Survival Prediction Model for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Extrahepatic Metastasis Based on XGBoost Algorithm.

Purpose: Accurate estimation of survival is of utmost importance in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and extrahepatic metastasis. This study aimed to develop a survival prediction model using real-world data. Patients and Methods: A total of 993 patients with treatment-naïve HCC and extrahepatic metastasis were included from 13 Korean hospitals between 2013 and 2018. Patients were randomly divided into a training set (70.0%) and a test set (30.0%). The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was applied to predict survival at 3, 6, and 12 months. Results: The mean age of the patients was 60.8 ± 12.3 years, and 85.4% were male. During the study period, 96.1% died, and median survival duration was 4.0 months. In multivariate analysis, Child-Pugh class, number and size of tumors, presence of vascular or bile duct invasion, lung or bone metastasis, serum AFP, and primary anti-HCC treatment were associated with survival. We constructed a model for survival prediction based on the relevant variables, which is available online (https://metastatic-hcc.onrender.com/form). Our model demonstrated high performance, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.778, 0.794, and 0.784 at 3, 6, and 12 months, respectively. Feature importance analysis indicated that the primary anti-HCC treatment had the highest importance. Conclusion: We developed a model to predict the survival of patients with HCC and extrahepatic metastasis, which demonstrated good discriminative ability. Our model would be helpful for personalized treatment and for improving the prognosis.

Pharmaceutical and Immunological Evaluation of Cholera Toxin A1 Subunit as an Adjuvant of Hepatitis B Vaccine Microneedles.

PURPOSE: For successful delivery of a solid vaccine formulation into the skin using microneedles, the solubility of an adjuvant should be considered because the decrease in the dissolution rate by the addition of adjuvant decreases the delivery efficiency of the vaccine. METHODS: In this study, cholera toxin A subunit 1 (CTA1) was examined as an adjuvant to Hepatitis B vaccine (HBV) microneedles because of its good water solubility, improved safety, and positive effect as shown in intramuscular administration of a liquid vaccine. RESULTS: All solid formulations with CTA 1 dissolved in in vivo mouse skin within 30 min, and they were successfully delivered into the skin. In experiments with mice, the addition of CTA1 led to improved IgG immune response compared to the use of an aluminum hydroxide-based formulation and intramuscular administration of HBV. In addition, CTA1 induced CD8 + T cell response as much as in which the aluminum hydroxide-based formulation induced. CONCLUSIONS: CTA1 is an adjuvant that satisfies both the delivery efficiency and the immunological characteristics required for vaccine microneedles. CTA1 will be used as a potential adjuvant through vaccine microneedles.

An improved Raphanus sativus cv. WK10039 genome localizes centromeres, uncovers variation of DNA methylation and resolves arrangement of the ancestral Brassica genome blocks in radish chromosomes.

KEY MESSAGE: This study presents an improved genome of Raphanus sativus cv. WK10039 uncovering centromeres and differentially methylated regions of radish chromosomes. Comprehensive genome comparison of radish and diploid Brassica species of U's triangle reveals that R. sativus arose from the Brassica B genome lineage and is a sibling species of B. nigra. Radish (Raphanus sativus L.) is a key root vegetable crop closely related to the Brassica crop species of the family Brassicaceae. We reported a draft genome of R. sativus cv. WK10039 (Rs1.0), which had 54.6 Mb gaps. To study the radish genome and explore previously unknown regions, we generated an improved genome assembly (Rs2.0) by long-read sequencing and high-resolution genome-wide mapping of chromatin interactions. Rs2.0 was 434.9 Mb in size with 0.27 Mb gaps, and the N50 scaffold length was 37.3 Mb (40-fold larger assembly compared to Rs1.0). Approximately 38% of Rs2.0 was comprised of repetitive sequences, and 52,768 protein-coding genes and 4845 non-protein-coding genes were predicted and annotated. The improved contiguity and coverage of Rs2.0, along with the detection of highly methylated regions, enabled localization of centromeres where R. sativus-specific centromere-associated repeats, full-length OTA and CRM LTR-Gypsy retrotransposons, hAT-Ac, CMC-EnSpm and Helitron DNA transposons, and sequences highly homologous to B. nigra centromere-specific CENH3-associated CL sequences were enriched. Whole-genome bisulfite sequencing combined with mRNA sequencing identified differential epigenetic marks in the radish genome related to tissue development. Synteny comparison and genomic distance analysis of radish and three diploid Brassica species of U's triangle suggested that the radish genome arose from the Brassica B genome lineage through unique rearrangement of the triplicated ancestral Brassica genome after splitting of the Brassica A/C and B genomes.

The Role of Plasma Chromogranin A as Assessment of Treatment Response in Non-functioning Gastroenteropancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors.

PURPOSE: Chromogranin A (CgA) has been considered to be valuable not only in the diagnosis but also in monitoring the disease response to treatment. However, only a few studies have been published on this issue. We purposed to evaluate whether biochemical response using plasma CgA level is reliable in concordance with the clinical response of grade 1-3 nonfunctiong gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between March 2011 and September 2013, a total of 27 cases in 18 patients were analysed, clinically and radiologically while serial CgA tests were also conducted during treatment. Tumor responses were defined by both Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria ver. 1.1 and biochemical criteria based on the CgA level. RESULTS: Among the 27 cases analysed, no difference in the basal CgA level was observed with regard to gender, primary tumor site, tumor grade (World Health Organization classification), liver metastasis, number of metastatic site, and line of chemotherapy. The overall response rate (RR) by RECIST criteria ver. 1.1 was six out of the 27 cases (22.2%) and eight out of the 27 cases (29.6%) for biochemical RR. The overall concordance rates of the response based on RECIST and biochemical criteria were 74%. In grades 1 and 2 GEP-NETs (n=17), the concordance rate of the disease control was 94.1%. There was a significant difference for progression-free survival (PFS) between responders and non-responder in accordance to biochemical criteria (35.73 months vs. 5.93 months, p=0.05). CONCLUSION: This study revealed that changes of the plasma CgA levels were associated with tumour response. Additionally, biochemical response based on serial CgA may be a predictive marker for PFS in GEP-NETs.

Capecitabine in combination with either cisplatin or weekly paclitaxel as a first-line treatment for metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a randomized phase II study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of a combination regimen of capecitabine plus cisplatin (CC) or capecitabine plus paclitaxel (CP) as a first-line treatment in patients with metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. METHODS: Patients with recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma were enrolled in this open-label, phase II, randomized trial. Patients were assigned to either the CC arm (days [D]1-14 capecitabine 1000 mg/m(2) twice daily + D1 cisplatin 75 mg/m(2), every 3 weeks) or the CP arm (D1-14 capecitabine 1000 mg/m(2) twice daily + D1, 8 paclitaxel 80 mg/m(2), every 3 weeks). The primary endpoint of the study was response rate and secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), toxicity and quality of life. RESULTS: A total of 94 patients were entered into this study between October 2008 and October 2012, 46 patients in the CC arm and 48 in the CP arm. Patients in both arms received a median of six cycles of treatment (range, 1-14) and the response rates were 57 and 58 % in the cisplatin and paclitaxel arm, respectively. With a median follow-up of 23 months, the median PFS was 5.1 months (95 % CI 4.0-6.2 months) in the cisplatin arm and 6.7 months (95 % CI 4.9-8.5 months) in the paclitaxel arm, whereas the median OS was 10.5 months (95 % CI 9.2-11.9 months) in the cisplatin arm and 13.2 months (95 % CI 9.4-17.0 months) in the paclitaxel arm. Patients in the cisplatin arm were more likely to experience neutropenia and thrombocytopenia, whereas patients in the paclitaxel arm had a higher frequency of neuropathy and alopecia. Quality of life was similar between treatment arms. CONCLUSIONS: Both CC and CP regimens were effective and well tolerated as a first-line treatment in patients with metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Platelet response during the second cycle of decitabine treatment predicts response and survival for myelodysplastic syndrome patients.

Despite the efficacy of decitabine to myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), there is a wide range of responses, and no definite predictive marker has been identified. This study aimed to describe the efficacy of decitabine and to identify potential predictors of response and survival in patients with MDS. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data of MDS patients at Samsung Medical Center between August 2008 and August 2011. The response assessment was conducted using the International Working Group (IWG) response criteria for MDS. We analyzed 101 MDS patients (total 613 cycles) who received decitabine for a median of four cycles. The overall response was 52.5% (n = 53/101). The median time to any response was two cycles with the median overall survival of 16.7 months. Patients who showed hematologic improvement had significantly longer survival than those who did not (9.8 vs. 22.9 months, p = 0.004). The difference in OS was evident in the Intermediate-2/High risk group (p = 0.002) but not in the Intermediate-1 risk group (p = 0.145). Multivariate analysis confirmed that platelet response (no platelet transfusions for at least 3 days) during the second cycle of treatment was an independent predictor for response, OS and Leukemia free survival. Based on the results of this study, for patients with hematological improvement, recovery of platelet count by the second cycle of therapy can be used as an early predictive marker of improved survival and an increased response rate.

The BIM Deletion Polymorphism and its Clinical Implication in Patients with EGFR-Mutant Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Treated with EGFR Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors.

INTRODUCTION: A germline BIM deletion polymorphism has been proposed to predict poor treatment response to certain kinase inhibitors. The purpose of this study was to explore whether the BIM deletion polymorphism predicts treatment efficacy of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) in Korean patients with EGFR-mutant non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS: Peripheral blood samples from a total of 205 patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC who were treated with EGFR TKIs between July 2008 and April 2013 were included. The incidence of BIM deletions in these samples was detected by polymerase chain reaction. We compared the clinical outcomes in patients with and without the polymorphism after treatment with EGFR TKIs (gefitinib or erlotinib). RESULTS: The BIM deletion polymorphism was present in 15.6% (32 of 205) of patients. One patient was homozygous for the deletion, and the remaining 31 had heterozygous deletions. The majority of patients were younger than 65 years (74%), female (68%), never smokers (76%), and had stage IV NSCLC (67%). There were no associations between the BIM deletion polymorphism and clinicopathological features including gender, age, smoking status, histology, stage, and number of metastasis sites. Patients with and without the BIM deletion polymorphism had similar objective response rates (91 vs. 84%, p = 0.585). Progression-free survival and overall survival did not differ significantly between patients with and without the BIM deletion polymorphism (median progression-free survival 12 vs. 11 months, p = 0.160; median overall survival 31 vs. 30 months, p = 0.452). Multivariate analysis identified significantly predictive markers for clinical outcomes of EGFR TKIs including Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0-1, adenocarcinoma histology, recurrent disease, and EGFR mutation type. The results were validated in an independent cohort of 69 NSCLC patients. CONCLUSIONS: It remains to be determined whether the BIM deletion polymorphism provides intrinsic resistance or decreased sensitivity to EGFR TKIs in EGFR-mutant NSCLC patients.

Weekly docetaxel and gemcitabine in previously treated metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

AIM: To assess the efficacy and safety of weekly docetaxel plus a fixed-dose rate (FDR) of gemcitabine in metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). METHODS: A multi-center, open-label, prospective phase II study was designed. Thirty-three esophageal SCC patients with documented progression after fluoropyrimidine/platinum-based first-line chemotherapy were enrolled and treated with docetaxel 35 mg/m(2) and gemcitabine 1000 mg/m(2) iv at a FDR (10 mg/m(2) per minute) on days 1 and 8. Treatment was repeated every twenty-one days until disease progression, unacceptable toxicity, or consent withdrawal. The primary endpoint was response rate (RR), and secondary endpoints were safety, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Combination of weekly docetaxel and FDR gemcitabine was well tolerated: the most common treatment-related adverse events were anemia (97%), fatigue (64%) and neutropenia (55%). One patient with multiple lung and lymph node metastases died of respiratory failure after receiving four cycles of chemotherapy, and the possibility of drug-induced pneumonitis could not be completely excluded. Disease control (objective response plus stable disease) in the ITT population was achieved in 88% of patients, and the overall RR was 30% (95%CI: 15%-46%). The median PFS and OS were 4.0 (95%CI: 3.4-4.6) and 8.8 mo (95%CI: 7.8-9.8 mo), respectively. CONCLUSION: A combination of weekly docetaxel and FDR gemcitabine showed promising antitumor activity and tolerability in previously treated, metastatic esophageal SCC.

Impact on Survival of Regular Postoperative Surveillance for Patients with Early Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the role of regular postoperative surveillance to improve the prognosis of patients with breast cancer after curative surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 4,119 patients who received curative surgery for breast cancer at Samsung Medical Center between January 2000 and September 2008. Patients were divided into two groups (group I, regular postoperative surveillance; group II, control group) according to their post-therapy follow-up status for the first 5 years after surgery. RESULTS: Among the 3,770 patients selected for inclusion, groups I and II contained 3,300 (87%) and 470 (13%) patients, respectively. The recurrence rates at 5 years for groups I and II were 10.6% and 16.4%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.67 to 1.09; p=0.197). The 10-year mortality cumulative rates were 8.8% for group I and 25.4% for group II (hazard ratio, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.22 to 0.35; p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis for recurrence-free survival (RFS), age over 40 years (p < 0.001), histologic grade 1 (p < 0.001), and pathologic stage I (p < 0.001) were associated with longer RFS but not with follow-up status. Multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS) revealed that patients in group I showed significantly improved OS (hazard ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.23 to 0.37; p < 0.001). Additionally, age over 40 years, histologic grade I, and pathologic stage I were independent prognostic factors for OS. CONCLUSION: Regular follow-up for patients with breast cancer after primary surgery resulted in clinically significant improvements in patient OS.

Prognostic relevance of biological subtype overrides that of TNM staging in breast cancer: discordance between stage and biology.

Recently, we faced difficult treatment decisions regarding appropriate adjuvant systemic treatment, especially for patients who show discordance between stage and tumor biology. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic relevance of the TNM staging system with that of intrinsic subtype in breast cancer. We retrospectively identified women patients who received curative surgery for stage I-III breast cancer with available data on immunohistochemistry profiles including hormone receptor (HR) status, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status, and Ki 67 staining at the Samsung Medical Center from January 2004 to September 2008. Primary outcomes were recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). A total of 1145 patients were diagnosed with breast cancer and received curative surgery. Of these, 463 (40.4%) patients were stage I, and 682 (59.6%) were stage II or III. In addition, 701 (61.2%) patients were HR positive, 239 (20.9%) were HER2 positive, and 205 (20.9%) had triple-negative breast cancer. The 5-year RFS for the patients who were HR positive and HER2 negative with a low Ki 67 staining score (0-25%) was 99%. The 5-year RFS for patients who were HER2-positive or had triple-negative breast cancer were 89 and 83%, respectively (P value = <0.001). In multivariate analysis, advanced stage (II/III) and unfavorable biology (HER2 positive or triple negative) retained their statistical significance as predictors of decreased RFS and OS. Patients with advanced-stage disease (II or III) but favorable tumor biology (HR positive and HER2 negative and low Ki 67) had better clinical outcomes than those with stage I disease and unfavorable tumor biology in terms of RFS (99 versus 92%, P value = 0.011) and OS (99 versus 96%, P value = 0.03) at 5 years. The current results showed that intrinsic subtype has a greater prognostic impact in predicting clinical outcomes in subpopulations of patients with stage I-III breast cancer who show discordance between stage and biologic subtypes.

Safety and efficacy of gemcitabine or pemetrexed in combination with a platinum in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer and prior interstitial lung disease.

PURPOSE: The incidence of lung cancer in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) is higher than in the general population; however, the clinical benefit of chemotherapy and the appropriate regimen for non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with ILD remain unclear. This study was conducted to elucidate the safety and efficacy of palliative chemotherapy with gemcitabine or pemetrexed, both in combination with a platinum agent in NSCLC patients with ILD. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with advanced or recurrent NSCLC and ILD who received gemcitabine or pemetrexed in combination with a platinum agent as first-line chemotherapy were retrospectively analyzed. Clinical outcomes, including response rate, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS), in addition to the acute exacerbation of ILD after chemotherapy were investigated. RESULTS: Between January 2007 and December 2011, 52 patients were analyzed. The median age at chemotherapy was 67. Thirty-two patients (61.5 %) had adenocarcinoma histology. With respect to the types of ILD, idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP) and non-IIP were observed in 42 (80.8 %) and 10 (19.2 %) patients, respectively. The FEV1 level was less than 80 % of the predicted value in 15 of the 41 patients in whom it was measured. The overall response rate was 42.3 % (95 % CI 28.8-55.9), and the median PFS was 5.4 months (95 % CI 4.6-6.2). The median OS was 7.9 months (95 % CI 5.5-10.3), and the 1-year survival rate was 31.7 % (95 % CI 19.0-44.4). Eight patients (15.4 %) died within 3 months of first-line chemotherapy. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that a heavy smoking history (40 or more pack-year smoking history) was an independent adverse prognostic factor for OS. An acute exacerbation of ILD (AE-ILD) caused by first-line chemotherapy was noted in 5.8 % of patients. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that gemcitabine or pemetrexed in combination with platinum agents could be a feasible option for advanced NSCLC with ILD with some risk of AE-ILD or early death. To establish the efficacy of palliative chemotherapy for patients with NSCLC and ILD, further well-controlled prospective studies are needed.

Is there any predictor for clinical outcome in EGFR mutant NSCLC patients treated with EGFR TKIs?

BACKGROUND: Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) have demonstrated some dramatic response rate and prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with activating EGFR mutation. However, PFS and overall survival (OS) among those patients who were treated with EGFR TKIs are inconsistent and unpredictable. In this study, we evaluated predictors of clinical outcome in EGFR mutant NSCLC patients treated with EGFR TKIs. METHODS: A total of 148 patients who had metastatic or recurrent NSCLC with activating EGFR mutation treated with either erlotinib or gefitinib as a first-line (n = 10) and a second-line or more treatment (n = 138) were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration was 21.9 months (range, 1.1-62.5). The median PFS and OS for a total 148 patients were 10.6 months (95 % CI 9.0-12.2) and 21.8 months (95 % CI 18.5-25.1), respectively. The survival outcomes were similar between the first-line and second-line or more line of treatment of EGFR TKIs (P = 0.512 for PFS, P = 0.699 for OS). Although a high number of metastasis sites (3-6 vs. 1-2) were associated with shorter PFS and OS (median PFS 9.9 vs. 11.9 months, P = 0.019; median OS 16.4 vs. 22.2 months, P = 0.021, respectively) in univariate analysis, but not in multivariate analysis. According to the clinical and molecular markers by multivariate analysis, there were no significant differences in PFS. When PFS was dichotomized by median 11 months for 105 patients treated with EGFR TKIs as second-line therapy, no significant differences in any clinical or molecular features were found between longer PFS and shorter PFS groups. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the inconsistencies in PFS among EGFR mutant patients treated with EGFR TKIs, no significant differences of clinical features were noted, thereby suggesting a need for more understanding of the heterogeneity of underlying biology.