Visual assessment of interactions among resuscitation activity factors in out-of-hospital cardiopulmonary arrest using a machine learning model.

AIM: The evaluation of the effects of resuscitation activity factors on the outcome of out-of-hospital cardiopulmonary arrest (OHCA) requires consideration of the interactions among these factors. To improve OHCA success rates, this study assessed the prognostic interactions resulting from simultaneously modifying two prehospital factors using a trained machine learning model. METHODS: We enrolled 8274 OHCA patients resuscitated by emergency medical services (EMS) in Nara prefecture, Japan, with a unified activity protocol between January 2010 and December 2018; patients younger than 18 and those with noncardiogenic cardiopulmonary arrest were excluded. Next, a three-layer neural network model was constructed to predict the cerebral performance category score of 1 or 2 at one month based on 24 features of prehospital EMS activity. Using this model, we evaluated the prognostic impact of continuously and simultaneously varying the transport time and the defibrillation or drug-administration time in the test data based on heatmaps. RESULTS: The average class sensitivity of the prognostic model was more than 0.86, with a full area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.94 (95% confidence interval of 0.92-0.96). By adjusting the two time factors simultaneously, a nonlinear interaction was obtained between the two adjustments, instead of a linear prediction of the outcome. CONCLUSION: Modifications to the parameters using a machine-learning-based prognostic model indicated an interaction among the prognostic factors. These findings could be used to evaluate which factors should be prioritized to reduce time in the trained region of machine learning in order to improve EMS activities.

Longterm Prognosis of 121 Patients with Eosinophilic Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the risk factors for relapse or prognosis of eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA) in Japanese patients presenting to our hospital. METHODS: From June 1999 through March 2015, we retrospectively recruited 121 patients with EGPA according to the American College of Rheumatology criteria. Frequent relapse was defined as disease occurrence at least once every 2 years after a period of initial remission. The study endpoint was the last examination performed. We used multiple logistic regression to analyze risk factors for relapse or survival in EGPA. RESULTS: Gastrointestinal (GI) involvement with both abnormalities on endoscopy and biopsy (p < 0.01) and symptoms; myocardial involvement with both abnormalities on 1 or more cardiac investigations and symptoms (p < 0.01); and treatment at initial or maintenance with immunosuppressants (p < 0.01) or administration of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG; p < 0.01) were associated significantly more often with frequent relapse than with infrequent. Overall 5-, 10-, and 20-year survival rates were 91.1%, 83.7%, and 68.6%, respectively. Survival in EGPA was associated with age of onset < 65 years. Age at onset of EGPA was the only significant predictor of survival (p < 0.01). Myocardial or GI tract involvement did not affect mortality risk. CONCLUSION: Patients with myocardial or GI tract involvement had frequent relapses, but these conditions were not reflected in increased mortality. Treatment with immunosuppressants or IVIG in addition to corticosteroids might have improved the prognosis in Japanese patients with EGPA.

Pirfenidone for acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: A retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF) is a rapid and ultimately fatal condition, and no effective treatment has been established. Pirfenidone has antifibrotic effects in IPF; however, its efficacy for AE-IPF is unclear. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy of pirfenidone for AE-IPF. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 135 IPF patients treated during the period from April 2008 to April 2015 and identified and extracted 47 AE-IPF patients (42 men, 5 women; mean age, 73.5 years). The clinical features and outcomes of the 20 patients treated with pirfenidone were compared with those of the 27 patients treated without pirfenidone. We then excluded the 25 patients who did not receive recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin (rhTM) and analyzed data from the remaining 22 patients (20 men, 2 women; mean age, 73.7 years). Clinical features and outcomes were compared between the 10 patients treated with pirfenidone and the 12 patients who did not receive pirfenidone. RESULTS: There were no significant differences between the two groups in baseline characteristics, except for pirfenidone use before onset. Three-month survival was significantly better in patients treated with pirfenidone than in the control group (55% vs 34%, p = 0.042). In univariate analysis, nonuse of pirfenidone was a potential risk factor for death at 3 months (hazard ratio, 6.993; p = 0.043) in patients treated with rhTM. CONCLUSION: A regimen of pirfenidone combined with corticosteroids and rhTM may improve survival in patients with AE-IPF.

Assessing usability of the "Adherence Starts with Knowledge 20" (ASK-20) questionnaire for Japanese adults with bronchial asthma receiving inhaled corticosteroids long term.

BACKGROUND: Maintaining high treatment adherence levels is critical for effective management of chronic diseases. The Adherence Starts with Knowledge 20 (ASK-20) questionnaire is the only linguistically validated patient-reported treatment adherence tool available in Japan. We conducted additional analyses on ASK-20 data from Japanese adults with asthma. METHODS: This was a prospective, non-interventional, single-visit, multi-centre study in Japanese adults (n = 300) with asthma receiving long-term treatment with inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) or ICS/long-acting beta-agonists. We tested the reliability, validity and the relationship between different adherence conditions and ASK-20 score. At one centre, ICS adherence prescription rate was calculated retrospectively based on 2-year percentage ICS adherence data contained within medical records. RESULTS: The ASK-20 had good internal consistency reliability (Cronbach's alpha = 0.76; n = 290). Discriminant validity was demonstrated with significant correlations between the percentage ICS adherence rates and both the mean ASK-20 total score and mean total barrier count (TBC) (r = -0.51 and -0.58, p < 0.001; n = 111). The ASK-20 total score discriminated between subjects with good and poor adherence measured by patients' reported questionnaire and between those of high and low percentage ICS adherence rates. All other factors that possibly affect adherence were correlated with the mean ASK-20 total score and mean TBC in addition to the number of medicines taken every day. CONCLUSIONS: The Japanese ASK-20 is a reliable tool for assessing possible medication adherence barriers and adherence behaviour in Japanese adults with asthma. Furthermore, our results are comparable with those obtained using the ASK-20 in the United States.

PHYSIOLOGIC AIRWAY RESPONSES TO INHALED HISTAMINE AND ACETYLCHOLINE IN PATIENTS WITH MILD ASTHMA AS ANALYZED BY FORCED OSCILLATION.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Asthma is a chronic disease characterized by airway inflammation; it is sometimes difficult to diagnose. For clinical diagnosis, forced oscillation technique (FOT) measures airway reactance and resistance. By FOT, we investigated respiratory resistance and ventilation perfusion ratio inequality in adults with mild asthma. METHODS: We examined 58 adult patients with mild asthma having no inhaled corticosteroid treatment, and 10 adult patients with post-infectious prolonged cough. Using a MostGraph-01 FOT instrument, we evaluated these patients before and after bronchial hyperresponsiveness to acetylcholine (ACh) or histamine (Hist). We measured the following conditions: change of resistance at 5Hz (R5) and 20Hz (R20), R5-R20, reactance at 5Hz, frequency of resonance (Fres), low-frequency reactance area (ALX), and forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1). RESULTS: There were significant changes of R5, R20, R5-R20, X5, Fres, ALX after provocations for ACh or Hist in all patients with asthma, but not in patients with post-infectious prolonged cough. We calculated the percent decrease in FEV1 after provocation with ACh or Hist. For Ach, this decrease in FEV1 correlated with changes in R20 and Fres for all patients. For Hist, the percent decrease in FEV1 correlated with changes in R5, R20, Fres, and ALX for all patients. Furthermore, we investigated these correlations in patients with normalized bronchial hyperresponsiveness to ACh or Hist. For Ach, the percent decrease in FEV1 correlated with changes in Fres or R5-R20. For Hist, this decrease in FEV1 correlated with changes in R5, R20, and Fres. ROC analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic value of the ratio of change of Fres in BHR to Hist. The area under the curve was 0.7808 (95% CI=0.657-0.904). A reasonably high specificity (100.0%) and a high sensitivity (53.8%) with a cut-off point of 1.5 in the ratio before and after of Fres were obtained. CONCLUSION: The changes in FOT parameters (before and after bronchial airway responses) may detect airway resistance and ventilation perfusion ratio inequality even in adult patients with asthma having normalized bronchial hyperresponsiveness to ACh or Hist. That results may be useful for an early diagnosis of asthma.

Recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin treatment for acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF) can be fatal, and abnormalities in the coagulation system of patients with AE-IPF have been reported. Recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin (rhTM) forms a complex with thrombin to inactivate coagulation. It also inhibits high-mobility group box protein 1 (HMGB-1), which results in the suppression of inflammation. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of rhTM for the treatment of AE-IPF. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 41 patients with AE-IPF who were admitted to our institution during the period 2006-2013. The clinical features and outcomes of 16 patients treated with rhTM (rhTM group) were compared with those of 25 patients treated with conventional therapy (control group). Patients were treated with corticosteroid (CS) pulse therapy for 3 days, followed by maintenance treatment with a tapered dose of CS. Patients in the rhTM group also received rhTM (0.06 mg/kg/day) for 6 days as an initial treatment, in combination with CS. RESULTS: Except for D-dimer level, there were no significant differences in the baseline characteristics of the 2 groups. When compared with the control group, the rhTM group had a significantly higher survival rate at 3 months (40 vs. 69%, p = 0.048). A univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model showed that the predictive factors for survival were lactate dehydrogenase level and rhTM treatment. Regarding adverse events, 1 patient in the rhTM group developed mild bleeding events. CONCLUSION: rhTM as an add-on to conventional treatment may improve survival in patients with AE-IPF.