ABSTRACT
Ventricular septal defect (VSD) is a common congenital heart disease. However, consensus on the utility of echocardiography in predicting spontaneous closure (SC) of VSD remains lacking. This study aimed to identify and validate significant predictors of SC through a predictive scoring system. This retrospective study included medical records of 712 echocardiography instances performed on 304 patients diagnosed with VSD from 2016 to 2020 in their first year of life. A novel scoring system for predicting the SC of VSD was developed and validated using another dataset from different hospitals. Of the 304 patients, 215 (70.7%) had perimembranous (PM) VSDs and 89 had muscular (29.3%) VSDs. The median follow-up periods were 36.2 (interquartile range [IQR], 13-59) months and 13.7 9 (IQR, 5-37.4) days for PM and muscular VSDs, respectively. The overall SC rate during follow-up was 29.3%. Pulmonary hypertension (HTN), concomitant left ventricle (LV)-right atrium (RA) shunt, VSD size to aortic valve (AV) annulus size ratio, and left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD) z-score were significant risk factors affecting SC of VSD. The "P-VSD" score, a new scoring system, demonstrated an area under the curve for predictability of 0.769. Pulmonary HTN, concomitant LV-RA shunt, LVEDD z-score, and VSD size-to-AV annulus size ratio at diagnosis were significantly associated with non-SC VSD after infancy. The P-VSD score can predict the SC of VSD in clinical settings and simplify the identification and appropriate management of high-risk patients.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The speckle tracking echocardiography can benefit to assess the regional myocardial deformations. Although, previous reports suggested no significant change in left ventricular (LV) torsion with aging, there are certain differences in LV rotation at the base and apex. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the change and relationship of LV rotation for torsion with aging in children. METHODS: Forty healthy children were recruited and divided into two groups of twenty based on whether the children were preschool-age (2-6 years of age) or school-age (7-12 years of age). After obtaining conventional echocardiographic data, apical and basal short axis rotation were assessed with speckle tracking echocardiography. LV rotation in the basal and apical short axis planes was determined using six myocardial segments along the central axis. RESULTS: Apical and basal LV rotation did not show the statistical difference with increased age between preschool- and school-age children. Apical radial strain showed significant higher values in preschool-age children, especially at the anterior (52.8 ± 17.4% vs. 34.7 ± 23.2%, p < 0.02), lateral (55.8 ± 20.4% vs. 36.1 ± 22.7%, p < 0.02), and posterior segments (57.1 ± 17.6% vs. 38.5 ± 21.7%, p < 0.01). The torsion values did not demonstrate the statistical difference between two groups. CONCLUSION: This study revealed the tendency of higher rotation values in preschool-age children than in school-age children. The lesser values of rotation and torsion with increased age during childhood warrant further investigation.
ABSTRACT
A multi-nested prediction system for the Yellow Sea using drifter trajectory simulations was developed to predict the movements of an oil spill after the MV Hebei Spirit accident. The speeds of the oil spill trajectories predicted by the model without tidal forcing were substantially faster than the observations; however, predictions taking into account the tides, including both tidal cycle and subtidal periods, were satisfactorily improved. Subtidal flow in the simulation without tides was stronger than in that with tides because of reduced frictional effects. Friction induced by tidal stress decelerated the southward subtidal flows driven by northwesterly winter winds along the Korean coast of the Yellow Sea. These results strongly suggest that in order to produce accurate predictions of oil spill trajectories, simulations must include tidal effects, such as variations within a tidal cycle and advections over longer time scales in tide-dominated areas.
