Characterizing infection risk in a restaurant environment due to airborne diseases using discrete droplet dispersion simulations.

The use of masks as a measure to control the spread of respiratory viruses has been widely acknowledged. However, there are instances where wearing a mask is not possible, making these environments potential vectors for virus transmission. Such environments can contain multiple sources of infection and are challenging to characterize in terms of infection risk. To address this issue, we have developed a methodology to investigate the role of ventilation in reducing the infection risk in such environments. We use a restaurant setting as a representative scenario to demonstrate the methodology. Using implicit large eddy simulations along with discrete droplet dispersion modeling we investigate the impact of ventilation and physical distance on the spread of respiratory viruses and the risk of infection. Our findings show that operating ventilation systems, such as mechanical mixing and increasing physical distance between subjects, can significantly reduce the average room infection risk and number of newly infected subjects. However, this observation is subject to the transmissibility of the airborne viruses. In the case of a highly transmissible virus, the use of mechanical mixing may be inconsequential when compared to only fresh air ventilation. These findings provide valuable insights into the mitigation of infection risk in situations where the use of masks is not possible.

Large eddy simulation of droplet transport and deposition in the human respiratory tract to evaluate inhalation risk.

As evidenced by the worldwide pandemic, respiratory infectious diseases and their airborne transmission must be studied to safeguard public health. This study focuses on the emission and transport of speech-generated droplets, which can pose risk of infection depending on the loudness of the speech, its duration and the initial angle of exhalation. We have numerically investigated the transport of these droplets into the human respiratory tract by way of a natural breathing cycle in order to predict the infection probability of three strains of SARS-CoV-2 on a person who is listening at a one-meter distance. Numerical methods were used to set the boundary conditions of the speaking and breathing models and large eddy simulation (LES) was used for the unsteady simulation of approximately 10 breathing cycles. Four different mouth angles when speaking were contrasted to evaluate real conditions of human communication and the possibility of infection. Breathed virions were counted using two different approaches: the breathing zone of influence and direction deposition on the tissue. Our results show that infection probability drastically changes based on the mouth angle and the breathing zone of influence overpredicts the inhalation risk in all cases. We conclude that to portray real conditions, the probability of infection should be based on direct tissue deposition results to avoid overprediction and that several mouth angles must be considered in future analyses.

Numerical investigation of effects of tongue articulation and velopharyngeal closure on the production of sibilant [s].

A numerical simulation of sibilant /s/ production with the realistically moving vocal tract was conducted to investigate the flow and acoustic characteristics during the articulation process of velopharyngeal closure and tongue movement. The articulation process was simulated from the end of /u/ to the middle of /s/ in the Japanese word /usui/, including the tongue elevation and the velopharyngeal valve closure. The time-dependent vocal tract geometry was reconstructed from the computed tomography scan. The moving immersed boundary method with the hierarchical structure grid was adopted to approach the complex geometry of the human speech organs. The acoustic characteristics during the co-articulation process were observed and consistent with the acoustic measurement for the subject of the scan. The further simulations with the different closing speeds of the velopharyngeal closure showed that the far-field sound during the co-articulation process was amplified with the slower closing case, and the velum closure speed was inverse proportional to the sound amplitude with the slope value of - 35.3 dB s/m. This indicates possible phonation of indistinguishable aeroacoustics sound between /u/ and /s/ with slower velopharyngeal closure.

Quantifying the COVID19 infection risk due to droplet/aerosol inhalation.

The dose-response model has been widely used for quantifying the risk of infection of airborne diseases like COVID-19. The model has been used in the room-average analysis of infection risk and analysis using passive scalars as a proxy for aerosol transport. However, it has not been employed for risk estimation in numerical simulations of droplet dispersion. In this work, we develop a framework for the evaluation of the probability of infection in droplet dispersion simulations using the dose-response model. We introduce a version of the model that can incorporate the higher transmissibility of variant strains of SARS-CoV2 and the effect of vaccination in evaluating the probability of infection. Numerical simulations of droplet dispersion during speech are carried out to investigate the infection risk over space and time using the model. The advantage of droplet dispersion simulations for risk evaluation is demonstrated through the analysis of the effect of ambient wind, humidity on infection risk, and through a comparison with risk evaluation based on passive scalars as a proxy for aerosol transport.

Digital transformation of droplet/aerosol infection risk assessment realized on "Fugaku" for the fight against COVID-19.

The fastest supercomputer in 2020, Fugaku, has not only achieved digital transformation of epidemiology in allowing end-to-end, detailed quantitative modeling of COVID-19 transmissions for the first time but also transformed the behavior of the entire Japanese public through its detailed analysis of transmission risks in multitudes of societal situations entailing heavy risks. A novel aerosol simulation methodology was synthesized out of a combination of a new CFD methods meeting industrial demands in the solver, CUBE (Jansson et al., 2019), which not only allowed the simulations to scale massively with high resolution required for micrometer virus-containing aerosol particles but also enabled extremely rapid time-to-solution due to its ability to generate the digital twins representing multitudes of societal situations in a matter of minutes, attaining true overall application high performance; such simulations have been running for the past 1.5°years on Fugaku, cumulatively consuming top supercomputer-class resources and the communicated by the media as well as becoming the basis for official public policies.

Numerical investigation of effects of incisor angle on production of sibilant /s/.

The effects of the inclination angle of the incisor on the speech production of the fricative consonant /s/ was investigated using an implicit compressible flow solver. The hierarchical structure grid was applied to reduce the grid generation time for the vocal tract geometry. The airflow and sound during the pronunciation of /s/ were simulated using the adaptively switched time stepping scheme, and the angle of the incisor in the vocal tract was changed from normal position up to 30°. The results showed that increasing the incisor angle affected the flow configuration and moved the location of the high turbulence intensity region thereby decreased the amplitudes of the sound in the frequency range from 8 to 12 kHz. Performing the Fourier transform on the velocity fluctuation, we found that the position of large magnitudes of the velocity at 10 kHz shifted toward the lip outlet when the incisor angle was increased. In addition, separate acoustic simulations showed that the shift in the potential sound source position decreased the far-field sound amplitudes above 8 kHz. These results provide the underlying insights necessary to design dental prostheses for the production of sibilant fricatives.