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1.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22283269

ABSTRACT

BackgroundSARS-CoV-2 pandemia continues to be important even when more than 60% of the global population has been vaccinated. As the pandemia evolves the number of reinfection cases will continue to increase as new variants are generated that evade the immune response. Understanding reinfections is important to guide the public health system and to inform decision-makers. MethodsWe downloaded clinical outcome and severity of infection data from the SISVER (respiratory disease epidemiological surveillance system) database. We sequenced SARS-CoV-2 samples, identified SARS-CoV-2 lineage and upload this genomic data to GISAID. We analyzed time and lineage between index infection and reinfection. We also analyzed the clinical outcome, severity of infection and vaccination status during reinfections. FindingsIn this study we confirmed that each wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections was characterized by a different viral variant showing a prevalence higher that 95%. We found that the fraction of reinfection is not linearly related to the average time of separation between waves with 40% of all the reinfections occurring at wave 5, the only wave with more than one SARS-CoV-2 variant with a prevalence higher than 80%. Regarding type of care 2.63% patients were considered ambulatory during the reinfection even when they were hospitalized during the index infection and only 0.78% presented the opposite behavior. Moreover, 6.74% reinfections transitioned from asymptomatic to mild or severe or from mild to severe; and 8.95% transitioned from severe to mild or asymptomatic or from mild to asymptomatic. The highest number of reinfections have occurred in unvaccinated patients (41.6%), followed shortly by vaccinated patients (31.9%). However, most reinfections occurred after wave 4 when the national vaccination efforts have reached 65% of the general population. InterpretationThe analyzed data suggests a diminished severity of infection during reinfection either if transitions in disease severity or transitions in type of patient care are considered. Finally, we also observed an overrepresentation of unvaccinated patients in reinfections.

2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22270482

ABSTRACT

BackgroundOmicron is the most mutated SARS-CoV-2 variant that has emerged, resulting in viral phenotype alterations, which can affect transmissibility, disease severity, and immune evasiveness. Genomic surveillance of a highly transmissible variant is important in cities with millions of inhabitants and an economic center such as Mexico City. In this work, we describe the early effects of the Omicron variant in Mexico City, exploring its genomic profile and clinical description. MethodologyWe sequenced SARS-CoV-2-positive samples in November and December 2021 and we using the public database GISAID. Haplotype and phylogenetic analyses were performed to genomically characterize Omicron. We used the Mexican federal database toexplore the association with clinical information such as symptoms and vaccination status. FindingsThe first case of Omicron was detected on November 16, 2022, and until December 31, 2021, we observed an increase from 88% in sequenced samples. Nineteen nonsynonymous mutations were found in the Omicron RBD, and we further explored the R346K substitution, which was prevalent in 42% of the samples and associated with immune escape by monoclonal antibodies. In the phylogenetic analysis, we found that there were several independent exchanges between Mexico and the world, and there was an event followed by local transmission that gave rise to most of the Omicron diversity in Mexico City. The haplotype analysis allowed us to observe that there was no association between haplotype and vaccination status. Of the patients with clinical data, 66% were vaccinated, none of the reported comorbidities were associated with Omicron, the presence of odynophagia and absence of dysgeusia were significant predictor symptoms for Omicron, and the Ct value on RT-qPCR was lower in Omicron. ConclusionsGenomic surveillance in highly populated and fast-moving urban regions such as Mexico City is key to detecting the emergence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants in a timely manner, even weeks before the onset of an infection wave, to detect patterns that can inform public health decisions. It is also necessary to continue sequencing to detect the spread of any mutation that may affect the therapeutic efficacy or guide it.

3.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21262911

ABSTRACT

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is one of the most concerning health problems around the globe. We report the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.519 in Mexico City. This variant represented up to 90% of sequenced cases in February 2021. It is characterized by three amino acid changes in the spike protein: T478K, P681H, and T732A. We report the effective reproduction number of B.1.1.519 and present evidence of its geographical origin based on phylogenetic analysis. We also studied its evolution via haplotype analysis and identified the most recurrent haplotypes. Finally, we studied the clinical impact of B.1.1.519: patients infected with variant B.1.1.519 showed a highly significant adjusted odds ratio (aOR) increase of 1.85 over non-B.1.1.519 patients for developing a severe/critical outcome (P = 0.000296, 1.33-2.6 95% CI) and a 2.35-fold increase for hospitalization (P = 0.005, 1.32-4.34 95% CI). The continuous monitoring of this and other variants will be required to control the ongoing pandemic as it evolves.

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