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1.
Life (Basel) ; 14(3)2024 Feb 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38541631

ABSTRACT

Recurrent pericarditis is a problematic clinical condition that impairs the quality of life of the affected patients due to the need for repeated hospital admissions, emergency department visits, and complications from medications, especially glucocorticoids. Unfortunately, available treatments for recurrent pericarditis are very limited, including only a handful of medications such as aspirin/NSAIDs, glucocorticoids, colchicine, and immunosuppressants (such as interleukin-1 (IL-1) blockers, azathioprine, and intravenous human immunoglobulins). Until recently, the clinical experience with the latter class of medications was very limited. Nevertheless, in the last decade, experience with IL-1 blockers has consistently grown, and valid clinical data have emerged from randomized clinical trials. Accordingly, IL-1 blockers are a typical paradigm shift in the treatment of refractory recurrent pericarditis with a clearly positive cost/benefit ratio for those unfortunate patients with multiple recurrences. A drawback related to the above-mentioned medications is the absence of universally accepted and established treatment protocols regarding the full dose administration period and the need for a tapering protocol for individual medications. Another concern is the need for long-standing treatments, which should be discussed with the patients. The above-mentioned unmet needs are expected to be addressed in the near future, such as further insights into pathophysiology and an individualized approach to affected patients.

2.
Life (Basel) ; 13(6)2023 Jun 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37374202

ABSTRACT

Endothelial dysfunction (ED) is characterized by imbalanced vasodilation and vasoconstriction, elevated reactive oxygen species (ROS), and inflammatory factors, as well as deficiency of nitric oxide (NO) bioavailability. It has been reported that the maintenance of endothelial cell integrity serves a significant role in human health and disease due to the involvement of the endothelium in several processes, such as regulation of vascular tone, regulation of hemostasis and thrombosis, cell adhesion, smooth muscle cell proliferation, and vascular inflammation. Inflammatory modulators/biomarkers, such as IL-1α, IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-12, IL-15, IL-18, and tumor necrosis factor α, or alternative anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10, and adhesion molecules (ICAM-1, VCAM-1), involved in atherosclerosis progression have been shown to predict cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, several signaling pathways, such as NLRP3 inflammasome, that are associated with the inflammatory response and the disrupted H2S bioavailability are postulated to be new indicators for endothelial cell inflammation and its associated endothelial dysfunction. In this review, we summarize the knowledge of a plethora of reviews, research articles, and clinical trials concerning the key inflammatory modulators and signaling pathways in atherosclerosis due to endothelial dysfunction.

3.
Eur J Intern Med ; 116: 58-64, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37357033

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The impact of plasma biomarkers on diagnosis and prognosis of patients with acute pericarditis (AP) has been poorly investigated. This study aims to assess the diagnostic and prognostic role of d-dimer (DD), an easily obtainable biomarker, in patients with AP. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a prospective clinical study enrolling 265 consecutive patients hospitalized between September 2010 and May 2019 with a first episode of AP. At baseline, demographics, clinical features, laboratory and imaging findings were recorded. All patients were followed-up for a minimum of 18 months. Endpoints included cardiac tamponade, new-onset atrial fibrillation, pericardial drainage, recurrent/constrictive pericarditis and death. RESULTS: DD was measured in 165 out of 265 patients (62.3%, median levels 1456 ng/mL) Among them, 121 patients (73.3%) presented with elevated age-adjusted DD levels. Patients with elevated DD depicted a higher rate of pleural (69.4%, vs 38.6%, p<0.001) and pericardial effusions (89.3% vs 72.7%, p = 0.009). Elevated DD correlated with admission (rho=0.37) and peak (rho=0.36) C-reactive protein values. Patients with elevated DD depicted a trend towards a greater prevalence of pericardial tamponade vs those without (14.9% vs 4.5% respectively, p = 0.07). In the 43.8% of patients with elevated DD who underwent computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA), no case of pulmonary embolism or aortic syndrome was unveiled. CONCLUSION: DD elevation is detected in the majority of AP cases at presentation and may herald cardiac tamponade. In patients with chest pain not attributable to alternative causes, elevated DD denotes an inflammatory condition and should not prompt unnecessary investigations, such as CTPA.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Tamponade , Pericarditis , Humans , Cardiac Tamponade/diagnosis , Cardiac Tamponade/etiology , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Pericarditis/diagnosis , Biomarkers
4.
J Clin Lipidol ; 17(4): 512-518, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37321915

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] appears to have an inverse association with the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the general population. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of Lp(a) regarding the development of type 2 diabetes in the special population of subjects with familial combined hyperlipidemia (FCH). METHODS: This cohort study included 474 patients (mean age 49.7±11.3 years, 64% males) with FCH, without diabetes at baseline who were followed for a mean period of 8.2±6.8 years. At baseline evaluation venous blood samples were obtained for the determination of lipid profile and Lp(a) levels. The endpoint of interest was the development of diabetes. RESULTS: Patients with increased Lp(a) levels ≥30 mg/dl compared to those with low Lp(a) levels <30 mg/dl had lower levels of triglycerides (238±113 vs 268±129 mg/dl, p = 0.01), greater levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (44±10 vs 41±10 mg/dl, p = 0.01) and hypertension in a greater percentage (42% vs 32%, p = 0.03). The incidence of new-onset diabetes during the follow-up period was 10.1% (n = 48). Multiple Cox regression analysis revealed that increased Lp(a) is an independent predictor of lower diabetes incidence (HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.17-0.90, p = 0.02) after adjustment for confounders. CONCLUSION: Among subjects with FCH those with higher Lp(a) levels have lower risk for the development of type 2 diabetes. Moreover, the presence of increased Lp(a) seems to differentiate the expression of metabolic syndrome characteristics in patients with FCH, as increased Lp(a) is related to lower levels of triglycerides, greater prevalence of hypertension and higher levels of HDL cholesterol.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Hyperlipidemia, Familial Combined , Hyperlipidemias , Hypertension , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Cholesterol, HDL , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Follow-Up Studies , Hyperlipidemia, Familial Combined/complications , Hypertension/complications , Hypertension/epidemiology , Lipoprotein(a) , Metabolome , Risk Factors , Triglycerides
5.
Hellenic J Cardiol ; 72: 43-56, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36870438

ABSTRACT

Paediatric cardiomyopathies form a heterogeneous group of disorders characterized by structural and electrical abnormalities of the heart muscle, commonly due to a gene variant of the myocardial cell structure. Mostly inherited as a dominant or occasionally recessive trait, they might be part of a syndromic disorder of underlying metabolic or neuromuscular defects or combine early developing extracardiac abnormalities (i.e., Naxos disease). The annual incidence of 1 per 100,000 children appears higher during the first two years of life. Dilated and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy phenotypes share an incidence of 60% and 25%, respectively. Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC), restrictive cardiomyopathy, and left ventricular noncompaction are less commonly diagnosed. Adverse events such as severe heart failure, heart transplantation, or death usually appear early after the initial presentation. In ARVC patients, high-intensity aerobic exercise has been associated with worse clinical outcomes and increased penetrance in at-risk genotype-positive relatives. Acute myocarditis in children has an incidence of 1.4-2.1 cases/per 100,000 children per year, with a 6-14% mortality rate during the acute phase. A genetic defect is considered responsible for the progression to dilated cardiomyopathy phenotype. Similarly, a dilated or arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy phenotype might emerge with an episode of acute myocarditis in childhood or adolescence. This review provides an overview of childhood cardiomyopathies focusing on clinical presentation, outcome, and pathology.


Subject(s)
Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Dysplasia , Cardiomyopathies , Myocarditis , Adolescent , Humans , Child , Myocarditis/metabolism , Cardiomyopathies/epidemiology , Cardiomyopathies/therapy , Cardiomyopathies/diagnosis , Myocardium/pathology , Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Dysplasia/genetics , Phenotype
6.
Can J Cardiol ; 39(8): 1121-1131, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36773704

ABSTRACT

Chronic pericardial effusion is a common pericardial syndrome whose approach has been well standardised in recent years. The main challenge associated with this condition is the progression (sometimes unheralded) to cardiac tamponade. Pericardial effusions may present either as an isolated finding or in the context of a specific etiology including autoimmune, neoplastic, or metabolic disease. Among investigations used during diagnostic work-up, echocardiography is of paramount importance for the diagnosis, sizing, and serial evaluation of the hemodynamic impact of effusions on heart diastolic function. In an individualised manner, advanced imaging including computed tomography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging should be performed, especially if baseline tests are inconclusive. Triage of these patients according to the most recent 2015 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of pericardial diseases should take into account the presence of hemodynamic compromise as well as suspicion of malignant or purulent pericarditis as first step, C-reactive protein serum level measurement as second step, investigations for a specific condition known to be associated with pericardial effusion as third step, and finally the size and the duration of the effusion. Treatment depends on the evaluation of the above-mentioned parameters and should ideally be tailored to the individual patient. Prognosis of chronic pericardial effusions depends largely on the underlying etiology. According to novel data, the prognosis of individuals with idiopathic, chronic (> 3 months), large (> 2 cm), asymptomatic pericardial effusions is usually benign and a watchful waiting strategy seems more reasonable and cost-effective than routine drainage as previously recommended.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Tamponade , Pericardial Effusion , Pericarditis , Humans , Pericardial Effusion/diagnosis , Pericardial Effusion/etiology , Pericardial Effusion/therapy , Cardiac Tamponade/diagnosis , Cardiac Tamponade/etiology , Cardiac Tamponade/therapy , Pericardium
8.
Curr Top Med Chem ; 22(28): 2344-2354, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36305124

ABSTRACT

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in western societies. Therefore the identification of novel biomarkers to be used as diagnostic or therapeutic targets is of significant scientific interest. Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) is one such protein shown to be involved in endothelial dysfunction, vascular inflammation and atherogenesis. Several epidemiological studies have associated high Lp-PLA2 activity with an increased risk for CAD even when other CAD risk factors or inflammation markers were included in the multivariate analysis. These findings were strengthened by the results of relevant meta-analyses. However, randomized trials failed to establish Lp-PLA2 as a therapeutic target. Specifically, pharmaceutical inhibition of Lp-PLA2 when compared to the placebo failed to demonstrate a significant association with improved prognosis of patients with stable CAD or after an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This review focuses on the available data that have investigated the potential role of Lp- PLA2 as a biomarker for CAD.

9.
Curr Cardiol Rep ; 24(9): 1139-1147, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35857202

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In this review article, a detailed analysis of the current literature is provided, along with a "glimpse" into what the future holds for aspirin in the context of primary prevention. RECENT FINDINGS: The role of aspirin in primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) has been extensively evaluated; however, the results provided over the years have been controversial. Identification of individual subgroups who may benefit from aspirin administration at an acceptable risk of bleeding complications is of paramount importance. Additionally, questions emerge at everyday clinical practice regarding the optimal use of aspirin in different phenotypes of patients due to age, sex, obesity status, frailty and diabetes mellitus. Until further data become available, the effective management of the well-established CV risk factors constitutes the milestone in the primary prevention of CVD. Moreover, based on the available evidence, the beneficial addition of aspirin in the modern era of lifestyle and pharmacological interventions for primary CVD prevention remains largely undetermined and further research is needed.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Diabetes Mellitus , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Cardiovascular Diseases/drug therapy , Humans , Primary Prevention/methods , Risk Factors
10.
Expert Rev Cardiovasc Ther ; 20(5): 363-376, 2022 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35524164

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Pericardial effusion (PEF) is a common and challenging pericardial syndrome with a variety of clinical manifestations ranging from asymptomatic, incidentally uncovered small PEFs, to life-threatening cardiac tamponade. AREAS COVERED: This review focuses on the pathophysiology, epidemiology, aetiology, classification, clinical findings, diagnostic work-up, management, and outcome of PEFs. Particular emphasis has been given on the most recent evidence concerning the contribution of imaging for the detection, differential diagnosis, and evaluation of the haemodynamic impact of PEFs on the diastolic filling of the heart. Moreover, simplified algorithms for PEF triage and management have been included. EXPERT OPINION: The management of patients with PEFs is mainly based on four parameters, namely, haemodynamic impact on diastolic function, elevation of inflammatory markers, presence of a specific underlying condition known to be associated with PEF, and finally size and duration of the effusion. Novel data have contributed to change our view towards large, asymptomatic, 'idiopathic' PEFs and dictated a rather conservative approach in most cases. It is also stressed that there is a compelling need for additional research, which is essential for tailored treatments aiming at the improvement of quality of life and containment of health care costs.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Tamponade , Pericardial Effusion , Pericarditis , Cardiac Tamponade/diagnosis , Cardiac Tamponade/etiology , Cardiac Tamponade/therapy , Echocardiography , Humans , Pericardial Effusion/diagnosis , Pericardial Effusion/etiology , Pericardial Effusion/therapy , Pericarditis/diagnosis , Quality of Life
11.
Curr Cardiol Rep ; 24(8): 905-913, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35595949

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Since 2015, when ESC guidelines for the diagnosis and management of pericardial diseases were published, ongoing research has enhanced the current state of knowledge on acute pericarditis. This review is an update on the latest developments in this field. RECENT FINDINGS: In recurrent acute pericarditis, autoinflammation has been included among causative mechanisms restricting the vague diagnoses of "idiopathic" pericarditis. Cardiac magnetic resonance that detects ongoing pericardial inflammation may guide treatment in difficult-to-treat patients. Development of risk scores may assist identification of patients at high risk for complicated pericarditis, who should be closely monitored and aggressively treated. Treatment with IL-1 inhibitors has been proven efficacious in recurrent forms with a good safety profile. Finally, acute pericarditis has recently attracted great interest as it has been reported among side effects post COVID-19 vaccination and may also complicate SARS-CoV-2 infection. Recent advancements in acute pericarditis have contributed to a better understanding of the disease allowing a tailored to the individual patient approach. However, there are still unsolved questions that require further research.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pericarditis , COVID-19 Vaccines , Humans , Pericarditis/diagnosis , Pericarditis/drug therapy , Pericardium , SARS-CoV-2
12.
Nutrients ; 14(3)2022 Jan 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35276949

ABSTRACT

Despite the remarkable development of the medical industry in the current era, herbal products with therapeutic potentials arise as attractive alternative treatments. Consequently, Chios mastiha, a natural, aromatic resin obtained from the trunk and brunches of the mastic tree, has recently gained increasing scientific interest due to its multiple beneficial actions. Chios mastiha is being exclusively produced on the southern part of Chios, a Greek island situated in the northern Aegean Sea, and its therapeutic properties have been known since Greek antiquity. There is now substantial evidence to suggest that mastiha demonstrates a plethora of favorable effects, mainly attributed to the anti-inflammatory and anti-oxidative properties of its components. The main use of mastiha nowadays, however, is for the production of natural chewing gum, although an approval by the European Medicines Agency for mild dyspeptic disorders and for inflammations of the skin has been given. The aim of this article is to summarize the most important data about the therapeutic actions of Chios mastiha and discuss future fields for its medical application.


Subject(s)
Pistacia , Anti-Inflammatory Agents/pharmacology , Humans , Mastic Resin , Resins, Plant/pharmacology
13.
World J Cardiol ; 14(1): 29-39, 2022 Jan 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35126870

ABSTRACT

Recent advances in cardiovascular genetics have transformed genetic testing into a valuable part of management of families with inherited cardiomyopathies. As novel mutations have been identified, understanding when to consider genetic testing has emerged as an important consideration in the management of these cases. Specific genetic testing has a paramount importance in the risk stratification of family members, in the prognosis of probands at higher risk of a serious phenotype expression, and finally in the identification of new mutations, all of which are discussed in this review. The indications for each type of cardiomyopathy are described, along with the limitations of genetic testing. Finally, the importance of public sharing of variants in large data sets is emphasized. The ultimate aim of this review is to present key messages about the genetic testing process in order to minimize potential harms and provide suggestions to specialized clinicians who act as a part of a multidisciplinary team in order to offer the best care to families with inherited cardiomyopathies.

15.
Minerva Cardiol Angiol ; 70(2): 207-216, 2022 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34338486

ABSTRACT

The main pericardial syndromes include acute and recurrent pericarditis, constrictive pericarditis, and chronic pericardial effusion in the absence of overt inflammation. Despite recent advances in pericardial syndromes, certain clinical scenarios depict remarkable peculiarities, and their management is often challenging for the clinician. Acute pericarditis is the most common pericardial disease and in most instances is accompanied by pericardial effusion. On the other hand, pericardial effusion may appear as a separate clinical entity occasionally characterized by absence of inflammatory markers elevation. In cases that effusions are accompanied by C-reactive protein (CRP) elevation, the administration of empiric anti-inflammatory treatment as in acute pericarditis, is the guidelines recommended approach. Conversely, the optimal management of patients with pericardial effusions in the absence of clinical or subclinical inflammation (as depicted by CRP levels and cardiac magnetic resonance findings), is not supported by solid evidence. Patients with chronic pericardial effusions should be followed in specialized centers according to tailored timelines, based on the specific clinical scenarios which should consider etiology, effusion size, disease duration and stability as regards symptoms and effusion volume. Patients should also be advised to seek medical care at any time if symptoms like chest pain, dyspnea and fatigue should appear.


Subject(s)
Pericardial Effusion , Pericarditis , Humans , Inflammation/complications , Pericardial Effusion/diagnostic imaging , Pericardial Effusion/etiology , Pericarditis/drug therapy , Pericarditis/therapy , Syndrome
16.
Vaccine ; 39(45): 6585-6590, 2021 10 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34635376

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccines were efficacious and safe in clinical trials. We report nine events of acute pericarditis (AP) in eight patients following COVID-19 vaccination with BNT162b2 (6/9), AZD1222 (2/9) and mRNA-1273 (1/9). METHODS: All patients were referred for AP temporally linked with COVID-19 vaccination. Chest pain was the most common clinical manifestation. Alternative etiologies were excluded upon thorough diagnostic work up. AP diagnosis was established according to ESC guidelines. FINDINGS: Five events occurred after the first vaccine dose and four after the second. The mean age in this cohort was 65.8 ± 10.2 years and the men/women ratio 3/5. All events resolved without sequelae; two events were complicated by cardiac tamponade requiring emergent pericardial decompression. Hospitalization was required in four cases. INTERPRETATION: Although causality cannot be firmly established, AP has emerged as a possible complication following COVID-19 vaccination. Further investigation is indispensable to fully characterize this new entity.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pericarditis , Aged , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19 Vaccines , ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 , Europe , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pericarditis/etiology , SARS-CoV-2 , United States , Vaccination/adverse effects
17.
Curr Cardiol Rep ; 23(8): 106, 2021 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34196832

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Pericardial effusion is a challenging pericardial syndrome and a cause of serious concern for physicians and patients due to its potential progression to life-threatening cardiac tamponade. In this review, we summarize the contemporary evidence of the etiology; diagnostic work-up, with particular emphasis on the contribution of multimodality imaging; therapeutic options; and short- and long-term outcomes of these patients. RECENT FINDINGS: In recent years, an important piece of information has contributed to put together several missing parts of the puzzle of pericardial effusion. The most recent 2015 guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology for the diagnosis and management of pericardial diseases are a valuable aid for a tailored approach to this condition. Actually, current guidelines suggest a 4-step treatment algorithm depending on the presence or absence of hemodynamic impairment; the elevation of inflammatory markers; the presence of a known or first-diagnosed underlying condition, possibly related to pericardial effusion; and finally the duration and size of the effusion. In contrast to earlier perceptions, based on the most recent evidence, it seems that in the subgroup of asymptomatic patients with large (> 2-cm end-diastolic diameter), chronic (> 3 months) C-reactive protein negative, idiopathic (without an apparent cause) pericardial effusion, a conservative approach is the most reasonable option. At present there is an increasing interest in the pericardial syndromes in general and pericardial effusions in specific, which has consistently expanded our knowledge in this "hazy landscape." Apart from general recommendations applied to all cases, an individualized, etiologically driven treatment is of paramount importance.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Tamponade , Cardiology , Pericardial Effusion , Cardiac Tamponade/diagnosis , Cardiac Tamponade/etiology , Cardiac Tamponade/therapy , Hemodynamics , Humans , Pericardial Effusion/diagnosis , Pericardial Effusion/etiology , Pericardial Effusion/therapy , Pericardiocentesis
18.
Intern Emerg Med ; 16(7): 1921-1926, 2021 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34275095

ABSTRACT

Current guidelines on the management of pericardial diseases suggest to identify high-risk features associated with an increased risk of non-idiopathic aetiology and complications. The aim of this study is to evaluate a "pericarditis score" to assess potential complicated pericarditis in order to facilitate initial clinical triage. Consecutive patients with pericarditis were included in a prospective cohort study from January 2017 to December 2018. Complicated pericarditis was defined as pericarditis with a non-idiopathic aetiology, and/or complications, and/or requiring hospitalization. A clinical and echocardiographic follow-up were performed at 1, 3, 6 months and then every 6 months. The study population was randomized in derivation and validation cohorts. In the derivation cohort, female gender (HR 2.57, p = 0.016), fever > 38 °C (HR 2.86, p = 0.005), previous lack of colchicine use (HR 3.16, p = 0.006), previous use of corticosteroids (HR 3.01, p = 0.009), and echocardiographic signs of constriction (HR 2.26, p = 0.018) were selected by a stepwise procedure in a Cox regression model and constituted the score showing a C-statistics of 0.81. In the validation group, the score was significantly associated with the risk of complicated pericarditis (HR 1.438 per 10-points increase, 95% CI 1.208-1.711, p < 0.001) and showed an increase in event rate with increasing score (low risk ≤ 20 points: complicated pericarditis in 4/19 patients, incidence 21%, p = 0.003, high risk > 40 points: complicated pericarditis in 18/24 patients, incidence 75%, p = 0.006). In this study, we developed and tested a simple score to efficiently identify at presentation patients at high risk of developing complicated pericarditis.


Subject(s)
Pericarditis/complications , Pericarditis/physiopathology , Aged , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pericardial Effusion , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies
19.
Eur J Clin Invest ; 51(11): e13602, 2021 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34050527

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Currently, we remain uncertain about which patients are at increased risk for recurrent pericarditis. We developed a risk score for pericarditis recurrence in patients with acute pericarditis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We prospectively recruited 262 patients with a first episode of acute pericarditis. Baseline patients' demographics, clinical, imaging and laboratory data were collected. Patients were followed up for a median of 51 months (interquartile range 21-71) for recurrence. Variables with <10% missingness were entered into multivariable logistic regression models with stepwise elimination to explore independent predictors of recurrence. The final model performance was assessed by the c-index whereas model's calibration and optimism-corrected c-index were evaluated after 10-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: We identified six independent predictors for pericarditis recurrence, that is age, effusion size, platelet count (negative predictors) and reduced inferior vena cava collapse, in-hospital use of corticosteroids and heart rate (positive predictors). The final model had good performance for recurrence, c-index 0.783 (95% CI 0.725-0.842), while the optimism-corrected c-index after cross-validation was 0.752. Based on these variables, we developed a risk score point system for recurrence (0-22 points) with equally good performance (c-index 0.740, 95% CI 0.677-0.803). Patients with a low score (0-7 points) had 21.3% risk for recurrence, while those with high score (≥12 points) had a 69.8% risk for recurrence. The score was predictive of recurrence among most patient subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: A simple risk score point system based on 6 variables can be used to predict the individualized risk for pericarditis recurrence among patients with a first episode of acute pericarditis.


Subject(s)
Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/therapeutic use , Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use , Pericardiocentesis , Pericarditis/therapy , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Chest Pain/physiopathology , Colchicine/therapeutic use , Female , Fever/physiopathology , Heart Rate/physiology , Humans , Ibuprofen/therapeutic use , Male , Middle Aged , Pericarditis/blood , Pericarditis/physiopathology , Platelet Count , Recurrence , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
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