Cost-effectiveness analysis of universal germline testing for patients with pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Historically, germline testing of patients with pancreatic cancer was performed selectively in patients with a strong family history of cancer. Current guidelines recommend universal testing because some patients may have actionable germline pathogenic variants without family history. METHODS: We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis using a decision-tree model to compare universal versus selective testing strategies for patients with pancreatic cancer. Costs, probabilities, and overall survival were estimated from the published literature and institutional data. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses explored model uncertainty. RESULTS: Universal germline genetic testing had an incremental cost of $310 with an increase of 0.003 life-years. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $121,924/life-years. Parameters which were most impactful (sensitivity analysis) included the median overall survival of patients with advanced disease treated with personalized therapy, cost of personalized therapy for advanced disease, and the probability of receiving personalized therapy in advanced disease. A strategy of selective testing was more cost-effective in 59% of iterations when the willingness-to-pay threshold was set to $100,000/life-years. CONCLUSION: Our model suggested that selective germline testing of patients with newly diagnosed pancreatic cancer is more cost-effective than universal testing. Additional research is needed to explore the impact of cascade testing of relatives on cost-effectiveness.

Adjuvant therapy rates and overall survival in patients with localized pancreatic cancer from high Area Deprivation Index neighborhoods.

BACKGROUND: Neighborhood adversity's impact on postoperative/adjuvant therapy delivery and overall survival (OS) is poorly described in patients with localized pancreatic cancer (PC). METHODS: Area Deprivation Index (ADI) is a validated measure classifying neighborhood adversity. Higher ADI signifies increasing adversity. The 2013 national ADI scores were obtained from patients who completed preoperative/neoadjuvant therapy and surgery. Patients were categorized as having high (>50%) or low (≤50%) ADI. RESULTS: Of the 224 patients, 163 (73%) had low ADI and 61 (27%) had high ADI. Adjuvant therapy was delivered to 129 (58%) patients, including 62% (101/163) with low ADI and 46% (28/61) with high ADI (p = 0.03). Patients with high ADI had 55% (95%CI 0.23-0.86; p = 0.02) decreased odds of receiving adjuvant therapy, independent of other factors. The median OS was 45 months for 129 patients who received adjuvant therapy and 31 months for 94 patients who did not receive adjuvant therapy (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with high ADI are less likely to receive adjuvant therapy for localized PC. Future studies should address impediments to care in patients from higher ADI neighborhoods.

Detection of germline variants using expanded multigene panels in patients with localized pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend genetic testing for all patients with pancreatic cancer (PC). METHODS: Patients with localized PC who received neoadjuvant therapy between 2009 and 2018 were identified. Genetic consultation (including personal and family history of cancer), genetic testing, and variant data were abstracted. RESULTS: Of 510 patients identified, 163 (32%) underwent genetic counseling and genetic testing was performed in 127 (25%). Patients who underwent genetic testing were younger (median age: 63 vs. 67, p = 0.01). Multi-gene testing was performed in 114 (90%) of 127 patients, targeted gene testing was performed in 8 (6%), and not specified in 5 (4%). Of 127 patients who underwent genetic testing, 20 (16%) had pathogenic (P)/likely pathogenic (LP) variants, observed in ATM (n = 7/105,7%), CHEK2 (n = 3/98, 3%), BRCA1 (n = 2/117, 2%), BRCA2 (n = 2/122, 2%), PALB2 (n = 1/115, 1%), MUTYH (n = 1/98, 1%), CDKN2A (n = 1/94, 1%), STK11 (n = 1/97, 1%), NBN (n = 1/98, 1%), and MSH6 (n = 1/97, 1%). Of 20 patients with either a P/LP variant, nine (45%) had a prior cancer, three (15%) had a first-degree relative with PC, and six (30%) had an any-degree relative with PC. CONCLUSION: Pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants were identified in 16% of patients who underwent genetic testing, 60% of which occurred in the homologous recombination pathway.

Importance of Normalization of CA19-9 Levels Following Neoadjuvant Therapy in Patients With Localized Pancreatic Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is a prognostic marker for patients with pancreatic cancer (PC), but its value as a treatment biomarker is unclear. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Although CA19-9 is an established prognostic marker for patients with PC, it is unclear how CA19-9 monitoring should be used to guide multimodality treatment and what level of change in CA19-9 constitutes a meaningful treatment response. METHODS: CA19-9 measurements at diagnosis (pretx), after completion of all planned neoadjuvant therapy (preop), and after surgery (postop) were analyzed in patients with localized PC who had an elevated CA19-9 (≥35 U/dL) at diagnosis. Patients were classified by: 1) quartiles of pretx CA19-9 (Q1-4); 2) proportional changes in CA19-9 (ΔCA19-9) after the completion of neoadjuvant therapy; 3) normalization (CA19-9 <35 U/dL) of preop CA19-9; and 4) normalization of postop CA19-9. RESULTS: Among 131 patients, the median overall survival (OS) was 30 months; 68 months for the 33 patients in Q1 of pretx CA19-9 (<80 U/dL) compared with 25 months for the 98 patients in Q2-4 (P = 0.03). For the 98 patients in Q2-4, preop CA19-9 declined (from pretx) in 86 (88%), but there was no association between the magnitude of ΔCA19-9 and OS (P = 0.77). Median OS of the 98 patients who did (n = 29) or did not (n = 69) normalize their preop CA19-9 were 46 and 23 months, respectively (P = 0.02). Of the 69 patients with an elevated preop CA19-9, 32 (46%) normalized their postop CA19-9. Failure to normalize preop or postop CA19-9 was associated with a 2.77-fold and 4.03-fold increased risk of death, respectively (P < 0.003) as compared with patients with normal preop CA19-9. CONCLUSIONS: Following neoadjuvant therapy, normalization of CA19-9, rather than the magnitude of change, is the strongest prognostic marker for long-term survival.

Role of Molecular Profiling of Pancreatic Cancer After Neoadjuvant Therapy: Does it Change Practice?

INTRODUCTION: Tumor profiling can improve the selection of oncologic therapies in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC). The impact of neoadjuvant therapy on tumor testing is unknown. METHODS: Molecular profiling using commercially available 53-, 315-, or 472-gene next generation sequencing (NGS) panels was performed on surgical specimens following neoadjuvant therapy. All specimens with 472-gene sequencing also had immunohistochemical (IHC) testing. Treatment recommendations were based on somatic variants and IHC staining. RESULTS: NGS was performed on 74 patient specimens: 42 (57%) with a 472-gene panel, 28 (38%) with a 315-gene panel, 3 (4%) had 472- and 315-gene panels, and 1 (1%) patient had 53- and 472-gene panels (78 total tests). Likely pathogenic/pathogenic variants were identified in 73 (94%) of the 78 tests. Of the 73 samples with variants identified, 13 (18%) variants were associated with an actionable treatment: ATM (n = 10), BRCA1 (n = 1), PIK3CA (n = 1), and BRCA2 (n = 1). No patient had more than one actionable variant. Based on NGS results, the most commonly recommended therapy was a platinum agent (n = 12/78, 15%). Of the 46 specimens that underwent IHC analysis, overlapping chemotherapeutic treatment recommendations were identified in 40 (87%) specimens. CONCLUSION: Using current multigene NGS panels, actionable variants were identified in 13 (18%) of 74 surgical specimens and primarily involved genes of the DNA repair pathway. Anecdotal reproducibility of test concordance was low.

Is Adjuvant Therapy Necessary for All Patients with Localized Pancreatic Cancer Who Have Received Neoadjuvant Therapy?

BACKGROUND: Among patients with localized pancreatic cancer (PC), the benefit of adjuvant therapy after neoadjuvant therapy and surgery is unknown. METHODS: Patients with localized PC who completed all intended neoadjuvant therapy and surgery were categorized based on the receipt of adjuvant therapy and by pathologic lymph node status (LN-/LN+). RESULTS: Data was available from 234 consecutive patients, 121 (52%) with resectable and 113 (48%) with borderline resectable PC. Of the 234 patients, 92 (39%) were LN+ and 142 (61%) were LN-. The median overall survival (OS) for the 234 patients was 39 months, 42.3 months for patients who received any adjuvant therapy and 34.1 months for those who did not (p = 0.29). Of the 92 LN+ patients, the median OS with and without adjuvant therapy was 29.5 and 23.2 months, respectively (p = 0.02). Of the142 LN- patients, the median OS was 45 months with or without adjuvant therapy (p = 0.86). In an adjusted hazard model, additional adjuvant therapy had a significant protective effect among LN+ patients (HR 0.39; 95% CI 0.21-0.70; p = 0.002) but not in LN- patients (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.53-1.52; p = 0.68). CONCLUSION: Among patients with localized PC who received neoadjuvant therapy and surgery, the benefit of adjuvant therapy was limited to those with node-positive disease.

Venous thromboembolism prophylaxis during neoadjuvant therapy for resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer-Is it indicated?

PURPOSE: To describe venous thromboembolism (VTE) rates in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) during neoadjuvant therapy. METHODS: Factors associated with VTE were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression modeling in patients with resectable and BLR PC treated with neoadjuvant therapy between 2009 and 2014. RESULTS: Prevalent VTEs were detected in 13 (5%) of the 260 patients. Incident VTEs were detected in 26 patients (10%); 9 (8%) of the 109 resectable and 17 (11%) of the 151 BLR patients (P = 0.53). Of the 26 incident events, 9 (35%) were PEs, 9 (35%) were extremity DVTs, and 8 (31%) involved the SMV/PV. VTEs were catheter-related in 7 (27%) of the 26 patients. Rh(D) antigen positivity was associated with a decreased risk of incident VTE (OR:0.32, 95%CI:0.11-0.85, P = 0.02). Completion of neoadjuvant therapy to include surgery occurred in 176 (75%) of the 234 patients without incident VTE as compared to 14 (54%) of the 26 patients with incident VTE (P = 0.02). The median survival for all 260 patients was 24.3 months: 17.0 months versus 24.6 months for patients who did and did not develop incident VTE during neoadjuvant therapy (P = 0.11). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with localized PC who receive neoadjuvant therapy are at significant risk of VTE and thromboprophylaxis may be warranted. J. Surg. Oncol. 2016;114:581-586. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Use of neoadjuvant therapy in patients 75 years of age and older with pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Treatment sequencing in older patients is difficult because of concomitant comorbidities and often decreasing performance status. The present study sought to examine the effect of neoadjuvant therapy and pancreatic surgery in older patients with resectable or borderline-resectable (BLR pancreatic cancer (PC). METHODS: Patients with resectable or BLR PC treated with neoadjuvant therapy were classified as older (≥ 75 years) or younger (<75 years). RESULTS: Neoadjuvant therapy was initiated in 246 patients; 210 (85%) younger than 75 years and 36 (15%) older. Older patients had a greater median Charlson comorbidity index (CCI): 6 vs 4 (P < .01). Completion of all intended therapy (neoadjuvant therapy and surgery) occurred in 177 (72%) of the 246 patients; 153 (73%) of the 210 younger and 24 (67%) of the 36 older patients (P = .43). Failure to complete all therapy was associated with BLR clinical stage (odds ratio [OR] 0.26, P = .001), increased posttreatment/preoperative serum levels of CA19-9 (OR 0.27, 95% confidence interval 0.14-0.53), and CCI ≥ 6 (OR 0.44, 95% confidence interval 0.22-0.86). Median overall survival for all study patients was 26.1 and 19.7 months (P = .13) for younger and older patients, respectively. Of the 177 patients who completed all therapy, the difference in survival between younger and older patients was not statistically significant (36.5 months vs 27.2 months, P = .47). CONCLUSION: Failure to complete neoadjuvant therapy and eventual pancreatic resection is associated with BLR stage, increased posttreatment/preoperative CA19-9, and CCI ≥ 6, but not older age. Older patients who completed neoadjuvant therapy and underwent resection experienced a survival benefit compared with those who did not complete all intended therapy. Balancing the toxicity of sequential therapies with their cumulative effect on tolerance and risk for pancreatic surgery will be the key to developing optimal treatment sequencing in older patients with PC.

Pre-treatment carbohydrate antigen 19-9 does not predict the response to neoadjuvant therapy in patients with localized pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of CA19-9 in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) treated with neoadjuvant therapy has not been well described. METHODS: Pre-treatment CA19-9 levels (with concomitant normal bilirubin level) in patients with localized PC were categorized as normal (≤35), low (36-200), moderate (201-1000), or high (>1000). Post-treatment CA19-9 was measured after neoadjuvant therapy, prior to surgery. RESULTS: Pre-treatment CA19-9 levels were evaluable in 235 patients, levels were normal in 60 (25%) patients, low in 78 (33%) patients, moderate in 69 (29%) and high in 28 (12%). After neoadjuvant therapy, post-treatment CA19-9 normalized (≤ 35) in 40 (51%) of the patients in the low group, 14 (21%) of the moderate and 5 (19%) of the high group (P < 0.001). Of the 235 patients, 168 (71%) completed all intended therapy including a pancreatectomy; 44 (73%), 62 (79%), 46 (67%) and 16 (57%) of the normal, low, moderate and high groups (P = 0.10). Among these 168 patients, the median overall survival was 38.4, 43.6, 44.7, 27.2 and 26.4 months for normal, low, moderate and high CA19-9 groups (log rank P = 0.72). Among resected patients, an elevated pre-treatment CA19-9 was of little prognostic value; instead, it was the CA19-9 response to neoadjuvant therapy that was prognostic [hazard ratio (HR): 1.80, P = 0.02]. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients who completed neoadjuvant therapy and surgery, pre-treatment CA19-9 obtained at the time of diagnosis was not predictive of overall survival, but normalization of post-treatment CA19-9 in response to neoadjuvant therapy was highly prognostic.