Low alanine aminotransferase as a risk factor for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in males.

Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels reflect skeletal muscle volume and general performance, which are associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) development and prognosis. This study aimed to investigate ALT levels as a risk factor for COPD development. This 13-year population-based retrospective observational cohort study included 422,452 participants for analysis. We classified groups according to the baseline ALT levels (groups 1-5: ALT (IU/L) < 10; 10-19; 20-29; 30-39; and ≥ 40, respectively). The incidence of COPD was the highest in group 1, decreasing as the group number increased in males, but not in females. The Cox regression analysis in males revealed that a lower ALT level, as a continuous variable, was a significant risk factor for COPD development [univariable, hazard ratio (HR): 0.992, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.991-0.994; multivariable, HR: 0.998, 95% CI: 0.996-0.999]. In addition, COPD was more likely to develop in the lower ALT level groups (groups 1-4; < 40 IU/L), than in the highest ALT level group (group 5; ≥ 40 IU/L) (univariable, HR: 1.341, 95% CI: 1.263-1.424; multivariable, HR: 1.097, 95% CI: 1.030-1.168). Our findings suggest that males with low ALT levels should be carefully monitored for COPD development.

FEF25-75% Values in Patients with Normal Lung Function Can Predict the Development of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Purpose: The forced mid-expiratory flow (FEF25-75%) value is a potentially sensitive marker of obstructive peripheral airflow. We aimed to assess whether FEF25-75% can be an early predictor of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Patients and Methods: Between July 1, 2007 and June 31, 2009, we identified 3624 patients who underwent a pulmonary function test (PFT) in Gangnam Severance Hospital. We selected 307 patients aged over 40 years without COPD who had normal PFT results at baseline and who had follow-up PFT records more than 1 year later. A FEF25-75% z-score less than -0.8435 was considered low. We defined COPD as a forced expiratory volume in one second/forced vital capacity value of less than 0.7 before July 31, 2019. Results: Among 307 patients, 91 (29.6%) had low FEF25-75% at baseline. After 10 years, the incidence rate of COPD in the low FEF25-75% group was significantly higher than that in the normal FEF25-75% group (41.8% vs 7.4%; P-value<0.001). The Cox proportional hazard model showed that age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.09; P-value<0.001), smoking status (occasional smoker HR, 4.59; P-value<0.001 and long-term smoker HR, 2.18; P-value=0.023), and low FEF25-75% (HR, 3.31; P-value<0.001) were predictive factors for the development of COPD. Conclusion: The FEF25-75% value in patients with normal lung function is a useful predictor for the development of COPD. We should carefully monitor patients who present with low FEF25-75% values, even if they have normal lung function.

Prediction model for hyperprogressive disease in non-small cell lung cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Hyperprogressive disease (HPD) is a paradoxical acceleration of tumor growth after immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment. This study aimed to identify the risk factors and to present a predictive model for HPD in patients treated with ICIs. METHODS: A total of 78 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) cases, treated with at least two cycles of ICIs who underwent computed tomography (CT) for response assessment were recruited into the study from January 2016 to August 2019. HPD was defined by the following criteria: (i) time-to-treatment failure <2 months; (ii) a 50% increase in the sum of target lesion diameters; (iii) new development of at least two lesions in an already involved organ; (iv) appearance of a new organ lesion; and (v) a decrease in ECOG PS 2. RESULTS: Of the 78 total patients, 15 (19.2%) had HPD. The risk factors of HPD were age; primary lesion size; and metastases in the contralateral lung, pleura, liver, and bone in multivariable logistic regression (odds ratio [OR]; 0.9038, 1.6619, 28.5913, 23.8264, 14.5711, and 20.1533, respectively, all P-values < 0.05). By using these risk factors, we developed a prediction model for HPD and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model was 0.9556 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.9133-0.9978). CONCLUSIONS: HPD is relatively common and associated with a grave clinical outcome, requiring a careful monitoring in lung cancer patients treated with ICIs. Moreover, risk factors such as age, size of tumor and number of various metastatic lesions should be taken into consideration before ICI administration. KEY POINTS: SIGNIFICANT FINDINGS OF THE STUDY: Age, primary lesion size, and number of metastases are risk factors of HPD. HPD is strongly associated with poor prognosis. HPD during ICI use needs comprehensive monitoring. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS: This is the first study to develop a prediction model. The area under the curve of the prediction model for HPD was 0.9556.

Positive Effects of the National Cigarette Price Increase Policy on Smoking Cessation in South Korea.

BACKGROUND: In January 2015, South Korea's government raised the cigarette tax, and the retail price of cigarettes abruptly increased by 80% compared to the previous year. This research aimed to determine the effect of this increase on smoking cessation among South Korean smokers. METHODS: We analyzed data collected by the 2013-2015 South Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey of 15,203 South Koreans over 19 years old using regression analysis. We examined the recent non-smoking period of nonsmoking people, prepared according to the survey, and analyzed the recent smoking cessation ratio. RESULTS: Among smokers, from 2013 to 2014, the smoking cessation rate was 7.2%, and it increased to 9.9% in 2015 after the increase in the cigarette tax. In 2015, the recent smoking cessation rate was higher among people over the age of 60 (odds ratio [OR], 2.67) compared to those between the ages of 40 and 49. The recent smoking cessation rate was higher among people with below elementary education (OR, 2.28) and above university education (OR, 1.94) compared to high school, higher for those with apartments (OR, 1.74) compared to general type residences, and higher among those with a household income in the low-middle quartile (Q2) (OR, 2.32) compared to the highest quartile (Q4). CONCLUSION: This innovative policy including increase in cigarette prices affected smoking cessation, and its impact varied by sub-group of smokers in South Korea.

Presence of mEGFR ctDNA predicts a poor clinical outcome in lung adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a biomarker for the selection of target agents in various malignancies. In this study, we examined the effect of ctDNA presence on the response to EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) and on the prognosis in lung adenocarcinoma. METHODS: ctDNA of EGFR-TKI sensitizing mutations (mEGFR), L858R substitution and Exon 19 deletion (E19d) mutation, was evaluated using droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) in 81 patients with lung adenocarcinoma which harbored mEGFR in the corresponding tumor tissues. RESULTS: The study recruited lung cancer patients at various stages, and the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of mEGFR ctDNA detection by ddPCR were 40.0%, 88.5%, and 0.68, respectively. It showed higher sensitivity (75.0% vs. 10.0%) and AUC (0.83 vs. 0.49) in the advanced stages of lung adenocarcinoma compared with the early stages and the number of metastases and the fractional abundance of mEGFR ctDNA showed a strong correlation (σ = 0.516; P < 0.001, Spearman correlation test). There was a significantly shorter progression-free survival and duration of disease control by EGFR-TKIs in the ctDNA-positive group than the negative group (14.0 vs. 41.0 months, P = 0.02 and 12.0 vs. 23.0 months, P = 0.02, log-rank test, respectively). There was a trend for overall survival time to be shorter in patients with mEGFR ctDNA than for patients without mEGFR ctDNA (35.6 vs. 67.1 months, P = 0.06, log-rank test). CONCLUSIONS: These data showed that mEGFR ctDNA detection using ddPCR is useful in the advanced stages and its presence predicted distant metastasis and poor clinical outcome in lung adenocarcinoma.