05). Compared with sorafenib alone, sorafenib + WAY-262611 significantly inhibited the cell viability, invasion, migration, and colony formation by promoting apoptosis and altering the cell cycles in HCC cells (all P < 0.05). Moreover, sorafenib + WAY-262611 decreased the p110α, phospho-Akt (all P < 0.05), active ß-catenin (all P < 0.05) and phospho-GSK-3ß (Ser9) expression levels, while increasing the phospho-GSK-3ß (Tyr216) expression levels compared with those in the sorafenib alone in vitro and in vivo. In addition, sorafenib + WAY-262611 inhibited tumor progression by regulating cell proliferation and apoptosis, significantly better than sorafenib alone in mouse models. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that DKK1 inhibition significantly enhances the anti-tumor efficacy of sorafenib by inhibiting the PI3K/Akt and Wnt/ß-catenin pathways via regulation of GSK3ß activity, suggesting a novel therapeutic strategy for HCC. Video Abstract.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Mice , Animals , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/genetics , Sorafenib/pharmacology , Glycogen Synthase Kinase 3 beta , Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-akt/metabolism , Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases/metabolism , Liver Neoplasms/metabolism , beta Catenin/metabolism , Cell Proliferation , Cell Line, Tumor
16.
Liver Cancer ; 12(5): 445-456, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37901764

ABSTRACT

Background: Emerging data suggest that outcomes for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with sorafenib may have improved over time. We aimed to provide robust, time-to-event estimates of survival outcomes for sorafenib in advanced HCC. Summary: In this systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomized-controlled trials (RCTs), we searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception till September 2022 for RCTs that provided data for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for sorafenib monotherapy as first-line systemic therapy for advanced HCC. We performed a pooled analysis using reconstructed individual participant data from published Kaplan-Meier curves to obtain robust estimates for OS and PFS. Of 1,599 articles identified, 29 studies (5,525 patients) met the inclusion criteria. Overall, the median OS was 10.4 (95% CI: 9.6-11.4) months. Median OS increased over time, from 9.8 (95% CI: 8.8-10.7) months in studies before 2015 to 13.4 (95% CI: 11.03-15.24) months in studies from 2015 onwards (p < 0.001). OS did not differ by trial phase, geographical region, or study design. The overall median PFS was 4.4 (95% CI: 3.9-4.8) months, but PFS did not improve over time. Sensitivity analysis of studies from 2015 and onwards to account for the introduction of direct-acting antivirals determined that hepatitis C virus was associated with reduced mortality (p < 0.001). There was minimal heterogeneity in the estimates for OS (all I2 ≤ 33). Key Messages: Survival outcomes for sorafenib in advanced HCC have improved over time. These data have important implications for clinical trial design.

17.
Aliment Pharmacol Ther ; 58(9): 920-928, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37646318

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Baveno VII was proposed for non-invasive identification of clinically significant portal hypertension. However, a substantial proportion of patients is classified in the grey zone (i.e., liver stiffness 15-24.9 kPa and/or platelet count <150 × 109 /L). AIMS: To evaluate the risk and predictors of hepatic decompensation in patients in the grey zone, and to determine the prognostic role of spleen stiffness measurement. METHODS: We included prospective cohorts (from Hong Kong, Korea and France) of patients who had undergone transient elastography examination for chronic liver disease. We estimated risk of hepatic decompensation using competing risk regression with hepatocellular carcinoma and non-liver-related death as competing events. RESULTS: We identified 2763 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). There were 1243 (44.9%) and 536 (19.4%) patients in the Baveno VII grey zone and high-risk groups, respectively. The cumulative incidence of decompensation at 5 years was significantly different among low-risk (0.6% [95% CI: 0.2%-1.3%]), grey zone 4.2% (95% CI: 3.1%-5.4%) and high-risk groups (11.4% [95% CI: 8.7%-14.6%]). By competing risk analysis, aetiology of liver disease (alcohol-related liver disease), albumin-bilirubin score and alkaline phosphatase level were independently associated with decompensation among patients in the grey zone. The combination of Baveno VII and spleen stiffness significantly reduced patients classified into grey zone (12.8% in cACLD patients), while maintaining high discrimination of decompensation in low- and high-risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: Patients in grey zone of Baveno VII criteria remain at high risk of hepatic decompensation. Clinical risk factors and spleen stiffness can further stratify the risk in such patients.

19.
Liver Int ; 43(8): 1813-1821, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37452503

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) algorithms can be used to overcome the prognostic performance limitations of conventional hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk models. We established and validated an ML-based HCC predictive model optimized for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infections receiving antiviral therapy (AVT). METHODS: Treatment-naïve CHB patients who were started entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) were enrolled. We used a training cohort (n = 960) to develop a novel ML model that predicted HCC development within 5 years and validated the model using an independent external cohort (n = 1937). ML algorithms consider all potential interactions and do not use predefined hypotheses. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients in the training cohort was 48 years, and most patients (68.9%) were men. During the median 59.3 (interquartile range 45.8-72.3) months of follow-up, 69 (7.2%) patients developed HCC. Our ML-based HCC risk prediction model had an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.900, which was better than the AUCs of CAMD (0.778) and REAL B (0.772) (both p < .05). The better performance of our model was maintained (AUC = 0.872 vs. 0.788 for CAMD and 0.801 for REAL B) in the validation cohort. Using cut-off probabilities of 0.3 and 0.5, the cumulative incidence of HCC development differed significantly among the three risk groups (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Our new ML model performed better than models in terms of predicting the risk of HCC development in CHB patients receiving AVT.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis B, Chronic , Liver Neoplasms , Male , Humans , Middle Aged , Female , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/drug therapy , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis B, Chronic/epidemiology , Tenofovir/therapeutic use , Retrospective Studies
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