Data on differential multivariable risk prediction of appropriate shock vs. competing mortality.

This data article features supplementary figures and tables related to the article "Differential Multivariable risk prediction of appropriate shock vs. competing mortality - a prospective cohort study to estimate benefits from implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy" (Bergau et al., 2018) [1]. The figures show the clinical study CONSORT graph (data that show the number of patients not-analyzable as well as a distribution of patients by outcomes) and the correlation scatter plot for risk scores of appropriate shock vs. mortality (data that show the calculated score values of the two scores plotted against each other). The tables show the results for the univariate Cox regressions for prediction of mortality and appropriate shock. For further information, please see Bergau et al. (2018) [1].

Differential multivariable risk prediction of appropriate shock versus competing mortality - A prospective cohort study to estimate benefits from ICD therapy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We prospectively investigated combinations of risk stratifiers including multiple EP diagnostics in a cohort study of ICD patients. METHODS: For 672 enrolled patients, we collected history, LVEF, EP study and T-wave alternans testing, 24-h Holter, NT-proBNP, and the eGFR. All-cause mortality and first appropriate ICD shock were predefined endpoints. RESULTS: The 635 patients included in the final analyses were 63 ±â€¯13 years old, 81% were male, LVEF averaged 40 ±â€¯14%, 20% were inducible at EP study, 63% had a primary prophylactic ICD. During follow-up over 4.3 ±â€¯1.5 years, 108 patients died (4.0% per year), and appropriate shock therapy occurred in n = 96 (3.9% per year). In multivariate regression, age (p < 0.001), LVEF (p < 0.001), NYHA functional class (p = 0.007), eGFR (p = 0.024), a history of atrial fibrillation (p = 0.011), and NT-pro-BNP (p = 0.002) were predictors of mortality. LVEF (p = 0.002), inducibility at EP study (p = 0.007), and secondary prophylaxis (p = 0.002) were identified as independent predictors of appropriate shocks. A high annualized risk of shocks of about 10% per year was prevalent in the upper quintile of the shock score. In contrast, a low annual risk of shocks (1.8% per year) was found in the lower two quintiles of the shock score. The lower two quintiles of the mortality score featured an annual mortality <0.6%. CONCLUSIONS: In a prospective ICD patient cohort, a very good approximation of mortality versus arrhythmic risk was possible using a multivariable diagnostic strategy. EP stimulation is the best test to assess risk of arrhythmias resulting in ICD shocks.