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1.
ERJ Open Res ; 10(2)2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38444668

ABSTRACT

Background: In 2016, nationwide cystic fibrosis newborn screening (CFNS) was newly implemented in Germany, using an immunoreactive trypsin/pancreatitis-associated protein/DNA screening algorithm that differs from most other nationwide screening programmes. Methods: We analysed real-life feasibility of the confirmation process with respect to our pre-specified procedural objectives. These included overall accuracy through false-negative and false-positive results, effectiveness of the Bavarian tracking system, and accuracy of Macroduct and Nanoduct sweat conductivity compared with quantitative chloride determination. All consecutive CFNS-positive newborns assigned to our CF centre and born between 1 September 2016 and 31 August 2021 (n=162) were included. Results: The German CFNS was feasible at our CF centre as all procedural objectives were met. The positive predictive value (PPV) of positive CFNS was low (0.23) and two initially negatively screened children were later diagnosed with CF. The tracking system was highly efficient with a 100% tracking rate. The Macroduct and Nanoduct systems had comparable success rates (93.2% versus 95.9%). Importantly, conductivity via Macroduct was more accurate than via Nanoduct (zero and four false-positive newborns, respectively). Conclusions: CF confirmation diagnostics of neonates in a certified regional CF centre was well managed in daily routine. The PPV of the German CFNS needs to be improved, e.g. by extending the DNA analysis within the screening algorithm and by increasing the number of variants tested. The Bavarian tracking system can serve as a successful model for other tracking systems. We preferred the Macroduct system because of its more accurate sweat conductivity readings.

2.
Orphanet J Rare Dis ; 15(1): 244, 2020 09 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32912316

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: STAT3 hyper-IgE syndrome (STAT3-HIES) is a rare primary immunodeficiency that clinically overlaps with atopic dermatitis. In addition to eczema, elevated serum-IgE, and recurrent infections, STAT3-HIES patients suffer from characteristic facies, midline defects, and retained primary teeth. To optimize dental management we assessed the development of dentition and the long-term outcomes of dental treatment in 13 molecularly defined STAT3-HIES patients using questionnaires, radiographs, and dental investigations. RESULTS: Primary tooth eruption was unremarkable in all STAT3-HIES patients evaluated. Primary tooth exfoliation and permanent tooth eruption was delayed in 83% of patients due to unresorbed tooth roots. A complex orthodontic treatment was needed for one patient receiving delayed extraction of primary molars and canines. Permanent teeth erupted spontaneously in all patients receiving primary teeth extraction of retained primary teeth during average physiologic exfoliation time. CONCLUSIONS: The association of STAT3-HIES with retained primary teeth is important knowledge for dentists and physicians as timely extraction of retained primary teeth prevents dental complications. To enable spontaneous eruption of permanent teeth in children with STAT3-HIES, we recommend extracting retained primary incisors when the patient is not older than 9 years of age and retained primary canines and molars when the patient is not older than 13 years of age, after having confirmed the presence of the permanent successor teeth by radiograph.


Subject(s)
Dermatitis, Atopic , Job Syndrome , Child , Facies , Humans , Mutation , STAT3 Transcription Factor/genetics , Tooth, Deciduous
3.
Allergy ; 74(12): 2394-2405, 2019 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31269238

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 hyper-IgE syndrome (STAT3-HIES) is caused by heterozygous mutations in the STAT3 gene and is associated with eczema, elevated serum IgE, and recurrent infections resembling severe atopic dermatitis, while clinically relevant specific IgE is almost absent. METHODS: To investigate the impact of STAT3 signaling on B-cell responses, we assessed lymph node and bone marrow, blood B and plasma cell subsets, somatic hypermutations in Ig genes, and in vitro proliferation and antibody production in STAT3-HIES patients and healthy controls. RESULTS: Lymph nodes of STAT3-HIES patients showed normal germinal center architecture and CD138+ plasma cells residing in the paracortex, which expressed IgE, IgG, and IgM but not IgA. IgE+ plasma cells were abundantly present in STAT3-HIES bone marrow. Proliferation of naive B cells upon stimulation with CD40L and IL-4 was similar in patients and controls, while patient cells showed reduced responses to IL-21. IgE, IgG1, IgG3 and IgA1 transcripts showed reduced somatic hypermutations. Peripheral blood IgE+ memory B-cell frequencies were increased in STAT3-HIES, while other memory B-cell frequencies except for IgG4+ cells were decreased. CONCLUSIONS: Despite impaired STAT3 signaling, STAT3-HIES patients can mount in vivo T-cell-dependent B-cell responses, while circulating memory B cells, except for those expressing IgG4 and IgE, were reduced. Reduced molecular maturation demonstrated the critical need of STAT3 signaling for optimal affinity maturation and B-cell differentiation, supporting the need for immunoglobulin substitution therapy and explaining the high IgE serum level in the majority with absent allergic symptoms.


Subject(s)
Antibody Formation/immunology , B-Lymphocytes/immunology , B-Lymphocytes/metabolism , Immunoglobulin E/immunology , Job Syndrome/etiology , Job Syndrome/metabolism , Lymphocyte Activation/immunology , STAT3 Transcription Factor/metabolism , Adolescent , Adult , Biomarkers , Child , Child, Preschool , Disease Susceptibility , Female , Genotype , Humans , Immunoglobulin E/genetics , Immunoglobulin G/genetics , Immunoglobulin G/immunology , Immunoglobulin Heavy Chains/genetics , Immunoglobulin Variable Region/genetics , Immunologic Memory , Interleukins/biosynthesis , Job Syndrome/diagnosis , Lymphocyte Activation/genetics , Lymphoid Tissue/immunology , Lymphoid Tissue/metabolism , Male , Middle Aged , Mutation , Plasma Cells/immunology , Plasma Cells/metabolism , STAT3 Transcription Factor/genetics , Signal Transduction , Young Adult
4.
Allergy ; 74(9): 1691-1702, 2019 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30793327

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary complications are responsible for high morbidity and mortality rates in patients with the rare immunodeficiency disorder STAT3 hyper-IgE syndrome (STAT3-HIES). The aim of this study was to expand knowledge about lung disease in STAT3-HIES. METHODS: The course of pulmonary disease, radiological and histopathological interrelations, therapeutic management, and the outcome of 14 STAT3-HIES patients were assessed. RESULTS: The patients' quality of life was compromised most by pulmonary disease. All 14 patients showed first signs of lung disease at a median onset of 1.5 years of age. Lung function revealed a mixed obstructive-restrictive impairment with reduced FEV1 and FVC in 75% of the patients. The severity of lung function impairment was associated with Aspergillus fumigatus infection and prior lung surgery. Severe lung tissue damage, with reduced numbers of ATP-binding cassette sub-family A member 3 (ABCA3) positive type II pneumocytes, was observed in the histological assessment of two deceased patients. Imaging studies of all patients above 6 years of age showed severe airway and parenchyma destruction. Lung surgeries frequently led to complications, including fistula formation. Long-term antifungal and antibacterial treatment proved to be beneficial, as were inhalation therapy, chest physiotherapy, and exercise. Regular immunoglobulin replacement therapy tended to stabilize lung function. CONCLUSIONS: Due to its severity, pulmonary disease in STAT3-HIES patients requires strict monitoring and intensive therapy.


Subject(s)
Disease Susceptibility , Job Syndrome/complications , Job Syndrome/metabolism , Lung Diseases/etiology , Lung Diseases/therapy , STAT3 Transcription Factor/metabolism , Adolescent , Adult , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Biopsy , Child , Combined Modality Therapy , Disease Management , Female , Humans , Immunohistochemistry , Job Syndrome/genetics , Job Syndrome/mortality , Lung Diseases/diagnosis , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Radiography, Thoracic , Respiratory Function Tests , STAT3 Transcription Factor/genetics , Symptom Assessment , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
5.
Thorax ; 72(3): 213-220, 2017 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27516224

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Knowledge about the clinical spectrum of lung disease caused by variations in the ATP binding cassette subfamily A member 3 (ABCA3) gene is limited. Here we describe genotype-phenotype correlations in a European cohort. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed baseline and outcome characteristics of 40 patients with two disease-causing ABCA3 mutations collected between 2001 and 2015. RESULTS: Of 22 homozygous (15 male) and 18 compound heterozygous patients (3 male), 37 presented with neonatal respiratory distress syndrome as term babies. At follow-up, two major phenotypes are documented: patients with (1) early lethal mutations subdivided into (1a) dying within the first 6 months or (1b) before the age of 5 years, and (2) patients with prolonged survival into childhood, adolescence or adulthood. Patients with null/null mutations predicting complete ABCA3 deficiency died within the 1st weeks to months of life, while those with null/other or other/other mutations had a more variable presentation and outcome. Treatment with exogenous surfactant, systemic steroids, hydroxychloroquine and whole lung lavages had apparent but many times transient effects in individual subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Overall long-term (>5 years) survival of subjects with two disease-causing ABCA3 mutations was <20%. Response to therapies needs to be ascertained in randomised controlled trials.


Subject(s)
ATP-Binding Cassette Transporters/genetics , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/genetics , Mutation , Adolescent , Adult , Biopsy , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid/chemistry , Child , Child, Preschool , Consanguinity , Diagnostic Imaging , Female , Genotype , Humans , Immunohistochemistry , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/mortality , Male , Microscopy, Electron , Phenotype , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis
6.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 51(10): 1010-1019, 2016 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27378061

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To retrospectively identify CF patients with methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and to assess the long-term success of an eradication scheme introduced in 2002 for all newly colonized patients. PATIENTS: All microbiological results from all 505 CF patients followed between 2002 and 2012 were analyzed focusing on the detection of MRSA. METHODS: Retrospective patient record analysis of MRSA positive CF patients regarding eradication and clinical outcome. RESULTS: We identified 57 patients with MRSA, mean age 15.3 years (range: 0.6-36.9, incidence 0.9%/year). Of these, nine patients were lost to follow-up; seven chronically colonized patients were excluded from the intervention. Eradication was suggested to all patients, 37/41 gave their consent to the following two-step approach: (i) dual iv antibiotic treatment over 3 weeks, accompanied by hygienic directives and topical therapy for 5 days followed by a 6-week period with dual oral antibiotic therapy and inhalation with vancomycin. (ii) Each new MRSA detection was treated with 6 weeks inhalation of vancomycin and topical therapy for 5 days. Long-term eradication was rated by the microbiological status in the third year after first detection. MRSA was eradicated in 31 of 37 patients (84%) whose clinical course was stable (mean FEV1 one year before MRSA 80.4%, 3 years after MRSA 81.0%). CONCLUSIONS: MRSA colonization mandates complex and expensive hygienic measures which are not well accepted by patients. Therefore, MRSA eradication is desirable. Intensive therapy regimens may be successful in patients with CF and might help to maintain a stable clinical course. Pediatr Pulmonol. 2016;51:1010-1019. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Cystic Fibrosis/complications , Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/isolation & purification , Staphylococcal Infections/drug therapy , Vancomycin/therapeutic use , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Retrospective Studies , Staphylococcal Infections/complications , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
7.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 51(12): 1284-1294, 2016 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27177387

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Interstitial lung diseases (ILD) comprise disorders of mostly unknown cause. Among the few molecularly defined entities, mutations in the gene encoding the ATP-binding cassette (ABC), subfamily A, member 3 (ABCA3) lipid transporter represent the main cause of inherited surfactant dysfunction disorders, a subgroup of ILD. Whereas many cases are reported, specific methods to functionally define such mutations are rarely presented. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this study, we exemplarily utilized a set of molecular tools to characterize the mutation K1388N, which had been identified in a patient suffering from ILD with lethal outcome. We also aimed to correlate in vitro and ex vivo findings. RESULTS: We found that presence of the K1388N mutation did not affect protein expression, but resulted in an altered protein processing and a functional impairment of ABCA3. This was demonstrated by decreased dipalmitoyl-phosphatidylcholine (PC 32:0) content and malformed lamellar bodies in cells transfected with the K1388N variant as compared to controls. CONCLUSIONS: Here we present a set of tools useful for categorizing different ABCA3 mutations according to their impact upon ABCA3 activity. Knowledge of the molecular defects and close correlation of in vitro and ex vivo data will allow us to define groups of mutations that can be targeted by small molecule correctors for restoring impaired ABCA3 transporter in the future. Pediatr Pulmonol. 2016;51:1284-1294. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.


Subject(s)
ATP-Binding Cassette Transporters/genetics , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/genetics , Lung/metabolism , 1,2-Dipalmitoylphosphatidylcholine/metabolism , A549 Cells , ATP-Binding Cassette Transporters/metabolism , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid , Cell Survival , Fatal Outcome , Fluorescent Antibody Technique , Glycosylation , Humans , Immunoblotting , Immunohistochemistry , Infant , Lung/pathology , Lung/ultrastructure , Microscopy, Confocal , Microscopy, Electron , Mutation , Pulmonary Surfactant-Associated Protein C/metabolism , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction
8.
Orphanet J Rare Dis ; 10: 122, 2015 Sep 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26408013

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aim of this study was to verify a systematic and practical categorization system that allows dynamic classification of pediatric DPLD irrespective of completeness of patient data. METHODS: The study was based on 2322 children submitted to the kids-lung-register between 1997 and 2012. Of these children 791 were assigned to 12 DPLD categories, more than 2/3 belonged to categories manifesting primarily in infancy. The work-flow of the pediatric DPLD categorization system included (i) the generation of a final working diagnosis, decision on the presence or absence of (ii) DPLD and (iii) a systemic or lung only condition, and (iv) the allocation to a category and subcategory. The validity and inter-observer dependency of this workflow was re-tested using a systematic sample of 100 cases. RESULTS: Two blinded raters allocated more than 80% of the re-categorized cases identically. Non-identical allocation was due to lack of appreciation of all available details, insufficient knowledge of the classification rules by the raters, incomplete patient data, and shortcomings of the classification system itself. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a suitable workflow and hand-on rules for the categorization of pediatric DPLD. Potential pitfalls were identified and a foundation was laid for the development of consensus-based, international categorization guidelines.


Subject(s)
Lung Diseases, Interstitial/classification , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/diagnosis , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Single-Blind Method , Young Adult
9.
BMC Pulm Med ; 15: 87, 2015 Aug 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26264606

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The majority of cases with severe pulmonary alveolar proteinosis (PAP) are caused by auto-antibodies against GM-CSF. A multitude of genetic and exogenous causes are responsible for few other cases. Goal of this study was to determine the prevalence of GATA2 deficiency in children and adults with PAP and hematologic disorders. METHODS: Of 21 patients with GM-CSF-autoantibody negative PAP, 13 had no other organ involvement and 8 had some form of hematologic disorder. The latter were sequenced for GATA2. RESULTS: Age at start of PAP ranged from 0.3 to 64 years, 4 patients were children. In half of the subjects GATA2-sequence variations were found, two of which were considered disease causing. Those two patients had the typical phenotype of GATA2 deficiency, one of whom additionally showed a previously undescribed feature - a cholesterol pneumonia. Hematologic disorders included chronic myeloic leukemia, juvenile myelo-monocytic leukemia, lymphoblastic leukemia, sideroblastic anemia and two cases of myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). A 4 year old child with MDS and DiGeorge Syndrome Type 2 was rescued with repetitive whole lung lavages and her PAP was cured with heterologous stem cell transplant. CONCLUSIONS: In children and adults with severe GM-CSF negative PAP a close cooperation between pneumologists and hemato-oncologists is needed to diagnose the underlying diseases, some of which are caused by mutations of transcription factor GATA2. Treatment with whole lung lavages as well as stem cell transplant may be successful.


Subject(s)
DNA/genetics , GATA2 Transcription Factor/deficiency , GATA2 Transcription Factor/genetics , Hematologic Diseases/genetics , Mutation , Pulmonary Alveolar Proteinosis/genetics , Adolescent , Adult , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid/chemistry , Child , Child, Preschool , DNA Mutational Analysis , Female , Germany/epidemiology , Hematologic Diseases/epidemiology , Hematologic Diseases/metabolism , Humans , Infant , Male , Middle Aged , Phenotype , Prevalence , Pulmonary Alveolar Proteinosis/epidemiology , Pulmonary Alveolar Proteinosis/metabolism , Young Adult
10.
Eur Respir J ; 46(1): 197-206, 2015 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25657025

ABSTRACT

Patients with interstitial lung disease due to surfactant protein C (SFTPC) mutations are rare and not well characterised. We report on all subjects collected over a 15-year period in the kids-lung register with interstitial lung disease and a proven SFTPC mutation. We analysed clinical courses, interventions and outcomes, as well as histopathological and radiological interrelations. 17 patients (seven male) were followed over a median of 3 years (range 0.3-19). All patients were heterozygous carriers of autosomal dominant SFTPC mutations. Three mutations (p.L101P, p.E191 K and p.E191*) have not been described before in the context of surfactant protein C deficiency. Patients with alterations in the BRICHOS domain of the protein (amino acids 94-197) presented earlier. At follow-up, one patient was healthy (2 years), six patients were "sick-better" (2.8 years, range 0.8-19), seven patients were "sick-same" (6.5 years, 1.3-15.8) and three patients were "sick-worse" (0.3 years, 0.3-16.9). Radiological findings changed from ground-glass to increasing signs of fibrosis and cyst formation with increasing age. Empiric treatments had variable effects, also in patients with the same genotype. Prospective studies with randomised interventions are urgently needed and can best be performed in the framework of international registers.


Subject(s)
Lung Diseases, Interstitial/genetics , Mutation , Pulmonary Surfactant-Associated Protein C/deficiency , Pulmonary Surfactant-Associated Protein C/genetics , Adolescent , Biopsy , Bronchoalveolar Lavage , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Genes, Dominant , Genotype , Heterozygote , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Prospective Studies , Pulmonary Surfactant-Associated Protein B/metabolism , Pulmonary Surfactant-Associated Protein C/metabolism , Retrospective Studies
11.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 34(5): 532-5, 2015 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25478650

ABSTRACT

Pulmonary disease caused by nontuberculous mycobacteria in healthy children is rare, and its pathogenesis is unknown in most cases and standardized treatment is lacking. Here, we report various endobronchial manifestations in 5 patients including hitherto undescribed diffuse tracheobronchial granulomas in 2 patients. Bronchoscopic debulking was performed in all patients and tuberculostatic treatment in 4. All patients including 1 without tuberculostatic treatment showed remission.


Subject(s)
Bronchial Diseases , Mycobacterium Infections, Nontuberculous , Nontuberculous Mycobacteria , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Male
12.
Eur Respir J ; 44(6): 1608-15, 2014 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25142483

ABSTRACT

Cystic fibrosis (CF) lung disease is characterised by chronic Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection and leukocyte infiltration. Chemokines recruit leukocytes to sites of infection. Gene expression analysis identified the chemokine CCL18 as upregulated in CF leukocytes. We hypothesised that CCL18 characterises infection and inflammation in patients with CF lung disease. Therefore, we quantified CCL18 protein levels in the serum and airway fluids of CF patients and healthy controls, and studied CCL18 protein production by airway cells ex vivo. These studies demonstrated that CCL18 levels were increased in the serum and airway fluids from CF patients compared with healthy controls. Within CF patients, CCL18 levels were increased in P. aeruginosa-infected CF patients. CCL18 levels in the airways, but not in serum, correlated with severity of pulmonary obstruction in CF. Airway cells isolated from P. aeruginosa-infected CF patients produced significantly higher amounts of CCL18 protein compared with airway cells from CF patients without P. aeruginosa infection or healthy controls. Collectively, these studies show that CCL18 levels characterise chronic P. aeruginosa infection and pulmonary obstruction in patients with CF. CCL18 may, thus, serve as a potential biomarker and therapeutic target in CF lung disease.


Subject(s)
Chemokines, CC/metabolism , Cystic Fibrosis/metabolism , Leukocytes/metabolism , Pseudomonas Infections/metabolism , Adolescent , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Chemokine CXCL1/immunology , Chemokine CXCL1/metabolism , Chemokine CXCL2/immunology , Chemokine CXCL2/metabolism , Chemokines, CC/immunology , Child , Cystic Fibrosis/complications , Cystic Fibrosis/immunology , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Humans , Interleukin-8/immunology , Interleukin-8/metabolism , Leukocytes/immunology , Male , Pseudomonas Infections/complications , Pseudomonas Infections/immunology , Sputum/metabolism , Young Adult
13.
BMC Pulm Med ; 13: 61, 2013 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24180379

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The relevance of Trichosporon species for cystic fibrosis (CF) patients has not yet been extensively investigated. METHODS: The clinical course of CF patients with Trichosporon spp. in their respiratory secretions was analysed between 2003 and 2010 in the Munich CF center. All respiratory samples of 360 CF patients (0 - 52.4 years; mean FEV1 2010 81.4% pred) were investigated. RESULTS: In 8 patients (2.2%, 3 male, mean age 21.8 years) Trichosporon was detected at least once. One patient carried T. asahii. One patient carried T. mycotoxinivorans and one patient T. inkin as determined by DNA sequencing. As potential risk factors for Trichosporon colonization steroid treatment, allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis (ABPA) and CF associated diabetes were identified in 6, 5, and 2 patients respectively. For one patient, the observation period was not long enough to determine the clinical course. One patient had only a single positive specimen and exhibited a stable clinical course determined by change in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), body-mass-index (BMI), C-reactive protein (CRP) and immunoglobulin G (IgG). Of 6 patients with repeatedly positive specimen (mean detection period 4.5 years), 4 patients had a greater decline in FEV1 than expected, 2 of these a decline in BMI and 1 an increase in IgG above the reference range. 2 patients received antimycotic treatment: one patient with a tormenting dry cough subjectively improved under Amphotericin B inhalation; one patient with a severe exacerbation due to T. inkin was treated with i.v. Amphotericin B, oral Voriconazole and Posaconazole which stabilized the clinical condition. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the potential association of Trichosporon spp. with severe exacerbations in CF patients.


Subject(s)
Cystic Fibrosis/microbiology , Cystic Fibrosis/physiopathology , Trichosporon , Trichosporonosis/complications , Adolescent , Adult , Amphotericin B/therapeutic use , Antifungal Agents/therapeutic use , Aspergillosis, Allergic Bronchopulmonary/complications , Aspergillosis, Allergic Bronchopulmonary/physiopathology , Body Mass Index , Child , Cystic Fibrosis/blood , Diabetes Complications/physiopathology , Disease Progression , Female , Forced Expiratory Volume , Germany , Humans , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Male , Steroids/adverse effects , Trichosporonosis/blood , Trichosporonosis/physiopathology , Young Adult
14.
Crim Behav Ment Health ; 17(2): 89-100, 2007.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17295202

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The VRAG is an actuarial risk assessment instrument, developed in Canada as an aid to estimating the probability of reoffending by mentally ill offenders. AIM: To test the predictive validity of the VRAG with a German sample. METHOD: The predictive validity of the VRAG was tested on a sample of 136 people charged with a criminal offence and under evaluation for criminal responsibility in the forensic psychiatry department at the University of Munich in 1994-95. The predicted outcome was tested by means of ROC analysis for correlation with the observed rate of recidivism between discharge after the 1994-95 assessment and the census date of 31 March 2003. Recidivism rate was calculated from the official records of the National Conviction Registry. RESULTS: Just over 38% of the sample had reoffended by 2003. Their mean time-at-risk was 58 months (SD 3.391; range 0-115 months). The VRAG yielded a high predictive accuracy in the ROC analysis with an AUC of 0.703. For a constant time-at-risk < = 7 years, the predicted probability and observed rates of recidivism correlated significantly with Pearson's r = 0.941. CONCLUSIONS: The validity of the VRAG was replicated with a German sample. The VRAG yielded good predictive accuracy, despite differences in sample and outcome variables compared with its original sample.


Subject(s)
Forensic Psychiatry/methods , Mental Disorders/diagnosis , Psychological Tests , Violence/psychology , Adult , Female , Germany , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , ROC Curve , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Assessment
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