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1.
BMJ Open ; 12(12): e066846, 2022 12 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36581417

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this work is to evaluate if there is an increase in the risk of thromboembolic events (TEEs) due to concomitant exposure to dexamethasone and apixaban or rivaroxaban. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), as well as corticosteroid dexamethasone, are commonly used to treat individuals hospitalised with COVID-19. Dexamethasone induces cytochrome P450-3A4 enzyme that also metabolises DOACs apixaban and rivaroxaban. This raises a concern about possible interaction between dexamethasone and DOACs that may reduce the efficacy of the DOACs and result in an increased risk of TEE. DESIGN: We used nested case-control study design. SETTING: This study was conducted in the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C), the largest electronic health records repository for COVID-19 in the USA. PARTICIPANTS: Study participants were adults over 18 years who were exposed to a DOAC for 10 or more consecutive days. Exposure to dexamethasone was at least 5 or more consecutive days. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Our primary exposure variable was concomitant exposure to dexamethasone for 5 or more days after exposure to either rivaroxaban or apixaban for 5 or more consecutive days. We used McNemar's Χ2 test and adjusted logistic regression to evaluate association between concomitant use of dexamethasone with either apixaban or rivaroxaban. RESULTS: McNemar's Χ2 test did not find a discernible association of TEE in patients concomitantly exposed to dexamethasone and a DOAC (χ2=0.5, df=1, p=0.48). In addition, a conditional logistic regression model did not find an increase in the risk of TEE (adjusted OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.32 to 4.18). CONCLUSION: This nested case-control study did not find evidence of an association between concomitant exposure to dexamethasone and a DOAC with an increase in risk of TEE. Due to small sample size, an association cannot be completely ruled out.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , COVID-19 , Adult , Humans , Rivaroxaban/adverse effects , Factor Xa Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Anticoagulants/adverse effects , Case-Control Studies , Dabigatran/therapeutic use , COVID-19 Drug Treatment , Pyridones/adverse effects , Drug Interactions , Dexamethasone/adverse effects , Administration, Oral , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies
2.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 29(9): 1497-1507, 2022 08 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35818288

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study was to develop and validate a model to predict the risk of experiencing a fall for nursing home residents utilizing data that are electronically available at the more than 15 000 facilities in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The fall prediction model was built and tested using 2 extracts of data (2011 through 2013 and 2016 through 2018) from the Long-term Care Minimum Dataset (MDS) combined with drug data from 5 skilled nursing facilities. The model was created using a hybrid Classification and Regression Tree (CART)-logistic approach. RESULTS: The combined dataset consisted of 3985 residents with mean age of 77 years and 64% female. The model's area under the ROC curve was 0.668 (95% confidence interval: 0.643-0.693) on the validation subsample of the merged data. DISCUSSION: Inspection of the model showed that antidepressant medications have a significant protective association where the resident has a fall history prior to admission, requires assistance to balance while walking, and some functional range of motion impairment in the lower body; even if the patient exhibits behavioral issues, unstable behaviors, and/or are exposed to multiple psychotropic drugs. CONCLUSION: The novel hybrid CART-logit algorithm is an advance over the 22 fall risk assessment tools previously evaluated in the nursing home setting because it has a better performance characteristic for the fall prediction window of ≤90 days and it is the only model designed to use features that are easily obtainable at nearly every facility in the United States.


Subject(s)
Nursing Homes , Psychotropic Drugs , Aged , Humans , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , United States
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