Pretreatment mortality risk prediction model in patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVES: Risk prediction for patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease (PM/DM-ILD) is challenging due to heterogeneity in the disease course. We aimed to develop a mortality risk prediction model for PM/DM-ILD. METHODS: This prognostic study analysed patients with PM/DM-ILD admitted to Nanjing Drum Hospital from 2016 to 2021. The primary outcome was mortality within 1 year. We used a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model to identify predictive laboratory indicators. These indicators were used to create a laboratory risk score, and we developed a mortality risk prediction model by incorporating clinical factors. The evaluation of model performance encompassed discrimination, calibration, clinical utility and practical application for risk prediction and prognosis. RESULTS: Overall, 418 patients with PM/DM-ILD were enrolled and randomly divided into development (n=282) and validation (n=136) cohorts. LASSO logistic regression identified four optimal features in the development cohort, forming a laboratory risk score: C reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, CD3+CD4+ T cell counts and PO2/FiO2. The final prediction model integrated age, arthralgia, anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody status, high-resolution CT pattern and the laboratory risk score. The prediction model exhibited robust discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic: 0.869, 95% CI 0.811 to 0.910), excellent calibration and valuable clinical utility. Patients were categorised into three risk groups with distinct mortality rates. The internal validation, sensitivity analyses and comparative assessments against previous models further confirmed the robustness of the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated an evidence-based mortality risk prediction model with simple, readily accessible clinical variables in patients with PM/DM-ILD, which may inform clinical decision-making.

Camrelizumab and apatinib plus induction chemotherapy and concurrent chemoradiotherapy in stage N3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a phase 2 clinical trial.

The antiangiogenic agent apatinib has been shown to clinically improve responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors in several cancer types. Patients with N3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma have a high risk of distant metastasis, however, if the addition of immunotherapy to standard treatment could improve efficacy is unclear. In this phase II clinical trial (ChiCTR2000032317), 49 patients with stage TanyN3M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma were enrolled and received the combination of three cycles of induction chemotherapy, camrelizumab and apatinib followed by chemoradiotherapy. Here we report on the primary outcome of distant metastasis-free survival and secondary end points of objective response rate, failure-free survival, locoregional recurrence-free survival, overall survival and toxicity profile. After induction therapy, all patients had objective response, including 13 patients (26.5%) with complete response. After a median follow-up of 28.7 months, the primary endpoint of 1-year distant metastasis-free survival was met for the cohort (1-year DMFS rate: 98%). Grade≥3 toxicity appeared in 32 (65.3%) patients, with the most common being mucositis (14[28.6%]) and nausea/vomiting (9[18.4%]). In this work, camrelizumab and apatinib in combination with induction chemotherapy show promising distant metastasis control with acceptable safety profile in patients with stage TanyN3M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Combination strategy exploration for prior treated recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the era of immunotherapy.

To assess the efficacy and safety of the combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and target therapy (anti-angiogenesis or EGFR inhibitors) as a second-line or subsequent treatment for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPC), we conducted a retrospective study. In this study, previously treated R/M NPC patients were administered one of the following treatment: ICIs combined with target therapy and chemotherapy (ITC), ICIs combined with target therapy alone (IT), ICIs combined with chemotherapy (IC), or chemotherapy alone (C). The primary endpoint under consideration was progression-free survival (PFS), while secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and safety measures. A total of 226 patients participated in this study, with 70 receiving the ITC regimen, 48 receiving IT, 48 treated with IC, and 60 undergoing C alone. The median PFS for the four cohorts was 20.67, 13.63, 12.47, and 7.93 months respectively. Notably, ITC regimen yielded the most favorable PFS among these cohorts. The ITC cohort exhibited a comparable tumor response and safety profile to the IT and IC cohorts (p > 0.05), but superior tumor response compared to the C cohort (p < 0.05). The ITC regimen also conferred a significant improvement in OS when comparing to C alone (HR 0.336, 95%CI 0.123-0.915, p = 0.033). The IT and IC regimens achieved a nearly identical PFS (HR 0.955, 95%CI 0.515-1.77, p = 0.884), although the IT regimen was associated with a lower occurrence of SAEs in contrast to the IC regimen (p < 0.05). In addition, the IT regimen demonstrated superior PFS (HR 0.583, 95%CI 0.345-0.985, p = 0.044) and fewer SAEs when compared to C alone (p < 0.05). These findings collectively support the notion that the combination of ICIs, target and chemotherapy exhibits robust antitumor activity in previously treated R/M NPC patients, without a significant increase in adverse events.

Efficacy and safety of sintilimab plus bevacizumab in metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma after failure of platinum-based chemotherapy: an open-label phase 2 study.

Background: There are limited treatment options for patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) after failure of platinum-based chemotherapy. In this trial, we assessed the efficacy and safety of sintilimab plus bevacizumab in patients with mNPC where platinum-based chemotherapy has been ineffective. Methods: This was a single-centre, open-label, single-arm, phase 2 trial in Guangzhou, China for patients with mNPC progressed after at least one line of systemic therapy. Eligible patients were between 18 and 75 years old, were histologically confirmed differentiated or undifferentiated non-keratinized NPC, were ineffective after platinum-based chemotherapy, and they had at least one measurable metastatic lesion assessed with Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors Version 1.1 (RECIST V.1.1) by investigators and unsuitable for local surgery or radiotherapy. Key exclusion criterion was previous treatment with anti-PD-1/PD-L1 antibodies plus anti-VEGF antibodies and high risk of hemorrhage or nasopharyngeal necrosis. Patients were enrolled and received sintilimab (200 mg) plus bevacizumab (7.5 mg/kg) intravenously every 3 weeks. Intention-to-treat population was included in primary endpoint analyses and safety analyses. The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR) assessed by investigators following the guidelines of RECIST V1.1. Key secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), duration of response (DOR), and safety. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04872582). Findings: Between July 29, 2021 and August 16, 2022, 33 patients were enrolled. Median age was 46 years (range, 18-64 years), and 63.6% of patients had previously received two or more lines of chemotherapy for metastatic disease. Median follow-up was 7.6 months (range, 4.1-17.5 months). ORR was 54.5% (95% CI, 36.4-71.9%) with 3 complete responses (9.1%) and 15 partial responses (45.5%). Median PFS was 6.8 months (95% CI, 5.2 months to not estimable). Median DOR was 7.2 months (95% CI, 4.4 months to not estimable). Median OS was not reached. The most common potential immune-related adverse event (AE) was Grade 1-2 hypothyroidism (42.4%). Treatment-related grade 3 or 4 AEs occurred in 7 patients (21.2%), including nasal necrosis (3/33), hypertension (1/33), pruritus (1/33), total bilirubin increased (1/33) and anaphylactic shock (1/33). No treatment-related deaths and severe epistaxis occurred. Interpretation: This phase 2 trial showed that sintilimab plus bevacizumab demonstrated promising antitumour activity and manageable toxicities in patients with mNPC after failure of platinum-based chemotherapy. Further trials are warranted, and the detailed mechanisms need to be elucidated. Funding: The Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, and the Science and Technology Planning Project of International Cooperation of Guangdong Province.

Epstein-Barr virus DNA seropositivity links distinct tumoral heterogeneity and immune landscape in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Background: Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA seronegative (Sero-) and seropositive (Sero+) nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) are distinctly different disease subtypes. Patients with higher baseline EBV DNA titers seem to benefit less from anti-PD1 immunotherapy, but underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Tumor microenvironment (TME) characteristics could be the important factor affecting the efficacy of immunotherapy. Here, we illuminated the distinct multicellular ecosystems of EBV DNA Sero- and Sero+ NPCs from cellular compositional and functional perspectives at single-cell resolution. Method: We performed single-cell RNA sequencing analyses of 28,423 cells from ten NPC samples and one non-tumor nasopharyngeal tissue. The markers, function, and dynamics of related cells were analyzed. Results: We found that tumor cells from EBV DNA Sero+ samples exhibit low-differentiation potential, stronger stemness signature, and upregulated signaling pathways associated with cancer hallmarks than that of EBV DNA Sero- samples. Transcriptional heterogeneity and dynamics in T cells were associated with EBV DNA seropositivity status, indicating different immunoinhibitory mechanisms employed by malignant cells depending on EBV DNA seropositivity status. The low expression of classical immune checkpoints, early-triggered cytotoxic T-lymphocyte response, global activation of IFN-mediated signatures, and enhanced cell-cell interplays cooperatively tend to form a specific immune context in EBV DNA Sero+ NPC. Conclusions: Collectively, we illuminated the distinct multicellular ecosystems of EBV DNA Sero- and Sero+ NPCs from single-cell perspective. Our study provides insights into the altered tumor microenvironment of NPC associated with EBV DNA seropositivity, which will help direct the development of rational immunotherapy strategies.

Development of a prognostic model to identify the metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients who may benefit from chemotherapy combination PD-1 inhibitor.

Background: We aimed to establish a prognostic model to identify suitable candidates for chemotherapy combination PD-1 inhibitor in metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Patients and methods: In this retrospective study, we included 524 patients (192 patients treated with chemotherapy combination PD-1 inhibitor and 332 received chemotherapy alone as first-line regimen) with metastatic NPC between January 2015 and March 2021. We developed a prognostic model to predict progression-free survival (PFS). A model-based trees approach was applied to estimate stratified treatment effects using prognostic scores and two well-matched risk groups (low-risk and high-risk) were created using propensity score matching. Results: A prognostic nomogram was established with good accuracy for predicting PFS (c-index values of 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.66-0.73). The survival curves were significantly different between low-risk and high-risk groups (median PFS: 9.8 vs. 22.8 months, P < 0.001, respectively). After propensity matching analysis, chemotherapy combination PD-1 inhibitor was significantly associated with superior PFS as compared with chemotherapy alone (median PFS, 10.6 versus 9.3 months, P = 0.016) in the high-risk group. However, no significant difference between chemotherapy combination PD-1 inhibitor and chemotherapy was observed (P = 0.840) in the low-risk groups. Conclusions: Our novel prognostic model was able to stratify patients with metastatic NPC into low-risk or high-risk groups and identify candidates for PD-1 inhibitor therapy. These results are expected to be confirmed by a prospective clinical trial.

Prediction model for the pretreatment evaluation of mortality risk in anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody-positive dermatomyositis with interstitial lung disease.

Background: Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody-positive dermatomyositis with interstitial lung disease (anti-MDA5 DM-ILD) is a disease with high mortality. We sought to develop an effective and convenient prediction tool to estimate mortality risk in patients with anti-MDA5 DM-ILD and inform clinical decision-making early. Methods: This prognostic study included Asian patients with anti-MDA5 DM-ILD hospitalized at the Nanjing Drum Hospital from December 2016 to December 2020. Candidate laboratory indicators were retrospectively collected. Patients hospitalized from 2016 to 2018 were used as the discovery cohort and applied to identify the optimal predictive features using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model. A risk score was determined based on these features and used to construct the mortality risk prediction model in combination with clinical characteristics. Results were verified in a temporal validation comprising patients treated between 2019 and 2020. The primary outcome was mortality risk within one year. The secondary outcome was overall survival. The prediction model's performance was assessed in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. Results: This study included 127 patients, (72 men [56.7%]; median age, 54 years [interquartile range, 48-63 years], split into discovery (n = 87, 70%) and temporal validation (n=37, 30%) cohorts. Five optimal features were selected by LASSO logistic regression in the discovery cohort (n = 87) and used to construct a risk score, including lymphocyte counts, CD3+CD4+ T-cell counts, cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA21-1), oxygenation index, and anti-Ro52 antibody. The retained predictive variables in the final prediction model were age, Heliotrope, fever, and risk score, and the most predictive factor was the risk score. The prediction model showed good discrimination (AUC: 0.915, 95% CI: 0.846-0.957), good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.506; Brier score, 0.12), and fair clinical usefulness in the discovery cohort. The results were verified among patients in the temporal validation cohort (n = 38). We successfully divided patients into three risk groups with very different mortality rates according to the predictive score in both the discovery and validation cohorts (Cochran-Armitage test for trend, P < 0.001). Conclusions: We developed and validated a mortality risk prediction tool with good discrimination and calibration for Asian patients with anti-MDA5 DM-ILD. This tool can offer individualized mortality risk estimation and inform clinical decision-making.

Plasma Circulating Tumor Epstein-Barr Virus for the Surveillance of Cancer Progression in Bone-Only Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Background: Plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) is a sensitive and specific biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We investigated whether longitudinal monitoring of EBV-DNA could accurately detect clinical disease progression in NPC patients with bone-only metastases. Methods: In this retrospective study, a total of 105 patients with bone-only metastatic NPC who were treated with platinum-based first-line chemotherapy were enrolled. Undetectable EBV-DNA after first-line chemotherapy was defined as a biochemical complete response (BCR). The correlation of the EBV-DNA dynamic status with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was determined by Cox regression. The correlation between non-normalized EBV-DNA period and PFS period was determined. Results: After a median follow-up time of 53.4 months [Interquartile range (IQR): 42.8-80.6], 64 patients had disease progression. Thirty-nine of 105 patients (37.1%) had a BCR at all follow-up time points, and none of these 39 patients had disease progression, corresponding to a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100%. Sixty-six patients had a detectable EBV-DNA during surveillance, with 64 diagnosed as disease progression at the last follow-up, for a positive predictive value (PPV) of 97.0%. Actuarial 3-year OS rates were 45.0% for patients with detectable EBV-DNA during posttreatment surveillance and 100% for patients with undetectable EBV-DNA. Lastly, median lead time between non-normalized EBV-DNA and clinically proven progression was 5.87 ± 0.67 months. Conclusions: Taken together, EBV-DNA provided predictive value for the bone-only metastatic NPC patients. The results should be validated in prospective randomized studies.

Individualized clinical target volume delineation and efficacy analysis in unilateral nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT): 10-year summary.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the long-term local control, failure patterns, and toxicities after individualized clinical target volume (CTV) delineation in unilateral nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). METHODS: Unilateral NPC was defined as a nasopharyngeal mass confined to one side of the nasopharynx and did not exceed the midline. From November 2003 to December 2017, 95 patients were retrospectively included. All patients received IMRT. The CTVs were determined based on the distance from the gross tumor. The contralateral para-pharyngeal space and skull base orifices were spared from irradiation. RESULTS: There were three local recurrences and eight regional recurrences in 10 patients during an 84-month follow-up. All local recurrences were within PGTVnx, and all in-field recurrences. No recurrences were found in traditional high-risk areas including contralateral the para-pharyngeal space and skull base orifices. The 10-year local-recurrence-free survival, regional-recurrence-free survival and overall survival were 96.2%, 90.5% and 84.7%, respectively. The dosimetry parameters of the tumor-contralateral organs were all lower than the values of the tumor-ipsilateral side (P < 0.05). The late toxicities occurred mainly in the tumor-ipsilateral organs, including radiation-induced temporal lobe injury, impaired visuality, hearing loss and subcutaneous fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Individualized CTV delineation in unilateral NPC could yield excellent long-term local control with limited out-of-field recurrences, reduced dose to tumor- contralateral organs and mild late toxicities, which is worthy of further exploration.

Effect of Induction Chemotherapy With Paclitaxel, Cisplatin, and Capecitabine vs Cisplatin and Fluorouracil on Failure-Free Survival for Patients With Stage IVA to IVB Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Multicenter Phase 3 Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Induction chemotherapy added to concurrent chemoradiotherapy significantly improves survival for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma, but the optimal induction regimen remains unclear. Objective: To determine whether induction chemotherapy with paclitaxel, cisplatin, and capecitabine (TPC) improves survival vs cisplatin and fluorouracil (PF) prior to chemoradiotherapy for patients with stage IVA to IVB nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Design, Setting, and Participants: This randomized, open-label, phase 3 clinical trial recruited 238 patients at 4 hospitals in China from October 20, 2016, to August 29, 2019. Patients were 18 to 65 years of age with treatment-naive, nonkeratinizing stage IVA to IVB nasopharyngeal carcinoma and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 to 1. Interventions: Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive induction chemotherapy with two 21-day cycles of TPC (intravenous paclitaxel [150 mg/m2, day 1], intravenous cisplatin [60 mg/m2, day 1], and oral capecitabine [1000 mg/m2 orally twice daily, days 1-14]) or PF (intravenous cisplatin [100 mg/m2, day 1] and fluorouracil [800 mg/m2 daily, days 1-5]), followed by chemoradiotherapy. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was failure-free survival in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary end points included distant metastasis-free survival, locoregional relapse-free survival, overall survival, tumor response, and safety. Results: Overall, 238 eligible patients (187 men [78.6%]; median age, 45 years [range, 18-65 years]) were randomly assigned to receive TPC (n = 118) or PF (n = 120). The median follow-up duration was 48.4 months (IQR, 39.6-53.3 months). Failure-free survival at 3 years was 83.5% (95% CI, 77.0%-90.6%) in the TPC group and 68.9% (95% CI, 61.1%-77.8%) in the PF group (stratified hazard ratio [HR] for recurrence or death, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.28-0.79; P = .004). Induction with the TPC regimen resulted in a significant reduction in the risk of distant metastases (stratified HR, 0.49 [95% CI, 0.24-0.98]; P = .04) and locoregional recurrence (stratified HR, 0.40 [95% CI, 0.18-0.93]; P = .03) compared with the PF regimen. However, there was no effect on early overall survival (stratified HR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.17-1.18]; P = .10). The incidences of grade 3 to 4 acute adverse events and late-onset toxicities were 57.6% (n = 68) and 13.6% (16 of 118), respectively, in the TPC group and 65.8% (n = 79) and 17.9% (21 of 117), respectively, in the PF group. One treatment-related death occurred in the PF group. Conclusions and Relevance: This randomized clinical trial found that induction chemotherapy with 2 cycles of TPC for patients with stage IVA to IVB nasopharyngeal carcinoma improved failure-free survival compared with 2 cycles of PF, with no increase in the toxicity profile. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02940925.

Effect of Capecitabine Maintenance Therapy Plus Best Supportive Care vs Best Supportive Care Alone on Progression-Free Survival Among Patients With Newly Diagnosed Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Who Had Received Induction Chemotherapy: A Phase 3 Randomized Clinical Trial.

IMPORTANCE: Capecitabine maintenance therapy improves survival outcomes in various cancer types, but data are limited on the efficacy and safety of capecitabine maintenance therapy in metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the efficacy and safety of capecitabine maintenance therapy in metastatic NPC. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This randomized phase 3 clinical trial was conducted at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from May 16, 2015, to January 9, 2020, among 104 patients with newly diagnosed metastatic NPC who had achieved disease control after 4 to 6 cycles of induction chemotherapy with paclitaxel, cisplatin, and capecitabine. The final follow-up date was May 30, 2021. All efficacy analyses were conducted in the intention-to-treat population. INTERVENTIONS: Eligible patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either capecitabine maintenance therapy (1000 mg/m2 orally twice daily on days 1-14) every 3 weeks plus best supportive care (BSC) (capecitabine maintenance group) or BSC alone after 4 to 6 cycles of induction chemotherapy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary end points were objective response rate, duration of response, overall survival, and safety. RESULTS: This study included 104 patients (84 men [80.8%]; median age, 47 years [IQR, 38-54 years]), with 52 assigned to the capecitabine maintenance group and 52 assigned to the BSC group. After a median follow-up of 33.8 months (IQR, 22.9-50.7 months), there were 23 events (44.2%) of progression or death in the capecitabine maintenance group and 37 events (71.2%) of progression or death in the BSC group. Median PFS survival was significantly higher in the capecitabine maintenance group (35.9 months [95% CI, 20.5 months-not reached]) than in the BSC group (8.2 months [95% CI, 6.4-10.0 months]), with a hazard ratio of 0.44 (95% CI, 0.26-0.74; P = .002). Higher objective response rates and longer median duration of response were observed in the capecitabine maintenance group (25.0%; 40.0 months) compared with the BSC group (objective response rate, 25.0% [n = 13] vs 11.5% [n = 6]; and median duration of response, 40.0 months [95% CI, not reached-not reached] vs 13.2 months [95% CI, 9.9-16.5 months]). The most common grade 3 or 4 adverse events during maintenance therapy were anemia (6 of 50 [12.0%]), hand-foot syndrome (5 of 50 [10.0%]), nausea and vomiting (3 of 50 [6.0%]), fatigue (2 of 50 [4.0%]), and mucositis (2 of 50 [4.0%]). No deaths in the maintenance group were deemed treatment-related. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this phase 3 randomized clinical trial, capecitabine maintenance therapy significantly improved PFS for patients with newly diagnosed metastatic NPC who achieved disease control after capecitabine-containing induction chemotherapy. Capecitabine exhibited manageable toxic effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02460419.

Deep learning radiomics of dual-energy computed tomography for predicting lymph node metastases of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: Diagnosis of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is critical for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We aimed to build deep learning radiomics (DLR) models of dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) to classify LNM status of PDAC and to stratify the overall survival before treatment. METHODS: From August 2016 to October 2020, 148 PDAC patients underwent regional lymph node dissection and scanned preoperatively DECT were enrolled. The virtual monoenergetic image at 40 keV was reconstructed from 100 and 150 keV of DECT. By setting January 1, 2021, as the cut-off date, 113 patients were assigned into the primary set, and 35 were in the test set. DLR models using VMI 40 keV, 100 keV, 150 keV, and 100 + 150 keV images were developed and compared. The best model was integrated with key clinical features selected by multivariate Cox regression analysis to achieve the most accurate prediction. RESULTS: DLR based on 100 + 150 keV DECT yields the best performance in predicting LNM status with the AUC of 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.85-0.89) in the test cohort. After integrating key clinical features (CT-reported T stage, LN status, glutamyl transpeptadase, and glucose), the AUC was improved to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.91-0.94). Patients at high risk of LNM portended significantly worse overall survival than those at low risk after surgery (P = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: The DLR model showed outstanding performance for predicting LNM in PADC and hold promise of improving clinical decision-making.

Assessment of Survival Model Performance Following Inclusion of Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Status in Conventional TNM Staging Groups in Epstein-Barr Virus-Related Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Importance: Nonanatomic prognostic factors complement the traditional anatomic staging system and could be incorporated into the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) framework. Several diseases have incorporated nonanatomic prognostic factors into the determination of TNM staging groups. Objective: To refine TNM staging groups for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) by incorporating EBV DNA status. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter prognostic study included patients with NPC treated with radiotherapy at 2 hospitals in China from January 2008 to December 2016. Progression-free survival and overall survival according to EBV DNA status and the TNM staging system were compared. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) combined with supervised clustering was applied to derive prognostic groupings, and then a refined RPA staging schema was developed, validated, and compared with existing staging schemes. Statistical analyses were conducted from October 1, 2020, to June 15, 2021. Exposures: Curative intensity-modulated radiotherapy with or without platinum-based chemotherapy. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was progression-free survival. The performance of the staging system was assessed using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and the TNM stage system's evaluation methodology. Results: A total of 2354 patients (1709 men [72.6%]; median [interquartile range] age, 45 [38-53] years) were split into training (1372 [58.3%]), internal validation (672 [28.5%]), and external validation (310 [13.2%]) cohorts. Pretreatment EBV DNA was detected in 1338 (56.8%) patients. EBV DNA status was an independent prognostic factor: lower survival probability by higher TNM stage was evident in EBV DNA-positive patients but not in those with EBV DNA-negative disease. After integrating EBV DNA status and TNM stage, nonmetastatic NPC cases were categorized into RPA-I (T1-3N0 or EBV DNA-negative T1-3N1 cancers), RPA-II (EBV DNA-positive T1-3N1-2 or EBV DNA-negative T1-3N2-3/T4N0-3 cancers), and RPA-III (EBV DNA-positive T4N0-3/T1-3N3 cancers) groups, each with distinctly different prognosis. This system of RPA staging outperformed the current TNM stage system and 2 reported RPA staging schemes. These results were internally and externally validated. Conclusions and Relevance: An RPA-based staging system for EBV-related NPC cases was associated with improved outcomes. This staging system may facilitate prognostic stratification and clinical trial designs.

Trajectories of EBV DNA and identifying the potential long-term survivors in metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is highly incident in southern China. Distant metastasis is the leading cause of death in NPC patients. However, the phenotypical feature of this patient population is largely undefined. The current study aimed to categorize metastatic NPC patients into novel subgroups based on their EBV DNA trajectories. In this retrospective study, 446 eligible patients with metastatic NPC treated at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center between 2012 and 2016 were analyzed. Using a mixture model analysis, we identified distinct trajectories based on longitudinal EBV DNA measurements. We evaluated their associations with metastatic NPC mortality using Cox regression analysis. The two-class trajectory model provided the best fit, in which 272 patients were classified as non-sustained EBV DNA class and 174 patients as sustained EBV DNA class. After a median follow-up of 60.8 months, the median OS was 61.7 months in the sustained EBV DNA clearance class versus 20.0 months in the non-sustained EBV DNA clearance class (P<0.001). Compared with patients in the non-sustained EBV DNA clearance class, patients in the sustained EBV DNA clearance class demonstrated superior PFS (HR, 3.238; 95% CI, 2.601-4.032; P<0.001). Forty-three patients experienced disease-free for longer than 36 months, defined as long-term survivors (LTS). Notably, 41 patients were presented in the sustained EBV DNA clearance class (95.3%), along with only 2 patients in the non-sustained EBV DNA clearance class. Collectively, we identified two EBV DNA trajectory sub-phenotypes of patients with metastatic NPC, providing more reliable survival information for physicians and patients during their informed decision-making process.

A Randomized Controlled Trial Comparing Two Different Schedules for Cisplatin Treatment in Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Cancer.

PURPOSE: Previous studies suggest that a cumulative cisplatin dose of 200 mg/m2 might be adequate in the intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) era for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). However, two cycles of once-every-3-weeks cisplatin at 100 mg/m2 has never been prospectively compared with standard once-a-week cisplatin regimen. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This trial was conducted at three hospitals from 2011 to 2016. Patients who met the eligibility criteria were recruited (ChiCTR-TRC-12001979) and randomly assigned (1:1) via a computer-generated sequence to receive once-every-3-weeks cisplatin at 100 mg/m2 for two cycles or once-a-week cisplatin at 40 mg/m2 for six cycles concurrently with IMRT. Primary endpoint was failure-free survival and between-group absolute difference of 10% as the noninferiority margin. RESULTS: A total of 510 patients were enrolled. Median follow-up time was 58.3 months with 85.4% of 3-year failure-free survival in the once-every-3-weeks group and 85.6% in the once-a-week group. An absolute difference of -0.2% (95% confidence interval, -6.3 to 5.9; P noninferiority = 0.0016). Acute toxicities of grade 3 or higher occurred in 55.8% in the once-every-3-weeks group and 66.3% in the once-a-week group (P = 0.015). The most common acute toxicities were hematologic abnormalities, including leukopenia (16% vs. 27%; P = 0.0022) and thrombocytopenia (1% vs. 5%; P = 0.015). The late grade 3-4 auditory loss rate was significantly lower in the once-every-3-weeks group than the once-a-week group (6% vs. 13%; P = 0.0039). CONCLUSIONS: Once-every-3-weeks cisplatin as concurrent chemoradiotherapy is noninferior to once-a-week cisplatin in the treatment efficacy in the LANPC. Although both regimens are well tolerated, severe acute toxicities and late-onset auditory loss are higher in the once-a-week group.

Prognostic and Predictive Value of Circulating Inflammation Signature in Non-Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Potential Role for Individualized Induction Chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: We sought to assess the prognostic and predictive value of a circulating inflammation signature (CISIG) and develop CISIG-based tools for predicting prognosis and guiding individualized induction chemotherapy (ICT) in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively collected a candidate inflammatory biomarker panel from patients with NPC treated with definitive radiotherapy between 2012 and 2017. We developed the CISIG using candidate biomarkers identified by a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model. The Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the CISIG prognostic value. A CISIG-based prediction model was constructed, validated, and assessed. Potential stratified ICT treatment effects were examined. RESULTS: A total of 1149 patients were analyzed. Nine biomarkers selected by LASSO regression in the training cohort were used to construct the CISIG, including hyaluronidase, laminin, procollagen III, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, high-density lipoprotein, lactate dehydrogenase, and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio. CISIG was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival (DFS; hazard ratio: 2.65, 95% confidence interval: 1.93-3.64; P < 0.001). High CISIG group (>-0.2) was associated with worse 3-year DFS than low CISIG group in both the training (67.5% vs 88.3%, P < 0.001) and validation cohorts (72.3% vs 85.1%, P < 0.001). We constructed and validated a CISIG-based nomogram, which showed better performance than the clinical stage and Epstein-Barr virus DNA classification methods. A significant interaction between CISIG and the ICT treatment effect was observed (P for interaction = 0.036). Patients with high CISIG values did not benefit from ICT, whereas patients with low CISIG values significantly benefited from ICT. CONCLUSION: The developed CISIG, based on a circulating inflammatory biomarker panel, adds prognostic information for patients with NPC. The proposed CISIG-based tools offer individualized risk estimation to facilitate suitable ICT candidate identification.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Associated Hepatotoxicity in Primary Liver Cancer Versus Other Cancers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Overall risks of hepatotoxicity with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have yet to be compared in primary liver cancers to other solid tumors. METHODS: We reviewed data from the PubMed, Embase, and Scopus databases, and assessed the risk of hepatotoxicity associated with ICIs. RESULTS: A total of 117 trials were eligible for the meta-analysis, including 7 trials with primary liver cancers. The most common hepatotoxicity was ALT elevation (incidence of all grade 5.29%, 95% CI 4.52-6.20) and AST elevation (incidence of all grade 5.88%, 95% CI 4.96-6.97). The incidence of all grade ALT and AST elevation was 6.01% and 6.84% for anti-PD-1 (95% CI 5.04-7.18/5.69-8.25) and 3.60% and 3.72% for anti-PD-L1 (95% CI 2.72-4.76/2.82-4.94; p< 0.001/p<0.001). The incidence of ≥ grade 3 ALT and AST elevation was 1.54% and 1.48% for anti-PD-1 (95% CI 1.19-1.58/1.07-2.04) and 1.03% and 1.08% for anti-PD-L1 (95% CI 0.71-1.51/0.80-1.45; p= 0.002/p<0.001). The incidence of all grade ALT and AST elevation was 13.3% and 14.2% in primary liver cancers (95% CI 11.1-16.0 and 9.93-20.36) vs. 4.92% and 5.38% in other solid tumors (95% CI 4.21-5.76 and 4.52-5.76 in other solid tumors; p <0.001/p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study indicates that anti-PD-1 is associated with a higher risk of all- and high-grade hepatotoxicity compared to anti-PD-L1, and primary liver cancers are associated with a higher risk of all- and high-grade hepatotoxicity compared to other solid tumors.

Induction chemotherapy with lobaplatin and fluorouracil versus cisplatin and fluorouracil followed by chemoradiotherapy in patients with stage III-IVB nasopharyngeal carcinoma: an open-label, non-inferiority, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Cisplatin-based induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy in the treatment of patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma has been recommended in the National Comprehensive Cancer Network Guidelines. However, cisplatin is associated with poor patient compliance and has notable side-effects. Lobaplatin, a third-generation platinum drug, has shown promising antitumour activity against several malignancies with less toxicity. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the efficacy of lobaplatin-based induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy over a cisplatin-based regimen in patients with locoregional, advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. METHODS: In this open-label, non-inferiority, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial done at five hospitals in China, patients aged 18-60 years with previously untreated, non-keratinising stage III-IVB nasopharyngeal carcinoma; Karnofsky performance-status score of at least 70; and adequate haematological, renal, and hepatic function were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenously either lobaplatin-based (lobaplatin 30 mg/m2 on days 1 and 22, and fluorouracil 800 mg/m2 on days 1-5 and 22-26 for two cycles) or cisplatin-based (cisplatin 100 mg/m2 on days 1 and 22, and fluorouracil 800 mg/m2 on days 1-5 and 22-26 for two cycles) induction chemotherapy, followed by concurrent lobaplatin-based (two cycles of intravenous lobaplatin 30 mg/m2 every 3 weeks plus intensity-modulated radiotherapy) or cisplatin-based (two cycles of intravenous cisplatin 100 mg/m2 every 3 weeks plus intensity-modulated radiotherapy) chemoradiotherapy. Total radiation doses of 68-70 Gy (for the sum of the volumes of the primary tumour and enlarged retropharyngeal nodes), 62-68 Gy (for the volume of clinically involved gross cervical lymph nodes), 60 Gy (for the high-risk target volume), and 54 Gy (for the low-risk target volume), were administered in 30-32 fractions, 5 days per week. Randomisation was done centrally at the clinical trial centre of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Centre by means of computer-generated random number allocation with a block design (block size of four) stratified according to disease stage and treatment centre. Treatment assignment was known to both clinicians and patients. The primary endpoint was 5-year progression-free survival, analysed in both the intention-to-treat and per-protocol populations. If the upper limit of the 95% CI for the difference in 5-year progression-free survival between the lobaplatin-based and cisplatin-based groups did not exceed 10%, non-inferiority was met. Adverse events were analysed in all patients who received at least one cycle of induction chemotherapy. This trial is registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR-TRC-13003285 and is closed. FINDINGS: From June 7, 2013, to June 16, 2015, 515 patients were assessed for eligibility and 502 patients were enrolled: 252 were randomly assigned to the lobaplatin-based group and 250 to the cisplatin-based group. After a median follow-up of 75·3 months (IQR 69·9-81·1) in the intention-to-treat population, 5-year progression-free survival was 75·0% (95% CI 69·7-80·3) in the lobaplatin-based group and 75·5% (70·0 to 81·0) in the cisplatin-based group (hazard ratio [HR] 0·98, 95% CI 0·69-1·39; log-rank p=0·92), with a difference of 0·5% (95% CI -7·1 to 8·1; pnon-inferiority=0·0070). In the per-protocol population, the 5-year progression-free survival was 74·8% (95% CI 69·3 to 80·3) in the lobaplatin-based group and 76·4% (70·9 to 81·9) in the cisplatin-based group (HR 1·04, 95% CI 0·73 to 1·49; log-rank p=0·83), with a difference of 1·6% (-6·1 to 9·3; pnon-inferiority=0·016). 63 (25%) of 252 patients in the lobaplatin-based group and 63 (25%) of 250 patients in the cisplatin-based group had a progression-free survival event in the intention-to-treat population; 62 (25%) of 246 patients in the lobaplatin-based group and 58 (25%) of 237 patients in the cisplatin-based group had a progression-free survival event in the per-protocol population. The most common grade 3-4 adverse events were mucositis (102 [41%] of 252 in the lobaplatin-based group vs 99 [40%] of 249 in the cisplatin-based group), leucopenia (39 [16%] vs 56 [23%]), and neutropenia (25 [10%] vs 59 [24%]). No treatment-related deaths were reported. INTERPRETATION: Lobaplatin-based induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy resulted in non-inferior survival and fewer toxic effects than cisplatin-based therapy. The results of our trial indicate that lobaplatin-based induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy might be a promising alternative regimen to cisplatin-based treatment in patients with locoregional, advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. FUNDING: National Science and Technology Pillar Program, International Cooperation Project of Science and Technology Program of Guangdong Province, Planned Science and Technology Project of Guangdong Province, and Cultivation Foundation for the Junior Teachers at Sun Yat-sen University. TRANSLATION: For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Benefit of chemotherapy in stage III nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Analysis of the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database.

OBJECTIVES: Chemoradiotherapy is the standard treatment for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We aimed to reveal factors associated with chemotherapy use and evaluate chemotherapy's benefit in patients with stage III NPC stratified by lymph node status. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Overall, 1452 patients with stage III NPC who underwent radiotherapy with (n = 1361) or without (n = 91) chemotherapy were identified in the SEER database. We examined predictors for chemotherapy use using logistic regression analysis. We compared all-cause mortality (ACM) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression and competing risk analyses were used to evaluate the benefit of chemotherapy. The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) approach was applied to reduce selection bias and adjust for competing risks. Subgroup analyses and interaction effects were explored. RESULTS: Factors including age, sex, insured status, tumor grade, and N category were associated with chemotherapy use. Chemotherapy was associated with decreased 5-year ACM (31.4% vs. 48.4%, p < 0.001) and CSM (25.5% vs. 35.8%; p = 0.017) in stage III NPC patients. The IPTW-adjusted hazard ratio for 5-year ACM was 0.57 (95% CI: 0.38-0.86, p = 0.008), whereas IPTW-adjusted sub-hazard ratio for 5-year CSM was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.42-0.93, p = 0.003). A significant interaction effect existed between lymph node status and treatment modality. Chemotherapy offered a significant survival benefit in node-positive stage III NPC. However, no chemotherapy benefit for the node-negative disease was observed. CONCLUSION: Chemotherapy adds survival benefit in stage III NPC, especially in patients with node-positive disease. The magnitude of chemotherapy benefit in node-negative stage III NPC warrants further investigation.