Liver stiffness measurement predicts short-term and long-term outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative liver resection.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the commonest cancer in the world. Despite curative resection, recurrence remains the largest challenge. Many risk factors were identified for predicting recurrence, including liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. Transient elastography (Fibroscan) is an accurate tool in measuring liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate the use of preoperative liver stiffness measurement (LSM), with Fibroscan in predicting long-term recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative resection. METHOD: A prospective cohort study was conducted from February 2010 - June 2017 in Prince of Wales hospital. All consecutive patients with HCC undergone hepatectomy were included. Demographic factors, preoperative LSM, tumor characteristics and operative details were assessed. Primary outcome and secondary outcome were overall survival and disease free survival at 1 year, 3 year and 5 year respectively. RESULTS: A total of 401 cases were included. Patients with LSM ≥12kPa had significantly lower 5-year overall survival rate (75.1% vs 57.3%, p < 0.001) and disease free survival rate (45.8% vs. 26.7%, p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, pre-operative creatinine and vascular invasion of tumor were significant factors in predicting early recurrence (p = 0.012 and p = 0.004). LSM ≥12kPa were the only significant factor in predicting late recurrence (p = 0.048). CONCLUSION: Pre-operative liver stiffness measurement could predict the late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection.

Transient elastography for screening of liver fibrosis: Cost-effectiveness analysis from six prospective cohorts in Europe and Asia.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and alcohol-related liver disease pose an important challenge to current clinical healthcare pathways because of the large number of at-risk patients. Therefore, we aimed to explore the cost-effectiveness of transient elastography (TE) as a screening method to detect liver fibrosis in a primary care pathway. METHODS: Cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using real-life individual patient data from 6 independent prospective cohorts (5 from Europe and 1 from Asia). A diagnostic algorithm with conditional inference trees was developed to explore the relationships between liver stiffness, socio-demographics, comorbidities, and hepatic fibrosis, the latter assessed by fibrosis scores (FIB-4, NFS) and liver biopsies in a subset of 352 patients. We compared the incremental cost-effectiveness of a screening strategy against standard of care alongside the numbers needed to screen to diagnose a patient with fibrosis stage ≥F2. RESULTS: The data set encompassed 6,295 participants (mean age 55 ±â€¯12 years, BMI 27 ±â€¯5 kg/m2, liver stiffness 5.6 ±â€¯5.0 kPa). A 9.1 kPa TE cut-off provided the best accuracy for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (≥F2) in general population settings, whereas a threshold of 9.5 kPa was optimal for populations at-risk of alcohol-related liver disease. TE with the proposed cut-offs outperformed fibrosis scores in terms of accuracy. Screening with TE was cost-effective with mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ranging from 2,570 €/QALY (95% CI 2,456-2,683) for a population at-risk of alcohol-related liver disease (age ≥45 years) to 6,217 €/QALY (95% CI 5,832-6,601) in the general population. Overall, there was a 12% chance of TE screening being cost saving across countries and populations. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for liver fibrosis with TE in primary care is a cost-effective intervention for European and Asian populations and may even be cost saving. LAY SUMMARY: The lack of optimized public health screening strategies for the detection of liver fibrosis in adults without known liver disease presents a major healthcare challenge. Analyses from 6 independent international cohorts, with transient elastography measurements, show that a community-based risk-stratification strategy for alcohol-related and non-alcoholic fatty liver diseases is cost-effective and potentially cost saving for our healthcare systems, as it leads to earlier identification of patients.

Impact of Obesity and Alanine Aminotransferase Levels on the Diagnostic Accuracy for Advanced Liver Fibrosis of Noninvasive Tools in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Some evidence suggests an interference of obesity and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels on the diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis of noninvasive tools such as liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by FibroScan, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS). We assessed whether the diagnostic accuracy of LSM, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and NFS and strategies based on the combination of these tools is affected by obesity and/or ALT levels. METHODS: We analyzed data from 968 patients with a histological diagnosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. FIB-4, NFS, and LSM by FibroScan were measured. RESULTS: LSM was better than both FIB-4 and NFS for staging F3-F4 fibrosis area under the receiver operating characteristic curve test (AUC) 0.863, 0.777, and 0.765, respectively; P < 0.001 for both), showing higher accuracy and higher negative predictive value (NPV), but lower positive predictive value (PPV). LSM worked less well in high ALT (>100 IU) (AUC 0.811 vs 0.877, P = 0.04; PPV 57.5% vs 62.4%; NPV 90.7% vs 94%) or obese patients (AUC 0.786 vs 0.902, P < 0.001; PPV 58.7% vs 64.8%; NPV 88.3% vs 95.2%), the latter not being affected by the M or XL probe. Consistently, LSM worked better in terms of AUC and accuracy compared with both FIB-4 and NFS only in nonobese or high ALT patients, even with always keeping a slightly lower PPV. A serial combination of FIB-4 or NFS with LSM as the second test in patients in the gray area of the first test retained-in most scenarios-similar PPV and NPV compared with LSM alone. These strategies also increased the diagnostic accuracy of about 20% in all groups of patients, even if with a lower overall accuracy in obese patients (71.3% and 67.1% for FIB-4 and NFS as the first test, respectively) compared to nonobese patients (81.9% and 82.4% for FIB-4 and NFS as the first test, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: All tested noninvasive tools have overall better NPV than PPV. LSM has a better diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis than both FIB-4 and NFS only in nonobese and/or low ALT patients. Serial combination strategies are better than a single tool strategy, regardless of obesity and ALT levels, although the accuracy is lower in obese patients.

Effects of Diabetes and Glycemic Control on Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Seroclearance of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Diabetes is associated with a 2-fold increase in risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, we know little about the effect of diabetes on HCC risk after seroclearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). We evaluated the effect of diabetes and glycemic control on HCC development after HBsAg seroclearance in a population-wide study in Hong Kong. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 4568 patients with chronic HBV infection who cleared HBsAg from January 2000 through August 2016, using the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong. We collected and analyzed data on patient demographics, comorbidities, medications, laboratory test results, and subsequent development of HCC. The presence of diabetes was defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis code, with level of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) above 6.5%, fasting glucose level of 7 mmol/L or more, or treatment with any antidiabetic agent. RESULTS: We identified 1560 patients with diabetes; 29 patients (1.9%) developed HCC after a median follow-up time of 3.4 years (interquartile range, 1.5-5.0 years). Diabetes was associated with increased risk of HCC after adjustment of age, sex, presence of cirrhosis, and the use of medications (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.04-3.28; P = .036). Among patients with diabetes, time-weighted average level of HbA1c was an independent risk factor for HCC, after adjustment for age at clearance, use of statins, and other important covariates (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.51; 95% CI, 1.20-1.91; P < .001). A time-weighted average level of HbA1c of 7% or more was associated with a higher 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC (4.0%) than a time-weighted average HbA1c level below 7% (1.8%; log-rank test P = .035). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based analysis of patients with chronic HBV infection in Hong Kong, we found diabetes to be an independent risk factor for HCC after HBsAg seroclearance. However, glycemia control appears to reduce the risk of HCC.