Risk and Factors associated with disease manifestations in systemic lupus erythematosus - lupus nephritis (RIFLE-LN): a ten-year risk prediction strategy derived from a cohort of 1652 patients.

Objectives: Lupus nephritis (LN) remains one of the most severe manifestations in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Onset and overall LN risk among SLE patients remains considerably difficult to predict. Utilizing a territory-wide longitudinal cohort of over 10 years serial follow-up data, we developed and validated a risk stratification strategy to predict LN risk among Chinese SLE patients - Risk and Factors associated with disease manifestations in systemic Lupus Erythematosus - Lupus Nephritis (RIFLE-LN). Methods: Demographic and longitudinal data including autoantibody profiles, clinical manifestations, major organ involvement, LN biopsy results and outcomes were documented. Association analysis was performed to identify factors associated with LN. Regression modelling was used to develop a prediction model for 10-year risk of LN and thereafter validated. Results: A total of 1652 patients were recruited: 1382 patients were assigned for training and validation of the RIFLE-LN model; while 270 were assigned for testing. The median follow-up duration was 21 years. In the training and validation cohort, 845 (61%) of SLE patients developed LN. Cox regression and log rank test showed significant positive association between male sex, age of SLE onset and anti-dsDNA positivity. These factors were thereafter used to develop RIFLE-LN. The algorithm was tested in 270 independent patients and showed good performance (AUC = 0·70). Conclusion: By using male sex, anti-dsDNA positivity, age of SLE onset and SLE duration; RIFLE-LN can predict LN among Chinese SLE patients with good performance. We advocate its potential utility in guiding clinical management and disease monitoring. Further validation studies in independent cohorts are required.

Five-year cardiovascular event risk in early rheumatoid arthritis patients who received treat-to-target management: a case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: This study explored whether the excess cardiovascular (CV) disease (CVD) risk in RA could be ameliorated by suppression of inflammation using a treat-to-target (T2T) approach. We compared the CV event (CVE) incidence among ERA patients managed by a T2T strategy with a CV risk factor-matched non-RA population and a historical RA cohort (HRA). METHODS: This was an observational study using the city-wide hospital data and the ERA registry. ERA patients received T2T management while HRA patients received routine care. Each ERA/HRA patient was matched to three non-RA controls according to age, gender and CV risk factors. Patients on antiplatelet/anticoagulant agents, with pre-existing CVD, chronic kidney disease or other autoimmune diseases were excluded. All subjects were followed for up to 5 years. The primary end point was the first occurrence of a CVE. RESULTS: The incidence of CVE in the ERA cohort (n = 261) and ERA controls were similar with a hazard ratio of 0.53 (95% CI 0.15, 1.79). In contrast, the incidence of CVE in the HRA cohort (n = 268) was significantly higher than that of the HRA controls with a hazard ratio of 1.9 (95% CI 1.16, 3.13). The incidence of CVE in the ERA cohort was significantly lower than that of the HRA cohort and the difference became insignificant after adjusting for inflammation, the use of methotrexate and traditional CV risk factors. CONCLUSION: ERA patients managed by a T2T strategy did not develop excess CVE compared with CV risk factor-matched controls over 5 years.

Clinical presentation, treatment and outcome of Takayasu's arteritis in southern Chinese: a multicenter retrospective study.

To study the clinical presentation, treatment and outcome of southern Chinese patients with Takayasu's arteritis (TA). This is a retrospective chart review study of 78 patients managed in 14 public hospitals in Hong Kong between the years 2000 and 2010. Patients were identified from the hospital registry using the ICD-10 diagnostic code of the disease. The classification of TA was based on the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) or modified Ichikawa's criteria. Demographic data, clinical presentation, angiographic findings, pattern of vascular involvement (Numano's classification), treatment and outcome of these patients were presented. 78 patients were studied (82% women, age at presentation 34.2 ± 14 years). The estimated point prevalence of TA was 11/million population. The commonest initial manifestations were hypertension (62%) and vascular ischemic symptoms (38%). Systemic symptoms occurred in nine (12%) patients only. The proportion of patients fulfilling the angiographic subtypes of the Numano's classification was: types I (13%), IIa (4%), IIb (12%), III (12%), IV (20%) and V (39%), respectively. Thirty-two patients (41%) were treated with high-dose glucocorticoids (GCs) and 22 patients (28%) received additional non-GC immunosuppressive drugs. Vascular complications occurred in 26 (33%) patients and revascularization surgery was performed in 23(29%) patients. Three (4%) patients died of vascular complication at a median of 8 years after disease onset. TA is rare in southern Chinese patients of Hong Kong. Most patients present with ischemic symptoms during the stenotic phase of the disease. Although mortality is low, a significant proportion of patients developed vascular stenosis that required surgical interventions. More awareness of TA as a differential diagnosis of non-specific systemic symptoms with elevated inflammatory markers in younger patients is needed for earlier diagnosis.

Comparing diffusion weighted imaging with clinical and blood parameters, and with short tau inversion recovery sequence in detecting spinal and sacroiliac joint inflammation in axial spondyloarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the usefulness of diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) by comparing with clinical features, blood parameters and traditional short tau inversion recovery (STIR) sequence in detecting spinal and sacroiliac (SI) joint inflammation in axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) patients. METHODS: One hundred and ten axSpA patients were recruited. Clinical, radiological and blood parameters were recorded. DWI and STIR MRI were performed simultaneously and results were scored according to the Spondyloarthritis Research Consortium of Canada (SPARCC) for comparison. Apparent diffusion coef cient (ADC) values were also calculated. RESULTS: DWI did not correlate with clinical parameters or blood parameters. It also had lowered sensitivity. When compared with STIR sequence, it correlated well with STIR sequence at the SI joint level (CC 0.76, p<0.001), but weakly at the spinal level (CC 0.23, p=0.02). At the SI joint level, the presence of inflammation on both STIR sequence and DWI was associated with an increase in maximum (B=0.24, p=0.02 in STIR; B=0.37, p<0.001 in DWI) and mean ADC values (B=0.17, p=0.003 in STIR; B=0.15, p=0.01 in DWI). Maximum (B=0.19, p=0.04) and mean spinal ADC values (B=0.18, p=0.01) were also positively associated with DWI detected spinal inflammation. Presence of Modic lesions showed positive correlation with STIR sequence (B=7.12, p=0.01) but not spinal ADC values. CONCLUSIONS: Despite DWI correlates with STIR sequence, it has lower sensitivity. However, ADC values appear to be independent of Modic lesions and may supplement STIR sequence to differentiate degeneration.

IL-33 and soluble ST2 levels as novel predictors for remission and progression of carotid plaque in early rheumatoid arthritis: A prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To study the association between the baseline IL-33 and soluble ST2 (sST2) levels with disease remission and progression of carotid atherosclerosis in early rheumatoid arthritis (ERA) patients. METHODS: A total of 98 ERA patients were enrolled. Disease activity and the presence of carotid plaque were evaluated at baseline and 12 months later. Plasma IL-33 and sST2 levels were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits. RESULTS: Baseline IL-33 and sST2 levels were associated with inflammatory markers and cardiovascular (CV) risk factors. Overall, 44(45%), 18(18%), and 21(21%) patients achieved remission based on 28-joint disease activity score (DAS28), Boolean, and simplified disease activity score (SDAI) criteria at 12 months, respectively. Patients with detectable IL-33 at baseline were less likely to achieve DAS28 (P = 0.010) and SDAI remission (P = 0.021), while a lower baseline sST2 level was able to predict DAS28, Boolean, and SDAI remission (P = 0.005, 0.001, and <0.001, respectively). Using multivariate analysis, a lower baseline sST2 level independently predict Boolean (OR = 0.789; P = 0.005) and SDAI remission (0.812; P = 0.008). Regarding carotid atherosclerosis, 9/98(9.2%) patients had plaque progression at 12 months. Baseline IL-33 was detectable in 8/9(89%) and 42/83(51%) of patients with and without plaque progression respectively (P = 0.029). Baseline detectable IL-33 was an independent predictor for plaque progression after adjusting for traditional CV risk factors (P = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Lower baseline sST2 levels independently predict disease remission and baseline detectable IL-33 independently predicts carotid plaque progression in ERA patients. This study suggests that inflammation induced by the IL-33/ST2 axis may play a significant role in the development of cardiovascular disease in RA.

The effects of golimumab on subclinical atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness in ankylosing spondylitis­a randomized, placebo-controlled pilot trial.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to ascertain the efficacy of golimumab compared with placebo in the prevention of atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness in AS. METHODS: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled pilot study was performed in which AS patients were treated with golimumab (n = 20) and placebo (n = 21) for 12 months. Patients from the placebo group who failed to achieve a 20% response to Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society criteria (ASAS20) at 6 months received open-label golimumab. Intima-media thickness (IMT), pulse wave velocity (PWV) and augmentation index (AIx) were measured at baseline, 6 and 12 months. RESULTS: At 6 months, 11/20 (55%) and 3/21 (14%) patients from the golimumab and placebo groups achieved an ASAS20 response, respectively (P = 0.006). There was no significant difference in the change of the vascular parameters between the two groups. In the placebo group, significantly greater progression of the mean IMT [from 0.51 mm (S.D. 0.07) at baseline to 0.53 mm (S.D. 0.08) at 6 months, P = 0.044] and PWV (from 12.2 m/s (S.D. 1.6) at baseline to 12.6 m/s (S.D. 1.3), P = 0.028] were observed. There was a trend towards progression of the mean IMT in the golimumab group (P = 0.099) but the maximum IMT, PWV and AIx remained unchanged. At 12 months the changes in vascular parameters were similar between the early and delayed (or no) golimumab groups. CONCLUSION: Uncontrolled inflammation may result in a significant progression in IMT and PWV in patients with AS. Arterial dysfunction may be prevented by golimumab over a period of 6 months, probably because of effective suppression of inflammation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01212653)

Factors associated with withdrawal of the anti-TNFα biologics in the treatment of rheumatic diseases: data from the Hong Kong Biologics Registry.

OBJECTIVES: To study the factors associated with withdrawal of the and tumor necrosis factor alpha (anti-TNFα) biologics in the treatment of rheumatic diseases. METHOD: Data from the Hong Kong Biologics Registry were retrieved. The cumulative rates of withdrawal of different biological agents were studied by Kaplan-Meier plot and the incidence of serious adverse events (SAEs) was calculated. Factors associated with the withdrawal of the anti-TNFα agents were studied by Cox regression. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2013, 2059 courses of biologics were used in 1345 patients. After 3454 patient-years, 1171 (57%) courses were terminated because of clinical inefficacy (38.1%), SAEs (22.3%) and financial reasons (15.9%). The most frequent SAEs (per 100-patient-years) were allergy (2.90), serious infections (1.34), tuberculosis (0.93) and infusion/injection site reaction (0.75). Among the anti-TNFα agents, the cumulative probability of drug withdrawal for either inefficacy or SAEs in 5 years was highest with infliximab (IFX) (64.5%), followed by etanercept (ETN) (44.2%) and adalimumab (ADA) (36.9%). The incidence of serious infections and tuberculosis (per 100 patient-years) for IFX, ETN and ADA users was 1.99, 0.85 and 0.63; and 1.68, 0.43 and 0.85, respectively. Infusion/injection site reaction was highest with IFX (1.38/100 patient-years). Cox regression revealed increasing age, female sex, not having a diagnosis of spondyloarthritis (SpA) and IFX use were significantly associated with drug withdrawal for either inefficacy or SAEs. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) had the highest hazard ratio for drug withdrawal but SpA was favorable for drug retention, after adjustment for age, sex, disease duration and the choice of anti-TNFα agents. CONCLUSIONS: In our registry, the retention rate of the anti-TNFα agents was lowest but the incidence of tuberculosis, serious infections and infusion reaction was highest with IFX. Older female patients with RA and the use of IFX were independently associated with drug withdrawal.

Serum soluble receptor for advanced glycation end products levels and aortic augmentation index in early rheumatoid arthritis--a prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed whether a serum soluble receptor for advanced glycation end product (sRAGE) levels were associated with a progression of carotid atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness indexes in a cohort of early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. METHODS: RA patients with symptoms onset <2 years were recruited. Vascular assessments and serum sRAGE levels were measured at baseline and 1 year later. Arterial stiffness was determined by pulse wave velocity and aortic augmentation index (AIx). Carotid intima-media thickness was measured using high-resolution ultrasound. RESULTS: Ninety-four patients completed the 1-year study. Fifty-three (56.4%) achieved disease remission [28-joint disease activity score (DAS28 < 2.6)] at 12 months. Improvement in arterial stiffness was observed as reflected by the significant reductions in AIx and pulse wave velocity. At 12 months, the sRAGE levels increased significantly compared with baseline (939.8 ± 517.7 pg/ml to 1272.1 ± 567.3 pg/ml, P < 0.001). Changes in sRAGE levels were significantly higher in men compared to women (768 ± 510 pg/ml versus 271 ± 490 pg/ml, P < 0.05) and was negatively associated with the change in AIx (r = -0.259, P = 0.023). Changes in sRAGE level were not associated with other demographic, clinical, cardiovascular risk factors or treatment. Using multivariate analysis, the change in sRAGE levels and baseline high-density lipoprotein were independent predictors associated with the change in AIx. CONCLUSIONS: Arterial stiffness improved significantly in patients with early RA after effective control of inflammation. Increase in sRAGE level was associated with a decrease in AIx, suggesting that sRAGE may play an important role in the ligand-soluble receptor for advanced glycation end product interaction propagated inflammation and vascular stiffness in these patients.

Infliximab is associated with improvement in arterial stiffness in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis -- a randomized trial.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy of methotrexate (MTX) with infliximab (IFX) compared with MTX alone in the prevention of atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: A randomized, open-label study in which early RA patients with active disease were treated with MTX alone (n = 20) and MTX plus IFX (n = 20) for 6 months. Patients were assessed every 3 months. Patients from the MTX-alone group who failed to achieve 28-joint Disease Activity Score remission (DAS28 ≤ 2.6) at 6 months were permitted to escape to open-label IFX. Intima-media thickness (IMT), pulse wave velocity (PWV), and augmentation index (AIx) were measured at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. RESULTS: At 6 months, there was a significantly greater reduction in PWV in the MTX-alone group (0.18 ± 1.59 m/s) compared with the MTX plus IFX group (-0.78 ± 1.13 m/s; p = 0.044), accompanied by significantly greater reduction in patient's global assessment, number of swollen joints, C-reactive protein, and DAS28 in the MTX plus IFX group compared to the MTX-alone group. The changes in IMT and AIx were similar between the 2 groups. At 12 months, there was a trend favoring early combination treatment with regard to the reduction in PWV (p = 0.06). CONCLUSION: MTX plus IFX causes a more significant reduction in PWV than MTX alone in patients with early RA after 6-month treatment, and further improvement may be achieved in patients who continued on longterm tumor necrosis factor-α blockers, suggesting that early, effective suppression of inflammation may prevent progression of atherosclerosis by improving vascular function.

Behçet's aortitis and aortic regurgitation: a report of two cases.

Behçet's disease is a rare systemic vasculitis that may lead to neurologic complications and rare manifestations of aortitis and aortic regurgitation. We report 2 cases of Behçet's aortitis and aortic regurgitation. The first patient presented with acute stroke. Recognition of acute aortitis on echocardiography led to the diagnosis of vasculitis as the cause of the cerebral event. This case highlights the echocardiographic features of aortic root pathology from acute aortitis to subsequent aortic valve perforation. In both cases, severe aortic regurgitation necessitated aortic valve replacement. Both were complicated by valve dehiscence requiring reoperation, illustrating the postoperative morbidity in this inflammatory condition.