The number of hepatocellular carcinoma foci as predictor of poor response to tumor-directed therapies in patients awaiting liver transplantation: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Tumor-directed therapies (TDTs) are a constitutive part of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment in patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT). While most patients benefit from TDTs as a bridge to LT, some patients drop out from the waiting list due to tumor progression. The study aimed to determine the risk factors for poor treatment outcome following TDTs among patients with HCC awaiting LT. METHODS: A total of 123 patients with HCC were evaluated with 92 patients meeting Milan Criteria enrolled in the prospective cohort study. Tumor response was evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors for HCC 1 month after the procedure. The risk factors for progressive disease (PD) and dropout were evaluated. RESULTS: After TDT, 55 patients (59.8%) achieved complete or partial response (44.6% and 15.2% respectively), 17 patients (18.5%) had stable disease, and 20 patients (21.7%) were assessed as PD. Multivariate analysis revealed a significant and independent association between the number of HCC foci and PD ( P  = 0.03, OR = 2.68). There was no statistically significant association between treatment response and demographics, MELDNa score, pre-and post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), cumulative tumor burden the largest tumor size, or TDT modality. PD was the major cause of dropout in our cohort. Pre-treatment AFP levels ≥200 ng/ml had a strong association with dropout after TDTs ( P  = 0.0005). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated the presence of multifocal HCC is the sole prognostic factor for PD following TDTs in HCC patients awaiting LT. We recommend prioritizing patients with multifocal HCC within Milan criteria by exception points for LT to improve the dropout rate.

Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP, age, platelet count, albumin level score in predicting mortality and intensive care unit admission for COVID-19.

Aim: In our study, we investigated the efficiency of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) score and the CRP, age, platelet count, albumin level (CAPA) score predicting mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in COVID-19 disease. Materials & methods: PNI and CAPA score of patients confirmed with COVID-19 calculated by using the complete blood count and biochemical parameters at admission to the hospital, in predicting the COVID-19-associated mortality and ICU admission were analyzed. Results: PNI and CAPA scores in predicting mortality were detected as AUC: 0.67 (p < 0.001), AUC: 0.71 (p < 0.001), respectively. For predicting ICU admission AUC was 0.66 (p < 0.001), AUC was 0.77 (p < 0.001), respectively. Conclusion: PNI and CAPA scores are effective scores in COVID-19, with CAPA score being better in predicting mortality and ICU admission.

Lay abstract The COVID-19 pandemic is a global health problem that affects all societies. In order to deal with this urgent situation, the rapid spread of the disease in outbreaks requires categorizing patients according to risk group and regulating follow-up and use of resources accordingly. Effective, practical and inexpensive biomarkers are needed. We present to you the CAPA score calculated from CRP, age, platelet count, albumin levels, which is an effective score in predicting mortality and ICU admission in COVID-19.

Chemerin: a new biomarker to predict postendoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis.

INTRODUCTION: Individuals with increased visceral adiposity are considered to be more sensitive and more prone to severe acute pancreatitis because of the inflammatory microenvironment they have. We hypothesized that insulin resistance, adipokines, and proinflammatory cytokines that markedly affect the course of pancreatitis can contribute toward development of postendoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (post-ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) and aimed to investigate the association between PEP risk and preprocedural serum vaspin, chemerin, tumor necrosis factor α, interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels, and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eighty-two patients with a diagnosis of choledocholithiasis and 30 controls were enrolled. Preprocedural chemerin, vaspin, IL-6, and well-known PEP risk factors were compared between PEP and non-PEP groups. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 56.3±14.4 years; 52 patients were women. Adipocytokine levels, BMIs, and waist circumferences of the patient group were found to be higher than those of the controls. Total cannulation success and the mean procedure time were 82.9% and 28.7±8.8 min, respectively. PEP developed in 12 (14.6%) patients. Chemerin levels in the PEP group were higher than those in the non-PEP group (580.2±172.5 vs. 392.2±168.2 ng/ml, P<0.01). Insulin resistance was higher in the PEP group than the non-PEP group (P=0.001), but there was no significant difference between PEP and non-PEP groups in terms of preprocedural vaspin, tumor necrosis factor α, IL-6, and C-reactive protein levels. According to logistic regression analysis, increased chemerin levels, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance 2.5 or greater, and pancreatic duct cannulation were found to be independent risk factors for PEP [odds ratio (OR)=1.006, P=0.006; OR=4.57, P=0.05; OR=6.54, P=0.02]. CONCLUSION: Elevated serum chemerin levels and insulin resistance are independent risk factors of PEP development.