ChatGPT provides inconsistent risk-stratification of patients with atraumatic chest pain.

BACKGROUND: ChatGPT-4 is a large language model with promising healthcare applications. However, its ability to analyze complex clinical data and provide consistent results is poorly known. Compared to validated tools, this study evaluated ChatGPT-4's risk stratification of simulated patients with acute nontraumatic chest pain. METHODS: Three datasets of simulated case studies were created: one based on the TIMI score variables, another on HEART score variables, and a third comprising 44 randomized variables related to non-traumatic chest pain presentations. ChatGPT-4 independently scored each dataset five times. Its risk scores were compared to calculated TIMI and HEART scores. A model trained on 44 clinical variables was evaluated for consistency. RESULTS: ChatGPT-4 showed a high correlation with TIMI and HEART scores (r = 0.898 and 0.928, respectively), but the distribution of individual risk assessments was broad. ChatGPT-4 gave a different risk 45-48% of the time for a fixed TIMI or HEART score. On the 44-variable model, a majority of the five ChatGPT-4 models agreed on a diagnosis category only 56% of the time, and risk scores were poorly correlated (r = 0.605). CONCLUSION: While ChatGPT-4 correlates closely with established risk stratification tools regarding mean scores, its inconsistency when presented with identical patient data on separate occasions raises concerns about its reliability. The findings suggest that while large language models like ChatGPT-4 hold promise for healthcare applications, further refinement and customization are necessary, particularly in the clinical risk assessment of atraumatic chest pain patients.

Anyone Anytime for Anything: The History of Emergency Medicine in Missouri.

The history of Emergency Medicine (EM) in Missouri reflects the larger history of EM as a burgeoning specialty throughout the United States, but with some important and unique contributions that may not be generally appreciated. We discuss historical events and important leaders of EM, but there are many we could not mention. Much of the information comes from personal interviews with the physicians who "were in the room where it happened.". We hope the article will illuminate the progress made in caring for critical illness and injury through the development of a new specialty focused on that goal. We recognize there are many emergency physicians not mentioned that have played a large role in maintaining and growing the academic programs, improving the delivery of care through administrative and legislative actions, and navigating the specialty through enormously challenging times.

Incidence of Emergency Department Visits for Electric Rental Scooters Using Detailed Ridership Data.

INTRODUCTION: Electric scooter (e-scooter) rental usage has increased exponentially around the country, expanding to more than 120 cities by the end of 2018. Early attempts to capture the safety effects of widespread adoption of this technology have been hampered by lack of accurate ridership data. Here we describe a 17-month evolution of ridership characteristics in St. Louis, Missouri, and the frequency of e-scooter rental-related injuries serious enough to require an emergency department (ED) visit over this time frame; we also provide estimates of incidence rates of injuries based on company ridership data. METHODS: We performed a combination retrospective chart review and prospective questionnaire-based analysis of adult e-scooter rental-related ED visits in both downtown St. Louis Level 1 trauma centers during the first 17 months of e-scooter rental usage (August 2018-December 2019). The retrospective portion focused on demographics, alcohol use, helmet use, disposition, operative repair, and temporal and severity markers. The prospective portion focused on more detailed crash and rider data. Finally, we used ridership data from both e-scooter rental companies in St. Louis to estimate incidence and temporal trends. RESULTS: A total of 221 patients had e-scooter rental-related ED visits. The median age of our population was 31 years with 58.8% male and 53.8% White. There were no deaths. Ninety-two patients were found to have fractures with 38% requiring surgery. Of the 21 patients diagnosed with head injury, five had an intracranial bleed. Overall incidence of ED visits related to e-scooters was 2.1 per 10,000 trips and 2.2 per 10,000 miles with the number of ED visits by month closely correlated with the number of rides per month (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.95). CONCLUSION: The number of e-scooter rental-related injuries seen in St. Louis trauma centers was relatively low and correlated closely with overall number of rides. The number of injuries decreased and were less severe from 2018 to 2019 with infrequent intracranial injuries and a large percentage of fractures requiring operative repair.

Clinical Outcomes of a Pharmacomechanical Catheter-Directed Venous Thrombolysis Strategy that Included Rheolytic Thrombectomy in a Multicenter Randomized Trial.

PURPOSE: To describe the clinical outcomes of a pharmacomechanical catheter-directed venous thrombolysis (PCDT) strategy that included AngioJet rheolytic thrombectomy. METHODS: In the Acute Venous Thrombosis: Thrombus Removal with Adjunctive Catheter-Directed Thrombolysis multicenter randomized trial, physicians at 33 sites designated AngioJet as their preferred device for PCDT. In these sites, 364 patients with acute proximal lower-extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT) were randomized to a strategy of PCDT that incorporated either AngioJet along with anticoagulation or anticoagulation alone. Relief from presenting DVT symptoms was evaluated over 30 days of follow-up. Postthrombotic syndrome (PTS), quality of life (QOL), recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE), and safety were evaluated over 24 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Within 30 days, AngioJet-PCDT led to a greater improvement in leg swelling (mean difference calf circumference 0.55 cm, P = .009), venous QOL (mean difference 6.5 Venous Insufficiency Epidemiologic and Economic Study [VEINES]-QOL points, P = .0073), and venous symptoms (mean difference 5.6 VEINES-symptoms points, P = .0134) than control, with differences most apparent in iliofemoral DVT. AngioJet-PCDT reduced PTS at 6 months (24% with AngioJet-PCDT vs 40% with control, P = .003) but did not influence PTS or QOL between 12 and 24 months. Major bleeding, pulmonary embolism, renal failure, and bradycardia were infrequent with AngioJet-PCDT (<2% each), but 24-month VTE recurrence may have been more frequent (13.9% with AngioJet-PCDT vs 6.8% with control, P = .03) CONCLUSIONS: In patients with acute proximal DVT, a treatment strategy that included first-line AngioJet-PCDT was reasonably safe and led to an improved symptom status and venous QOL at 1 month and reduced PTS at 6 months compared with anticoagulation alone. However, AngioJet-PCDT did not influence PTS or the QOL beyond 6 months and may have increased recurrent VTE.

Improving Follow-up Attendance for Discharged Emergency Care Patients Using Automated Phone System to Self-schedule: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Automated phone appointment reminders have improved adherence with follow-up appointments in a variety of hospital settings, but have mixed results in patients discharged from the emergency department (ED). Increasing adherence to follow-up care has been a priority in the ED to improve patient outcomes and reduce unnecessary future visits. METHODS: We conducted a prospective randomized open, blinded end-point (PROBE) trial of 278 adult patients discharged from the ED and referred to a provider for follow-up care. Participants in the intervention arm received a self-scheduling text or phone message that automatically connected them to their referral provider to schedule a follow-up appointment and sent them appointment reminders. Those in the control arm received standard-of-care written instructions to contact listed referral providers. The primary outcome was time to appointment. The secondary outcome was time to return visit to the ED. RESULTS: The automated reminders increased the cumulative incidence of keeping the referral appointment after ED discharge (p < 0.001, Gray's test). Of participants randomized to the automated phone intervention, 49.3% (n = 74) kept their follow-up appointment versus 23.4% (n = 30) in the control arm, with a hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) over the duration of the study period of 2.4 (1.6 to 3.7; p < 0.001). In a sensitivity analysis using 30 days of follow-up data, 42.0% (n = 63) of participants randomized to the phone intervention kept their follow-up versus 21.1% (n = 27) in the control arm, with a HR (95% CI) of 2.2 (1.4 to 3.5; p < 0.001). There was no difference in ED revisits between the intervention and control group within 120 days postdischarge. CONCLUSIONS: An automated self-scheduling phone system significantly improved follow-up adherence after ED discharge, but did not decrease ED revisits.

Blood Biomarkers for Detection of Brain Injury in COVID-19 Patients.

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus attacks multiple organs of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, including the brain. There are worldwide descriptions of neurological deficits in COVID-19 patients. Central nervous system (CNS) symptoms can be present early in the course of the disease. As many as 55% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients have been reported to have neurological disturbances three months after infection by SARS-CoV-2. The mutability of the SARS-COV-2 virus and its potential to directly affect the CNS highlight the urgency of developing technology to diagnose, manage, and treat brain injury in COVID-19 patients. The pathobiology of CNS infection by SARS-CoV-2 and the associated neurological sequelae of this infection remain poorly understood. In this review, we outline the rationale for the use of blood biomarkers (BBs) for diagnosis of brain injury in COVID-19 patients, the research needed to incorporate their use into clinical practice, and the improvements in patient management and outcomes that can result. BBs of brain injury could potentially provide tools for detection of brain injury in COVID-19 patients. Elevations of BBs have been reported in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood of COVID-19 patients. BB proteins have been analyzed in CSF to detect CNS involvement in patients with infectious diseases, including human immunodeficiency virus and tuberculous meningitis. BBs are approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for diagnosis of mild versus moderate traumatic brain injury and have identified brain injury after stroke, cardiac arrest, hypoxia, and epilepsy. BBs, integrated with other diagnostic tools, could enhance understanding of viral mechanisms of brain injury, predict severity of neurological deficits, guide triage of patients and assignment to appropriate medical pathways, and assess efficacy of therapeutic interventions in COVID-19 patients.

Biomarkers May Predict Unfavorable Neurological Outcome after Mild Traumatic Brain Injury.

The objective of this study was to determine if initial or repeat measurements of serum concentrations of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) or ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) are predictive of an acute unfavorable neurological outcome in patients who present to the emergency department (ED) with brain injury and an initial Glasgow Coma Scale Score (GCS) of 14-15. This multi-center observational trial included brain-injured adults presenting to the ED, receiving a head computed tomography (CT) and venipuncture for biomarker concentration measurements within 6 h of injury. Subjects had repeat serum sampling and GCS scores every 4 h for the first 24 h, if available for assessment. We analyzed blood samples using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Wilcoxin two-sample test was used to compare initial and repeat serum concentrations for both biomarkers between CT-positive patients who did not have an acute unfavorable neurological outcome and those patients who did. A total of 145 enrolled subjects had adequate data for analysis; 69 were CT-positive, 74 were CT-negative, and 2 were CT-inconclusive. Five subjects developed an acute unfavorable neurological outcome, defined as need for intracranial pressure monitoring, craniotomy, persistent neurological deficits, or death resulting from brain injury. Initial median serum concentrations of GFAP and UCH-L1 (obtained <6 h from injury) were significantly greater in CT-positive patients who had an acute unfavorable neurological outcome than in CT-positive patients who did not (GFAP: 5237 pg/mL [IQR 4511, 8180] versus 283.5 pg/mL [IQR 107, 1123]; p = 0.026; UCH-L1: 3329 pg/mL [QR 1423, 5010] versus 679.5 pg/mL [IQR 363, 1100] p = 0.014). Repeat serum testing (6- < 12 h from injury) showed that UCH-L1 serum concentration, but not GFAP, was also significantly greater in the acute unfavorable neurological outcome group than in those without an unfavorable outcome: 1088 pg/mL versus 374 pg/mL; p = 0.041.

Evaluating glial and neuronal blood biomarkers GFAP and UCH-L1 as gradients of brain injury in concussive, subconcussive and non-concussive trauma: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the ability of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase (UCH-L1) to detect concussion in children and adult trauma patients with a normal mental status and assess biomarker concentrations over time as gradients of injury in concussive and non-concussive head and body trauma. DESIGN: Large prospective cohort study. SETTING: Three level I trauma centres in the USA. PARTICIPANTS: Paediatric and adult trauma patients of all ages, with and without head trauma, presenting with a normal mental status (Glasgow Coma Scale score of 15) within 4 hours of injury. Rigorous screening for concussive symptoms was conducted. Of 3462 trauma patients screened, 751 were enrolled and 712 had biomarker data. Repeated blood sampling was conducted at 4, 8, 12, 16, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 84, 96, 108, 120, 132, 144, 156, 168 and 180 hours postinjury in adults. MAIN OUTCOMES: Detection of concussion and gradients of injury in children versus adults by comparing three groups of patients: (1) those with concussion; (2) those with head trauma without overt signs of concussion (non-concussive head trauma controls) and (3) those with peripheral (body) trauma without head trauma or concussion (non-concussive body trauma controls). RESULTS: A total of 1904 samples from 712 trauma patients were analysed. Within 4 hours of injury, there were incremental increases in levels of both GFAP and UCH-L1 from non-concussive body trauma (lowest), to mild elevations in non-concussive head trauma, to highest levels in patients with concussion. In concussion patients, GFAP concentrations were significantly higher compared with body trauma controls (p<0.001) and with head trauma controls (p<0.001) in both children and adults, after controlling for multiple comparisons. However, for UCH-L1, there were no significant differences between concussion patients and head trauma controls (p=0.894) and between body trauma and head trauma controls in children. The AUC for initial GFAP levels to detect concussion was 0.80 (0.73-0.87) in children and 0.76 (0.71-0.80) in adults. This differed significantly from UCH-L1 with AUCs of 0.62 (0.53-0.72) in children and 0.69 (0.64-0.74) in adults. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of trauma patients with normal mental status, GFAP outperformed UCH-L1 in detecting concussion in both children and adults. Blood levels of GFAP and UCH-L1 showed incremental elevations across three injury groups: from non-concussive body trauma, to non-concussive head trauma, to concussion. However, UCH-L1 was expressed at much higher levels than GFAP in those with non-concussive trauma, particularly in children. Elevations in both biomarkers in patients with non-concussive head trauma may be reflective of a subconcussive brain injury. This will require further study.

A Bridge to Nowhere? Challenging Outpatient Transitions of Care for Acute Pain Patients in the Opioid Epidemic Era.

Opioid misuse is reducing Americans' life expectancy, thereby catalyzing professional societies and legislators to action. Efforts to combat the opioid epidemic must work hand-in-hand with appropriate efforts to reduce the severity and duration of suffering. Pharmacologic analgesia is temporizing. Current opioid prescribing guidelines focus on reducing the frequency and quantity of narcotics prescribed, but lack attention to alleviation of the source of pain. Conditions eliciting acute pain sometimes require additional specialist management following discharge from the emergency department. Patients frequently lack timely access to these specialists, particularly if underinsured. This essay explores acute dental pain, extremity fractures, and back pain as three common examples whereby complex healthcare systems must efficiently adapt in order to serve the dual objectives of reducing the risk of opioid-related adverse consequences and minimizing the duration of patient suffering.

Serum GFAP and UCH-L1 for prediction of absence of intracranial injuries on head CT (ALERT-TBI): a multicentre observational study.

BACKGROUND: More than 50 million people worldwide sustain a traumatic brain injury (TBI) annually. Detection of intracranial injuries relies on head CT, which is overused and resource intensive. Blood-based brain biomarkers hold the potential to predict absence of intracranial injury and thus reduce unnecessary head CT scanning. We sought to validate a test combining ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase-L1 (UCH-L1) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), at predetermined cutoff values, to predict traumatic intracranial injuries on head CT scan acutely after TBI. METHODS: This prospective, multicentre observational trial included adults (≥18 years) presenting to participating emergency departments with suspected, non-penetrating TBI and a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 9-15. Patients were eligible if they had undergone head CT as part of standard emergency care and blood collection within 12 h of injury. UCH-L1 and GFAP were measured in serum and analysed using prespecified cutoff values of 327 pg/mL and 22 pg/mL, respectively. UCH-L1 and GFAP assay results were combined into a single test result that was compared with head CT results. The primary study outcomes were the sensitivity and the negative predictive value (NPV) of the test result for the detection of traumatic intracranial injury on head CT. FINDINGS: Between Dec 6, 2012, and March 20, 2014, 1977 patients were recruited, of whom 1959 had analysable data. 125 (6%) patients had CT-detected intracranial injuries and eight (<1%) had neurosurgically manageable injuries. 1288 (66%) patients had a positive UCH-L1 and GFAP test result and 671 (34%) had a negative test result. For detection of intracranial injury, the test had a sensitivity of 0·976 (95% CI 0·931-0·995) and an NPV of 0·996 (0·987-0·999). In three (<1%) of 1959 patients, the CT scan was positive when the test was negative. INTERPRETATION: These results show the high sensitivity and NPV of the UCH-L1 and GFAP test. This supports its potential clinical role for ruling out the need for a CT scan among patients with TBI presenting at emergency departments in whom a head CT is felt to be clinically indicated. Future studies to determine the value added by this biomarker test to head CT clinical decision rules could be warranted. FUNDING: Banyan Biomarkers and US Army Medical Research and Materiel Command.

Pharmacomechanical Catheter-Directed Thrombolysis for Deep-Vein Thrombosis.

BACKGROUND: The post-thrombotic syndrome frequently develops in patients with proximal deep-vein thrombosis despite treatment with anticoagulant therapy. Pharmacomechanical catheter-directed thrombolysis (hereafter "pharmacomechanical thrombolysis") rapidly removes thrombus and is hypothesized to reduce the risk of the post-thrombotic syndrome. METHODS: We randomly assigned 692 patients with acute proximal deep-vein thrombosis to receive either anticoagulation alone (control group) or anticoagulation plus pharmacomechanical thrombolysis (catheter-mediated or device-mediated intrathrombus delivery of recombinant tissue plasminogen activator and thrombus aspiration or maceration, with or without stenting). The primary outcome was development of the post-thrombotic syndrome between 6 and 24 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Between 6 and 24 months, there was no significant between-group difference in the percentage of patients with the post-thrombotic syndrome (47% in the pharmacomechanical-thrombolysis group and 48% in the control group; risk ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82 to 1.11; P=0.56). Pharmacomechanical thrombolysis led to more major bleeding events within 10 days (1.7% vs. 0.3% of patients, P=0.049), but no significant difference in recurrent venous thromboembolism was seen over the 24-month follow-up period (12% in the pharmacomechanical-thrombolysis group and 8% in the control group, P=0.09). Moderate-to-severe post-thrombotic syndrome occurred in 18% of patients in the pharmacomechanical-thrombolysis group versus 24% of those in the control group (risk ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.54 to 0.98; P=0.04). Severity scores for the post-thrombotic syndrome were lower in the pharmacomechanical-thrombolysis group than in the control group at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months of follow-up (P<0.01 for the comparison of the Villalta scores at each time point), but the improvement in quality of life from baseline to 24 months did not differ significantly between the treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with acute proximal deep-vein thrombosis, the addition of pharmacomechanical catheter-directed thrombolysis to anticoagulation did not result in a lower risk of the post-thrombotic syndrome but did result in a higher risk of major bleeding. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others; ATTRACT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00790335 .).

Utility of Serum Biomarkers in the Diagnosis and Stratification of Mild Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to compare test characteristics of a single serum concentration of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), S-100ß, and ubiquitin carboxyl terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1), obtained within 6 hours of head injury, to diagnose mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) in head-injured subjects. METHODS: Adults aged 18 to 80 years who presented to one of seven EDs with a blunt closed head injury underwent head CT within 4 hours of injury and had blood drawn for biomarker analysis within 6 hours of injury were eligible. Subjects were considered to have mTBI if they had an initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) > 13 and met one or more of the following criteria: loss of consciousness (LOC), posttraumatic amnesia, or confusion. Subjects with mTBI and an abnormal head computed tomography (CT) scan were categorized as complicated mTBI; those with a normal head CT were categorized as uncomplicated mTBI; and subjects with a GCS = 15, no LOC, no posttraumatic amnesia, and no confusion were considered to not have a mTBI. Biomarker concentration measurements for GFAP and UCH-L1 were performed using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. S-100ß concentration was determined using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Median biomarker concentration for each group was compared using the Kruskal-Wallis test. Logistic regression was used to determine area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for each of the three biomarkers. Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative and positive likelihood ratios (LRs) for the three biomarkers to differentiate between complicated mTBI, uncomplicated mTBI, and no mTBI were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 247 subjects were enrolled and had adequate clinical and biomarker information for analysis. A total of 188 met criteria for mTBI, with 34 (18.1%) having an acute abnormality on CT (complicated mTBI). The mean (±SD) age of the study population was 45.8 (±17.3) years, and 59.9% were male. Median serum concentrations for all biomarkers were significantly different between groups, lowest in the no mTBI group, and progressively increasing in the uncomplicated and complicated mTBI groups (p < 0.0001). All three biomarkers were significant classifiers of mTBI versus no mTBI, with the following AUCs: GFAP, 0.70; S-100ß, 0.69; and UCH-L1, 0.65 (p = 0.17). Sensitivity for mTBI was highest for S-100ß (96.5%). NPVs ranged from 31% for UCH-L1 to 35% for GFAP. PPVs ranged from 75.5% for S-100ß to 96.5% for GFAP. Negative LR ranged from 0.59 for GFAP to 0.71 for UCH-L1, with positive LR ranging from 1.0 for both UCH-L1 and S-100ß to 8.7 for GFAP. CONCLUSION: A single serum concentration of GFAP, UCH-L1, or S-100ß within 6 hours of head injury may be useful in identifying and stratifying the severity of brain injury in emergency department patients with head trauma, but cannot reliably exclude a diagnosis of concussion. A positive GFAP was associated with the presence of concussion.

The Opioid Crisis in Missouri: A Call to Action for Physicians, Legislators, and Society.

Opioid overdose deaths in the United States increased sharply over the last decade leading the President to declare a national emergency. The neurobiology of opioid addiction is explored in conjunction with the historical events preceding the current epidemic. A patient-centric perspective is provided along with rationale for contemporary Medical Assisted Therapy (MAT) options to safely reduce overdose deaths and other preventable consequences of prescription misuse and heroin abuse. A multidisciplinary medical provider approach is essential, in addition to legislative efforts to reduce current regulatory burdens that reduce access to MAT in many settings. This review introduces a new Missouri Medicine series intended to explore key concepts to simultaneously reduce opioid prescribing, while effectively managing acute and chronic pain across complex healthcare settings.

Improving Emergency Department Care for Aging Missourians: Guidelines, Accreditation, and Collaboration.

Aging baby-boomers present significant challenges to accessible, affordable emergency care in America for patients of all ages. St. Louis physicians served as early innovators in the field of geriatric emergency medicine. This manuscript summarizes a multi-institutional November 2016 symposium reviewing the Missouri history of geriatric emergency care. In addition, this manuscript describes multispecialty organizations' guidelines, healthcare outcomes research, contemporary medical education paradigms, and evolving efforts to disseminate guideline-based geriatric emergency care using a "Boot Camp" approach and implementation science. This manuscript also reviews local adaptations to emergency medical services and palliative care, as well as the perspectives of emergency department leaders exploring the balance between infrastructure and personnel required to promote guideline-based geriatric emergency care with the anticipated benefits. This discussion is framed within the context of the American College of Emergency Physician's planned geriatric emergency department accreditation process scheduled to begin in 2018.

Modeling the Kinetics of Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein, Ubiquitin Carboxyl-Terminal Hydrolase-L1, and S100B Concentrations in Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury.

Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase-L1 (UCH-L1), and S100B have been shown to be predictive of patients with brain injury. Kinetics of these biomarkers in injured humans have not been extensively examined. This prospective multi-center study included patients with mild-to-moderate traumatic brain injury. Blood samples obtained at enrollment and every 6 h up to 24 h post-injury were assayed for GFAP, UCH-L1, and S100B. Random effects models examined changes in the biomarkers' level over time. A total of 167 patients were enrolled; mean age was 46.0 ± 17.8, 61.1% were male, 143 (85.6%) had a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 15, and 33 (19.8%) had a positive head computed tomography (CT) scan. Baseline median biomarker concentrations for all three were higher among CT-positive patients (p < 0.0001) but GFAP was the only biomarker that significantly increased over time among CT-positive patients relative to CT-negative patients (log transformed values 0.037; 95% confidence interval 0.02, 0.05; p < 0.001), indicating a 3.7% per hour rise in GFAP concentration. There was no significant increase in either UCH-L1 or S100B in CT-positive patients (p = 0.15 and p = 0.47, respectively). GFAP concentrations increased 3.7% per hour among CT-positive patients whereas neither UCH-L1 nor S100B increased, compared with CT-negative patients. The kinetics and temporal profile of GFAP suggest it may be a more robust biomarker to detect patients with positive CT findings, particularly at later post-injury times. Further study is needed to determine if GFAP is a useful test to follow throughout a patient's clinical course.

Time Course and Diagnostic Accuracy of Glial and Neuronal Blood Biomarkers GFAP and UCH-L1 in a Large Cohort of Trauma Patients With and Without Mild Traumatic Brain Injury.

IMPORTANCE: Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) have been widely studied and show promise for clinical usefulness in suspected traumatic brain injury (TBI) and concussion. Understanding their diagnostic accuracy over time will help translate them into clinical practice. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the temporal profiles of GFAP and UCH-L1 in a large cohort of trauma patients seen at the emergency department and to assess their diagnostic accuracy over time, both individually and in combination, for detecting mild to moderate TBI (MMTBI), traumatic intracranial lesions on head computed tomography (CT), and neurosurgical intervention. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective cohort study enrolled adult trauma patients seen at a level I trauma center from March 1, 2010, to March 5, 2014. All patients underwent rigorous screening to determine whether they had experienced an MMTBI (blunt head trauma with loss of consciousness, amnesia, or disorientation and a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 9-15). Of 3025 trauma patients assessed, 1030 met eligibility criteria for enrollment, and 446 declined participation. Initial blood samples were obtained in 584 patients enrolled within 4 hours of injury. Repeated blood sampling was conducted at 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 84, 96, 108, 120, 132, 144, 156, 168, and 180 hours after injury. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Diagnosis of MMTBI, presence of traumatic intracranial lesions on head CT scan, and neurosurgical intervention. RESULTS: A total of 1831 blood samples were drawn from 584 patients (mean [SD] age, 40 [16] years; 62.0% [362 of 584] male) over 7 days. Both GFAP and UCH-L1 were detectible within 1 hour of injury. GFAP peaked at 20 hours after injury and slowly declined over 72 hours. UCH-L1 rose rapidly and peaked at 8 hours after injury and declined rapidly over 48 hours. Over the course of 1 week, GFAP demonstrated a diagnostic range of areas under the curve for detecting MMTBI of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.69-0.77) to 0.94 (95% CI, 0.78-1.00), and UCH-L1 demonstrated a diagnostic range of 0.30 (95% CI, 0.02-0.50) to 0.67 (95% CI, 0.53-0.81). For detecting intracranial lesions on CT, the diagnostic ranges of areas under the curve were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.67-0.92) to 0.97 (95% CI, 0.93-1.00)for GFAP and 0.31 (95% CI, 0-0.63) to 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68-0.85) for UCH-L1. For distinguishing patients with and without a neurosurgical intervention, the range for GFAP was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.79-1.00) to 1.00 (95% CI, 1.00-1.00), and the range for UCH-L1 was 0.50 (95% CI, 0-1.00) to 0.92 (95% CI, 0.83-1.00). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: GFAP performed consistently in detecting MMTBI, CT lesions, and neurosurgical intervention across 7 days. UCH-L1 performed best in the early postinjury period.

Ability of Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein, Ubiquitin C-Terminal Hydrolase-L1, and S100B To Differentiate Normal and Abnormal Head Computed Tomography Findings in Patients with Suspected Mild or Moderate Traumatic Brain Injury.

Head computed tomography (CT) imaging is still a commonly obtained diagnostic test for patients with minor head injury despite availability of clinical decision rules to guide imaging use and recommendations to reduce radiation exposure resulting from unnecessary imaging. This prospective multicenter observational study of 251 patients with suspected mild to moderate traumatic brain injury (TBI) evaluated three serum biomarkers' (glial fibrillary acidic protein [GFAP], ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase-L1 [UCH-L1] and S100B measured within 6 h of injury) ability to differentiate CT negative and CT positive findings. Of the 251 patients, 60.2% were male and 225 (89.6%) had a presenting Glasgow Coma Scale score of 15. A positive head CT (intracranial injury) was found in 36 (14.3%). UCH-L1 was 100% sensitive and 39% specific at a cutoff value >40 pg/mL. To retain 100% sensitivity, GFAP was 0% specific (cutoff value 0 pg/mL) and S100B had a specificity of only 2% (cutoff value 30 pg/mL). All three biomarkers had similar values for areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve: 0.79 (95% confidence interval; 0.70-0.88) for GFAP, 0.80 (0.71-0.89) for UCH-L1, and 0.75 (0.65-0.85) for S100B. Neither GFAP nor UCH-L1 curve values differed significantly from S100B (p = 0.21 and p = 0.77, respectively). In our patient cohort, UCH-L1 outperformed GFAP and S100B when the goal was to reduce CT use without sacrificing sensitivity. UCH-L1 values <40 pg/mL could potentially have aided in eliminating 83 of the 215 negative CT scans. These results require replication in other studies before the test is used in actual clinical practice.