A decision-making algorithm for performing or cancelling embryo transfer in patients at high risk for ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome after triggering final oocyte maturation with hCG.

STUDY QUESTION: Can the grade of ascites, haematocrit (Ht), white blood cell (WBC) count and maximal ovarian diameter (MOD) measured on Day 3 be used to construct a decision-making algorithm for performing or cancelling embryo transfer in patients at high risk for severe ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) after an hCG trigger? SUMMARY ANSWER: Using cut-offs of ascites grade>2, Ht>39.2%, WBC>12 900/mm3 and MOD>85 mm on Day 3, a decision-making algorithm was constructed that could predict subsequent development of severe OHSS on Day 5 with an AUC of 0.93, a sensitivity of 88.5% and a specificity of 84.2% in high-risk patients triggered with hCG. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Despite the increasing popularity of GnRH agonist trigger for final oocyte maturation as a way to prevent OHSS, ≥75% of IVF cycles still involve an hCG trigger. Numerous risk factors and predictive models of OHSS have been proposed, but the measurement of these early predictors is restricted either prior to or during the controlled ovarian stimulation. In high-risk patients triggered with hCG, the identification of luteal-phase predictors assessed post-oocyte retrieval, which reflect the pathophysiological changes leading to severe early OHSS, is currently lacking. STUDY DESIGN SIZE DURATION: A retrospective study of 321 patients at high risk for severe OHSS following hCG triggering of final oocyte maturation. High risk for OHSS was defined as the presence of at least 19 follicles ≥11 mm on the day of triggering of final oocyte maturation. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS SETTING METHODS: The study includes IVF/ICSI patients at high risk for developing severe OHSS, who administered hCG to trigger final oocyte maturation. Ascites grade, MOD, Ht and WBC were assessed in the luteal phase starting from the day of oocyte retrieval. Outcome measures were the optimal thresholds of ascites grade, MOD, Ht and WBC measured on Day 3 post-oocyte retrieval to predict subsequent severe OHSS development on Day 5. These criteria were used to construct a decision-making algorithm for embryo transfer, based on the estimated probability of severe OHSS development on Day 5. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The optimal Day 3 cutoffs for severe OHSS prediction on Day 5 were ascites grade>2, Ht>39.2%, WBC>12 900/mm3 and MOD>85 mm. The probability of severe OHSS with no criteria fulfilled on Day 3 is 0% (95% CI: 0-5.5); with one criterion, 0.8% (95% CI: 0.15-4.6); with two criteria, 13.3% (95% CI: 7.4-22.8); with three criteria, 37.2% (95% CI: 24.4-52.1); and with four criteria, 88.9% (95% CI, 67.2-98.1). The predictive model of severe OHSS had an AUC of 0.93 with a sensitivity of 88.5% and a specificity of 84.2%. LIMITATIONS REASONS FOR CAUTION: This is a retrospective study, and therefore, it cannot be excluded that non-apparent sources of bias might be present. In addition, we acknowledge the lack of external validation of our model. We have created a web-based calculator (http://ohsspredict.org), for wider access and usage of our tool. By inserting the values of ascites grade, MOD, Ht and WBC of high-risk patients on Day 3 after oocyte retrieval, the clinician instantly receives the predicted probability of severe OHSS development on Day 5. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The present study describes a novel decision-making algorithm for embryo transfer based on ascites, Ht, WBC and MOD measurements on Day 3. The algorithm may be useful for the management of high-risk patients triggered with hCG and for helping the clinician's decision to proceed with, or to cancel, embryo transfer. It must be emphasized that the availability of the present decision-making algorithm should in no way encourage the use of hCG trigger in patients at high risk for OHSS. In these patients, the recommended approach is the use of GnRH antagonist protocols, GnRH agonist trigger and elective embryo cryopreservation. In addition, in patients triggered with hCG, freezing all embryos and luteal-phase GnRH antagonist administration should be considered for the outpatient management of severe early OHSS and prevention of late OHSS. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: NHMRC Early Career Fellowship (GNT1147154) to C.A.V. No conflict of interest to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Cost-savings of adalimumab in hidradenitis suppurativa: a retrospective analysis of a real-world cohort.

BACKGROUND: The introduction of adalimumab in the management of hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) raises questions regarding the cost-efficacy of treatment. OBJECTIVES: To explore cost-efficacy of treatment with anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) agents in a real-world cohort. METHODS: Patients with Hurley stage II and III HS with ≥ 1 year of follow-up and at least three visits per year from September 2003 to December 2016 were analysed. Patient visits were divided into two categories - visits for treatment with agents blocking TNF or visits for other therapies. The cost of exacerbations was calculated based on the cost of items provided in current price lists or by the national health insurance agency in cases of hospitalization. Effectiveness of anti-TNF agents was calculated by assessing containment of exacerbations. The primary study end point was the cost-savings achieved using anti-TNF agents. RESULTS: Overall, 1211 patient visits for 250 patients were analysed. Total containment of exacerbations was found in 25·1% of visits involving other therapies and in 63·4% of visits involving anti-TNF agents. The cost-savings per patient visit for patients receiving anti-TNF agents vs. other therapies was €178·92. The odds ratio for the total containment of exacerbations among patients with Hurley stage II and III was 4·86 and 6·03, respectively (P = 0·466). Treatment with anti-TNF agents was an independent variable affecting annual cost as shown by two-way analysis of variance. In Hurley stage III HS, mean annual cost was €8309·60 under other therapies compared with €3264·20 using anti-TNF agents (P = 0·004). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with anti-TNF agents achieves significant cost-benefit through containment of HS exacerbations. The efficacy of anti-TNF agents was similar for both disease stages.

Age-specific application of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in meningitis: a nationwide study.

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) neutrophil counts and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are useful in distinguishing bacterial and viral meningitis. Given that meningitis is clinically heterogeneous with regard to age, here we investigated the validity of the CSF NLR and neutrophil assay according to age group. Data from the nationwide referral of >4,000 meningitis cases to the Hellenic Meningitis Reference Laboratory between 2006 and 2013 were examined. CSF NLR and neutrophil counts were stratified according to age, and assay performance was determined using previous cut-off values of 2 and 287 cells/µl for CSF NLR and neutrophils respectively. The distribution of bacterial versus viral meningitis was heterogenous across age groups, with a low proportion of bacterial meningitis in patients aged 5-14. CSF neutrophil count and NLR were significantly more discriminatory for bacterial meningitis in patients aged over 14 years than those aged 0-14. The odds ratio (OR), sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were significantly higher in older patients for both biomarkers. When combined, the false-positive and false-negative detection of bacterial meningitis was 3.9 and 8.5% respectively, and the OR of 262.2 was 2.5-fold greater than expected from a multiplicative effect alone in patients aged >14 years. Care is required when applying diagnostic tests for meningitis in different age groups because of patient heterogeneity. This is the first description of the age distribution of meningitis cases in Greece, and knowledge of the age-related distribution of neutrophils and NLR in meningitis cases could help towards developing age-specific meningitis diagnostic assays.

Implementation of minimal invasive gynaecological surgery certification will challenge gynaecologists with new legal and ethical issues.

The introduction of a certification / diploma program in Minimal Invasive Surgery (MIS) is expected to improve surgical performance, patient's safety and outcome. The Gynaecological Endoscopic Surgical Education and Assessment programme (GESEA) and the ESHRE Certification for Reproductive Endoscopic Surgery (ECRES) provides a structured learning path, recognising different pillars of competence. In order to achieve a high level of competence a two steps validation is necessary: (a) the individual should be certified of having the appropriate theoretical knowledge and (b) the endoscopic psychomotor skills before entering in the diploma programme reflecting the surgical competence. The influence of such an educational and credentialing path could improve safety and offer financial benefits to the hospitals, physicians and healthcare authorities. Moreover the medicolegal consequences can be important when a significant amount of surgeons possess the different diplomas. As the programs are becoming universally accessible, recognised as the best scientific standard, included in the continuous medical education (CME) and continuous professional development (CPD), it is expected that a significant number of surgeons will soon accomplish the diploma path. The co-existence and practice of both non-certified and certified surgeons with different degrees of experience is unavoidable. However, it is expected that national health systems (NHS), hospitals and insurance companies will demand and hire doctors with high and specific proficiency to endoscopic surgery. When medico-legal cases are under investigation, the experts should be aware of the limitations that individual experience provides. The court first of all examines and then judges if there is negligence and decides accordingly. However, lack of certification may be considered as negligence by a surgeon operating a case that eventual faces litigation problems. Patients' safety and objective preoperative counselling are mandatory, directly connected to MIS certification while eliminating any dispute of surgeons' credibility.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in the differential diagnosis of acute bacterial meningitis.

The differential diagnosis of acute community-acquired meningitis is of paramount importance in both therapeutic and healthcare-related economic terms. Despite the routinely used markers, novel, easily calculated, and rapidly available biomarkers are needed particularly in resource-poor settings. A promising, exponentially studied inflammatory marker is the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), albeit not assessed in meningitis. The aim of this study was to investigate the utility of the NLR in the differential diagnosis of acute meningitis. Data on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood leukocyte parameters from more than 4,000 patients diagnosed with either bacterial or viral meningitis in Greece during the period 2006-2013 were retrospectively examined. The diagnostic accuracy of the NLR and neutrophil counts in CSF and blood were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves. The discrimination ability of both the NLR and neutrophil counts was significantly higher in CSF than in blood. The optimal cutoff values of the NLR and neutrophil counts were 2 in CSF vs 8 in blood, and 287 cells in CSF vs 12,100 cells in blood, respectively. For these values, sensitivity, negative predictive value, and odds ratio were statistically significantly higher in CSF than blood for both markers. Logistic regression analysis showed that the CSF NLR carries independent and additive information to neutrophil counts in the differential diagnosis of acute meningitis. This study is the first one to assess NLR in acute meningitis, providing promising results for its differential diagnosis.

Elevated soluble urokinase receptor values in CSF, age and bacterial meningitis infection are independent and additive risk factors of fatal outcome.

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the potential role of cerebrospinal fluid soluble urokinase receptor (suPAR) level, infection and age as risk factors for fatal outcome in patients suspected of having meningitis and/or bacteraemia on admission to hospital. A total of 545 cerebrospinal fluid samples from patients with clinically suspected meningitis were sent to the Hellenic National Meningitis Reference Laboratory. Ten of 545 (1.83%) patients died. Analysis by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve revealed that both suPAR and age were significant for prediction of fatal outcome. Patients with levels of suPAR above the cut-off values and age ≥ 51 years, or patients in which either Neisseria meningitis or Streptococcus pneumoniae were detected were categorized as high risk patients. The combination of the above three predictors (suPAR, age and infectious agent) in a logistic regression model with outcome of infection as the dependent variable yielded an overall odds ratio (OR = 85.7, 95% CI 10.6-690.2) with both sensitivity and specificity being equal to the value of 0.9. In conclusion, suPAR, age and type of infection have an additive effect in predicting mortality among patients suspected of meningitis.

Decreased stature in gestational diabetes mellitus.

Short stature has been associated with various degrees of abnormal glucose tolerance in middle-aged people, where the effects of age and metabolic control would be difficult to exclude. We chose to examine body stature in women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), a prediabetic state affecting a young group of people. A sample of 2772 Greek pregnant women, referred for GDM screening was examined. After a 100-g oral glucose tolerance test, 1787 women were classified as normal (N), 300 women were found with one abnormal glucose value (OAV) and 685 women with GDM. Basal insulin resistance was calculated in 640 women by homeostasis model assessment. In addition, 51 pregnant women with pre-existing Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 109 with pre-existing Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus were included in the study. There was a gradual decrease in mean height (cm) as glucose intolerance became more severe: N: 161.0 +/- 6.2, OAV:160.2 +/- 6.1, GDM:158.7 +/- 6.3, Type II diabetes 158.2 +/- 7.0 (p < 0.001, analysis of variance]. Height in Type I diabetes (160.1 +/- 5.9) did not differ from the normal group. The difference in height between the normal and GDM groups remained (p < 0.001) when body weight, age, birth before or after 1960 and educational status were also taken into account. An independent correlation was also found between height and insulin resistance (n = 640) adjusted for the above mentioned variables. In conclusion, short stature appears to be associated with glucose intolerance as an independent variable, even when this intolerance is both mild and temporary. The previously unrecognised independent association of stature with basal insulin resistance merits further investigation.