ABSTRACT
Hong Kong is proud of its population's long life expectancy, but rapid population ageing is one of its greatest challenges. The Hospital Authority (HA) is the largest healthcare organization in Hong Kong. To cope with the challenges, HA has formulated the "Strategic Service Framework for Elderly Patients", emphasizing the development of multidisciplinary integrated elderly services, patients and caregivers; engagement, and enhancing collaboration with community partners. Over the past few years. HA has innovated and re-engineered various service models to provide appropriate care based on the stratified needs of individual elderly patients. We have adopted an integrated case management approach to cater for the multi-faceted needs of high risk elderly, enhanced chronic disease management and improved support for self-care. Information technology has played a significant role in transforming the service model. Evaluation of the new programmers showed encouraging results in reduction of unnecessary hospitalizations, improvements in health outcomes and patient empowerment.
Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care, Integrated , Health Services for the Aged/organization & administration , Organizational Innovation , Social Support , Aged , Hong Kong , Humans , Information TechnologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Timely estimation of the transmissibility of a novel pandemic influenza virus was a public health priority in 2009. METHODS: We extended methods for prospective estimation of the effective reproduction number (Rt) over time in an emerging epidemic to allow for reporting delays and repeated importations. We estimated Rt based on case notifications and hospitalizations associated with laboratory-confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infections in Hong Kong from June through October 2009. RESULTS: Rt declined from around 1.4-1.5 at the start of the local epidemic to around 1.1-1.2 later in the summer, suggesting changes in transmissibility perhaps related to school vacations or seasonality. Estimates of Rt based on hospitalizations of confirmed H1N1 cases closely matched estimates based on case notifications. CONCLUSION: Real-time monitoring of the effective reproduction number is feasible and can provide useful information to public health authorities for situational awareness and calibration of mitigation strategies.
Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Influenza, Human/transmission , Influenza, Human/virology , Population Surveillance/methods , Prospective StudiesABSTRACT
In Hong Kong, kindergartens and primary schools were closed when local transmission of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 was identified. Secondary schools closed for summer vacation shortly afterwards. By fitting a model of reporting and transmission to case data, we estimated that transmission was reduced approximately 25% when secondary schools closed.
Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/transmission , Schools , Child , Child, Preschool , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Models, Biological , Population Surveillance/methods , SeasonsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: As yet, no one has written a comprehensive epidemiologic account of a severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak from an affected country. OBJECTIVE: To provide a comprehensive epidemiologic account of a SARS outbreak from an affected territory. DESIGN: Epidemiologic analysis. SETTING: The 2003 Hong Kong SARS outbreak. PARTICIPANTS: All 1755 cases and 302 deaths. MEASUREMENTS: Sociodemographic characteristics; infection clusters by time, occupation, setting, and workplace; and geospatial relationships were determined. The mean and variance in the time from infection to onset (incubation period) were estimated in a small group of patients with known exposure. The mean and variance in time from onset to admission, from admission to discharge, or from admission to death were calculated. Logistic regression was used to identify important predictors of case fatality. RESULTS: 49.3% of patients were infected in clinics, hospitals, or elderly or nursing homes, and the Amoy Gardens cluster accounted for 18.8% of cases. The ratio of women to men among infected individuals was 5:4. Health care workers accounted for 23.1% of all reported cases. The estimated mean incubation period was 4.6 days (95% CI, 3.8 to 5.8 days). Mean time from symptom onset to hospitalization varied between 2 and 8 days, decreasing over the course of the epidemic. Mean time from onset to death was 23.7 days (CI, 22.0 to 25.3 days), and mean time from onset to discharge was 26.5 days (CI, 25.8 to 27.2 days). Increasing age, male sex, atypical presenting symptoms, presence of comorbid conditions, and high lactate dehydrogenase level on admission were associated with a greater risk for death. LIMITATIONS: Estimates of the incubation period relied on statistical assumptions because few patients had known exposure times. Temporal changes in case management as the epidemic progressed, unavailable treatment information, and several potentially important factors that could not be thoroughly analyzed because of the limited sample size complicate interpretation of factors related to case fatality. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis of the complete data on the 2003 SARS epidemic in Hong Kong has revealed key epidemiologic features of the epidemic as it evolved.
Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/epidemiology , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Cluster Analysis , Demography , Female , Health Personnel , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Infectious Disease Transmission, Patient-to-Professional , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/transmission , Sex Distribution , Time FactorsABSTRACT
A total of 1,068 asymptomatic close contacts of patients with severe acute respiratory (SARS) from the 2003 epidemic in Hong Kong were serologically tested, and 2 (0.19%) were positive for SARS coronavirus immunoglobulin G antibody. SARS rarely manifests as a subclinical infection, and at present, wild animal species are the only important natural reservoirs of the virus.
Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral/blood , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/epidemiology , Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus/immunology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Child , Female , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Male , Population Surveillance , PrevalenceABSTRACT
We present an analysis of the first 10 weeks of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic in Hong Kong. The epidemic to date has been characterized by two large clusters-initiated by two separate "super-spread" events (SSEs)-and by ongoing community transmission. By fitting a stochastic model to data on 1512 cases, including these clusters, we show that the etiological agent of SARS is moderately transmissible. Excluding SSEs, we estimate that 2.7 secondary infections were generated per case on average at the start of the epidemic, with a substantial contribution from hospital transmission. Transmission rates fell during the epidemic, primarily as a result of reductions in population contact rates and improved hospital infection control, but also because of more rapid hospital attendance by symptomatic individuals. As a result, the epidemic is now in decline, although continued vigilance is necessary for this to be maintained. Restrictions on longer range population movement are shown to be a potentially useful additional control measure in some contexts. We estimate that most currently infected persons are now hospitalized, which highlights the importance of control of nosocomial transmission.
