Self-Rated Health in Middle Age and Risk of Hospitalizations and Death: Recurrent Event Analysis of the ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Self-rated health is a simple measure that may identify individuals who are at a higher risk for hospitalization or death. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the association between a single measure of self-rated health and future risk of recurrent hospitalizations or death. PARTICIPANTS: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a community-based prospective cohort study of middle-aged men and women with follow-up beginning from 1987 to 1989. MAIN MEASURES: We quantified the associations between initial self-rated health with risk of recurrent hospitalizations and of death using a recurrent events survival model that allowed for dependency between the rates of hospitalization and hazards of death, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors. KEY RESULTS: Of the 14,937 ARIC cohort individuals with available self-rated health and covariate information, 34% of individuals reported "excellent" health, 47% "good," 16% "fair," and 3% "poor" at study baseline. After a median follow-up of 27.7 years, 1955 (39%), 3569 (51%), 1626 (67%), and 402 (83%) individuals with "excellent," "good," "fair," and "poor" health, respectively, had died. After adjusting for demographic factors and medical history, a less favorable self-rated health status was associated with increased rates of hospitalization and death. As compared to those reporting "excellent" health, adults with "good," "fair," and "poor" health had 1.22 (1.07 to 1.40), 2.01 (1.63 to 2.47), and 3.13 (2.39 to 4.09) times the rate of hospitalizations, respectively. The hazards of death also increased with worsening categories of self-rated health, with "good," "fair," and "poor" health individuals experiencing 1.30 (1.12 to 1.51), 2.15 (1.71 to 2.69), and 3.40 (2.54 to 4.56) times the hazard of death compared to "excellent," respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Even after adjusting for demographic and clinical factors, having a less favorable response on a single measure of self-rated health taken in middle age is a potent marker of future hospitalizations and death.

Social relationships, amyloid burden, and dementia: The ARIC-PET study.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess whether social relationships in mid-life reduce the risk of dementia related to amyloid burden. METHODS: Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were assessed for social support and isolation (visit 2; 1990-1992). A composite measure, "social relationships," was generated. Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET); (visit 5; 2012-2014). Incident dementia cases were identified following visit 5 through 2019 using ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of mid-life social relationships and elevated brain amyloid to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among 310 participants without dementia, strong mid-life social relationships were associated independently with lower dementia risk. Elevated late-life brain amyloid was associated with greater dementia risk. DISCUSSION: Although mid-life social relationships did not moderate the relationship between amyloid burden and dementia, these findings affirm the importance of strong social relationships as a potentially protective factor against dementia.

Association of Continuity of Care With Health Care Utilization and Expenditures Among Patients Discharged Home After Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association of prestroke continuity of care (COC) with postdischarge health care utilization and expenditures. STUDY POPULATION: The study population included 2233 patients with a diagnosis of stroke or a transient ischemic attack hospitalized in one of 41 hospitals in North Carolina between March 2016 and July 2019 and discharged directly home from acute care. METHODS: COC was assessed from linked Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Medicare claims using the Modified, Modified Continuity Index. Logistic regressions and 2-part models were used to examine the association of prestroke primary care COC with postdischarge health care utilization and expenditures. RESULTS: Relative to patients in the first (lowest) COC quartile, patients in the second and third COC quartiles were more likely [21% (95% CI: 8.5%, 33.5%) and 33% (95% CI: 20.5%, 46.1%), respectively] to have an ambulatory care visit within 14 days. Patients in the highest COC quartile were more likely to visit a primary care provider but less likely to see a stroke specialist. Highest as compared with lowest primary care COC quartile was associated with $45 lower (95% CI: $14, $76) average expenditure for ambulatory care visits within 30 days postdischarge. Patients in the highest, as compared with the lowest, primary care COC quartile were 36% less likely (95% CI: 8%, 64%) to be readmitted within 30 days postdischarge and spent $340 less (95% CI: $2, $678) on unplanned readmissions. CONCLUSIONS: These findings underscore the importance of primary care COC received before stroke hospitalization to postdischarge care and expenditures.

Occupation, Retirement Age, and 20-Year Cognitive Decline: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study.

INTRODUCTION: We examined the association of both midlife occupation and age at retirement with cognitive decline in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) biracial community-based cohort. METHODS: Current or most recent occupation at ARIC baseline (1987-89; ages 45-64y) was categorized based on 1980 US census major occupation groups and tertiles of the Nam-Powers-Boyd occupational status score (n=14,090). Retirement status via annual follow-up questionnaires administered ascertained in 1999-2007 was classified as occurring before or after age 70 (n=7,503). Generalized estimating equation models were used to examine associations of occupation and age at retirement with trajectories of global cognitive factor scores, assessed from visit 2 (1990-92) to visit 5 (2011-2013). Models were a priori stratified by race and sex and adjusted for demographics and comorbidities. RESULTS: Low occupational status and blue-collar occupations were associated with low baseline cognitive scores in all race-sex strata. Low occupational status and homemaker status were associated with faster decline in White women but slower decline in Black women compared to high occupational status. Retirement before age 70 was associated with slower cognitive decline in White men and women and in Black men. Results did not change substantially after accounting for attrition. CONCLUSION: Low occupational status was associated with cognitive decline in women but not in men. Earlier retirement was associated with a slower cognitive decline in White participants and in Black men. Further research should explore reasons for the observed associations and race-sex differences.

Associations Between Mid-Life Psychosocial Measures and Estimated Late Life Amyloid Burden: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-PET Study.

Background: Psychosocial factors are modifiable risk factors for Alzheimer's disease (AD). One mechanism linking psychosocial factors to AD risk may be through biological measures of brain amyloid; however, this association has not been widely studied. Objective: To determine if mid-life measures of social support and social isolation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study cohort are associated with late life brain amyloid burden, measured using florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET). Methods: Measures of social support and social isolation were assessed in ARIC participants (visit 2: 1990-1992). Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir PET standardized uptake value ratios (SUVRs; visit 5: 2012-2014). Results: Among 316 participants without dementia, participants with intermediate (odds ratio (OR), 0.47; 95% CI, 0.25-0.88), or low social support (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.22-0.83) in mid-life were less likely to have elevated amyloid SUVRs, relative to participants with high social support. Participants with moderate risk for social isolation in mid-life (OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.14-0.74) were less likely to have elevated amyloid burden than participants at low risk for social isolation. These associations were not significantly modified by sex or race. Conclusions: Lower social support and moderate risk of social isolation in mid-life were associated with lower odds of elevated amyloid SUVR in late life, compared to participants with greater mid-life psychosocial measures. Future longitudinal studies evaluating mid-life psychosocial factors, in relation to brain amyloid as well as other health outcomes, will strengthen our understanding of the role of these factors throughout the lifetime.

Association between structural brain MRI abnormalities and epilepsy in older adults.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between brain MRI abnormalities and incident epilepsy in older adults. METHODS: Men and women (ages 45-64 years) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study were followed up from 1987 to 2018 with brain MRI performed between 2011 and 2013. We identified cases of incident late-onset epilepsy (LOE) with onset of seizures occurring after the acquisition of brain MRI. We evaluated the relative pattern of cortical thickness, subcortical volume, and white matter integrity among participants with incident LOE after MRI in comparison with participants without seizures. We examined the association between MRI abnormalities and incident LOE using Cox proportional hazards regression. Models were adjusted for demographics, hypertension, diabetes, smoking, stroke, and dementia status. RESULTS: Among 1251 participants with brain MRI data, 27 (2.2%) developed LOE after MRI over a median of 6.4 years (25-75 percentile 5.8-6.9) of follow-up. Participants with incident LOE after MRI had higher levels of cortical thinning and white matter microstructural abnormalities before seizure onset compared to those without seizures. In longitudinal analyses, greater number of abnormalities was associated with incident LOE after controlling for demographic factors, risk factors for cardiovascular disease, stroke, and dementia (gray matter: hazard ratio [HR]: 2.3, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.0-4.9; white matter diffusivity: HR: 3.0, 95% CI: 1.2-7.3). INTERPRETATION: This study demonstrates considerable gray and white matter pathology among individuals with LOE, which is present prior to the onset of seizures and provides important insights into the role of neurodegeneration, both of gray and white matter, and the risk of LOE.

Cognitive phenotypes in late-onset epilepsy: results from the atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

Introduction: Cognitive phenotyping is a widely used approach to characterize the heterogeneity of deficits in patients with a range of neurological disorders but has only recently been applied to patients with epilepsy. In this study, we identify cognitive phenotypes in older adults with late-onset epilepsy (LOE) and examine their demographic, clinical, and vascular profiles. Further, we examine whether specific phenotypes pose an increased risk for progressive cognitive decline. Methods: Participants were part of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), a prospective longitudinal community-based cohort study of 15,792 individuals initially enrolled in 1987-1989. LOE was identified from linked Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services claims data. Ninety-one participants with LOE completed comprehensive testing either prior to or after seizure onset as part of a larger cohort in the ARIC Neurocognitive Study in either 2011-2013 or 2016-2017 (follow-up mean = 4.9 years). Cognitive phenotypes in individuals with LOE were derived by calculating test-level impairments for each participant (i.e., ≤1 SD below cognitively normal participants on measures of language, memory, and executive function/processing speed); and then assigning participants to phenotypes if they were impaired on at least two tests within a domain. The total number of impaired domains was used to determine the cognitive phenotypes (i.e., Minimal/No Impairment, Single Domain, or Multidomain). Results: At our baseline (Visit 5), 36.3% met criteria for Minimal/No Impairment, 35% for Single Domain Impairment (with executive functioning/ processing speed impaired in 53.6%), and 28.7% for Multidomain Impairment. The Minimal/No Impairment group had higher education and occupational complexity. There were no differences in clinical or vascular risk factors across phenotypes. Of those participants with longitudinal data (Visit 6; n = 24), 62.5% declined (i.e., progressed to a more impaired phenotype) and 37.5% remained stable. Those who remained stable were more highly educated compared to those that declined. Discussion: Our results demonstrate the presence of identifiable cognitive phenotypes in older adults with LOE. These results also highlight the high prevalence of cognitive impairments across domains, with deficits in executive function/processing speed the most common isolated impairment. We also demonstrate that higher education was associated with a Minimal/No Impairment phenotype and lower risk for cognitive decline over time.

Association of Childhood and Midlife Neighborhood Socioeconomic Position With Cognitive Decline.

Importance: Early-life socioeconomic adversity may be associated with poor cognitive health over the life course. Objective: To examine the association of childhood and midlife neighborhood socioeconomic position (nSEP) with cognitive decline. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included 5711 men and women enrolled in the community-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study with repeated cognitive data measured over a median 27.0 years (IQR, 26.0-27.9 years) (1990-2019). Statistical analysis was performed from December 2022 through March 2023. Exposure: Residence addresses for ARIC Study cohort participants were obtained at midlife (1990-1993) and as recalled addresses at 10 years of age (childhood). A composite nSEP z score was created as a sum of z scores for US Census-based measures of median household income; median value of owner-occupied housing units; percentage of households receiving interest, dividend, or net rental income; percentage of adults with a high school degree; percentage of adults with a college degree; and percentage of adults in professional, managerial, or executive occupations. Childhood nSEP and midlife nSEP were modeled as continuous measures and discretized into tertiles. Main Outcomes and Measures: A factor score for global cognition was derived from a battery of cognitive tests administered at 5 in-person visits from baseline to 2019. The rate of cognitive decline from 50 to 90 years of age was calculated by fitting mixed-effects linear regression models with age as the time scale and adjusted for race, sex, birth decade, educational level, and presence of the apolipoprotein E ε4 allele. Results: Among 5711 ARIC Study participants (mean [SD] baseline age, 55.1 [4.7] years; 3372 women [59.0%]; and 1313 Black participants [23.0%]), the median rate of cognitive decline was -0.33 SDs (IQR, -0.49 to -0.20 SDs) per decade. In adjusted analyses, each 1-SD-higher childhood nSEP score was associated with a slower (ß, -9.2%; 95% CI, -12.1% to -6.4%) rate of cognitive decline relative to the sample median. A comparable association was observed when comparing the highest tertile with the lowest tertile of childhood nSEP (ß, -17.7%; 95% CI, -24.1% to -11.3%). Midlife nSEP was not associated with the rate of cognitive decline. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of contextual factors associated with cognitive decline, childhood nSEP was inversely associated with trajectories of cognitive function throughout adulthood.

Postacute Expenditures Among Patients Discharged Home After Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: The COMprehensive Post-Acute Stroke Services (COMPASS) Trial.

OBJECTIVES: The COMPASS (COMprehensive Post-Acute Stroke Services) pragmatic trial cluster-randomized 40 hospitals in North Carolina to the COMPASS transitional care (TC) postacute care intervention or usual care. We estimated the difference in healthcare expenditures postdischarge for patients enrolled in the COMPASS-TC model of care compared with usual care. METHODS: We linked data for patients with stroke or transient ischemic attack enrolled in the COMPASS trial with administrative claims from Medicare fee-for-service (n = 2262), Medicaid (n = 341), and a large private insurer (n = 234). The primary outcome was 90-day total expenditures, analyzed separately by payer. Secondary outcomes were total expenditures 30- and 365-days postdischarge and, among Medicare beneficiaries, expenditures by point of service. In addition to intent-to-treat analysis, we conducted a per-protocol analysis to compare Medicare patients who received the intervention with those who did not, using randomization status as an instrumental variable. RESULTS: We found no statistically significant difference in total 90-day postacute expenditures between intervention and usual care; the results were consistent across payers. Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in the COMPASS intervention arm had higher 90-day hospital readmission expenditures ($682, 95% CI $60-$1305), 30-day emergency department expenditures ($132, 95% CI $13-$252), and 30-day ambulatory care expenditures ($67, 95% CI $38-$96) compared with usual care. The per-protocol analysis did not yield a significant difference in 90-day postacute care expenditures for Medicare COMPASS patients. CONCLUSIONS: The COMPASS-TC model did not significantly change patients' total healthcare expenditures for up to 1 year postdischarge.

County incidence and geospatial trends of early-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in Kentucky, 2008-2017.

BACKGROUND: Early-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (eHDP) are associated with more severe maternal and infant outcomes than later-onset disease. However, little has been done to evaluate population-level trends. Therefore, in this paper, we seek to address this understudied area by describing the geospatial and temporal patterns of county-level incidence of eHDP and assessing county-level demographics that may be associated with an increased incidence of eHDP. METHODS: Employing Kentucky certificates of live and stillbirth from 2008-2017, this ecological study detected county-level clusters of early-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy using SaTScan, calculated average annual percent change (AAPC) with a join point analysis, and identified county-level covariates (% of births to women ≥ 35 years of age, % with BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, % currently smoking, % married, and % experienced eHDP) with a fixed-effects negative binomial regression model for longitudinal data with an autoregressive (AR) correlation structure offset with the natural log of the number of births in each county and year. RESULTS: County-level incidence of eHDP had a non-statistically significant increase of almost 3% (AAPC: 2.84, 95% CI: -4.26, 10.46), while maternal smoking decreased by almost 6% over the study period (AAPC:-5.8%, 95%CI: -7.5, -4.1), Risk factors for eHDP such as pre-pregnancy BMI ≥ 30 and proportion of births to women ≥ 35 years of age increased by 2.3% and 3.4% respectively (BMI AAPC:2.3, 95% CI: 0.94, 3.7; ≥ 35 years AAPC:3.4, 95% CI: 0.66, 6.3). After adjusting for race, county-level proportions of college attainment, and maternal smoking throughout pregnancy, counties with the highest proportion of births to women with BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 reported an eHDP incidence 20% higher than counties with a lower proportion of births to mothers with a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and a 20% increase in eHDP incidence (aRR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.44). We also observed that counties with the highest proportion vs. the lowest of mothers ≥ 35 years old (> 6.1%) had a 26% higher incidence of eHDP (RR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.04, 1.50) compared to counties with the lowest incidence (< 2.5%). We further identified two county-level clusters of elevated eHDP rates. We also observed that counties with the highest vs. lowest proportion of mothers ≥ 34 years old (> 6.1% vs. < 2.5%) had a 26% increase in the incidence of eHDP (RR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.50). We further identified two county-level clusters of elevated incidence of eHDP. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified two county-level clusters of eHDP, county-level covariates associated with eHDP, and that while increasing, the average rate of increase for eHDP was not statistically significant. This study also identified the reduction in maternal smoking over the study period and the concerning increase in rates of elevated pre-pregnancy BMI among mothers. Further work to explore the population-level trends in this understudied pregnancy complication is needed to identify community factors that may contribute to disease and inform prevention strategies.

Post-acute Ambulatory Care Service Use Among Patients Discharged Home After Stroke or TIA: The Cluster-randomized COMPASS Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: We examined transitional care management within 90 days and 1 year following discharge home among acute stroke and transient ischemic attack patients from the Comprehensive Post-Acute Stroke Services (COMPASS) Study, a cluster-randomized pragmatic trial of early supported discharge conducted in 41 hospitals (40 hospital units) in North Carolina, United States. METHODS: Data for 2262 of the total 6024 (37.6%; 1069 intervention and 1193 usual care) COMPASS patients were linked with the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services fee-for-service Medicare claims. Time to the first ambulatory care visit was examined using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for patient characteristics not included in the randomization protocol. RESULTS: Only 6% of the patients [mean (SD) age 74.9 (10.2) years, 52.1% women, 80.3% White)] did not have an ambulatory care visit within 90 days postdischarge. Mean time (SD) to first ambulatory care visit was 12.0 (26.0) and 16.3 (35.1) days in intervention and usual care arms, respectively, with the majority of visits in both study arms to primary care providers. The COMPASS intervention resulted in a 27% greater use of ambulatory care services within 1 year postdischarge, relative to usual care [HR=1.27 (95% CI: 1.14-1.41)]. The use of transitional care billing codes was significantly greater in the intervention arm as compared with usual care [OR=1.87 (95% CI: 1.54-2.27)]. DISCUSSION: The COMPASS intervention, which was aimed at improving stroke post-acute care, was associated with an increase in the use of ambulatory care services by stroke and transient ischemic attack patients discharged home and an increased use of transitional care billing codes by ambulatory providers.

Patient characteristics and outcomes of acute myocardial infarction presenting without ischemic pain: Insights from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

Background: Our objective was to describe characteristics of patients presenting with and without ischemic pain among those diagnosed with acute myocardial infarction (MI) using individual-level data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study from 2005 to 2019. Methods: Acute MI included events deemed definite or probable MI by a physician panel based on ischemic pain, cardiac biomarkers, and ECG evidence. Patient characteristics included age at hospitalization, sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidities (smoking status, diabetes, hypertension, history of previous stroke, MI, or cardiovascular procedure, and history of valvular disease or cardiomyopathy) and in-hospital complications occurring during the event of interest (pulmonary edema, pulmonary embolism, in-hospital stroke, pneumonia, cardiogenic shock, ventricular fibrillation). Analyses were stratified by MI subtype (STEMI, NSTEMI, Unclassified) and patient characteristics and 28-day case fatality was compared between MI presenting with or without ischemic pain. Results: Between 2005 and 2019, there were 1711 hospitalized definite/probable MI events (47 % female, 26 % black, and age of 78 [6.7 years]). A smaller proportion of STEMI patients presented without ischemic pain compared to NSTEMI patients (20 % vs 32 %). Race, sex, age, and comorbidity profiles did not differ significantly across ischemic pain presentations. Patients presenting without ischemic pain had a higher 28-day all-cause case fatality after adjusting for age, race, sex, and comorbidities. However, after further adjustment, time from symptom onset to hospital arrival, time to treatment, and in-hospital complications explained the difference in 28-day case fatality between ischemic pain presentations. Conclusions: Future research should focus on differences in treatment delay across ischemic pain presentations rather than sex differences in acute coronary syndrome presentation.

Familial caregiving following stroke: findings from the comprehensive post-acute stroke services (COMPASS) pragmatic cluster-randomized transitional care study.

BACKGROUND: Stroke patients discharged home often require prolonged assistance from caregivers. Little is known about the real-world effectiveness of a comprehensive stroke transitional care intervention on relieving caregiver strain. OBJECTIVES: To describe the effect of the COMPASS transitional care (COMPASS-TC) intervention on caregiver strain and characterize the types, duration, and intensity of caregiving. METHODS: The cluster-randomized COMPASS pragmatic trial evaluated the effectiveness of COMPASS-TC versus usual care with patients with mild stroke and TIA at 40 hospitals in North Carolina, USA. Of 5882 patients enrolled, 4208 (71%) identified a familial caregiver. A follow-up Caregiver Questionnaire, including the Modified Caregiver Strain Index, was administered at approximately three months post-discharge. Demographics and frequency, duration, and intensity of caregiving were compared between groups. RESULTS: 1228 caregivers (29%) completed the questionnaire. Completion was positively associated with older patient age, white race, and spousal relationship. One-third of the caregivers provided ≥30 hours of care per week and 889 (79%) provided care ≥9 weeks. Average standardized caregiver strain was 21.9 (0-100), increasing with stroke severity and comorbidity burden. Women caregivers reported higher strain than men. Treatment allocation was not associated with caregiver strain. CONCLUSIONS: This sample of mild stroke and TIA survivors received significant assistance from familial caregivers. However, caregiver strain was relatively low. Findings support the importance of familial caregiving in stroke, the continued disproportionate burden on women within the family, and the need for future research on caregiver support.

Using natural language processing to identify opioid use disorder in electronic health record data.

BACKGROUND: As opioid prescriptions have risen, there has also been an increase in opioid use disorder (OUD) and its adverse outcomes. Accurate and complete epidemiologic surveillance of OUD, to inform prevention strategies, presents challenges. The objective of this study was to ascertain prevalence of OUD using two methods to identify OUD in electronic health records (EHR): applying natural language processing (NLP) for text mining of unstructured clinical notes and using ICD-10-CM diagnostic codes. METHODS: Data were drawn from EHR records for hospital and emergency department patient visits to a large regional academic medical center from 2017 to 2019. International Classification of Disease, 10th Edition, Clinic Modification (ICD-10-CM) discharge codes were extracted for each visit. To develop the rule-based NLP algorithm, a stepwise process was used. First, a small sample of visits from 2017 was used to develop initial dictionaries. Next, EHR corresponding to 30,124 visits from 2018 were used to develop and evaluate the rule-based algorithm. A random sample of the results were manually reviewed to identify and address shortcomings in the algorithm, and to estimate sensitivity and specificity of the two methods of ascertainment. Last, the final algorithm was then applied to 29,212 visits from 2019 to estimate OUD prevalence. RESULTS: While there was substantial overlap in the identified records (n = 1,381 [59.2 %]), overall n = 2,332 unique visits were identified. Of the total unique visits, 430 (18.4 %) were identified only by ICD-10-CM codes, and 521 (22.3 %) were identified only by NLP. The prevalence of visits with evidence of an OUD diagnosis in this sample, ascertained using only ICD-10-CM codes, was 1,811/29,212 (6.1 %). Including the additional 521 visits identified only by NLP, the estimated prevalence of OUD is 2,332/29,212 (7.9 %), an increase of 29.5 % compared to the use of ICD-10-CM codes alone. The estimated sensitivity and specificity of the NLP-based OUD classification were 81.8 % and 97.5 %, respectively, relative to gold-standard manual review by an expert addiction medicine physician. CONCLUSION: NLP-based algorithms can automate data extraction and identify evidence of opioid use disorder from unstructured electronic healthcare records. The most complete ascertainment of OUD in EHR was combined NLP with ICD-10-CM codes. NLP should be considered for epidemiological studies involving EHR data.

Aging-Related Multisystem Dysregulation Over the Adult Life Span and Physical Function in Later Life: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Multisystem dysregulation (Dm) shows promise as a metric of aging and predicts mortality. However, Dm needs to be studied with less severe endpoints indicating modifiable aging stages. Physical function, reflecting healthy longevity rather than just longevity, is more relevant to the goals of geroscience but has not been well investigated. METHODS: We tested the association of midlife Dm and its change over ~20 years with physical function in later life in 5 583 the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study cohort participants (baseline mean age 54.7). Dm quantifies the multivariate statistical deviation of 17 physiologically motivated biomarkers relative to their distribution in a young healthy sample at baseline. Physical function was assessed from grip strength and the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB). Associations were quantified using linear regression and ordinal logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, race, and education. RESULTS: Each unit increment in midlife Dm was associated with 1.71 times the odds of having a lower SPPB score. Compared to the first quartile of midlife Dm, the odds ratios of having a lower SPPB score were 1.25, 1.56, and 2.45, respectively, for the second-fourth quartiles. Similar graded association patterns were observed for each SPPB component test and grip strength. An inverse monotonic relationship also was observed between the annual growth rate of Dm and physical function. CONCLUSION: Greater Dm and progression in midlife were associated with lower physical function in later life. Future studies on the factors that lead to the progression of Dm may highlight opportunities to preserve physical function.

Optimal P2Y12 inhibitor durations in older men and older women following an acute myocardial infarction: A nationwide cohort study using Medicare data.

Study objective: Identify optimal P2Y12 inhibitor durations balancing ischemic-benefit and bleeding-risk outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in older men and women. Design: Observational retrospective cohort with 2 years of follow-up, using clone-censor-weight marginal structural models to emulate randomization. Setting: 20 % sample of US Medicare administrative claims data. Participants: P2Y12 inhibitor new users ≥66 years old following 2008-2013 AMI hospitalization. Exposures: 12- to 24-month P2Y12 inhibitor durations in 1-month intervals. Main outcome measures: Effectiveness outcome (composite of all-cause mortality, recurrent AMI, ischemic stroke), safety outcome (hospitalized bleed), and negative control outcome (heart failure hospitalization). Results: Of 28,488 P2Y12 inhibitor new users, 51 % were female, 50 % were > 75 years old, 88 % were White/non-Hispanic, and 93 % initiated clopidogrel. Negative control outcome results for 16- through 24-month durations appeared most likely to meet assumptions of no unmeasured confounding. Compared to men taking 24-month therapy, men taking 16-month therapy had higher 2-year risks of the composite effectiveness outcome (relative risk [RR] = 1.08; 95 % confidence interval [95%CI]:1.00-1.15) with similar bleeding risks (RR = 0.98; 95%CI:0.85-1.13). Compared to women taking 24-month therapy, women taking 16-month therapy had similar 2-year risks of the composite effectiveness outcome (RR = 0.98; 95%CI:0.92-1.04) and lower bleeding risks (RR = 0.88; 95%CI:0.80-0.96). Conclusions: Older men taking 24-month P2Y12 inhibitor therapy had the lowest composite effectiveness outcome risk with no increased bleeding risk compared to shorter durations. Women taking 16-month versus 24-month P2Y12 inhibitor therapy had similar composite effectiveness outcome risks but a substantially lower hospitalized bleeding risk, suggesting durations beyond 15-17 months lacked benefit while increasing bleeding risk.

Decline in Lung Function From Mid-to Late-Life With Central Arterial Stiffness: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

We investigated the association of lung function at mid-life, later in life, and its 20-year decline, with arterial stiffness later in life. We examined 5720 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants who attended Visits 1 (1987-1989) and 5 (2011-2013). Lung function measures were forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC), obtained at Visits 1, 2 (1990-1992), and 5. Central artery stiffness (carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity [cfPWV]) was measured at Visit 5. We evaluated associations of lung function with later-life central artery stiffness and cfPWV >75th percentile by multivariable linear and logistic regressions. Lung function at Visit 1 (FEV1 ß: -26, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: -48, -5; FVC ß: -14, 95% CI: -32, 5) and Visit 5 (FEV1 ß: -22, 95% CI: -46, 2; FVC ß: -18, 95% CI: -38, 2) were inversely associated with cfPWV at Visit 5, and with odds of high cfPWV in fully adjusted models. Twenty-year decline in lung function was not associated with continuous or dichotomous measures of arterial stiffness (FEV1 ß: 11, 95% CI: -46, 68; FVC ß: -4, 95% CI: -52, 43). Lung function at mid-life and late-life was inversely associated with arterial stiffness in later life.

An evaluation of injurious falls and Fall-Risk-Increasing-Drug (FRID) prescribing in ambulatory care in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Falls are a major public health problem affecting millions of older adults each year. Little is known about FRID prescribing behaviors after injurious falls occur. The primary objective of this study was to investigate whether an injurious fall is associated with being prescribed a new FRID. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis using data from the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (2016). We included visits from patients age ≥ 65 years and classified visits based on presence of an injurious fall. The outcome of interest was prescription of new FRID between those with and without an injurious fall. Multivariable logistic regression weighted for sampling and adjusted for demographics, health history and other medications was used. Age and Alzheimer's disease were examined as potential effect measure modifiers. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were reported. Bayes factor upper bounds were also reported to quantify whether the data were better predicted by the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis. RESULTS: The sample included 239,016,482 ambulatory care visits. 5,095,734 (2.1%) of the visits were related to an injurious fall. An injurious fall was associated with a non-statistically significant increase in odds of at least one new FRID prescription: adjusted OR = 1.6 (95% CI 0.6, 4.0). However, there was non-statistically significant evidence that the association depended on patient age, with OR = 2.6 (95% CI 0.9, 7.4) for ages 65-74 versus OR = 0.4 (95% CI 0.1, 1.6) for ages ≥ 75. In addition to age, Alzheimer's disease was also identified as a statistically significant effect measure modifier, but stratum specific estimates were not determined due to small sample sizes. CONCLUSIONS: Ambulatory care visits involving an injurious fall showed a non-statistically significant increase in odds of generating a new FRID prescription, but this association may depend on age.

Clinically Recognized Varicose Veins and Physical Function in Older Individuals: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Although a few studies reported an association between varicose veins and physical function, this potentially bidirectional association has not been systematically evaluated in the general population. METHOD: In 5 580 participants (aged 71-90 years) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, varicose veins were identified in outpatient and inpatient administrative data prior to (prevalent cases) and after (incident cases) visit 5 (2011-2013). Physical function was evaluated by the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB, score ranging from 0 to 12). We evaluated (i) cross-sectional association between prevalent varicose veins and physical function, (ii) association of prevalent varicose veins with subsequent changes in physical function from visit 5 to visits 6 (2016-2017) and 7 (2018-2019), and (iii) association of physical function at visit 5 with incident varicose veins during a median follow-up of 3.6 years (105 incident varicose veins among 5 350 participants without prevalent cases at baseline). RESULTS: At baseline, varicose veins were recognized in 230 (4.1%) participants and cross-sectionally associated with reduced physical function. Longitudinally, prevalent varicose veins were not significantly associated with a decline in SPPB over time. In contrast, a low SPPB ≤6 was associated with a greater incidence of varicose veins compared to SPPB ≥10 (adjusted hazard ratio 2.13 [95% confidence interval = 1.19, 3.81]). CONCLUSION: In community-dwelling older adults, varicose veins and low physical function were associated cross-sectionally. Longitudinally, low physical function was a risk factor for incident varicose veins, but not vice versa. Our findings suggest an etiological contribution of low physical function to incident varicose veins.