GFAP and NfL as fluid biomarkers for clinical disease severity and disease progression in multiple system atrophy (MSA).

BACKGROUND: Multiple system atrophy (MSA), an atypical parkinsonian syndrome, is a rapidly progressive neurodegenerative disease with currently no established fluid biomarkers available. MSA is characterized by an oligodendroglial α-synucleinopathy, progressive neuronal cell loss and concomitant astrocytosis. Here, we investigate glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and neurofilament light chain (NfL) as fluid biomarkers for differential diagnosis, assessment of clinical disease severity and prediction of disease progression in MSA. METHODS: GFAP and NfL levels were analyzed in plasma and CSF samples of 47 MSA patients as well as 24 Parkinson's disease (PD) and 25 healthy controls (HC) as reference cohorts. In MSA, biomarker levels were correlated to baseline and longitudinal clinical disease severity (UMSARS scores). RESULTS: In MSA, GFAP levels in CSF and plasma predicted baseline clinical disease severity as indicated by UMSARS scores, while NfL levels predicted clinical disease progression as indicated by longitudinal changes in UMSARS scores. Cross-sectionally, NfL levels in CSF and plasma were significantly elevated in MSA compared to both PD and HC. Receiver operating curves (ROC) indicated high diagnostic accuracy of NfL for distinguishing MSA from PD (CSF: AUC = 0.97, 95% CI 0.90-1.00; plasma: AUC = 0.90, 95% CI 0.81-1.00). DISCUSSION: In MSA, GFAP shows promise as novel biomarker for assessing current clinical disease severity, while NfL might serve as biomarker for prediction of disease progression and differential diagnosis of MSA against PD.

Framework for Multistakeholder Patient Registries in the Field of Rare Diseases: Focus on Neurogenetic Diseases.

Progress in genetic diagnosis and orphan drug legislation has opened doors to new therapies in rare neurogenetic diseases (RNDs). Innovative therapies such as gene therapy can improve patients' quality of life but come with academic, regulatory, and financial challenges. Registries can play a pivotal role in generating evidence to tackle these, but their development requires multidisciplinary knowledge and expertise. This study aims to develop a practical framework for creating and implementing patient registries addressing common challenges and maximizing their impact on care, research, drug development, and regulatory decision making with a focus on RNDs. A comprehensive 3-step literature and qualitative research approach was used to develop the framework. A qualitative systematic literature review was conducted, extracting guidance and practices leading to the draft framework. Subsequently, we interviewed representatives of 5 established international RND registries to add learnings from hands-on experiences to the framework. Expert input on the draft framework was sought in digital multistakeholder focus groups to refine the framework. The literature search; interviews with 5 registries; and focus groups with patient representatives (n = 4), clinicians (n = 6), regulators, health technology assessment (HTA) bodies and payers (n = 7), industry representatives (n = 7), and data/information technology (IT) specialists (n = 5) informed development of the framework. It covers the interests of different stakeholders, purposes for data utilization, data aspects, IT infrastructure, governance, and financing of rare disease registries. Key principles include that data should be rapidly accessible, independent, and trustworthy. Governance should involve multiple stakeholders. In addition, data should be highly descriptive, machine-readable, and accessible through a shared infrastructure and not spread over multiple isolated repositories. Sustainable and independent financing of registries is deemed important but remains challenging because of a lack of widely supported funding models. The proposed framework will guide stakeholders in establishing or improving rare disease registries that fulfill requirements of academics and patients as well as regulators, HTA bodies, and commercial parties. There is a need for more clarity regarding quality requirements for registries in regulatory and HTA context. In addition, independent financing models for registries should be developed, as well as well-defined policies on technical uniformity in health data.

The parkin V380L variant is a genetic modifier of Machado-Joseph disease with impact on mitophagy.

Machado-Joseph disease (MJD) is an autosomal dominant neurodegenerative spinocerebellar ataxia caused by a polyglutamine-coding CAG repeat expansion in the ATXN3 gene. While the CAG length correlates negatively with the age at onset, it accounts for approximately 50% of its variability only. Despite larger efforts in identifying contributing genetic factors, candidate genes with a robust and plausible impact on the molecular pathogenesis of MJD are scarce. Therefore, we analysed missense single nucleotide polymorphism variants in the PRKN gene encoding the Parkinson's disease-associated E3 ubiquitin ligase parkin, which is a well-described interaction partner of the MJD protein ataxin-3, a deubiquitinase. By performing a correlation analysis in the to-date largest MJD cohort of more than 900 individuals, we identified the V380L variant as a relevant factor, decreasing the age at onset by 3 years in homozygous carriers. Functional analysis in an MJD cell model demonstrated that parkin V380L did not modulate soluble or aggregate levels of ataxin-3 but reduced the interaction of the two proteins. Moreover, the presence of parkin V380L interfered with the execution of mitophagy-the autophagic removal of surplus or damaged mitochondria-thereby compromising cell viability. In summary, we identified the V380L variant in parkin as a genetic modifier of MJD, with negative repercussions on its molecular pathogenesis and disease age at onset.

Sensitivity of Advanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging to Progression over Six Months in Early Spinocerebellar Ataxia.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials for upcoming disease-modifying therapies of spinocerebellar ataxias (SCA), a group of rare movement disorders, lack endpoints sensitive to early disease progression, when therapeutics will be most effective. In addition, regulatory agencies emphasize the importance of biological outcomes. OBJECTIVES: READISCA, a transatlantic clinical trial readiness consortium, investigated whether advanced multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) detects pathology progression over 6 months in preataxic and early ataxic carriers of SCA mutations. METHODS: A total of 44 participants (10 SCA1, 25 SCA3, and 9 controls) prospectively underwent 3-T MR scanning at baseline and a median [interquartile range] follow-up of 6.2 [5.9-6.7] months; 44% of SCA participants were preataxic. Blinded analyses of annual changes in structural, diffusion MRI, MR spectroscopy, and the Scale for Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (SARA) were compared between groups using nonparametric testing. Sample sizes were estimated for 6-month interventional trials with 50% to 100% treatment effect size, leveraging existing large cohort data (186 SCA1, 272 SCA3) for the SARA estimate. RESULTS: Rate of change in microstructural integrity (decrease in fractional anisotropy, increase in diffusivities) in the middle cerebellar peduncle, corona radiata, and superior longitudinal fasciculus significantly differed in SCAs from controls (P < 0.005), with high effect sizes (Cohen's d = 1-2) and moderate-to-high responsiveness (|standardized response mean| = 0.6-0.9) in SCAs. SARA scores did not change, and their rate of change did not differ between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Diffusion MRI is sensitive to disease progression at very early-stage SCA1 and SCA3 and may provide a >5-fold reduction in sample sizes relative to SARA as endpoint for 6-month-long trials. © 2024 The Author(s). Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Next-generation phenotyping integrated in a national framework for patients with ultrarare disorders improves genetic diagnostics and yields new molecular findings.

Individuals with ultrarare disorders pose a structural challenge for healthcare systems since expert clinical knowledge is required to establish diagnoses. In TRANSLATE NAMSE, a 3-year prospective study, we evaluated a novel diagnostic concept based on multidisciplinary expertise in Germany. Here we present the systematic investigation of the phenotypic and molecular genetic data of 1,577 patients who had undergone exome sequencing and were partially analyzed with next-generation phenotyping approaches. Molecular genetic diagnoses were established in 32% of the patients totaling 370 distinct molecular genetic causes, most with prevalence below 1:50,000. During the diagnostic process, 34 novel and 23 candidate genotype-phenotype associations were identified, mainly in individuals with neurodevelopmental disorders. Sequencing data of the subcohort that consented to computer-assisted analysis of their facial images with GestaltMatcher could be prioritized more efficiently compared with approaches based solely on clinical features and molecular scores. Our study demonstrates the synergy of using next-generation sequencing and phenotyping for diagnosing ultrarare diseases in routine healthcare and discovering novel etiologies by multidisciplinary teams.

Plasma extracellular vesicle tau and TDP-43 as diagnostic biomarkers in FTD and ALS.

Minimally invasive biomarkers are urgently needed to detect molecular pathology in frontotemporal dementia (FTD) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Here, we show that plasma extracellular vesicles (EVs) contain quantifiable amounts of TDP-43 and full-length tau, which allow the quantification of 3-repeat (3R) and 4-repeat (4R) tau isoforms. Plasma EV TDP-43 levels and EV 3R/4R tau ratios were determined in a cohort of 704 patients, including 37 genetically and 31 neuropathologically proven cases. Diagnostic groups comprised patients with TDP-43 proteinopathy ALS, 4R tauopathy progressive supranuclear palsy, behavior variant FTD (bvFTD) as a group with either tau or TDP-43 pathology, and healthy controls. EV tau ratios were low in progressive supranuclear palsy and high in bvFTD with tau pathology. EV TDP-43 levels were high in ALS and in bvFTD with TDP-43 pathology. Both markers discriminated between the diagnostic groups with area under the curve values >0.9, and between TDP-43 and tau pathology in bvFTD. Both markers strongly correlated with neurodegeneration, and clinical and neuropsychological markers of disease severity. Findings were replicated in an independent validation cohort of 292 patients including 34 genetically confirmed cases. Taken together, the combination of EV TDP-43 levels and EV 3R/4R tau ratios may aid the molecular diagnosis of FTD, FTD spectrum disorders and ALS, providing a potential biomarker to monitor disease progression and target engagement in clinical trials.

SARA captures disparate progression and responsiveness in spinocerebellar ataxias.

BACKGROUND: The Scale for Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (SARA) is a widely used clinical scale to assess cerebellar ataxia but faces some criticisms about the relevancy of all its items. OBJECTIVES: To prepare for future clinical trials, we analyzed the progression of SARA and its items in several polyQ spinocerebellar ataxias (SCA) from various cohorts. METHODS: We included data from patients with SCA1, SCA2, SCA3, and SCA6 from four cohorts (EUROSCA, RISCA, CRC-SCA, and SPATAX) for a total of 850 carriers and 3431 observations. Longitudinal progression of the SARA and its items was measured. Cohort, stage and genetic effects were tested. We looked at the respective contribution of each item to the total scale. Sensitivity to change of the scale and the impact of item removal was evaluated by calculating sample sizes needed in various scenarios. RESULTS: Longitudinal progression was significantly different between cohorts in SCA1, SCA2 and SCA3, the EUROSCA cohort having the fastest progression. Advanced-stage patients were progressing slower in SCA2 and SCA6. Items were not contributing equally to the full scale through ataxia severity: gait, stance, hand movement, and heel-shin contributed the most in the early stage, and finger-chase, nose-finger, and sitting in later stages. Few items drove the sensitivity to the change of SARA, but changes in the scale structure could not improve its sensitivity in all populations. CONCLUSION: SARA and its item's progression pace showed high heterogeneity across cohorts and SCAs. However, no combinations of items improved the responsiveness in all SCAs or populations taken separately.

FARS-ADL across Ataxias: Construct Validity, Sensitivity to Change, and Minimal Important Change.

BACKGROUND: Patient-focused outcomes present a central need for trial-readiness across all ataxias. The Activities of Daily Living part of the Friedreich Ataxia Rating Scale (FARS-ADL) captures functional impairment and longitudinal change but is only validated in Friedreich Ataxia. OBJECTIVE: Validation of FARS-ADL regarding disease severity and patient-meaningful impairment, and its sensitivity to change across genetic ataxias. METHODS: Real-world registry data of FARS-ADL in 298 ataxia patients across genotypes were analyzed, including (1) cross-correlation with FARS-stage, Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (SARA), Patient-Reported Outcome Measure (PROM)-ataxia, and European Quality of Life 5 Dimensions visual analogue scale (EQ5D-VAS); (2) sensitivity to change within a trial-relevant 1-year median follow-up, anchored in Patient Global Impression of Change (PGI-C); and (3) general linear modeling of factors age, sex, and depression (nine-item Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ-9]). RESULTS: FARS-ADL correlated with overall disability (rhoFARS-stage = 0.79), clinical disease severity (rhoSARA = 0.80), and patient-reported impairment (rhoPROM-ataxia = 0.69, rhoEQ5D-VAS = -0.37), indicating comprehensive construct validity. Also at item level, and validated within genotype (SCA3, RFC1), FARS-ADL correlated with the corresponding SARA effector domains; and all items correlated to EQ5D-VAS quality of life. FARS-ADL was sensitive to change at a 1-year interval, progressing only in patients with worsening PGI-C. Minimal important change was 1.1. points based on intraindividual variability in patients with stable PGI-C. Depression was captured using FARS-ADL (+0.3 points/PHQ-9 count) and EQ5D-VAS, but not FARS-stage or SARA. CONCLUSION: FARS-ADL reflects both disease severity and patient-meaningful impairment across genetic ataxias, with sensitivity to change in trial-relevant timescales in patients perceiving change. It thus presents a promising patient-focused outcome for upcoming ataxia trials. © 2024 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Blood and cerebellar abundance of ATXN3 splice variants in spinocerebellar ataxia type 3/Machado-Joseph disease.

Spinocerebellar ataxia type 3 (SCA3)/Machado-Joseph disease (MJD) is a heritable proteinopathy disorder, whose causative gene, ATXN3, undergoes alternative splicing. Ataxin-3 protein isoforms differ in their toxicity, suggesting that certain ATXN3 splice variants may be crucial in driving the selective toxicity in SCA3. Using RNA-seq datasets we identified and determined the abundance of annotated ATXN3 transcripts in blood (n = 60) and cerebellum (n = 12) of SCA3 subjects and controls. The reference transcript (ATXN3-251), translating into an ataxin-3 isoform harbouring three ubiquitin-interacting motifs (UIMs), showed the highest abundance in blood, while the most abundant transcript in the cerebellum (ATXN3-208) was of unclear function. Noteworthy, two of the four transcripts that encode full-length ataxin-3 isoforms but differ in the C-terminus were strongly related with tissue expression specificity: ATXN3-251 (3UIM) was expressed in blood 50-fold more than in the cerebellum, whereas ATXN3-214 (2UIM) was expressed in the cerebellum 20-fold more than in the blood. These findings shed light on ATXN3 alternative splicing, aiding in the comprehension of SCA3 pathogenesis and providing guidance in the design of future ATXN3 mRNA-lowering therapies.

Cerebellar Volumetry in Ataxias: Relation to Ataxia Severity and Duration.

Cerebellar atrophy is the neuropathological hallmark of most ataxias. Hence, quantifying the volume of the cerebellar grey and white matter is of great interest. In this study, we aim to identify volume differences in the cerebellum between spinocerebellar ataxia type 1 (SCA1), SCA3 and SCA6 as well as multiple system atrophy of cerebellar type (MSA-C). Our cross-sectional data set comprised mutation carriers of SCA1 (N=12), SCA3 (N=62), SCA6 (N=14), as well as MSA-C patients (N=16). Cerebellar volumes were obtained from T1-weighted magnetic resonance images. To compare the different atrophy patterns, we performed a z-transformation and plotted the intercept of each patient group's model at the mean of 7 years of ataxia duration as well as at the mean ataxia severity of 14 points in the SARA sum score. In addition, we plotted the extrapolation at ataxia duration of 0 years as well as 0 points in the SARA sum score. Patients with MSA-C demonstrated the most pronounced volume loss, particularly in the cerebellar white matter, at the late time intercept. Patients with SCA6 showed a pronounced volume loss in cerebellar grey matter with increasing ataxia severity compared to all other patient groups. MSA-C, SCA1 and SCA3 showed a prominent atrophy of the cerebellar white matter. Our results (i) confirmed SCA6 being considered as a pure cerebellar grey matter disease, (ii) emphasise the involvement of cerebellar white matter in the neuropathology of SCA1, SCA3 and MSA-C, and (iii) reflect the rapid clinical progression in MSA-C.

The comorbidity profiles and medication issues of patients with multiple system atrophy: a systematic cross-sectional analysis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple system atrophy (MSA) is a complex and fatal neurodegenerative movement disorder. Understanding the comorbidities and drug therapy is crucial for MSA patients' safety and management. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the pattern of comorbidities and aspects of drug therapy in MSA patients. METHODS: Cross-sectional data of MSA patients according to Gilman et al. (2008) diagnostic criteria and control patients without neurodegenerative diseases (non-ND) were collected from German, multicenter cohorts. The prevalence of comorbidities according to WHO ICD-10 classification and drugs administered according to WHO ATC system were analyzed. Potential drug-drug interactions were identified using AiDKlinik®. RESULTS: The analysis included 254 MSA and 363 age- and sex-matched non-ND control patients. MSA patients exhibited a significantly higher burden of comorbidities, in particular diseases of the genitourinary system. Also, more medications were prescribed MSA patients, resulting in a higher prevalence of polypharmacy. Importantly, the risk of potential drug-drug interactions, including severe interactions and contraindicated combinations, was elevated in MSA patients. When comparing MSA-P and MSA-C subtypes, MSA-P patients suffered more frequently from diseases of the genitourinary system and diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue. CONCLUSIONS: MSA patients face a substantial burden of comorbidities, notably in the genitourinary system. This, coupled with increased polypharmacy and potential drug interactions, highlights the complexity of managing MSA patients. Clinicians should carefully consider these factors when devising treatment strategies for MSA patients.

Factors Influencing Health-Related Quality of Life of Patients with Spinocerebellar Ataxia.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the progression of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and predicting factors in spinocerebellar ataxia (SCA). Such knowledge is crucial to identify modifiable factors promoting everyday life with SCA and attenuating HRQoL decline. OBJECTIVES: This study is to assess HRQoL progression and identify factors affecting SCA patients' HRQoL. METHODS: Longitudinal data (three-year follow-up) of 310 SCA patients of the European SCA3/Machado-Joseph-Disease Initiative (ESMI) (2016-2022) and 525 SCA patients (SCA1, SCA2, SCA3 or SCA6) of the EUROSCA natural history study cohort (2006-2015) were assessed. Both large cohort studies share standardized assessments of clinical measures, SARA, INAS, PHQ-9, and HRQoL (EQ-5D-3L). The association between HRQoL and clinical measures was assessed by Spearman Correlation (rs). Multivariable panel regression models were performed to evaluate the impact of patients' socio-demographics, age of onset, SCA type and body mass index (BMI), and clinical measures on HRQoL progression. RESULTS: HRQoL significantly decreased over one (- 0.014, p = 0.095), two (- 0.028, p = 0.003), and three years (- 0.032, p = 0.002). Ataxia severity and mental health strongly correlated with HRQoL (rsSARA = - 0.589; rsPHQ-9 = - 0.507). HRQoL more intensively declined in male (ß = - 0.024, p = 0.038) patients with an earlier age of onset (ß = 0.002, p = 0.058). Higher progression of ataxia severity (ß = - 0.010, p ≤ 0.001), mental health problems (ß = - 0.012, p < 0.001), and higher BMI (ß = - 0.003, p = 0.029) caused more severe decline of patients' HRQoL over time. DISCUSSION: In absence of curative treatments, stronger focus on mental health and weight influence could help clinical evaluation and accompany treatment improving SCA patients' HRQoL, especially in male patients with early disease onset.

Stage-Dependent Biomarker Changes in Spinocerebellar Ataxia Type 3.

Spinocerebellar ataxia type 3/Machado-Joseph disease is the most common autosomal dominant ataxia. In view of the development of targeted therapies, knowledge of early biomarker changes is needed. We analyzed cross-sectional data of 292 spinocerebellar ataxia type 3/Machado-Joseph disease mutation carriers. Blood concentrations of mutant ATXN3 were high before and after ataxia onset, whereas neurofilament light deviated from normal 13.3 years before onset. Pons and cerebellar white matter volumes decreased and deviated from normal 2.2 years and 0.6 years before ataxia onset. We propose a staging model of spinocerebellar ataxia type 3/Machado-Joseph disease that includes a biomarker stage characterized by objective indicators of neurodegeneration before ataxia onset. ANN NEUROL 2024;95:400-406.

Predictors of Survival in Friedreich's Ataxia: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Friedreich's ataxia (FA) is a rare multisystemic disorder which can cause premature death. OBJECTIVES: To investigate predictors of survival in FA. METHODS: Within a prospective registry established by the European Friedreich's Ataxia Consortium for Translational Studies (EFACTS; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT02069509) we enrolled genetically confirmed FA patients at 11 tertiary centers and followed them in yearly intervals. We investigated overall survival applying the Kaplan-Meier method, life tables, and log-rank test. We explored prognostic factors applying Cox proportional hazards regression and subsequently built a risk score which was assessed for discrimination and calibration performance. RESULTS: Between September 2010 and March 2017, we enrolled 631 FA patients. Median age at inclusion was 31 (range, 6-76) years. Until December 2022, 44 patients died and 119 terminated the study for other reasons. The 10-year cumulative survival rate was 87%. In a multivariable analysis, the disability stage (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51, 95% CI 1.08-2.12, P = 0.02), history of arrhythmic disorder (HR 2.93, 95% CI 1.34-6.39, P = 0.007), and diabetes mellitus (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.05-5.10, P = 0.04) were independent predictors of survival. GAA repeat lengths did not improve the survival model. A risk score built on the previously described factors plus the presence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction at echocardiography enabled identification of four trajectories to prognosticate up to 10-year survival (log-rank test P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Arrhythmias, progressive neurological disability, and diabetes mellitus influence the overall survival in FA. We built a survival prognostic score which identifies patients meriting closer surveillance and who may benefit from early invasive cardiac monitoring and therapy. © 2023 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Cerebellar volumetry in ataxias: Relation to ataxia severity and duration.

Background: Cerebellar atrophy is the neuropathological hallmark of most ataxias. Hence, quantifying the volume of the cerebellar grey and white matter is of great interest. In this study, we aim to identify volume differences in the cerebellum between spinocerebellar ataxia type 1 (SCA1), SCA3 and SCA6 as well as multiple system atrophy of cerebellar type (MSA-C). Methods: Our cross-sectional data set comprised mutation carriers of SCA1 (N=12), SCA3 (N=62), SCA6 (N=14), as well as MSA-C patients (N=16). Cerebellar volumes were obtained from T1-weighted magnetic resonance images. To compare the different atrophy patterns, we performed a z-transformation and plotted the intercept of each patient group's model at the mean of 7 years of ataxia duration as well as at the mean ataxia severity of 14 points in the SARA sum score. In addition, we plotted the extrapolation at ataxia duration of 0 years as well as 0 points in the SARA sum score. Results: Patients with MSA-C demonstrated the most pronounced volume loss, particularly in the cerebellar white matter, at the late time intercept. Patients with SCA6 showed a pronounced volume loss in cerebellar grey matter with increasing ataxia severity compared to all other patient groups. MSA-C, SCA1 and SCA3 showed a prominent atrophy of the cerebellar white matter. Conclusion: Our results (i) confirmed SCA6 being considered as a pure cerebellar gray matter disease, (ii) emphasise the involvement of cerebellar white matter in the neurophatology of SCA1, SCA3 and MSA-C, and (iii) reflect the rapid clinical progression in MSA-C.

Comparison of Live and Remote Video Ratings of the Scale for Assessment and Rating of Ataxia.

Background: Video recordings of neurological examinations are often used in clinical trials. The Scale for Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (SARA) is a widely used clinical scale for ataxic patients. Despite several advantages of video ratings, correlation between live ratings and remote video-ratings has not been systematically investigated. Objective: To compare live and remote video assessment of SARA. Methods: Full SARA examinations of 69 patients with cerebellar ataxia were recorded on video. Live rating from site investigators were compared with remote video rating of three experienced ataxia clinicians using Bland-Altman analysis. Results: Live and remote video ratings showed a high level of agreement for the complete score (bias = 0.09, with standard deviation = 2.00) and all single SARA items (bias <0.20 for all items). Conclusion: Remote video ratings of SARA are a reliable means to assess severity of ataxia.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model to Predict Overall Survival in Multiple System Atrophy.

Background: Multiple system atrophy (MSA) is a devastating disease characterized by a variable combination of motor and autonomic symptoms. Previous studies identified numerous clinical factors to be associated with shorter survival. Objective: To enable personalized patient counseling, we aimed at developing a risk model of survival based on baseline clinical symptoms. Methods: MSA patients referred to the Movement Disorders Unit in Innsbruck, Austria, between 1999 and 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression analysis with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty for variable selection were performed to identify prognostic factors. A nomogram was developed to estimate the 7 years overall survival probability. The performance of the predictive model was validated and calibrated internally using bootstrap resampling and externally using data from the prospective European MSA Study Group Natural History Study. Results: A total of 210 MSA patients were included in this analysis, of which 124 patients died. The median survival was 7 years. The following clinical variables were found to significantly affect overall survival and were included in the nomogram: age at symptom onset, falls within 3 years of onset, early autonomic failure including orthostatic hypotension and urogenital failure, and lacking levodopa response. The time-dependent area under curve for internal and external validation was >0.7 within the first 7 years of the disease course. The model was well calibrated showing good overlap between predicted and actual survival probability at 7 years. Conclusion: The nomogram is a simple tool to predict survival on an individual basis and may help to improve counseling and treatment of MSA patients.

Health-Related Quality of Life in Patients with Spinocerebellar Ataxia: a Validation Study of the EQ-5D-3L.

Although health-related quality of life (HRQoL) has developed into a crucial outcome parameter in clinical research, evidence of the EQ-5D-3L validation performance is lacking in patients with spinocerebellar ataxia (SCA) types 1, 2, 3, and 6. The objective of this study is to assess the acceptability, validity, reliability, and responsiveness of the EQ-5D-3L. For n = 842 predominantly European SCA patients of two longitudinal cohort studies, the EQ-5D-3L, PHQ-9 (Patient Health Questionnaire), and ataxia-specific clinical assessments (SARA: Scale for Assessment and Rating of Ataxia; ADL: activities of daily living as part of Friedreich's Ataxia Rating Scale; INAS: Inventory of Non-Ataxia Signs) were assessed at baseline and multiple annual follow-ups. The EQ-5D-3L was evaluated regarding acceptability, distribution properties, convergent and known-groups validity, test-retest reliability, and effect size measures to analyze health changes. The non-item response was low (EQ-5D-3L index: 0.8%; EQ-VAS: 3.4%). Ceiling effects occurred in 9.9% (EQ-5D-3L) and 3.0% (EQ-VAS) with a mean EQ-5D-3L index of 0.65 ± 0.21. In total, convergent validity showed moderate to strong Spearman's rho (rs > 0.3) coefficients comparing EQ-5D-3L and EQ-VAS with PHQ-9, SARA, ADL, and INAS. EQ-5D-3L could discriminate between groups of age, SARA, ADL, and INAS. Intra-class correlation coefficients (EQ-5D-3LICC: 0.95/EQ-VASICC: 0.88) and Kappa statistics (range 0.44 to 0.93 for EQ-5D-3L items) indicated tolerable reliability. EQ-5D-3L shows small (effect size < 0.3) to moderate (effect size 0.3-0.59) health changes regarding ataxia severity. The analysis confirms an acceptable, reliable, valid, and responsive recommended EQ-5D-3L in SCA patients, measuring the HRQoL adequately, besides well-established clinical instruments.