Turbulent convection as a significant hidden provider of magnetic helicity in solar eruptions.

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections, the primary space weather disturbances affecting the entire heliosphere and near-Earth environment, mainly emanate from sunspot regions harbouring high degrees of magnetic twist. However, it is not clear how magnetic helicity, the quantity for measuring the magnetic twist, is supplied to the upper solar atmosphere via the emergence of magnetic flux from the turbulent convection zone. Here, we report state-of-the-art numerical simulations of magnetic flux emergence from the deep convection zone. By controlling the twist of emerging flux, we find that with the support of convective upflow, the untwisted emerging flux can reach the solar surface without collapsing, in contrast to previous theoretical predictions, and eventually create sunspots. Because of the turbulent twisting of magnetic flux, the produced sunspots exhibit rotation and inject magnetic helicity into the upper atmosphere, amounting to a substantial fraction of injected helicity in the twisted cases that is sufficient to produce flare eruptions. This result indicates that the turbulent convection is responsible for supplying a non-negligible amount of magnetic helicity and potentially contributes to solar flares.

A physics-based method that can predict imminent large solar flares.

Solar flares are highly energetic events in the Sun's corona that affect Earth's space weather. The mechanism that drives the onset of solar flares is unknown, hampering efforts to forecast them, which mostly rely on empirical methods. We present the κ-scheme, a physics-based model to predict large solar flares through a critical condition of magnetohydrodynamic instability, triggered by magnetic reconnection. Analysis of the largest (X-class) flares from 2008 to 2019 (during solar cycle 24) shows that the κ-scheme predicts most imminent large solar flares, with a small number of exceptions for confined flares. We conclude that magnetic twist flux density, close to a magnetic polarity inversion line on the solar surface, determines when and where solar flares may occur and how large they can be.

Lagrangian chaotic saddles and objective vortices in solar plasmas.

We report observational evidence of Lagrangian chaotic saddles in plasmas, given by the intersections of finite-time unstable and stable manifolds, using an ≈22h sequence of spacecraft images of the horizontal velocity field of solar photosphere. A set of 29 persistent objective vortices with lifetimes varying from 28.5 to 298.3 min are detected by computing the Lagrangian averaged vorticity deviation. The unstable manifold of the Lagrangian chaotic saddles computed for ≈11h exhibits twisted folding motions indicative of recurring vortices in a magnetic mixed-polarity region. We show that the persistent objective vortices are formed in the gap regions of Lagrangian chaotic saddles at supergranular junctions.

Formation and dynamics of a solar eruptive flux tube.

Solar eruptions are well-known drivers of extreme space weather, which can greatly disturb the Earth's magnetosphere and ionosphere. The triggering process and initial dynamics of these eruptions are still an area of intense study. Here we perform a magnetohydrodynamic simulation taking into account the observed photospheric magnetic field to reveal the dynamics of a solar eruption in a real magnetic environment. In our simulation, we confirmed that tether-cutting reconnection occurring locally above the polarity inversion line creates a twisted flux tube, which is lifted into a toroidal unstable area where it loses equilibrium, destroying the force-free state, and driving the eruption. Consequently, a more highly twisted flux tube is built up during this initial phase, which can be further accelerated even when it returns to a stable area. We suggest that a nonlinear positive feedback process between the flux tube evolution and reconnection is the key to ensure this extra acceleration.