Improved survival among HIV-infected patients after initiation of triple-drug antiretroviral regimens.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of triple-drug antiretroviral regimens in the treatment of patients infected with HIV has been established in several randomized clinical trials. However, the effectiveness of these new regimens in patient populations outside clinical trials remain unproven. This study compared mortality and AIDS-free survival among HIV-infected patients in British Columbia who were treated with double- and triple-drug regimens. METHODS: The authors used a prospective, population-based cohort design to study a population of HIV-positive men and women 18 years or older for whom antiretroviral therapy was first prescribed between Oct. 1, 1994, and Dec. 31, 1996; all patients were from British Columbia. Rates of progression from the initiation of antiretroviral therapy to death or to diagnosis of primary AIDS were determined for patients who initially received an ERA-II regimen (2 nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors [NRTIs] including lamivudine or stavudine, or both) and for those who initially received an ERA-III regimen (triple-drug regimen consisting of 2 NRTIs and a protease inhibitor [indinavir, ritonavir or saquinavir] or a non-NRTI [nevirapine]). RESULTS: A total of 500 men and women (312 receiving an ERA-III regimen and 188 an ERA-III regimen) were eligible. Patients in the ERA-III group survived significantly longer than those in the ERA-II group. As of Dec. 31, 1997, 40 patients had died (35 in the ERA-II group and 5 in the ERA-III group), for a crude mortality rate of 8.0%. The cumulative mortality rates at 12 months were 7.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.9% to 8.9%) for patients in the ERA-II group and 1.6% (95% CI 0.7% to 2.5%) for those in the ERA-III group (log rank p = 0.003). The likelihood of death was more than 3 times higher among patients in the ERA-II group (mortality risk ratio 3.82 [95% CI 1.48% to 9.84], p = 0.006). After adjustment for prophylaxis for Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia or Mycobacterium avium infection, AIDS diagnosis, CD4+ cell count, sex and age at initiation of therapy, the likelihood of death among patients in the ERA-II group was 3.21 times higher (95% CI 1.24 to 8.30, p = 0.016) than in the ERA-III group. Cumulative rates of progression to AIDS or death at 12 months were 9.6% (95% CI 7.7% to 11.5%) in the ERA-II group and 3.3% (95% CI 1.8% to 4.8%) in the ERA-III group (log rank p = 0.006). After adjustment for prognostic variables (prophylaxis for P. carinii pneumonia or M. avium infection, CD4+ cell count, sex and age at initiation of treatment), the likelihood of progression to AIDS or death at 12 months among patients in the ERA-II group was 2.37 times higher (95% CI 1.04 to 5.38, p = 0.040) than in the ERA-III group. INTERPRETATION: This population-based cohort study confirms that patients initially treated with a triple-drug antiretroviral regimen comprising 2 NRTIs plus protease inhibitor or a non-NRTI have a lower risk of morbidity and death than patients treated exclusively with 2 NRTIs.

Codon 215 mutations in human immunodeficiency virus-infected pregnant women. Swiss Collaborative 'HIV and Pregnancy' Study.

In 1994, the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group (PACTG) Protocol 076 demonstrated a two-thirds reduction of perinatal human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 transmission with zidovudine chemoprophylaxis. However, zidovudine alone does not fully suppress HIV replication, and chemoprophylaxis with zidovudine alone might select for zidovudine-resistant viral variants, decreasing the efficacy of zidovudine prophylaxis and affecting future responses to combined antiretroviral regimens. Sixty-two HIV-infected pregnant women consecutively enrolled in the ongoing Swiss HIV and Pregnancy Study were prospectively evaluated for the presence or development of zidovudine resistance by analysis of codon 215 of the reverse transcriptase gene. Six women (9.6%) harbored a codon T215Y/F mutation, which is associated with high-level resistance to zidovudine. Postnatal evaluation was completed in all children of mothers harboring the mutation. None was HIV-infected. The observed prevalence of codon 215 mutations of 9.6% raises important concerns regarding the future use of the PACTG 076 regimen.

Does pregnancy influence the course of HIV infection? Evidence from two large Swiss cohort studies.

The question whether the natural history of HIV infection in women is affected by pregnancy has not so far been convincingly answered. We used prospective cohort data to compare pregnant and nonpregnant HIV-infected women during follow-up within the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) and the Swiss Collaborative HIV and Pregnancy Study (SCHPS). Pregnant women were eligible if a CD4 cell count had been made before conception had taken place. Additional inclusion criteria were a pregnancy completed to delivery during follow-up and an observation period of at least 6 months after delivery. Thirty-two women who fulfilled these criteria were compared with 416 controls, matched for age and CD4 cell count at entry, who had not been pregnant during follow-up. Mean follow-up time was 4.8 years for pregnant women and 3.6 years for controls. The rate of any AIDS-defining event was higher in pregnant women (rate ratio [RR] from Cox regression, 1.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-4.64) but this did not reach statistical significance (p = .15). A statistically significant difference (p = .008) emerged only for one AIDS-defining event, recurrent bacterial pneumonia (RR, 7.98; 95% CI, 1.73-36.8). The rate of death was similar in the two groups (RR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.48-2.72; p = .8). Our results thus indicate that, after taking CD4 cell counts before conception into account, acceleration of disease progression is inconsistent among HIV-infected women who become pregnant during follow-up.