Predictive performance of the common red flags in emergency department headache patients: a HEAD and HEAD-Colombia study.

OBJECTIVES: Only a small proportion of patients presenting to an ED with headache have a serious cause. The SNNOOP10 criteria, which incorporates red and orange flags for serious causes, has been proposed but not well studied. This project aims to compare the proportion of patients with 10 commonly accepted red flag criteria (singly and in combination) between patients with and without a diagnosis of serious secondary headache in a large, multinational cohort of ED patients presenting with headache. METHODS: Secondary analysis of data obtained in the HEAD and HEAD-Colombia studies. The outcome of interest was serious secondary headache. The predictive performance of 10 red flag criteria from the SNNOOP10 criteria list was estimated individually and in combination. RESULTS: 5293 patients were included, of whom 6.1% (95% CI 5.5% to 6.8%) had a defined serious cause identified. New neurological deficit, history of neoplasm, older age (>50 years) and recent head trauma (2-7 days prior) were independent predictors of a serious secondary headache diagnosis. After adjusting for other predictors, sudden onset, onset during exertion, pregnancy and immune suppression were not associated with a serious headache diagnosis. The combined sensitivity of the red flag criteria overall was 96.5% (95% CI 93.2% to 98.3%) but specificity was low, 5.1% (95% CI 4.3% to 6.0%). Positive predictive value was 9.3% (95% CI 8.2% to 10.5%) with negative predictive value of 93.5% (95% CI 87.6% to 96.8%). CONCLUSION: The sensitivity and specificity of the red flag criteria in this study were lower than previously reported. Regarding clinical practice, this suggests that red flag criteria may be useful to identify patients at higher risk of a serious secondary headache cause, but their low specificity could result in increased rates of CT scanning. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ANZCTR376695.

Prognostic performance of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor for heart failure or mortality in Western and Asian patients with acute breathlessness.

AIMS: The performance of circulating soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) for predicting the composite endpoint of subsequent heart failure (HF) hospitalisation and/or death at 1 year was assessed in (i) patients with undifferentiated breathlessness, and generalisability was compared in (ii) disparate Western versus Asian sub-cohorts, and in (iii) the sub-cohort adjudicated with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with acute breathlessness were recruited from the emergency departments in New Zealand (NZ, n = 612) and Singapore (n = 483). suPAR measured in the presentation samples was higher in patients incurring the endpoint (n = 281) compared with survivors (5.2 ng/mL vs 3.1 ng/mL, P < 0.0001). The discriminative power of suPAR for endpoint prediction was c-statistic of 0.77 in the combined population, but was superior in Singapore than NZ (c-statistic: 0.83 vs 0.71, P < 0.0001). Although the highest suPAR tertile (>4.37 ng/mL) was associated with risks of >4-fold in NZ, >20-fold in Singapore, and ≥3-fold in HF for incurring the outcome, there was no interaction between country and suPAR levels after adjustment. Multivariable analysis indicated suPAR to be robust in predicting HF/death at 1-year [hazard ratio: 1.9 (95% CI:1.7 to 2.0) per SD increase] and improved risk discrimination for outcome prediction in HF (∆0.06) and for those with NT-proBNP >1000 pg/mL (∆0.02). CONCLUSION: suPAR is a strong independent predictor of HF and/or death at 1 year in acutely breathless patients, in both Asian and Western cohorts, and in HF. suPAR may improve stratification of acutely breathless patients, and in acute HF, for risk of later onset of heart failure or mortality.

N-of-1 Trials of Antimicrobial Stewardship Interventions to Optimize Antibiotic Prescribing for Upper Respiratory Tract Infection in Emergency Departments: Protocol for a Quasi-Experimental Study.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial stewardship programs attempting to optimize antibiotic therapy and clinical outcomes mainly focus on inpatient and outpatient settings. The lack of antimicrobial stewardship program studies in the emergency department (ED) represents a gap in tackling the problem of antimicrobial resistance as EDs treat a substantial number of upper respiratory tract infection cases throughout the year. OBJECTIVE: We intend to implement two evidence-based interventions: (1) patient education and (2) providing physician feedback on their prescribing rates. We will incorporate evidence from a literature review and contextualizing the interventions based on findings from a local qualitative study. METHODS: Our study uses a quasi-experimental design to evaluate the effects of interventions over time in the EDs of 4 public hospitals in Singapore. We will include an initial control period of 18 months. In the next 6 months, we will randomize 2 EDs to receive 1 intervention (ie, patient education) and the other 2 EDs to receive the alternative intervention (ie, physician feedback). All EDs will receive the second intervention in the subsequent 6 months on top of the ongoing intervention. Data will be collected for another 6 months to assess the persistence of the intervention effects. The information leaflets will be handed to patients at the EDs before they consult with the physician, while feedback to individual physicians by senior doctors is in the form of electronic text messages. The feedback will contain the physicians' antibiotic prescribing rate compared with the departments' overall antibiotic prescribing rate and a bite-size message on good antibiotic prescribing practices. RESULTS: We will analyze the data using segmented regression with difference-in-difference estimation to account for concurrent cluster comparisons. CONCLUSIONS: Our proposed study assesses the effectiveness of evidence-based, context-specific interventions to optimize antibiotic prescribing in EDs. These interventions are aligned with Singapore's national effort to tackle antimicrobial resistance and can be scaled up if successful. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05451863; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05451836. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/50417.

Can non-invasive cardiac hemodynamics and fluid content system (NICaS) parameters predict Acute Heart Failure outcomes in Caucasian and Asian patients in the emergency department?

PURPOSE: Acute heart failure (AHF) is a serious condition that requires prompt diagnosis and management. To optimize patient care, clinicians need a reliable, non-invasive method to assess hemodynamic parameters and total body congestion. Currently, no standardized technology is widely used for this purpose. However, NICaS technology, which measures hemodynamic parameters based on regional bioimpedance, has shown promise in monitoring AHF patients in a non-invasive and reliable manner. In this study, researchers aimed to evaluate the usefulness of NICaS technology in predicting patients' outcome in Caucasian and Asian AHF patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study included 40 Caucasian patients from Italy (group A) and 71 Asian patients from Indonesia and Singapore (group B) with a diagnosis of AHF in the ED. The study compared data from NICaS parameters, clinical findings, laboratory, and radiological results with short-term events. RESULTS: In group A, NICaS data at ED arrival significantly predicted 30-day cardiovascular mortality and rehospitalization. At discharge, a value of cardiac output obtained using NICaS was a significant predictor for 30-day rehospitalization. In group B, NICaS variables, total peripheral resistance index on admission and during 48-72 â€‹h had prominent AUC compared to clinical congestion score and NT-proBNP in predicting mortality and rehospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that NICaS technology offers a simple, non-invasive, and reliable method of assessing cardiac hemodynamics and congestion in AHF patients. These measurements may enhance diagnosis, tailor management plans, stratify risk, and predict outcomes in both Caucasian and Asian patients.

Point-of-care ultrasound use in COVID-19: a narrative review.

Background and Objective: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that began in early 2020 resulted in significant mortality from respiratory tract infections. Existing imaging modalities such as chest X-ray (CXR) lacks sensitivity in its diagnosis while computed tomography (CT) scan carries risks of radiation and contamination. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) has the advantage of bedside testing with higher diagnostic accuracy. We aim to describe the various applications of POCUS for patients with suspected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in the emergency department (ED) and intensive care unit (ICU). Methods: We performed literature search on the use of POCUS in the diagnosis and management of COVID-19 in MEDLINE, Embase and Scopus databases using the following search terms: "ultrasonography", "ultrasound", "COVID-19", "SARS-CoV-2", "SARS-CoV-2 variants", "emergency services", "emergency department" and "intensive care units". Search was performed independently by two reviewers with any discrepancy adjudicated by a third member. Key Content and Findings: Lung POCUS in patients with COVID-19 shows different ultrasonographic features from pulmonary oedema, bacterial pneumonia, and other viral pneumonia, thus useful in differentiating between these conditions. It is more sensitive than CXR, and more accessible and widely available than CT scan. POCUS can be used to diagnose COVID-19 pneumonia, screen for COVID-19-related pulmonary and extrapulmonary complications, and guide management of ICU patients, such as timing of ventilator weaning based on lung POCUS findings. Conclusions: POCUS is a useful and rapid point-of-care modality that can be used to aid in diagnosis, management, and risk stratification of COVID-19 patients in different healthcare settings.

Predictors of major adverse cardiac events among patients with chest pain and low HEART score in the emergency department.

AIM: For patients who present to the emergency departments (ED) with undifferentiated chest pain, the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) may be underestimated in low-HEART score patients. We aimed to identify characteristics of patients who were classified as low risk by HEART score but subsequently developed MACE at 6 weeks. METHODS: We studied a multiethnic cohort of patients who presented with chest pain arousing suspicion of acute coronary syndrome to EDs in the Netherlands and Singapore. Patients were risk-stratified using HEART score and followed up for MACE at 6 weeks. Risk factors of developing MACE despite low HEART scores (scores 0-3) were identified using logistic and Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among 1376 (39.8%) patients with low HEART scores, 63 (4.6%) developed MACE at 6 weeks. More males (53/806, 6.6%) than females (10/570, 2.8%) with low HEART score developed MACE. There was no difference in outcomes between ethnic groups. Among low-HEART score patients with 2 points for history, 21% developed MACE. Among low-HEART score patients with 1 point for troponin, 50% developed MACE, while 100% of those with 2 points for troponin developed MACE. After adjusting for HEART score and potential confounders, male sex was independently associated with increased odds (OR 4.12, 95%CI 2.14-8.78) and hazards (HR 3.93, 95%CI 1.98-7.79) of developing MACE despite low HEART score. CONCLUSION: Male sex, highly suspicious history and elevated troponin were disproportionately associated with MACE. These characteristics should prompt clinicians to consider further investigation before discharge.

Applying Andersen's healthcare utilization model to assess factors influencing patients' expectations for diagnostic tests at emergency department visits during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background: The uncertainties surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic led to a surge in non-urgent emergency department (ED) attendance among people presenting with upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) symptoms. These non-urgent visits, often manageable in primary care, exacerbated ED overcrowding, which could compromise the quality of ED services. Understanding patients' expectations and the reasons for these ED visits is imperative to mitigate the problem of ED overcrowding. Hence, we assessed the factors influencing patients' expectations for diagnostic tests during their ED visits for uncomplicated URTI during different phases of the pandemic. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study on adults with URTI symptoms seeking care at four public EDs in Singapore between March 2021 and March 2022. We segmented the study period into three COVID-19 pandemic phases-containment, transition, and mitigation. The outcome variables are whether patients expected (1) a COVID-19-specific diagnostic test, (2) a non-COVID-19-specific diagnostic test, (3) both COVID-19-specific and non-COVID-19-specific diagnostic tests, or (4) no diagnostic test. We built a multinomial regression model with backward stepwise selection and classified the findings according to Andersen's healthcare utilization model. Results: The mean age of participants was 34.5 (12.7) years. Factors (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]) influencing expectations for a COVID-19-specific diagnostic test in the ED include younger age {21-40 years: (2.98 [1.04-8.55])}, no prior clinical consultation (2.10 [1.13-3.89]), adherence to employer's health policy (3.70 [1.79-7.67]), perceived non-severity of illness (2.50 [1.39-4.55]), being worried about contracting COVID-19 (2.29 [1.11-4.69]), and during the transition phase of the pandemic (2.29 [1.15-4.56]). Being non-employed influenced the expectation for non-COVID-19-specific diagnostic tests (3.83 [1.26-11.66]). Factors influencing expectations for both COVID-19-specific and non-COVID-19-specific tests include younger age {21-40 years: (3.61 [1.26-10.38]); 41-60 years: (4.49 [1.43-14.13])}, adherence to employer's health policy (2.94 [1.41-6.14]), being worried about contracting COVID-19 (2.95 [1.45- 5.99]), and during the transition (2.03 [1.02-4.06]) and mitigation (2.02 [1.03-3.97]) phases of the pandemic. Conclusion: Patients' expectations for diagnostic tests during ED visits for uncomplicated URTI were dynamic across the COVID-19 pandemic phases. Expectations for COVID-19-specific diagnostic tests for ED visits for uncomplicated URTI were higher among younger individuals and those worried about contracting COVID-19 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Future studies are required to enhance public communications on the availability of diagnostic services in primary care and public education on self-management of emerging infectious diseases such as COVID-19.

Headache in the Emergency Department: A Multicenter Observational Study from Singapore.

Background and Objectives: There is scarce data about the epidemiology, clinical features, investigations, diagnosis, treatment, and outcome in patients attending Singapore emergency departments (EDs) with nontraumatic headache. We sought to describe these characteristics of adult patients presenting to the ED with a primary complaint of headache. Materials and Methods: We performed a cross-sectional study on adult patients with nontraumatic headache over 4 consecutive weeks from 18 March 2019 to 14 April 2019 across four EDs in Singapore. Exclusion criteria were history of head trauma within 48 h of presentation, missing records, interhospital transfers, representation with the same headache as a recent previous visit and headache as an associated symptom. Results: During the study period, 579 patients (representing 1.8% of the total ED census) comprising 55.3% males and with a median age of 36 years presented to the four Singapore EDs with a primary complaint of nontraumatic headache. Paracetamol (41.5%), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (34.4%) and tramadol (31.5%) were the three commonest analgesics used either singly or in combination. Prochlorperazine (22.9%) and metoclopramide (17.4%) were frequent anti-emetic adjuncts. One-third of patients had computed tomography of the brain performed, which found abnormalities among 20.9% of them. ED diagnoses of primary headache conditions were made in 73.6% of patients. Conclusions: Primary headaches constituted most ED headache diagnoses. ED imaging of selected patients yielded a relatively high pick-up rate for significant intracranial abnormalities. Opioid use for symptomatic relief of headaches in the ED was found to be high, underscoring the need for improvement in headache analgesia relief practices in the ED.

Computed tomography brain scan utilization in patients with headache presenting to emergency departments: a multinational study.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Recommended indications for emergency computed tomography (CT) brain scans are not only complex and evolving, but it is also unknown whether they are being followed in emergency departments (EDs). OBJECTIVE: To determine the CT utilization and diagnostic yield in the ED in patients with headaches across broad geographical regions. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of data from a multinational cross-sectional study of ED headache presentations over one month in 2019. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Hospitals from 10 participating countries were divided into five geographical regions [Australia and New Zealand (ANZ); Colombia; Europe: Belgium, France, UK, and Romania; Hong Kong and Singapore (HKS); and Turkey). Adult patients with nontraumatic headache as the primary presenting complaint were included. Patients were identified from ED management systems. OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSIS: The outcome measures were CT utilization and diagnostic yield. CT utilization was calculated using a multilevel binary logistic regression model to account for clustering of patients within hospitals and regions. Imaging data (CT requests and reports) were sourced from radiology management systems. MAIN RESULTS: The study included 5281 participants. Median (interquartile range) age was 40 (29-55) years, 66% were women. Overall mean CT utilization was 38.5% [95% confidence interval (CI), 30.4-47.4%]. Regional utilization was highest in Europe (46.0%) and lowest in Turkey (28.9%), with HKS (38.0%), ANZ (40.0%), and Colombia (40.8%) in between. Its distribution across hospitals was approximately symmetrical. There was greater variation in CT utilization between hospitals within a region than between regions (hospital variance 0.422, region variance 0.100). Overall mean CT diagnostic yield was 9.9% (95% CI, 8.7-11.3%). Its distribution across hospitals was positively skewed. Regional yield was lower in Europe (5.4%) than in other regions: Colombia (9.1%), HKS (9.7%), Turkey (10.6%), and ANZ (11.2%). There was a weak negative correlation between utilization and diagnostic yield ( r  = -0.248). CONCLUSION: In this international study, there was a high variation (28.9-46.6%) in CT utilization and diagnostic yield (5.4-11.2%) across broad geographic regions. Europe had the highest utilization and the lowest yield. The study findings provide a foundation to address variation in neuroimaging in ED headache presentations.

A multi-institutional exploration of emergency medicine physicians' attitudes and behaviours on antibiotic use during the COVID-19 pandemic: a mixed-methods study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the epidemiology of upper respiratory tract infections (URTI) and the disease profile of patients attending the emergency department (ED). Hence, we sought to explore the changes in ED physicians' attitudes and behaviours in four EDs in Singapore. METHODS: We employed a sequential mixed-methods approach (quantitative survey followed by in-depth interviews). Principal component analysis was performed to derive latent factors, followed by multivariable logistic regression to explore the independent factors associated with high antibiotic prescribing. Interviews were analysed using the deductive-inductive-deductive framework. We derive five meta-inferences by integrating the quantitative and qualitative findings with an explanatory bidirectional framework. RESULTS: We obtained 560 (65.9%) valid responses from the survey and interviewed 50 physicians from various work experiences. ED physicians were twice as likely to report high antibiotic prescribing rates pre-COVID-19 pandemic than during the pandemic (AOR = 2.12, 95% CI 1.32 to 3.41, p = 0.002). Five meta-inferences were made by integrating the data: (1) Less pressure to prescribe antibiotics due to reduced patient demand and more patient education opportunities; (2) A higher proportion of ED physicians self-reported lower antibiotic prescribing rates during the COVID-19 pandemic but their perception of the overall outlook on antibiotic prescribing rates varied; (3) Physicians who were high antibiotic prescribers during the COVID-19 pandemic made less effort for prudent antibiotic prescribing as they were less concerned about antimicrobial resistance; (4) the COVID-19 pandemic did not change the factors that lowered the threshold for antibiotic prescribing; (5) the COVID-19 pandemic did not change the perception that the public's knowledge of antibiotics is poor. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported antibiotic prescribing rates decreased in the ED during the COVID-19 pandemic due to less pressure to prescribe antibiotics. The lessons and experiences learnt from the COVID-19 pandemic can be incorporated into public and medical education in the war against antimicrobial resistance going forward. Antibiotic use should also be monitored post-pandemic to assess if the changes are sustained.

Perspectives towards End-of-Life Care in the Emergency Department of Tertiary Public Hospitals-A Qualitative Analysis.

Background and Objectives: End-of-life care in the emergency department (ED) is gaining importance along with the growth in the ageing population and those with chronic and terminal diseases. To explore key stakeholders' perspectives and experiences regarding end-of-life care in the ED. Materials and Methods: A descriptive qualitative study was conducted from November 2019 to January 2020. Study participants were recruited from the EDs of three tertiary hospitals and community care settings in Singapore through purposive sampling. Data collection included focus group discussions with 36 ED staff, 16 community healthcare professionals, and one-on-one semi-structured interviews with seven family members. Results: Three main themes and several subthemes emerged from the data analysis. (1) Reasons for ED visits were attributed to patients' preferences, families' decisions, limited services and capabilities in the community, and ease of access. (2) Barriers to providing end-of-life management in the ED included: conflicting priorities of staff, cramped environment, low confidence, ineffective communication, and lack of standardised workflows. (3) Discussion about continuity of end-of-life care beyond the ED uncovered issues related to delayed transfer to inpatient wards, challenging coordination of terminal discharge from the ED, and limited resources for end-of-life care in the community. Conclusions: Key stakeholders reported challenges and shared expectations in the provision of end-of-life care in the ED, which could be optimised by multidisciplinary collaborations addressing environmental factors and workflows in the ED. Equipping ED physicians and nurses with the necessary knowledge and skills is important to increase competency and confidence in managing patients attending the ED at the end of their lives.

Antibiotic expectation, behaviour, and receipt among patients presenting to emergency departments with uncomplicated upper respiratory tract infection during the COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: Pre-COVID-19 pandemic, patients who attended the emergency department (ED) for upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) were more likely to receive antibiotics if they expected them. These expectations could have changed with the change in health-seeking behaviour during the pandemic. We assessed the factors associated with antibiotics expectation and receipt for uncomplicated URTI patients in four Singapore EDs during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study on adult patients with URTI from March 2021 to March 2022 in four Singapore EDs and assessed the determinants of antibiotics expectation and receipt using multivariable logistic regression models. We also assessed the reasons patients expect antibiotics during their ED visit. RESULTS: Among 681 patients, 31.0% expected antibiotics while 8.7% received antibiotics during their ED visit. Factors (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]) that significantly influenced expectation for antibiotics include: 1) prior consultation for current illness with (6.56 [3.30-13.11]) or without (1.50 [1.01-2.23]) antibiotics prescribed; 2) anticipation for COVID-19 test (1.56 [1.01-2.41]); and 3) poor (2.16 [1.26-3.68]) to moderate (2.26 [1.33-3.84]) knowledge on antibiotics use and resistance. Patients expecting antibiotics were 10.6 times (10.64 [5.34-21.17]) more likely to receive antibiotics. Those with tertiary education were twice (2.20 [1.09-4.43]) as likely to receive antibiotics. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, patients with URTI who expected antibiotics to be prescribed remained more likely to receive it during the COVID-19 pandemic. This highlights the need for more public education on the non-necessity for antibiotics for URTI and COVID-19 to address the problem of antibiotic resistance.

Comparing Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score and Charlson Comorbidity Index in predicting outcomes in older trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score (CPS) may potentially risk-stratify older trauma patients more accurately than traditional trauma severity scores. We aim to evaluate if CCI or CPS are better predictors of mortality and discharge venue in such patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using registry data from two tertiary trauma centres. Patients aged 65 years and above who presented to the emergency departments (EDs) between January 2011 and December 2015 with traumatic injuries were included. Charts were reviewed for demographics, injury mechanism and severity, discharge outcomes, and types of comorbidities and medications used. Primary outcome was overall mortality; secondary outcomes included ED disposition and hospital discharge venue. Discriminatory power of the score(s) were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS: There were 2,750 patients, with overall female predominance (56.7%, 1,560/2,750) and median age of 78 years (interquartile range [IQR] 72 to 84 years). Median CCI score was 1 (IQR 0 to 2) and median CPS was 8 (IQR 4 to 12). Overall mortality was 9.4% (259/2,750). Every 1-point increase in CCI score resulted in increased odds of death by 16% (adjusted odds ratio 1.16, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.26, p<0.001). Addition of CCI to the Injury Severity Score (ISS) increased the discriminatory power for mortality (AUROC for ISS = 0.832; AUROC for ISS with CCI = 0.843). Every 1-point increase in CCI was significantly associated with decreased odds of admission to a rehab facility by 8%. CPS did not predict mortality and discharge venue. CONCLUSION: CCI, but not CPS, was a predictor of mortality. A higher CCI was associated with decreased odds of discharge to a subacute facility, likely related to underlying rehabilitation potential. Further studies should be undertaken to explore an integrated scoring system that considers injury severity, comorbidities, and polypharmacy.

Circulating erythroferrone has diagnostic utility for acute decompensated heart failure in patients presenting with acute or worsening dyspnea.

Objectives: In dyspneic patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or obesity, the diagnostic performance of NT-proBNP for acute heart failure is reduced. We evaluated the erythroblast derived protein erythroferrone (ERFE) as an ancillary biomarker for the diagnosis of acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in these comorbid subgroups in both Western and Asian populations. Methods: The diagnostic performance of ERFE (Intrinsic Lifesciences) and NT-proBNP (Roche Cobas e411) for ADHF was assessed in 479 New Zealand (NZ) and 475 Singapore (SG) patients presenting with breathlessness. Results: Plasma ERFE was higher in ADHF, compared with breathlessness from other causes, in both countries (NZ; 4.9 vs. 1.4 ng/ml, p < 0.001) and (SG; 4.2 vs. 0.4 ng/ml, p = 0.021). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) areas under the curve (AUCs) for discrimination of ADHF were reduced in the NZ cohort compared to SG for ERFE (0.75 and 0.84, p = 0.007) and NT-proBNP (0.86 and 0.92, p = 0.004). Optimal cut-off points for ERFE yielded comparable sensitivity and positive predictive values in both cohorts, but slightly better specificity, negative predictive values and accuracy in SG compared with NZ. In patients with AF, the AUC decreased for ERFE in each cohort (NZ: 0.71, n = 105, SG: 0.61, n = 44) but increased in patients with obesity (NZ: 0.79, n = 150, SG: 0.87, n = 164). Conclusions: Circulating ERFE is higher in patients with ADHF than in other causes of new onset breathlessness with fair diagnostic utility, performing better in Asian than in Western patients. The diagnostic performance of ERFE is impaired in patients with AF but not patients with obesity.

Deep phenotyping of oxidative stress in emergency room patients reveals homoarginine as a novel predictor of sepsis severity, length of hospital stay, and length of intensive care unit stay.

Background: We aimed to determine primary markers of oxidative stress (OS) in ED patients which predict hospital length of stay (LoS), intensive care unit (ICU) LoS, and sepsis severity. Materials and methods: This prospective, single center observational study was conducted in adult patients recruited from the ED who were diagnosed with either sepsis, infection without sepsis, or non-infectious, age-matched controls. 290 patients were admitted to the hospital and 24 patients had direct admission to the ICU. A panel of 269 OS and related metabolic markers were profiled for each cohort. Clinical outcomes were direct ICU admission, hospital LoS, ICU LoS, and post-hoc, adjudicated sepsis severity scoring. Bonferroni correction was used for pairwise comparisons. Principal component regression was used for dimensionality reduction and selection of plasma metabolites associated with sepsis. Multivariable negative binomial regression was applied to predict admission, hospital, and ICU LoS. Results: Homoarginine (hArg) was the top discriminator of sepsis severity [sepsis vs. control: ROC-AUC = 0.86 (95% CI 0.81-0.91)], [sepsis vs. infection: ROC-AUC = 0.73 (95% CI 0.68-0.78)]. The 25th percentile of hArg [odds ratio (OR) = 8.57 (95% CI 1.05-70.06)] was associated with hospital LoS [IRR = 2.54 (95% CI 1.83-3.52)] and ICU LOS [IRR = 18.73 (95% CI 4.32-81.27)]. In prediction of outcomes, hArg had superior performance compared to arginine (Arg) [hArg ROC-AUC = 0.77 (95% CI 0.67-0.88) vs. Arg ROC-AUC = 0.66 (95% CI 0.55-0.78)], and dimethylarginines [SDMA ROC-AUC 0.68 (95% CI 0.55-0.79) and ADMA ROC-AUC = 0.68 (95% CI 0.56-0.79)]. Ratio of hArg and Arg/NO metabolic markers and creatinine clearance provided modest improvements in clinical prediction. Conclusion: Homoarginine is associated with sepsis severity and predicts hospital and ICU LoS, making it a useful biomarker in guiding treatment decisions for ED patients.

Epidemiology and outcomes of older trauma patients in Singapore: A multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: An ageing population has caused rising trauma cases amongst older patients. Multiple comorbidities, polypharmacy and limited reserves predispose them to poorer outcomes following a traumatic event. The Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score (CPS) has been found to predict outcomes and mortality in older trauma patients, but has not been studied in Asians. AIM: We aim to describe the epidemiological characteristics of older trauma patients and explore the association of CPS on clinical outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study using data from the trauma registries of 2 tertiary trauma centres. Patients aged 45 years and above attending the emergency departments (EDs) from January 2011 to December 2015 with traumatic injuries (Injury Severity Score [ISS] of 9 and above) were included. Demographics, clinical data including number of comorbidities and medications used were collected to calculate the CPS. Outcomes of mortality, ED disposition and hospital discharge venue were examined. RESULTS: There were 4,522 patients (median age 70 years; males 53.8%), with majority sustaining Tier 2 injuries (ISS 9 to 15; 68.9%). Falls were the predominant mechanism for those aged above 60 years and above (76%). Median CPS was 6 (interquartile range [IQR] 1 to 11). Amongst patients 75 years and older, 56% comprised the moderate to morbid CPS groups (CPS ≥ 8). Overall mortality was 8.4%; patients above 75 years had longer median length of stay (10 versus 7.1-8.9 days in other ages). Male gender (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-2.02), increasing age (aOR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.05), injury to abdomen (aOR 3.24; 95% CI 1.93-5.45) and severe CPS category (aOR 1.88; 95% CI 1.23-2.89) were associated with increased odds of death. Increasing age and moderate CPS category increased odds of discharge to a rehabilitation (aOR for age 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.04; aOR for moderate CPS 1.72, 95% CI 1.43-2.07) or long-term care facility (aOR for age 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.06; aOR for CPS 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.32). CONCLUSION: CPS predicted mortality and discharge to a rehabilitation or care facility in this urban, ageing Asian population. Its use may aid future trauma research and needs assessments in such patients.

Treating acutely ill patients at home: Data from Singapore.

INTRODUCTION: Hospital-at-home programmes are well described in the literature but not in Asia. We describe a home-based inpatient substitutive care programme in Singapore, with clinical and patient-reported outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to a hospital-at-home programme from September 2020 to September 2021. Suitable patients, who otherwise required hospitalisation, were admitted to the programme. They were from inpatient wards, emergency department and community nursing teams in the western part of Singapore, where a multidisciplinary team provided hospital-level care at home. Electronic health record data were extracted from all patients admitted to the programme. Patient satisfaction surveys were conducted post-discharge. RESULTS: A total of 108 patients enrolled. Mean age was 67.9 (standard deviation 16.7) years, and 46% were male. The main diagnoses were skin and soft tissue infections (35%), urinary tract infections (29%) and fluid overload (18%). Median length of stay was 4 (interquartile range 3-7) days. Seven patients were escalated back to the hospital, of whom 2 died after escalation. One patient died at home. There was 1 case of adverse drug reaction and 1 fall at home, and no cases of hospital-acquired infections. Patient satisfaction rates were high and 94% of contactable patients would choose to participate again. CONCLUSION: Hospital-at-home programmes appear to be safe and feasible alternatives to inpatient care in Singapore. Further studies are warranted to compare clinical outcomes and cost to conventional inpatient care.