Racial and Ethnic Disparities in the Incidence of Anti-NMDA Receptor Encephalitis.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence of anti-N-methyl-d-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) encephalitis. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of >10 million person-years of observation from members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California, 2011-2022. The electronic health record of individuals with text-string mention of NMDA and encephalitis were reviewed to identify persons who met diagnostic criteria for anti-NMDAR encephalitis. Age-standardized and sex-standardized incidences stratified by race and ethnicity were estimated according to the 2020 US Census population. RESULTS: We identified 70 patients who met diagnostic criteria for anti-NMDAR encephalitis. The median age at onset was 23.7 years (IQR = 14.2-31.0 years), and 45 (64%) were female patients. The age-standardized and sex-standardized incidence of anti-NMDAR encephalitis per 1 million person-years was significantly higher in Black (2.94, 95% CI 1.27-4.61), Hispanic (2.17, 95% CI 1.51-2.83), and Asian/Pacific Island persons (2.02, 95% CI 0.77-3.28) compared with White persons (0.40, 95% CI 0.08-0.72). Ovarian teratomas were found in 58.3% of Black female individuals and 10%-28.6% in other groups. DISCUSSION: Anti-NMDA receptor encephalitis disproportionately affected Black, Hispanic, or Asian/Pacific Island persons. Ovarian teratomas were a particularly common trigger in Black female individuals. Future research should seek to identify environmental and biological risk factors that disproportionately affect minoritized individuals residing in the United States.

Multiple Sclerosis, Rituximab, Hypogammaglobulinemia, and Risk of Infections.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: B-cell-depleting therapies increase the risk of infections and hypogammaglobulinemia. These relationships are poorly understood. The objectives of these analyses were to estimate how much of this rituximab-associated infection risk is mediated by hypogammaglobulinemia and to identify other modifiable risk factors in persons with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of rituximab-treated pwMS from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2020, in Kaiser Permanente Southern California. Cumulative rituximab dose was defined as ≤2, >2 and ≤4, or >4 g. Serious infections were defined as infections requiring or prolonging hospitalizations, and recurrent outpatient infections as seeking care for ≥3 within 12 months. Exposures, outcomes, and covariates were collected from the electronic health record. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were estimated using Andersen-Gill hazards models, and generalized estimating equations were used to examine correlates of IgG values. Cross-sectional causal mediation analyses of rituximab and hypogammaglobulinemia were conducted. RESULTS: We identified 2,482 pwMS who were treated with rituximab for a median of 2.4 years (interquartile range = 1.3-3.9). The average age at rituximab initiation was 43.0 years, 71.9% were female, 49.7% were White, non-Hispanic patients, and 29.6% had advanced disability (requiring walker or worse). Seven hundred patients (28.2%) developed recurrent outpatient infections, 155 (6.2%) developed serious infections, and only 248 (10.0%) had immunoglobulin G (IgG) < 700 mg/dL. Higher cumulative rituximab dose (>4 g) was correlated with lower IgG levels (Beta = -58.8, p < 0.0001, ref ≤2 g) and, in models mutually adjusted for hypogammaglobulinemia, both were independently associated with an increased risk of serious (>4 g, aHR = 1.56, 95% CI 1.09-2.24; IgG < 500, aHR = 2.98, 95% CI 1.56-5.72) and outpatient infections (>4 g, aHR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.44-2.06; IgG < 500 aHR = 2.06, 95% CI 1.52-2.80; ref = IgG ≥ 700). Hypogammaglobulinemia explained at most 17.9% (95% CI -47.2-119%) of serious infection risk associated with higher cumulative rituximab exposure but was not significant for outpatient infections. Other independent modifiable risk factors were advanced physical disability for serious (aHR = 5.51, 95% CI 3.71-8.18) and outpatient infections (aHR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.44) and COPD (aHR = 1.68, 95% CI 1.34-2.11) and obesity (aHR = 1.25, 95% CI 1.09-1.45) for outpatient infections. DISCUSSION: Higher cumulative rituximab doses increase the risk of infections even in this population where 90% of patients maintained normal IgG levels. Clinicians should strive to use minimally effective doses of rituximab and other B-cell-depleting therapies and consider important comorbidities to minimize risks of infections.

Multiple Sclerosis, Disease-Modifying Therapies, and Infections.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The use of highly effective multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is rapidly increasing. Yet, little is known about their real-world risks of infections. The goals of this study were to assess the comparative risk of outpatient and serious infections across DMTs in a large, diverse, U.S. cohort and determine whether such risks are attributable to DMTs, having MS, or other factors. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Kaiser Permanente Southern California members from 2008 through 2020 with MS and non-MS controls matched on age, sex, race, and ethnicity. MS treatments, serious (those requiring hospitalization) and outpatient infections, and covariates were collected from the electronic health record. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and risk ratios (aRR) were estimated using the Cox and Poisson regression, respectively. RESULTS: Six thousand, six hundred and twenty-six patients with MS with 11,929 treatment episodes (2,487 rituximab, 546 natalizumab, 298 fingolimod, 4,629 interferon-beta/glatiramer acetate, IFN/GLAT, and 3,969 untreated) and 33,550 population controls were included in the analyses. The average age at treatment start ranged from 38.9 to 49.2 years, and 74% were women. Untreated (aRR = 1.39, [95% CI = 1.35-1.44]) and IFN/GLAT-treated patients with MS (aRR = 1.60, [95% CI = 1.56-1.65]) had a higher risk of outpatient infections and serious infections (aHR = 2.97, [95% CI = 2.65-3.32 and aHR = 2.31, [95% CI = 2.04-2.62], respectively) compared with controls. Rituximab (aRR = 1.19, [95% CI = 1.14-1.25]), fingolimod (aRR = 1.22, [95% CI = 1.09-1.37]), and to a lesser extent, natalizumab treatment (aRR = 1.08, [95% CI = 0.97-1.20]) were associated with an increased risk of outpatient infections compared with IFN/GLAT. Rituximab (aHR = 1.41, [95% CI = 1.09-1.84]) and natalizumab (aHR = 1.40, [95% CI = 0.96-2.04]) treatment were associated with a similar increased risk of serious infections compared with IFN/GLAT. The only treatment-specific association identified was fingolimod with outpatient herpetic infections. Higher comorbidity index, previous hospitalization for infections, and advanced disability significantly increased the risk of serious infections independent of DMTs. Hospitalization for UTI-related pseudorelapses accounted for 24%-48% of serious infections. DISCUSSION: Patients with MS have higher risks of outpatient and serious infections compared with patients without MS. The risk of outpatient infections was similarly increased by rituximab and fingolimod and serious infections by rituximab and natalizumab compared with IFN/GLAT. Steps to minimize risks include optimizing bladder care, comorbidity prevention, varicella vaccination, and considering discontinuing or avoiding DMT use in patients with advanced disability and/or previous hospitalizations for infections.

Analysis of Rituximab Use, Time Between Rituximab and SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination, and COVID-19 Hospitalization or Death in Patients With Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Rituximab and other B-cell-depleting therapies blunt humoral responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, particularly when the vaccine is administered within 6 months of an infusion. Whether this translates into an increased risk of hospitalization or death from COVID-19 is unclear. Objectives: To examine whether rituximab treatment is associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for COVID-19 among SARS-CoV-2-vaccinated persons with multiple sclerosis (MS) and whether delaying vaccination more than 6 months after rituximab treatment is associated with decreased risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used Kaiser Permanente Southern California's electronic health record to identify individuals from January 1, 2020, to February 15, 2022, who had MS and who had been vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2. Exposures: Rituximab treatment compared with disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) that do not interfere with vaccine efficacy or being untreated (no or other DMT group). Among rituximab-treated patients, the exposure was receiving at least 1 vaccine dose more than 6 months after their last infusion compared with receiving all vaccine doses 6 months or less since their last infusion. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was hospitalization due to COVID-19 infection. The odds of infection resulting in hospitalization following SARS-CoV-2 vaccination were adjusted for race and ethnicity, advanced MS-related disability; vaccine type; booster dose; and, among rituximab-treated only analyses, cumulative rituximab dose and dose at last infusion. Exposures, outcomes, and covariates were collected from the electronic health record. Results: Among 3974 SARS-CoV-2-vaccinated people with MS (mean [SD] age, 55.3 [15] years; 2982 [75.0%] female; 103 [2.6%] Asian or Pacific Islander; 634 [16.0%] Black; 953 [24.0%] Hispanic; 2269 [57.1%] White; and 15 [0.3%] other race or ethnicity), rituximab-treated patients (n = 1516) were more likely to be hospitalized (n = 27) but not die (n = 0) compared with the 2458 individuals with MS receiving no or other DMTs (n = 7 and n = 0, respectively; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] for hospitalization, 7.33; 95% CI, 3.05-17.63). Receiving messenger RNA (mRNA) SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (aOR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.15-0.90; P = .03) and receiving a booster vaccination (aOR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.15-0.64; P = .002) were independently associated with a decreased risk of hospitalization for COVID-19. Among vaccinated rituximab-treated individuals with MS, receiving any vaccination dose more than 6 months after the last rituximab infusion was associated with a reduced risk of COVID-19 hospitalization (aOR, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.10-0.49). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study's findings suggest that rituximab-treated people with MS should be strongly encouraged to receive mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and boosters more than 6 months after their last rituximab infusion whenever possible. The low absolute risk of hospitalization for COVID-19 among mRNA-vaccinated individuals with MS should not preclude use of rituximab, which has marked efficacy, cost, and convenience advantages over other DMTs.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Multiple Sclerosis Prevalence.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The goal of this work was to determine whether the prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) varies by race and ethnicity. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of >2.6 million adults from the multiethnic, community-dwelling members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California. The complete electronic health records of individuals with at least 1 ICD-9 code for MS between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2010 were reviewed. MS prevalence and 95% CIs stratified by age, sex, and race and ethnicity among 2010 members were estimated with binomial regression. Age- and sex-standardized prevalence was estimated according to the 2010 US Census population. RESULTS: We identified 3,863 patients with MS. The average age of patients with prevalent MS was 51.7 years (SD 13.1 years), and 76.8% were women. The female preponderance was more pronounced among Black (81.2%) and Asian (83.6%) than White (76.3%) or Hispanic (74.5%) individuals with MS. Age- and sex-standardized MS prevalence per 100,000 was similarly high among Black (225.8, 95% CI 207.1-244.5) and White (237.7, 95% CI 228.2-247.2) and significantly lower among Hispanic (69.9, 95% CI 64.4-75.5) and Asian (22.6, 95% CI 17.1-28.1) persons. MS prevalence was highest between the ages of 35 and 64 years and declined after 65 years of age across all racial and ethnic groups. Among adults 18 to 24 years of age, the crude MS prevalence was low but was highest among Black and Hispanic young adults, lower in White people, and lowest in Asian/Pacific Islander individuals (48.5, 25.0, 18.0, and 7.1 per 100,000, respectively). DISCUSSION: MS prevalence varies by race and ethnicity, being similarly high in White and Black and significantly lower in Hispanic and Asian persons in Southern California. Taken together with previous studies, these findings indicate that the burden of MS in the US Black community has long been underrecognized. More studies are needed to determine whether MS is an emerging disease among US Hispanic adults and whether MS susceptibility and prevalence vary among Hispanic or Asian individuals from different cultures or ancestral backgrounds.

Decreasing Multiple Sclerosis Treatment Expenditures and Improving Quality at the Health System Level.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to evaluate a multicomponent health system intervention designed to reduce escalating disease-modifying treatment (DMT) expenditures and improve multiple sclerosis (MS) outcomes by increasing use of preferred formulary and highly effective DMTs (HETs). METHODS: We conducted a trend study of treatment utilization and expenditure outcomes prior to (2009-2011) and during (2012-2018) MS Treatment Optimization Program (MSTOP) implementation in Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) compared to a Kaiser Permanente region of similar size. Annual relapse rates (ARRs) were obtained from KPSC's electronic health records. RESULTS: Adherence to preferred formulary DMTs increased from 25.4% in 2011 to 72.2% in 2017 following MSTOP implementation in KPSC and 22.1% to 43.8%, respectively, in the comparator. KPSC's annual DMT expenditures in 2018 were less than in 2011 despite an 11.3% increase in DMT-treated members. The decline in average per patient per year of treatment expenditures from a peak of $43.1 K in 2014 to $26.3 K in 2018 in KPSC was greater than the comparator, which peaked at $52.1 K and declined to $40.0 K in 2018. Over the 7 years following initiation of MSTOP, cumulative MS DMT expenditures were $161.6 million less than the comparator. HET use increased to 62.5% of per patient treatment-years versus 32.4% in the comparator. This corresponded to a 69% decline in adjusted ARR (95% confidence interval = 64.1-73.2%; p < 0.0001) among DMT-treated patients in KPSC. INTERPRETATION: A novel, expert-led health system intervention reduced MS DMT expenditures despite rising prices while simultaneously reducing MS relapse rates. Our focus on health system progress toward meaningful, measurable targets could serve as a model to improve quality and affordability of MS care in other settings. ANN NEUROL 2022;92:164-172.

Potentially Harmful Medication Dispenses After a Fall or Hip Fracture: A Mixed Methods Study of a Commonly Used Quality Measure.

BACKGROUND: High-risk medication dispenses to patients with a prior fall or hip fracture represent a potentially dangerous disease-drug interaction among older adults. The research team quantified the prevalence, identified risk factors, and generated patient and provider insights into high-risk medication dispenses in a large, community-based integrated health system using a commonly used quality measure. METHODS: This was a mixed methods study with a convergent design combining a retrospective cohort study using electronic health record (EHR) data, individual interviews of primary care physicians, and a focus group of patient advisors. RESULTS: Of 113,809 patients ≥ 65 years with a fall/fracture in 2009-2015, 35.4% had a potentially harmful medication dispensed after their fall/fracture. Most medications were prescribed by primary care providers. Older age, male gender, and race/ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White were associated with a reduced risk of high-risk medication dispenses. Patients with a pre-fall/fracture medication dispense were substantially more likely to have a post-fall/fracture medication dispense (hazard ratio [HR] = 13.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 12.91-13.61). Both patients and providers noted that providers may be unaware of patient falls due to inconsistent assessments and patient reluctance to disclose falls. Providers also noted the lack of a standard location to document falls and limited decision support alerts within the EHR. CONCLUSION: High-risk medication dispenses are common among older patients with a history of falls/fractures. Future interventions should explore improved assessment and documentation of falls, decision support, clinician training strategies, patient educational resources, building trusting patient-clinician relationships to facilitate long-term medication discontinuation among persistent medication users, and a focus on fall prevention.

Outcomes post fragility fracture among members of an integrated healthcare organization.

This study highlights an unmet need in osteoporosis management, suggesting that beyond bone mineral density and fracture history, gender, fracture type, and age should be considered for fracture risk assessment. Following fragility fracture, men, patients with a spine or hip fracture, and those aged ≥ 65 have a higher disease burden. INTRODUCTION: The objective of this study was to characterize osteoporosis-related fracture incidence and identify predictors of subsequent fractures and mortality. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study, conducted within Kaiser Permanente Southern California, included patients aged ≥ 50 years with qualifying fractures from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2016, identified from diagnosis/procedure codes. Rates for fracture incidence, mortality, and resource utilization in the year post-fracture are reported. Associations between index fracture types and demographic/clinical characteristics, and mortality, subsequent fracture, and rehospitalization outcomes were estimated. RESULTS: Of 63,755 eligible patients, 66.7% were ≥ 65 years and 69.1% female. Index fractures included nonhip/nonspine (64.4%), hip (25.3%), and spine (10.3%). Age-adjusted subsequent fracture rate/100 person-years was higher for those with an index spine (14.5) versus hip fracture (6.3). Hospitalization rate/100 person-years was highest for patients ≥ 65 (31.8) and for spine fractures (43.5). Men (vs women) had higher age-adjusted rates of hospitalization (19.4; 17.7), emergency room visits (73.8; 66.3), and use of rehabilitation services (31.7; 27.2). The 30-day age-adjusted mortality rate/100 person-years was 46.7, 32.4, and 15.5 for spine, hip, and nonspine/nonhip fractures. The 1-year age-adjusted mortality rate/100 person-years was 14.7 for spine and 15.6 for hip fractures. In multivariable analyses, spine and hip fractures (vs nonhip/nonspine fractures) were significant predictors of 1-year mortality, all-cause and osteoporosis-related hospitalization, and nursing home use (all P-values < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Morbidity is high in the year following a fragility fracture and men, patients with a spine or hip fracture, and those aged ≥ 65 have a greater disease burden.

Validation of algorithms for identifying outpatient infections in MS patients using electronic medical records.

Background Our multiple sclerosis (MS) stakeholder groups expressed concerns about whether MS disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) increase the risk of specific outpatient infections. Validated methods for identifying the risk of these selected outpatient infections in the general population either do not exist, exclude the clinically important possibility of recurrent infections, or are inaccurate, largely because existing studies relied primarily on International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes to identify infectious outcomes. Additionally, no studies have validated methods among the MS population, where some MS symptoms can be mistaken for infections (e.g., urinary tract infections (UTIs)). Objective To utilize multiple data elements in the electronic health record (EHR) to improve accurate identification of selected outpatient infections in an MS cohort and general population controls. Methods We searched Kaiser Permanente Southern California's EHR based on ICD-9/10 codes for specified outpatient infections from 1/1/2008-12/31/2018 among our MS cohort (n=6000) and 5:1 general population controls matched on age, sex, and race/ethnicity (n=30,010). Random sample chart abstractions from each group were used to identify common coding errors for outpatient pneumonia, upper and lower respiratory tract infection, UTIs, herpetic infections (herpes zoster (HZ), herpes simplex virus (HSV)), fungal infections, otitis media, cellulitis, and influenza. This information was used to define discrete infectious episodes and to identify the algorithm with the highest positive predictive value (PPV) after supplementing the ICD-coded episodes with radiology, laboratory and/or pharmacy data. Results PPVs relying on ICD codes alone were inaccurate, particularly for identifying recurrent herpetic infections (HZ (42%) and HSV (60%)), UTIs (42%) and outpatient pneumonia (20%) in MS patients. Defining and validating episodes improved the PPVs for all the selected infections. The final algorithms' PPVs were 80-100% in MS and 75-100% in the general population, after including dispensed treatments (UTI, herpetic infections and yeast vaginitis), timing of dispensed treatments (UTI, herpetic infections and yeast vaginitis), removal of prophylactic antiviral use (herpetic infections), and inclusion of selected laboratory (UTIs) and imaging results (pneumonia). The only exception was outpatient pneumonia, where PPVs improved but remained ≤70%. There were no significant differences in the PPVs for the final algorithms between the MS and general population. Conclusions Provided herein are accurate and validated algorithms that can be used to improve our understanding of how the risk of recurrent outpatient infections are influenced by MS treatments, MS-related disability, and co-morbidities. Findings from such studies will be important in helping patients and clinicians engage in shared decision-making and in developing strategies to mitigate risks of recurrent infections.

The Multiple Sclerosis Treatment Optimization Program.

OBJECTIVE: To design and implement a health system level intervention to reduce escalating multiple sclerosis (MS) disease modifying treatment (DMT) expenditures and improve outcomes. METHODS: We conducted stakeholder meetings, reviewed pharmacy utilization data, and abstracted information in subsets of persons with MS (pwMS) from the electronic health record to identify gaps in, and barriers to improving, quality, and affordability of MS care in Kaiser Permanente Southern California. These results informed the development and implementation of the MS Treatment Optimization Program (MSTOP). RESULTS: The two main gaps identified were under-prescribing of highly effective DMTs (HET, 4.9%) and the preferred formulary DMT (20.9%) among DMT-treated pwMS. The main barriers identified were prescribers' fear of rare but serious HET side effects, lack of MS-specific and health systems science knowledge, Pharma influence, evidence gaps, formulary decisions-based solely on costs, and multidirectional mistrust between neurologists, practice leaders, and health plan pharmacists. To overcome these barriers MSTOP developed four strategies: (1) risk-stratified treatment algorithm to increase use of HETs; (2) an expert-led ethical, cost-sensitive, risk-stratified, preferred formulary; (3) proactive counter-launch campaigns to minimize uptake of new, low-value DMTs; and (4) discontinuation of ineffective DMTs in progressive, non-relapsing MS. The multicomponent MSTOP was implemented through education, training, and expanding access to MS-trained providers, audit and feedback, and continual evidence reviews. INTERPRETATION: The causes of wasteful spending on MS DMTs are complex and require multiple strategies to resolve. We provide herein granular details of how we designed and implemented our health system intervention to facilitate its adaption to other settings and conditions.

Multiple sclerosis, rituximab, and COVID-19.

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in Kaiser Permanente Southern California from 1 January 2020 to 30 September 2020. We found that rituximab-treated persons with multiple sclerosis (pwMS, n = 1895) were more likely be hospitalized (n = 8, 33.3%), but not die (n = 0) from COVID-19, compared to the 4.81 million non-MS population (5.8% and 1.4%, respectively). Time in months (adjusted OR = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.15-0.69, p = 0.0033) and receiving 1000 mg compared to lower doses at last infusion (adjusted OR = 6.28, 95% CI = 1.38-28.5, p = 0.0173) were independent predictors of COVID-19 severity. Rituximab-treated pwMS should be counseled to take extra precautions in the 5 months following each infusion. Using extended dosing intervals and lower doses could be considered.

Trends from 2008 to 2018 in Electricity-dependent Durable Medical Equipment Rentals and Sociodemographic Disparities.

BACKGROUND: Duration and number of power outages have increased over time, partly fueled by climate change, putting users of electricity-dependent durable medical equipment (hereafter, "durable medical equipment") at particular risk of adverse health outcomes. Given health disparities in the United States, we assessed trends in durable medical equipment rental prevalence and individual- and area-level sociodemographic inequalities. METHODS: Using Kaiser Permanente South California electronic health record data, we identified durable medical equipment renters. We calculated annual prevalence of equipment rental and fit hierarchical generalized linear models with ZIP code random intercepts, stratified by rental of breast pumps or other equipment. RESULTS: 243,559 KPSC members rented durable medical equipment between 2008 and 2018. Rental prevalence increased over time across age, sex, racial-ethnic, and Medicaid categories, most by >100%. In adjusted analyses, Medicaid use was associated with increased prevalence and 108 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 99, 117) additional days of equipment rental during the study period. ZIP code-level sociodemographics were associated with increased prevalence of equipment rentals, for example, a 1 SD increase in percent unemployed and

Bisphosphonate Treatment Beyond 5 Years and Hip Fracture Risk in Older Women.

Importance: Clinical trials have demonstrated the antifracture efficacy of bisphosphonate drugs for the first 3 to 5 years of therapy. However, the efficacy of continuing bisphosphonate for as long as 10 years is uncertain. Objective: To examine the association of discontinuing bisphosphonate at study entry, discontinuing at 2 years, and continuing for 5 additional years with the risk of hip fracture among women who had completed 5 years of bisphosphonate treatment at study entry. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included women who were members of Kaiser Permanente Northern and Southern California, 2 integrated health care delivery systems, and who had initiated oral bisphosphonate and completed 5 years of treatment by January 1, 2002, to September 30, 2014. Data analysis was conducted from January 2018 to August 2020. Exposure: Discontinuation of bisphosphonate at study entry (within a 6-month grace period), discontinuation at 2 years (within a 6-month grace period), and continuation for 5 additional years. Main Outcomes and Measures: The outcome was hip fracture determined by principal hospital discharge diagnoses. Demographic, clinical, and pharmacological data were ascertained from electronic health records. Results: Among 29 685 women (median [interquartile range] age, 71 [64-77] years; 17 778 [60%] non-Hispanic White individuals), 507 incident hip fractures were identified. Compared with bisphosphonate discontinuation at study entry, there were no differences in the cumulative incidence (ie, risk) of hip fracture if women remained on therapy for 2 additional years (5-year risk difference [RD], -2.2 per 1000 individuals; 95% CI, -20.3 to 15.9 per 1000 individuals) or if women continued therapy for 5 additional years (5-year RD, 3.8 per 1000 individuals; 95% CI, -7.4 to 15.0 per 1000 individuals). While 5-year differences in hip fracture risk comparing continuation for 5 additional years with discontinuation at 2 additional years were not statistically significant (5-year RD, 6.0 per 1000 individuals; 95% CI, -9.9 to 22.0 per 1000 individuals), interim hip fracture risk appeared lower if women discontinued after 2 additional years (3-year RD, 2.8 per 1000 individuals; 95% CI, 1.3 to 4.3 per 1000 individuals; 4-year RD, 9.3 per 1000 individuals; 95% CI, 6.3 to 12.3 per 1000 individuals) but not without a 6-month grace period to define discontinuation. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study of women treated with bisphosphonate for 5 years, hip fracture risk did not differ if they discontinued treatment compared with continuing treatment for 5 additional years. If women continued for 2 additional years and then discontinued, their risk appeared lower than continuing for 5 additional years. Discontinuation at other times and fracture rates during intervening years should be further studied.

Sociopolitical stress and acute cardiovascular disease hospitalizations around the 2016 presidential election.

Previous research suggests that stressors may trigger the onset of acute cardiovascular disease (CVD) events within hours to days, but there has been limited research around sociopolitical events such as presidential elections. Among adults ≥18 y of age in Kaiser Permanente Southern California, hospitalization rates for acute CVD were compared in the time period immediately prior to and following the 2016 presidential election date. Hospitalization for CVD was defined as an inpatient or emergency department discharge diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or stroke using International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision codes. Rate ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated comparing CVD rates in the 2 d following the 2016 election to rates in the same 2 d of the prior week. In a secondary analysis, AMI and stroke were analyzed separately. The rate of CVD events in the 2 d after the 2016 presidential election (573.14 per 100,000 person-years [PY]) compared to the rate in the window prior to the 2016 election (353.75 per 100,000 PY) was 1.62 times higher (95% CI 1.17, 2.25). Results were similar across sex, age, and race/ethnicity groups. The RRs were similar for AMI (RR 1.67, 95% CI 1.00, 2.76) and stroke (RR 1.59, 95% CI 1.03, 2.44) separately. Transiently heightened cardiovascular risk around the 2016 election may be attributable to sociopolitical stress. Further research is needed to understand the intersection between major sociopolitical events, perceived stress, and acute CVD events.

Early identification of COVID-19 cytokine storm and treatment with anakinra or tocilizumab.

OBJECTIVE: To examine outcomes among patients who were treated with the targeted anti-cytokine agents, anakinra or tocilizumab, for COVID-19 -related cytokine storm (COVID19-CS). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all SARS-coV2-RNA-positive patients treated with tocilizumab or anakinra in Kaiser Permanente Southern California. Local experts developed and implemented criteria to define COVID19-CS. All variables were extracted from electronic health records. RESULTS: At tocilizumab initiation (n = 52), 50 (96.2%) were intubated, and only seven (13.5%) received concomitant corticosteroids. At anakinra initiation (n = 41), 23 (56.1%) were intubated, and all received concomitant corticosteroids. Fewer anakinra-treated patients died (n = 9, 22%) and more were extubated/never intubated (n = 26, 63.4%) compared to tocilizumab-treated patients (n = 24, 46.2% dead, n = 22, 42.3% extubated/never intubated). Patients who died had more severe sepsis and respiratory failure and met COVID-CS laboratory criteria longer (median = 3 days) compared to those extubated/never intubated (median = 1 day). After accounting for differences in disease severity at treatment initiation, this apparent superiority of anakinra over tocilizumab was no longer statistically significant (propensity score-adjusted hazards ratio 0.46, 95% confidence interval 0.18-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: Prompt identification and treatment of COVID19-CS before intubation may be more important than the specific type of anti-inflammatory treatment. Randomized controlled trials of targeted anti-cytokine treatments and corticosteroids should report the duration of cytokine storm in addition to clinical severity at randomization.

Atypical Femur Fracture Risk versus Fragility Fracture Prevention with Bisphosphonates.

BACKGROUND: Bisphosphonates are effective in reducing hip and osteoporotic fractures. However, concerns about atypical femur fractures have contributed to substantially decreased bisphosphonate use, and the incidence of hip fractures may be increasing. Important uncertainties remain regarding the association between atypical femur fractures and bisphosphonates and other risk factors. METHODS: We studied women 50 years of age or older who were receiving bisphosphonates and who were enrolled in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California health care system; women were followed from January 1, 2007, to November 30, 2017. The primary outcome was atypical femur fracture. Data on risk factors, including bisphosphonate use, were obtained from electronic health records. Fractures were radiographically adjudicated. Multivariable Cox models were used. The risk-benefit profile was modeled for 1 to 10 years of bisphosphonate use to compare associated atypical fractures with other fractures prevented. RESULTS: Among 196,129 women, 277 atypical femur fractures occurred. After multivariable adjustment, the risk of atypical fracture increased with longer duration of bisphosphonate use: the hazard ratio as compared with less than 3 months increased from 8.86 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.79 to 28.20) for 3 years to less than 5 years to 43.51 (95% CI, 13.70 to 138.15) for 8 years or more. Other risk factors included race (hazard ratio for Asians vs. Whites, 4.84; 95% CI, 3.57 to 6.56), height, weight, and glucocorticoid use. Bisphosphonate discontinuation was associated with a rapid decrease in the risk of atypical fracture. Decreases in the risk of osteoporotic and hip fractures during 1 to 10 years of bisphosphonate use far outweighed the increased risk of atypical fracture among Whites but less so among Asians. After 3 years, 149 hip fractures were prevented and 2 bisphosphonate-associated atypical fractures occurred in Whites, as compared with 91 and 8, respectively, in Asians. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of atypical femur fracture increased with longer duration of bisphosphonate use and rapidly decreased after bisphosphonate discontinuation. Asians had a higher risk than Whites. The absolute risk of atypical femur fracture remained very low as compared with reductions in the risk of hip and other fractures with bisphosphonate treatment. (Funded by Kaiser Permanente and others.).

Association between hypothyroidism and chronic kidney disease observed among an adult population 55 years and older.

Hypothyroidism and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are highly prevalent conditions with a potential mechanistic link. We sought to determine whether hypothyroidism is associated with CKD among a large diverse community-based cohort.A cross-sectional study was performed (January 1, 1990-December 31, 2017) within a large integrated health system. Individuals age ≥55 years of age with outpatient measurements of thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) and ≥2 serum creatinine values were included. Hypothyroidism was defined as TSH >4 mIU/L and/or receipt of thyroid hormone replacement and further categorized as hypothyroid status: TSH >4 mcIU/mL and attenuated-hypothyroid status: TSH <4 mcIU/mL with receipt of thyroid hormone replacement. Euthyroidism was defined as TSH <4 mIU/L and no thyroid hormone replacement. Our primary measure was CKD defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <45 mL/min/1.73 m. Multivariable logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, race, and comorbidities was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) for CKD by thyroid status.Among 378,101 individuals, 114,872 (30.4%) had hypothyroidism among whom 31,242 and 83,630 had hypothyroid and attenuated-hypothyroid statuses, respectively. Individuals with hypothyroidism had a CKD OR (95%CI) of 1.25 (1.21-1.29) compared with those with euthyroidism. Granular examination of thyroid statuses showed that hypothyroid and attenuated-hypothyroid statuses had CKD ORs (95% CI) of 1.59 (1.52-1.66) and 1.12 (1.08-1.16), respectively. A similar relationship was observed in analyses that defined CKD as an eGFR <60 L/min/1.73 m.Among individuals 55 years and older, we observed that those with hypothyroidism were more likely to have CKD. A stronger association was found among patients of hypothyroid status compared with attenuated-hypothyroid status suggesting a dose dependent relationship.

Trends in Acute Myocardial Infarction by Race and Ethnicity.

Background Trends in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) incidence rates for diverse races/ethnicities are largely unknown, presenting barriers to understanding the role of race/ethnicity in AMI occurrence. Methods and Results We identified AMI hospitalizations for Kaiser Permanente Southern California members, aged ≥35 years, during 2000 to 2014 using discharge diagnostic codes. We excluded hospitalizations with missing race/ethnicity information. We calculated annual incidence rates (age and sex standardized to the 2010 US census population) for AMI, ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction by race/ethnicity (Hispanic and non-Hispanic racial groups: Asian or Pacific Islander, black, and white). Using Poisson regression, we estimated annual percentage change in AMI, non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction incidence by race/ethnicity and AMI incidence rate ratios between race/ethnicity pairs, adjusting for age and sex. We included 18 630 776 person-years of observation and identified 44 142 AMI hospitalizations. During 2000 to 2014, declines in AMI, non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction were 48.7%, 34.2%, and 69.8%, respectively. Age- and sex-standardized AMI hospitalization rates/100 000 person-years declined for Hispanics (from 307 to 162), Asians or Pacific Islanders (from 271 to 158), blacks (from 347 to 199), and whites (from 376 to 189). Annual percentage changes ranged from -2.99% to -4.75%, except for blacks, whose annual percentage change was -5.32% during 2000 to 2009 and -1.03% during 2010 to 2014. Conclusions During 2000 to 2014, AMI, non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction hospitalization incidence rates declined substantially for each race/ethnic group. Despite narrowing rates among races/ethnicities, differences persist. Understanding these differences can help identify unmet needs in AMI prevention and management to guide targeted interventions.

Sex-Specific Trends in Acute Myocardial Infarction Within an Integrated Healthcare Network, 2000 Through 2014.

BACKGROUND: In recent decades, the rates of incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have declined in the United States, yet disparities by sex remain. In an integrated healthcare delivery system, we examined temporal trends in incident AMI among women and men. METHODS: We identified hospitalized AMI among members ≥35 years of age in Kaiser Permanente Southern California. The first hospitalization for AMI overall, and for ST-segment-elevation MI and non-ST-segment-elevation MI was identified by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification primary discharge diagnosis codes in each calendar year from 2000 through 2014. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates per 100 000 person-years were calculated by using direct adjustment to the 2010 US Census population. Average annual percent changes (AAPCs) and period percent changes were calculated, and trend tests were conducted using Poisson regression. RESULTS: We identified 45 331 AMI hospitalizations between 2000 and 2014. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of AMI declined from 322.4 (95% CI, 311.0-333.9) in 2000 to 174.6 (95% CI, 168.2-181.0) in 2014, representing an AAPC of -4.4% (95% CI, -4.2 to -4.6) and a period percent change of -46.6%. The AAPC for AMI in women was -4.6% (95% CI, -4.1 to -5.2) between 2000 and 2009 and declined to -2.3% (95% CI, -1.2 to -3.4) between 2010 and 2014. The AAPC for AMI in men was stable over the study period (-4.7% [95% CI, -4.4 to -4.9]). The AAPC for ST-segment-elevation MI hospitalization overall was -8.3% (95% CI, -8.0% to -8.6%).The AAPC in ST-segment-elevation MI changed among women in 2009 (2000-2009: -10.2% [95% CI, -9.3 to -11.1] and in 2010-2014: -5.2% [95% CI, -3.1 to -7.3]) while remaining stable among men (-8.0% [95% CI, -7.6 to -8.4]). The AAPC for non-ST-segment-elevation MI hospitalization was smaller than for ST-segment-elevation MI among both women and men (-1.9% [95% CI, -1.5 to -2.3] and -2.8% [95% CI, -2.5 to -3.2], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the incidence of hospitalized AMI declined between 2000 and 2014; however, declines in AMI have slowed among women in comparison with men in recent years. Determining unmet care needs among women may reduce these sex-based AMI disparities.

Determinants of Oral Bisphosphonate Use Beyond 5 Years.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined factors that determine bisphosphonate (BP) continuation beyond 5 years in clinical practice. OBJECTIVE: To investigate factors associated with BP continuation among women who completed 5 years of BP therapy. METHODS: Women who received 5 consecutive years of oral BP treatment entered the cohort during 2002-2014 and were followed up to 5 additional years. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association of demographic and clinical factors with adherent treatment continuation. RESULTS: The cohort included 19,091 women with a median age of 72 years. Baseline and time-varying factors associated with increased odds of BP continuation after 5 years were (a) most recent bone mineral density (BMD) T-score -2 to -2.4 (OR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.25-1.38), T-score -2.5 to -2.9 (OR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.39-1.57), and T-score ≤ -3.0 (OR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.47-1.68) versus T-scores above -2.0; (b) index date before 2008 (OR =1.35, 95% CI = 1.29-1.41); and (c) diabetes mellitus (OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.01-1.16). In contrast, factors associated with decreased odds of BP continuation were (a) recent hip (OR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.52-0.71) or humerus (OR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.66-0.94) fracture or fracture other than hip, wrist, spine, or humerus (OR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.84-0.97); (b) Charlson Comorbidity Index score > 2 (OR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.84-0.98); (c) history of rheumatoid arthritis (OR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.80-0.99); (d) Hispanic (OR = 0.89, 95% CI=0.85-0.94) or Asian (OR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.85-0.94) race/ethnicity; and (e) use of proton pump inhibitors (OR = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.59-0.71). Patient age and fracture before BP initiation were not associated with treatment continuation. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical factors predicting continued BP treatment beyond 5 years include low BMD T-score, absence of recent fracture, and earlier era of treatment. Use of proton pump inhibitors was associated with lower likelihood of BP continuation. Other clinical and demographic factors were also noted to have variable effects on BP treatment continuation. DISCLOSURES: This study was supported by a grant from the National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Arthritis, Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases at the National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01AG047230, S1). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH or Kaiser Permanente. Lo has received previous research funding from Amgen and Sanofi, unrelated to the current study. Adams has received previous research funding from Merck, Amgen, Otsuka, and Radius Health, unrelated to the current study. Ettinger has served as an expert witness for Teva Pharmaceuticals, unrelated to the current study. Ott previously attended a scientific advisory meeting for Amgen but declined the honorarium. The other authors have nothing to disclose. These data were presented at the 2018 Annual Meeting of the American Society of Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR), September 28-October 1, 2018, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.