Risk Assessment of Importation and Local Transmission of COVID-19 in South Korea: Statistical Modeling Approach.

BACKGROUND: Despite recent achievements in vaccines, antiviral drugs, and medical infrastructure, the emergence of COVID-19 has posed a serious threat to humans worldwide. Most countries are well connected on a global scale, making it nearly impossible to implement perfect and prompt mitigation strategies for infectious disease outbreaks. In particular, due to the explosive growth of international travel, the complex network of human mobility enabled the rapid spread of COVID-19 globally. OBJECTIVE: South Korea was one of the earliest countries to be affected by COVID-19. In the absence of vaccines and treatments, South Korea has implemented and maintained stringent interventions, such as large-scale epidemiological investigations, rapid diagnosis, social distancing, and prompt clinical classification of severely ill patients with appropriate medical measures. In particular, South Korea has implemented effective airport screenings and quarantine measures. In this study, we aimed to assess the country-specific importation risk of COVID-19 and investigate its impact on the local transmission of COVID-19. METHODS: The country-specific importation risk of COVID-19 in South Korea was assessed. We investigated the relationships between country-specific imported cases, passenger numbers, and the severity of country-specific COVID-19 prevalence from January to October 2020. We assessed the country-specific risk by incorporating country-specific information. A renewal mathematical model was employed, considering both imported and local cases of COVID-19 in South Korea. Furthermore, we estimated the basic and effective reproduction numbers. RESULTS: The risk of importation from China was highest between January and February 2020, while that from North America (the United States and Canada) was high from April to October 2020. The R0 was estimated at 1.87 (95% CI 1.47-2.34), using the rate of α=0.07 for secondary transmission caused by imported cases. The Rt was estimated in South Korea and in both Seoul and Gyeonggi. CONCLUSIONS: A statistical model accounting for imported and locally transmitted cases was employed to estimate R0 and Rt. Our results indicated that the prompt implementation of airport screening measures (contact tracing with case isolation and quarantine) successfully reduced local transmission caused by imported cases despite passengers arriving from high-risk countries throughout the year. Moreover, various mitigation interventions, including social distancing and travel restrictions within South Korea, have been effectively implemented to reduce the spread of local cases in South Korea.

Joint Demosaicing and Denoising Based on Interchannel Nonlocal Mean Weighted Moving Least Squares Method.

Nowadays, the sizes of pixel sensors in digital cameras are decreasing as the resolution of the image sensor increases. Due to the decreased size, the pixel sensors receive less light energy, which makes it more sensitive to thermal noise. Even a small amount of noise in the color filter array (CFA) can have a significant effect on the reconstruction of the color image, as two-thirds of the missing data would have to be reconstructed from noisy data; because of this, direct denoising would need to be performed on the raw CFA to obtain a high-resolution color image. In this paper, we propose an interchannel nonlocal weighted moving least square method for the noise removal of the raw CFA. The proposed method is our first attempt of applying a two dimensional (2-D) polynomial approximation to denoising the CFA. Previous works make use of 2-D linear or directional 1-D polynomial approximations. The reason that 2-D polynomial approximation methods have not been applied to this problem is the difficulty of the weight control in the 2-D polynomial approximation method, as a small amount of noise can have a large effect on the approximated 2-D shape. This makes CFA denoising more important, as the approximated 2-D shape has to be reconstructed from only one-third of the original data. To address this problem, we propose a method that reconstructs the approximated 2-D shapes corresponding to the RGB color channels based on the measure of the similarities of the patches directly on the CFA. By doing so, the interchannel information is incorporated into the denoising scheme, which results in a well-controlled and higher order of polynomial approximation of the color channels. Compared to other nonlocal-mean-based denoising methods, the proposed method uses an extra reproducing constraint, which guarantees a certain degree of the approximation order; therefore, the proposed method can reduce the number of false reconstruction artifacts that often occur in nonlocal-mean-based denoising methods. Experimental results demonstrate the performance of the proposed algorithm.