ABSTRACT
STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. OBJECTIVES: The prediction of curve progression in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) remains an unresolved area in orthopedic surgery. To make a rapid meaningful prediction, easily accessible multi-dimensional data at the patient's first consultation should be used. Current studies use clinical growth parameters and numerical values extracted from radiographs to compile a predictive model, leaving out the radiographs themselves. Such practice inevitably wastes a lot of information. Thus, this study aims to create a neural network that can predict AIS progression among patients with curves indicated for bracing by integrating both one-dimensional (1D) clinical and two-dimensional (2D) radiological data collected at the patient's first visit in a fully automated manner. METHODS: 513 idiopathic scoliosis patients indicated for and managed with bracing orthosis were recruited. After exclusion, 463 patients were included in deep learning analysis. Processed first-visit growth parameters and posteroanterior radiographs are used as training inputs and the curve progression outcomes obtained in follow ups are used as binary training outputs. The CapsuleNet architecture was modified and trained accordingly to make a prediction. RESULTS: The final model achieved 90% sensitivity with an overall accuracy of 73.9% in the prediction of AIS in-brace curve progression by using first-visit multi-dimensional data, outperforming conventional convolutional neural networks. CONCLUSIONS: This first-ever multidimensional-input model shows promise in serving as a screening tool for AIS in-brace curve progression. The incorporation of such a model into routine AIS diagnostic pipeline can assist orthopedics clinicians in personalizing the most appropriate management for each patient.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Assessment of spine alignment is crucial in the management of scoliosis, but current auto-analysis of spine alignment suffers from low accuracy. We aim to develop and validate a hybrid model named SpineHRNet+, which integrates artificial intelligence (AI) and rule-based methods to improve auto-alignment reliability and interpretability. METHODS: From December 2019 to November 2020, 1,542 consecutive patients with scoliosis attending two local scoliosis clinics (The Duchess of Kent Children's Hospital at Sandy Bay in Hong Kong; Queen Mary Hospital in Pok Fu Lam on Hong Kong Island) were recruited. The biplanar radiographs of each patient were collected with our medical machine EOS™. The collected radiographs were recaptured using smartphones or screenshots, with deidentified images securely stored. Manually labelled landmarks and alignment parameters by a spine surgeon were considered as ground truth (GT). The data were split 8:2 to train and internally test SpineHRNet+, respectively. This was followed by a prospective validation on another 337 patients. Quantitative analyses of landmark predictions were conducted, and reliabilities of auto-alignment were assessed using linear regression and Bland-Altman plots. Deformity severity and sagittal abnormality classifications were evaluated by confusion matrices. FINDINGS: SpineHRNet+ achieved accurate landmark detection with mean Euclidean distance errors of 2·78 and 5·52 pixels on posteroanterior and lateral radiographs, respectively. The mean angle errors between predictions and GT were 3·18° and 6·32° coronally and sagittally. All predicted alignments were strongly correlated with GT (p < 0·001, R2 > 0·97), with minimal overall difference visualised via Bland-Altman plots. For curve detections, 95·7% sensitivity and 88·1% specificity was achieved, and for severity classification, 88·6-90·8% sensitivity was obtained. For sagittal abnormalities, greater than 85·2-88·9% specificity and sensitivity were achieved. INTERPRETATION: The auto-analysis provided by SpineHRNet+ was reliable and continuous and it might offer the potential to assist clinical work and facilitate large-scale clinical studies. FUNDING: RGC Research Impact Fund (R5017-18F), Innovation and Technology Fund (ITS/404/18), and the AOSpine East Asia Fund (AOSEA(R)2019-06).
