Divergent trends in the prevalence of asthma-like symptoms and asthma in a developing country: three repeated surveys between 2002 and 2016

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: There have been differences in temporal trends of asthma prevalence by geographic region and economic prosperity. The aim of this study was to assess temporal trends in asthma prevalence among young adolescents in Skopje, Republic of North Macedonia as a developing country with a low asthma prevalence. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from three cross-sectional surveys (2002, 2006, and 2016) of adolescents (12-15 years) from randomly selected schools in Skopje. Trends in the prevalence of asthma and asthma-like symptoms were investigated descriptively and using multiple logistic regression to adjust for potential confounding factors. RESULTS: The prevalence of asthma increased, although the changes were not statistically significant (2002: 1.7%; 2006: 2.0%; 2016: 2.8%; p = 0.075). Statistically significant (p < 0.05) reductions in wheeze prevalence over time (2002, 2006, 2016) were observed for current wheeze (8.8%, 7.2%, 5.5%), exercise-induced wheeze (14.2%, 7.9%, 1.9%), and night dry cough (16.5%, 13.5%, 9.6%). After adjustment for potential confounding factors, there was an increase in asthma likelihood by year compared to 2002 (2006: OR = 1.22, 95% CI = 0.67-2.22; 2016: OR = 2.45, 95% CI = 1.24-4.84). In the adjusted analyses, associations between year and the asthma-like symptoms confirmed the descriptive results, except for current wheeze, where statistical significance disappeared. CONCLUSIONS: Divergent trends in prevalence with a decrease in asthma-like symptoms and an increase in physician-diagnosed asthma in Skopje during a period of 14 years were established. Improved asthma labelling and effective preventative treatment of symptoms may explain some of these changes, although changes in environment and lifestyle could not be ruled out

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An international comparison of risk factors between two regions with distinct differences in asthma prevalence

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Investigation of the geographic variation in asthma prevalence can improve our understanding of asthma etiology and management. The purpose of our investigation was to compare the prevalence of asthma and wheeze among adolescents living in two distinct international regions and to investigate reasons for observed differences. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey of 13-14 year olds was completed in Saskatoon, Canada (n = 1200) and Skopje, Republic of Macedonia (n = 3026), as part of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase 3 study. Surveys were self-completed by students following the ISAAC protocol. Multiple logistic regression models were used to investigate associations with reports of asthma and current wheeze. A mediation analysis was then completed. RESULTS: Asthma prevalence was much higher in Saskatoon than Skopje (21.3% vs. 1.7%) as was the prevalence of current wheeze (28.2% vs. 8.8%). Higher paracetamol (acetaminophen) use was a consistent risk factor for asthma and wheeze in both locations and showed dose-response relationships. In both countries, paracetamol use and physical activity mediated some of the association for both asthma and wheeze. In Saskatoon, among those with current wheeze, 42.6% reported ever having a diagnosis of asthma compared to 10.2% among Skopje adolescents. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the variation in risk factors between the two locations may explain some of the differences in the prevalence of asthma and wheeze between these two study sites. However, diagnostic labeling patterns should not be ruled out as another potential explanatory factor

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Urban–rural differences in asthma prevalence among young adolescents: The role of behavioural and environmental factors

BACKGROUND: Asthma prevalence has been reported to be lower in rural areas compared to urban areas, although this has been inconsistent. This study aims to identify the influence of urban-rural residence on asthma prevalence in adolescents in the Republic of Macedonia and to investigate characteristics that may explain observed associations. METHODS: Following International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood protocol, a national sample of Macedonian urban and rural dwelling adolescents (12-16 years) was recruited in 2006. Self-completed questionnaires were used to collect data on wheeze and asthma as well as personal, environmental and dietary characteristics. Following descriptive and multiple logistic regression analyses, a mediation analysis approach was performed to help explain observed associations. RESULTS: A lower prevalence of current wheeze and ever-diagnosed asthma was observed in rural compared to urban dwelling adolescents (4.9% vs. 7.2% and 1.2% vs. 1.9%, respectively). After adjustment for potential confounders, the associations, although still protective, were not statistically significant (wheeze: OR = 0.74, 95%CI = 0.46-1.21; asthma: OR = 0.97, 95%CI = 0.38-2.46). The associations between urban-rural status with current wheeze and asthma were mediated by region of the country (wheeze 9%; asthma 19%) and by diet (>5% change for both wheeze and asthma). Having a dog resulted in a strengthening of the association between urban-rural status and current wheeze by 11.9%. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of asthma and wheeze was lower in rural dwelling Macedonian adolescents and the association was mediated by the region of the country with diet likely to be part of the reason for this mediating effect

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