Graphical modeling of causal factors associated with the postoperative survival of esophageal cancer subjects.

PURPOSE: To clarify the causal relationship between factors contributing to the postoperative survival of patients with esophageal cancer. METHODS: A cohort of 195 patients who underwent surgery for esophageal cancer between 2008 and 2021 was used in the study. All patients had preoperative chest computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography-CT (PET-CT) scans prior to receiving any treatment. From these images, high throughput and quantitative radiomic features, tumor features, and various body composition features were automatically extracted. Causal relationships among these image features, patient demographics, and other clinicopathological variables were analyzed and visualized using a novel score-based directed graph called "Grouped Greedy Equivalence Search" (GGES) while taking prior knowledge into consideration. After supplementing and screening the causal variables, the intervention do-calculus adjustment (IDA) scores were calculated to determine the degree of impact of each variable on survival. Based on this IDA score, a GGES prediction formula was generated. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to assess the performance of the models. The prediction results were evaluated using the R-Squared Score (R2 score). RESULTS: The final causal graphical model was formed by two PET-based image variables, ten body composition variables, four pathological variables, four demographic variables, two tumor variables, and one radiological variable (Percentile 10). Intramuscular fat mass was found to have the most impact on overall survival month. Percentile 10 and overall TNM (T: tumor, N: nodes, M: metastasis) stage were identified as direct causes of overall survival (month). The GGES casual model outperformed GES in regression prediction (R2  = 0.251) (p < 0.05) and was able to avoid unreasonable causality that may contradict common sense. CONCLUSION: The GGES causal model can provide a reliable and straightforward representation of the intricate causal relationships among the variables that impact the postoperative survival of patients with esophageal cancer.

XRayWizard: Reconstructing 3-D lung surfaces from a single 2-D chest x-ray image via Vision Transformer.

BACKGROUND: Chest x-ray is widely utilized for the evaluation of pulmonary conditions due to its technical simplicity, cost-effectiveness, and portability. However, as a two-dimensional (2-D) imaging modality, chest x-ray images depict limited anatomical details and are challenging to interpret. PURPOSE: To validate the feasibility of reconstructing three-dimensional (3-D) lungs from a single 2-D chest x-ray image via Vision Transformer (ViT). METHODS: We created a cohort of 2525 paired chest x-ray images (scout images) and computed tomography (CT) acquired on different subjects and we randomly partitioned them as follows: (1) 1800 - training set, (2) 200 - validation set, and (3) 525 - testing set. The 3-D lung volumes segmented from the chest CT scans were used as the ground truth for supervised learning. We developed a novel model termed XRayWizard that employed ViT blocks to encode the 2-D chest x-ray image. The aim is to capture global information and establish long-range relationships, thereby improving the performance of 3-D reconstruction. Additionally, a pooling layer at the end of each transformer block was introduced to extract feature information. To produce smoother and more realistic 3-D models, a set of patch discriminators was incorporated. We also devised a novel method to incorporate subject demographics as an auxiliary input to further improve the accuracy of 3-D lung reconstruction. Dice coefficient and mean volume error were used as performance metrics as the agreement between the computerized results and the ground truth. RESULTS: In the absence of subject demographics, the mean Dice coefficient for the generated 3-D lung volumes achieved a value of 0.738 ± 0.091. When subject demographics were included as an auxiliary input, the mean Dice coefficient significantly improved to 0.769 ± 0.089 (p < 0.001), and the volume prediction error was reduced from 23.5 ± 2.7%. to 15.7 ± 2.9%. CONCLUSION: Our experiment demonstrated the feasibility of reconstructing 3-D lung volumes from 2-D chest x-ray images, and the inclusion of subject demographics as additional inputs can significantly improve the accuracy of 3-D lung volume reconstruction.

Automated detection and segmentation of pulmonary embolisms on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) using deep learning but without manual outlining.

We present a novel computer algorithm to automatically detect and segment pulmonary embolisms (PEs) on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA). This algorithm is based on deep learning but does not require manual outlines of the PE regions. Given a CTPA scan, both intra- and extra-pulmonary arteries were firstly segmented. The arteries were then partitioned into several parts based on size (radius). Adaptive thresholding and constrained morphological operations were used to identify suspicious PE regions within each part. The confidence of a suspicious region to be PE was scored based on its contrast in the arteries. This approach was applied to the publicly available RSNA Pulmonary Embolism CT Dataset (RSNA-PE) to identify three-dimensional (3-D) PE negative and positive image patches, which were used to train a 3-D Recurrent Residual U-Net (R2-Unet) to automatically segment PE. The feasibility of this computer algorithm was validated on an independent test set consisting of 91 CTPA scans acquired from a different medical institute, where the PE regions were manually located and outlined by a thoracic radiologist (>18 years' experience). An R2-Unet model was also trained and validated on the manual outlines using a 5-fold cross-validation method. The CNN model trained on the high-confident PE regions showed a Dice coefficient of 0.676±0.168 and a false positive rate of 1.86 per CT scan, while the CNN model trained on the manual outlines demonstrated a Dice coefficient of 0.647±0.192 and a false positive rate of 4.20 per CT scan. The former model performed significantly better than the latter model (p<0.01). The promising performance of the developed PE detection and segmentation algorithm suggests the feasibility of training a deep learning network without dedicating significant efforts to manual annotations of the PE regions on CTPA scans.

Artificial Intelligence Automation of Proptosis Measurement: An Indicator for Pediatric Orbital Abscess Surgery.

INTRODUCTION: To evaluate the ability of artificial intelligence (AI) software to quantify proptosis for identifying patients who need surgical drainage. METHODS: We pursued a retrospective study including 56 subjects with a clinical diagnosis of subperiosteal orbital abscess (SPOA) secondary to sinusitis at a tertiary pediatric hospital from 2002 to 2016. AI computer software was developed to perform 3D visualization and quantitative assessment of proptosis from computed tomography (CT) images acquired at the time of hospital admission. The AI software automatically computed linear and volume metrics of proptosis to provide more practice-consistent and informative measures. Two experienced physicians independently measured proptosis using the interzygomatic line method on axial CT images. The AI software and physician proptosis assessments were evaluated for association with eventual treatment procedures as standalone markers and in combination with the standard predictors. RESULTS: To treat the SPOA, 31 of 56 (55%) children underwent surgical intervention, including 18 early surgeries (performed within 24 h of admission), and 25 (45%) were managed medically. The physician measurements of proptosis were strongly correlated (Spearman r = 0.89, 95% CI 0.82-0.93) with 95% limits of agreement of ± 1.8 mm. The AI linear measurement was on average 1.2 mm larger (p = 0.007) and only moderately correlated with the average physicians' measurements (r = 0.53, 95% CI 0.31-0.69). Increased proptosis of both AI volumetric and linear measurements were moderately predictive of surgery (AUCs of 0.79, 95% CI 0.68-0.91, and 0.78, 95% CI 0.65-0.90, respectively) with the average physician measurement being poorly to fairly predictive (AUC of 0.70, 95% CI 0.56-0.84). The AI proptosis measures were also significantly greater in the early as compared to the late surgery groups (p = 0.02, and p = 0.04, respectively). The surgical and medical groups showed a substantial difference in the abscess volume (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: AI proptosis measures significantly differed from physician assessments and showed a good overall ability to predict the eventual treatment. The volumetric AI proptosis measurement significantly improved the ability to predict the likelihood of surgery compared to abscess volume alone. Further studies are needed to better characterize and incorporate the AI proptosis measurements for assisting in clinical decision-making.

Batch-balanced focal loss: a hybrid solution to class imbalance in deep learning.

Purpose: To validate the effectiveness of an approach called batch-balanced focal loss (BBFL) in enhancing convolutional neural network (CNN) classification performance on imbalanced datasets. Materials and Methods: BBFL combines two strategies to tackle class imbalance: (1) batch-balancing to equalize model learning of class samples and (2) focal loss to add hard-sample importance to the learning gradient. BBFL was validated on two imbalanced fundus image datasets: a binary retinal nerve fiber layer defect (RNFLD) dataset (n=7,258) and a multiclass glaucoma dataset (n=7,873). BBFL was compared to several imbalanced learning techniques, including random oversampling (ROS), cost-sensitive learning, and thresholding, based on three state-of-the-art CNNs. Accuracy, F1-score, and the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) were used as the performance metrics for binary classification. Mean accuracy and mean F1-score were used for multiclass classification. Confusion matrices, t-distributed neighbor embedding plots, and GradCAM were used for the visual assessment of performance. Results: In binary classification of RNFLD, BBFL with InceptionV3 (93.0% accuracy, 84.7% F1, 0.971 AUC) outperformed ROS (92.6% accuracy, 83.7% F1, 0.964 AUC), cost-sensitive learning (92.5% accuracy, 83.8% F1, 0.962 AUC), and thresholding (91.9% accuracy, 83.0% F1, 0.962 AUC) and others. In multiclass classification of glaucoma, BBFL with MobileNetV2 (79.7% accuracy, 69.6% average F1 score) outperformed ROS (76.8% accuracy, 64.7% F1), cost-sensitive learning (78.3% accuracy, 67.8.8% F1), and random undersampling (76.5% accuracy, 66.5% F1). Conclusion: The BBFL-based learning method can improve the performance of a CNN model in both binary and multiclass disease classification when the data are imbalanced.

Predicting left/right lung volumes, thoracic cavity volume, and heart volume from subject demographics to improve lung transplant.

Purpose: Lung transplantation is the standard treatment for end-stage lung diseases. A crucial factor affecting its success is size matching between the donor's lungs and the recipient's thorax. Computed tomography (CT) scans can accurately determine recipient's lung size, but donor's lung size is often unknown due to the absence of medical images. We aim to predict donor's right/left/total lung volume, thoracic cavity, and heart volume from only subject demographics to improve the accuracy of size matching. Approach: A cohort of 4610 subjects with chest CT scans and basic demographics (i.e., age, gender, race, smoking status, smoking history, weight, and height) was used in this study. The right and left lungs, thoracic cavity, and heart depicted on chest CT scans were automatically segmented using U-Net, and their volumes were computed. Eight machine learning models [i.e., random forest, multivariate linear regression, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), multilayer perceptron (MLP), decision tree, k -nearest neighbors, and Bayesian regression) were developed and used to predict the volume measures from subject demographics. The 10-fold cross-validation method was used to evaluate the performances of the prediction models. R -squared ( R 2 ), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were used as performance metrics. Results: The MLP model demonstrated the best performance for predicting the thoracic cavity volume ( R 2 : 0.628, MAE: 0.736 L, MAPE: 10.9%), right lung volume ( R 2 : 0.501, MAE: 0.383 L, MAPE: 13.9%), and left lung volume ( R 2 : 0.507, MAE: 0.365 L, MAPE: 15.2%), and the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance for predicting the total lung volume ( R 2 : 0.514, MAE: 0.728 L, MAPE: 14.0%) and heart volume ( R 2 : 0.430, MAE: 0.075 L, MAPE: 13.9%). Conclusions: Our results demonstrate the feasibility of predicting lung, heart, and thoracic cavity volumes from subject demographics with superior performance compared with available studies in predicting lung volumes.

CT-derived body composition associated with lung cancer recurrence after surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of body composition derived from computed tomography (CT) scans on postoperative lung cancer recurrence. METHODS: We created a retrospective cohort of 363 lung cancer patients who underwent lung resections and had verified recurrence, death, or at least 5-year follow-up without either event. Five key body tissues and ten tumor features were automatically segmented and quantified based on preoperative whole-body CT scans (acquired as part of a PET-CT scan) and chest CT scans, respectively. Time-to-event analysis accounting for the competing event of death was performed to analyze the impact of body composition, tumor features, clinical information, and pathological features on lung cancer recurrence after surgery. The hazard ratio (HR) of normalized factors was used to assess individual significance univariately and in the combined models. The 5-fold cross-validated time-dependent receiver operating characteristics analysis, with an emphasis on the area under the 3-year ROC curve (AUC), was used to characterize the ability to predict lung cancer recurrence. RESULTS: Body tissues that showed a standalone potential to predict lung cancer recurrence include visceral adipose tissue (VAT) volume (HR = 0.88, p = 0.047), subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) density (HR = 1.14, p = 0.034), inter-muscle adipose tissue (IMAT) volume (HR = 0.83, p = 0.002), muscle density (HR = 1.27, p < 0.001), and total fat volume (HR = 0.89, p = 0.050). The CT-derived muscular and tumor features significantly contributed to a model including clinicopathological factors, resulting in an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.75-0.83) to predict recurrence at 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: Body composition features (e.g., muscle density, or muscle and inter-muscle adipose tissue volumes) can improve the prediction of recurrence when combined with clinicopathological factors.

CT-Derived Body Composition Is a Predictor of Survival after Esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: Body composition can be accurately quantified based on computed tomography (CT) and typically reflects an individual's overall health status. However, there is a dearth of research examining the relationship between body composition and survival following esophagectomy. METHODS: We created a cohort consisting of 183 patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer without neoadjuvant therapy. The cohort included preoperative PET-CT scans, along with pathologic and clinical data, which were collected prospectively. Radiomic, tumor, PET, and body composition features were automatically extracted from the images. Cox regression models were utilized to identify variables associated with survival. Logistic regression and machine learning models were developed to predict one-, three-, and five-year survival rates. Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC/AUC). To test for the statistical significance of the impact of body composition on survival, body composition features were excluded for the best-performing models, and the DeLong test was used. RESULTS: The one-year survival model contained 10 variables, including three body composition variables (bone mass, bone density, and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) density), and demonstrated an AUC of 0.817 (95% CI: 0.738-0.897). The three-year survival model incorporated 14 variables, including three body composition variables (intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) volume, IMAT mass, and bone mass), with an AUC of 0.693 (95% CI: 0.594-0.792). For the five-year survival model, 10 variables were included, of which two were body composition variables (intramuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) volume and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) mass), with an AUC of 0.861 (95% CI: 0.783-0.938). The one- and five-year survival models exhibited significantly inferior performance when body composition features were not incorporated. CONCLUSIONS: Body composition features derived from preoperative CT scans should be considered when predicting survival following esophagectomy.

CT pectoralis muscle area is associated with DXA lean mass and correlates with emphysema progression in a tobacco-exposed cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Muscle loss is an important extrapulmonary manifestation of COPD. Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is the method of choice for body composition measurement but is not widely used for muscle mass evaluation. The pectoralis muscle area (PMA) is quantifiable by CT and predicts cross-sectional COPD-related morbidity. There are no studies that compare PMA with DXA measures or that evaluate longitudinal relationships between PMA and lung disease progression. METHODS: Participants from our longitudinal tobacco-exposed cohort had baseline and 6-year chest CT (n=259) and DXA (n=164) data. Emphysema was quantified by CT density histogram parenchymal scoring using the 15th percentile technique. Fat-free mass index (FFMI) and appendicular skeletal mass index (ASMI) were calculated from DXA measurements. Linear regression model relationships were reported using standardised coefficient (ß) with 95% CI. RESULTS: PMA was more strongly associated with DXA measures than with body mass index (BMI) in both cross-sectional (FFMI: ß=0.76 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.86), p<0.001; ASMI: ß=0.76 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.86), p<0.001; BMI: ß=0.36 (95% CI 0.25 to 0.47), p<0.001) and longitudinal (ΔFFMI: ß=0.43 (95% CI 0.28 to 0.57), p<0.001; ΔASMI: ß=0.42 (95% CI 0.27 to 0.57), p<0.001; ΔBMI: ß=0.34 (95% CI 0.22 to 0.46), p<0.001) models. Six-year change in PMA was associated with 6-year change in emphysema (ß=0.39 (95% CI 0.23 to 0.56), p<0.001) but not with 6-year change in airflow obstruction. CONCLUSIONS: PMA is an accessible measure of muscle mass and may serve as a useful clinical surrogate for assessing skeletal muscle loss in smokers. Decreased PMA correlated with emphysema progression but not lung function decline, suggesting a difference in the pathophysiology driving emphysema, airflow obstruction and comorbidity risk.

An ECG-based machine learning model for predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation is superior to age and clinical features in identifying patients at high stroke risk.

BACKGROUND: Several large trials have employed age or clinical features to select patients for atrial fibrillation (AF) screening to reduce strokes. We hypothesized that a machine learning (ML) model trained to predict AF risk from 12­lead electrocardiogram (ECG) would be more efficient than criteria based on clinical variables in indicating a population for AF screening to potentially prevent AF-related stroke. METHODS: We retrospectively included all patients with clinical encounters in Geisinger without a prior history of AF. Incidence of AF within 1 year and AF-related strokes within 3 years of the encounter were identified. AF-related stroke was defined as a stroke where AF was diagnosed at the time of stroke or within a year after the stroke. The efficiency of five methods was evaluated for selecting a cohort for AF screening. The methods were selected from four clinical trials (mSToPS, GUARD-AF, SCREEN-AF and STROKESTOP) and the ECG-based ML model. We simulated patient selection for the five methods between the years 2011 and 2014 and evaluated outcomes for 1 year intervals between 2012 and 2015, resulting in a total of twenty 1-year periods. Patients were considered eligible if they met the criteria before the start of the given 1-year period or within that period. The primary outcomes were numbers needed to screen (NNS) for AF and AF-associated stroke. RESULTS: The clinical trial models indicated large proportions of the population with a prior ECG for AF screening (up to 31%), coinciding with NNS ranging from 14 to 18 for AF and 249-359 for AF-associated stroke. At comparable sensitivity, the ECG ML model indicated a modest number of patients for screening (14%) and had the highest efficiency in NNS for AF (7.3; up to 60% reduction) and AF-associated stroke (223; up to 38% reduction). CONCLUSIONS: An ECG-based ML risk prediction model is more efficient than contemporary AF-screening criteria based on age alone or age and clinical features at indicating a population for AF screening to potentially prevent AF-related strokes.

Skeletal Muscle Adiposity and Lung Function Trajectory in the Severe Asthma Research Program.

Rationale: Extrapulmonary manifestations of asthma, including fatty infiltration in tissues, may reflect systemic inflammation and influence lung function and disease severity. Objectives: To determine if skeletal muscle adiposity predicts lung function trajectory in asthma. Methods: Adult SARP III (Severe Asthma Research Program III) participants with baseline computed tomography imaging and longitudinal postbronchodilator FEV1% predicted (median follow-up 5 years [1,132 person-years]) were evaluated. The mean of left and right paraspinous muscle density (PSMD) at the 12th thoracic vertebral body was calculated (Hounsfield units [HU]). Lower PSMD reflects higher muscle adiposity. We derived PSMD reference ranges from healthy control subjects without asthma. A linear multivariable mixed-effects model was constructed to evaluate associations of baseline PSMD and lung function trajectory stratified by sex. Measurements and Main Results: Participants included 219 with asthma (67% women; mean [SD] body mass index, 32.3 [8.8] kg/m2) and 37 control subjects (51% women; mean [SD] body mass index, 26.3 [4.7] kg/m2). Participants with asthma had lower adjusted PSMD than control subjects (42.2 vs. 55.8 HU; P < 0.001). In adjusted models, PSMD predicted lung function trajectory in women with asthma (ß = -0.47 Δ slope per 10-HU decrease; P = 0.03) but not men (ß = 0.11 Δ slope per 10-HU decrease; P = 0.77). The highest PSMD tertile predicted a 2.9% improvement whereas the lowest tertile predicted a 1.8% decline in FEV1% predicted among women with asthma over 5 years. Conclusions: Participants with asthma have lower PSMD, reflecting greater muscle fat infiltration. Baseline PSMD predicted lung function decline among women with asthma but not men. These data support an important role of metabolic dysfunction in lung function decline.

Assessing retinal vein occlusion based on color fundus photographs using neural understanding network (NUN).

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a novel deep learning architecture to classify retinal vein occlusion (RVO) on color fundus photographs (CFPs) and reveal the image features contributing to the classification. METHODS: The neural understanding network (NUN) is formed by two components: (1) convolutional neural network (CNN)-based feature extraction and (2) graph neural networks (GNN)-based feature understanding. The CNN-based image features were transformed into a graph representation to encode and visualize long-range feature interactions to identify the image regions that significantly contributed to the classification decision. A total of 7062 CFPs were classified into three categories: (1) no vein occlusion ("normal"), (2) central RVO, and (3) branch RVO. The area under the receiver operative characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used as the metric to assess the performance of the trained classification models. RESULTS: The AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for NUN to classify CFPs as normal, central occlusion, or branch occlusion were 0.975 (± 0.003), 0.911 (± 0.007), 0.983 (± 0.010), and 0.803 (± 0.005), respectively, which outperformed available classical CNN models. CONCLUSION: The NUN architecture can provide a better classification performance and a straightforward visualization of the results compared to CNNs.

Estimating 3-D whole-body composition from a chest CT scan.

BACKGROUND: Estimating whole-body composition from limited region-computed tomography (CT) scans has many potential applications in clinical medicine; however, it is challenging. PURPOSE: To investigate if whole-body composition based on several tissue types (visceral adipose tissue [VAT], subcutaneous adipose tissue [SAT], intermuscular adipose tissue [IMAT], skeletal muscle [SM], and bone) can be reliably estimated from a chest CT scan only. METHODS: A cohort of 97 lung cancer subjects who underwent both chest CT scans and whole-body positron emission tomography-CT scans at our institution were collected. We used our in-house software to automatically segment and quantify VAT, SAT, IMAT, SM, and bone on the CT images. The field-of-views of the chest CT scans and the whole-body CT scans were standardized, namely, from vertebra T1 to L1 and from C1 to the bottom of the pelvis, respectively. Multivariate linear regression was used to develop the computer models for estimating the volumes of whole-body tissues from chest CT scans. Subject demographics (e.g., gender and age) and lung volume were included in the modeling analysis. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to validate the performance of the prediction models. Mean absolute difference (MAD) and R-squared (R2 ) were used as the performance metrics to assess the model performance. RESULTS: The R2 values when estimating volumes of whole-body SAT, VAT, IMAT, total fat, SM, and bone from the regular chest CT scans were 0.901, 0.929, 0.900, 0.933, 0.928, and 0.918, respectively. The corresponding MADs (percentage difference) were 1.44 ± 1.21 L (12.21% ± 11.70%), 0.63 ± 0.49 L (29.68% ± 61.99%), 0.12 ± 0.09 L (16.20% ± 18.42%), 1.65 ± 1.40 L (10.43% ± 10.79%), 0.71 ± 0.68 L (5.14% ± 4.75%), and 0.17 ± 0.15 L (4.32% ± 3.38%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Our algorithm shows promise in its ability to estimate whole-body compositions from chest CT scans. Body composition measures based on chest CT scans are more accurate than those based on vertebra third lumbar.

Super U-Net: a modularized generalizable architecture.

Objective: To develop and validate a novel convolutional neural network (CNN) termed "Super U-Net" for medical image segmentation. Methods: Super U-Net integrates a dynamic receptive field module and a fusion upsampling module into the classical U-Net architecture. The model was developed and tested to segment retinal vessels, gastrointestinal (GI) polyps, skin lesions on several image types (i.e., fundus images, endoscopic images, dermoscopic images). We also trained and tested the traditional U-Net architecture, seven U-Net variants, and two non-U-Net segmentation architectures. K-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate performance. The performance metrics included Dice similarity coefficient (DSC), accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and sensitivity. Results: Super U-Net achieved average DSCs of 0.808±0.0210, 0.752±0.019, 0.804±0.239, and 0.877±0.135 for segmenting retinal vessels, pediatric retinal vessels, GI polyps, and skin lesions, respectively. The Super U-net consistently outperformed U-Net, seven U-Net variants, and two non-U-Net segmentation architectures (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Dynamic receptive fields and fusion upsampling can significantly improve image segmentation performance.

rECHOmmend: An ECG-Based Machine Learning Approach for Identifying Patients at Increased Risk of Undiagnosed Structural Heart Disease Detectable by Echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Timely diagnosis of structural heart disease improves patient outcomes, yet many remain underdiagnosed. While population screening with echocardiography is impractical, ECG-based prediction models can help target high-risk patients. We developed a novel ECG-based machine learning approach to predict multiple structural heart conditions, hypothesizing that a composite model would yield higher prevalence and positive predictive values to facilitate meaningful recommendations for echocardiography. METHODS: Using 2 232 130 ECGs linked to electronic health records and echocardiography reports from 484 765 adults between 1984 to 2021, we trained machine learning models to predict the presence or absence of any of 7 echocardiography-confirmed diseases within 1 year. This composite label included the following: moderate or severe valvular disease (aortic/mitral stenosis or regurgitation, tricuspid regurgitation), reduced ejection fraction <50%, or interventricular septal thickness >15 mm. We tested various combinations of input features (demographics, laboratory values, structured ECG data, ECG traces) and evaluated model performance using 5-fold cross-validation, multisite validation trained on 1 site and tested on 10 independent sites, and simulated retrospective deployment trained on pre-2010 data and deployed in 2010. RESULTS: Our composite rECHOmmend model used age, sex, and ECG traces and had a 0.91 area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and a 42% positive predictive value at 90% sensitivity, with a composite label prevalence of 17.9%. Individual disease models had area under the receiver operating characteristic curves from 0.86 to 0.93 and lower positive predictive values from 1% to 31%. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for models using different input features ranged from 0.80 to 0.93, increasing with additional features. Multisite validation showed similar results to cross-validation, with an aggregate area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.91 across our independent test set of 10 clinical sites after training on a separate site. Our simulated retrospective deployment showed that for ECGs acquired in patients without preexisting structural heart disease in the year 2010, 11% were classified as high risk and 41% (4.5% of total patients) developed true echocardiography-confirmed disease within 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: An ECG-based machine learning model using a composite end point can identify a high-risk population for having undiagnosed, clinically significant structural heart disease while outperforming single-disease models and improving practical utility with higher positive predictive values. This approach can facilitate targeted screening with echocardiography to improve underdiagnosis of structural heart disease.

Quantitative CT Characteristics of Cluster Phenotypes in the Severe Asthma Research Program Cohorts.

Background Clustering key clinical characteristics of participants in the Severe Asthma Research Program (SARP), a large, multicenter prospective observational study of patients with asthma and healthy controls, has led to the identification of novel asthma phenotypes. Purpose To determine whether quantitative CT (qCT) could help distinguish between clinical asthma phenotypes. Materials and Methods A retrospective cross-sectional analysis was conducted with the use of qCT images (maximal bronchodilation at total lung capacity [TLC], or inspiration, and functional residual capacity [FRC], or expiration) from the cluster phenotypes of SARP participants (cluster 1: minimal disease; cluster 2: mild, reversible; cluster 3: obese asthma; cluster 4: severe, reversible; cluster 5: severe, irreversible) enrolled between September 2001 and December 2015. Airway morphometry was performed along standard paths (RB1, RB4, RB10, LB1, and LB10). Corresponding voxels from TLC and FRC images were mapped with use of deformable image registration to characterize disease probability maps (DPMs) of functional small airway disease (fSAD), voxel-level volume changes (Jacobian), and isotropy (anisotropic deformation index [ADI]). The association between cluster assignment and qCT measures was evaluated using linear mixed models. Results A total of 455 participants were evaluated with cluster assignments and CT (mean age ± SD, 42.1 years ± 14.7; 270 women). Airway morphometry had limited ability to help discern between clusters. DPM fSAD was highest in cluster 5 (cluster 1 in SARP III: 19.0% ± 20.6; cluster 2: 18.9% ± 13.3; cluster 3: 24.9% ± 13.1; cluster 4: 24.1% ± 8.4; cluster 5: 38.8% ± 14.4; P < .001). Lower whole-lung Jacobian and ADI values were associated with greater cluster severity. Compared to cluster 1, cluster 5 lung expansion was 31% smaller (Jacobian in SARP III cohort: 2.31 ± 0.6 vs 1.61 ± 0.3, respectively, P < .001) and 34% more isotropic (ADI in SARP III cohort: 0.40 ± 0.1 vs 0.61 ± 0.2, P < .001). Within-lung Jacobian and ADI SDs decreased as severity worsened (Jacobian SD in SARP III cohort: 0.90 ± 0.4 for cluster 1; 0.79 ± 0.3 for cluster 2; 0.62 ± 0.2 for cluster 3; 0.63 ± 0.2 for cluster 4; and 0.41 ± 0.2 for cluster 5; P < .001). Conclusion Quantitative CT assessments of the degree and intraindividual regional variability of lung expansion distinguished between well-established clinical phenotypes among participants with asthma from the Severe Asthma Research Program study. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Verschakelen in this issue.

Genome-wide analysis provides genetic evidence that ACE2 influences COVID-19 risk and yields risk scores associated with severe disease.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) enters human host cells via angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) and causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Here, through a genome-wide association study, we identify a variant (rs190509934, minor allele frequency 0.2-2%) that downregulates ACE2 expression by 37% (P = 2.7 × 10-8) and reduces the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection by 40% (odds ratio = 0.60, P = 4.5 × 10-13), providing human genetic evidence that ACE2 expression levels influence COVID-19 risk. We also replicate the associations of six previously reported risk variants, of which four were further associated with worse outcomes in individuals infected with the virus (in/near LZTFL1, MHC, DPP9 and IFNAR2). Lastly, we show that common variants define a risk score that is strongly associated with severe disease among cases and modestly improves the prediction of disease severity relative to demographic and clinical factors alone.

Automated identification of pulmonary arteries and veins depicted in non-contrast chest CT scans.

We present a novel integrative computerized solution to automatically identify and differentiate pulmonary arteries and veins depicted on chest computed tomography (CT) without iodinated contrast agents. We first identified the central extrapulmonary arteries and veins using a convolutional neural network (CNN) model. Then, a computational differential geometry method was used to automatically identify the tubular-like structures in the lungs with high densities, which we believe are the intrapulmonary vessels. Beginning with the extrapulmonary arteries and veins, we progressively traced the intrapulmonary vessels by following their skeletons and differentiated them into arteries and veins. Instead of manually labeling the numerous arteries and veins in the lungs for machine learning, this integrative strategy limits the manual effort only to the large extrapulmonary vessels. We used a dataset consisting of 120 chest CT scans acquired on different subjects using various protocols to develop, train, and test the algorithms. Our experiments on an independent test set (n = 15) showed promising performance. The computer algorithm achieved a sensitivity of ∼98% in labeling the pulmonary artery and vein branches when compared with a human expert's results, demonstrating the feasibility of our computerized solution in pulmonary artery/vein labeling.

Macrovasculature and positron emission tomography (PET) standardized uptake value in patients with lung cancer.

PURPOSE: To investigate the relationship between macrovasculature features and the standardized uptake value (SUV) of positron emission tomography (PET), which is a surrogate for the metabolic activity of a lung tumor. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 90 lung cancer patients who had both chest CT and PET-CT examinations before receiving cancer treatment. The SUVs in the medical reports were used. We quantified three macrovasculature features depicted on CT images (i.e., vessel number, vessel volume, and vessel tortuosity) and several tumor features (i.e., volume, maximum diameter, mean diameter, surface area, and density). Tumor size (e.g., volume) was used as a covariate to adjust for possible confounding factors. Backward stepwise multiple regression analysis was performed to develop a model for predicting PET SUV from the relevant image features. The Bonferroni correction was used for multiple comparisons. RESULTS: PET SUV was positively correlated with vessel volume (R = 0.44, p < 0.001) and vessel number (R = 0.44, p < 0.001) but not with vessel tortuosity (R = 0.124, p > 0.05). After adjusting for tumor size, PET SUV was significantly correlated with vessel tortuosity (R = 0.299, p = 0.004) and vessel number (R = 0.224, p = 0.035), but only marginally correlated with vessel volume (R = 0.187, p = 0.079). The multiple regression model showed a performance with an R-Squared of 0.391 and an adjusted R-Squared of 0.355 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our investigations demonstrate the potential relationship between macrovasculature and PET SUV and suggest the possibility of inferring the metabolic activity of a lung tumor from chest CT images.

Growth and tolerance of healthy, term infants fed lower protein extensively hydrolyzed or amino acid-based formula: double-blind, randomized, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Optimal protein level in hypoallergenic infant formulas is an area of ongoing investigation. The aim was to evaluate growth of healthy term infants who received extensively hydrolyzed (EH) or amino acid (AA)-based formulas with reduced protein. METHODS: In this prospective, multi-center, double-blind, controlled, parallel group study, infants were randomized to receive a marketed EH casein infant formula at 2.8 g protein/100 kcal (Control) or one of two investigational formulas: EH casein formula at 2.4 g protein/100 kcal (EHF) or AA-based formula at 2.4 g total protein equivalents/100 kcal (AAF). Control and EHF each had 2 × 107 CFU Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG/100 kcal. Anthropometrics were measured and recall of formula intake, tolerance, and stool characteristics was collected at 14, 30, 60, 90, 120 days of age. Primary outcome was weight growth rate (g/day) between 14 and 120 days of age (analyzed by ANOVA). Medically confirmed adverse events were recorded throughout the study. RESULTS: No group differences in weight or length growth rate from 14 to 120 days were detected. With the exception of significant differences at several study time points for males, no group differences were detected in mean head circumference growth rates. However, mean achieved weight, length, and head circumference demonstrated normal growth throughout the study period. No group differences in achieved weight or length (males and females) and head circumference (females) were detected and means were within the WHO growth 25th and 75th percentiles from 14 to 120 days of age. With the exception of Day 90, there were no statistically significant group differences in achieved head circumference for males; means remained between the WHO 50th and 75th percentiles for growth at Days 14, 30, and 60 and continued along the 75th percentile through Day 120. No differences in study discontinuation due to formula were detected. The number of participants for whom at least one adverse event was reported was similar among groups. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated hypoallergenic infant formulas at 2.4 g protein/100 kcal were safe, well-tolerated, and associated with appropriate growth in healthy term infants from 14 to 120 days of age. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01354366 . Registered 13 May 2011.