Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting the Disease Progression of Nonsevere Coronavirus Disease 2019.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The majority of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases are nonsevere, but severe cases have high mortality and need early detection and treatment. We aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the disease progression of nonsevere COVID-19 based on simple data that can be easily obtained even in primary medical institutions. METHODS: In this retrospective, multicenter cohort study, we extracted data from initial simple medical evaluations of 495 COVID-19 patients randomized (2:1) into a development cohort and a validation cohort. The progression of nonsevere COVID-19 was recorded as the primary outcome. We built a nomogram with the development cohort and tested its performance in the validation cohort. RESULTS: The nomogram was developed with the nine factors included in the final model. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram scoring system for predicting the progression of nonsevere COVID-19 into severe COVID-19 was 0.875 and 0.821 in the development cohort and validation cohort, respectively. The nomogram achieved a good concordance index for predicting the progression of nonsevere COVID-19 cases in the development and validation cohorts (concordance index of 0.875 in the development cohort and 0.821 in the validation cohort) and had well-fitted calibration curves showing good agreement between the estimates and the actual endpoint events. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed nomogram built with a simplified index might help to predict the progression of nonsevere COVID-19; thus, COVID-19 with a high risk of disease progression could be identified in time, allowing an appropriate therapeutic choice according to the potential disease severity.

Malignant Transformation of a Borderline Ovarian Tumor With Pulmonary and Pleural Metastases After Years of Latency: A Case Report and Literature Review.

Borderline ovarian tumor (BOT) refers to a distinct tumor of the ovary of epithelial origin and typically has a favorable prognosis. However, these tumors are not exempt from risks of recurrence and malignant transformation, which can arise from the remaining ovarian tissue, peritoneal implants, or distant localization. Here, we report a case of a mucinous BOT with multiple pulmonary cystic nodules without evidence of pulmonary metastasis even after two fine needle biopsies. Staging surgery was performed, and no evidence of peritoneal implants or invasion to adjacent organs found. At the end of the 7-year monitored follow-up after surgery, the pulmonary lesions were found to be increased in size. The transbronchial lung biopsy and pleural biopsy confirmed transformation into malignant mucinous adenocarcinoma with pleural metastasis. In the current case, we observed potential pulmonary metastasis of the BOT with malignant transformation and a latency as long as 7 years, which reminds us that multiple pulmonary cystic changes in patients with BOTs should be screened carefully to evaluate the pulmonary involvement of BOTs and potentially false-negative results after fine needle biopsy. Thus, a thorough check-up for complete staging of the disease and a close long-term follow-up to monitor potential recurrence and malignant transformation are advised.

Large Tracheocutaneous Fistula Successfully Treated With Bronchoscopic Intervention and Flap Grafting: A Case Report and Literature Review.

Tracheocutaneous fistula (TCF) is the most common related post-operative complication after tracheotomy. Treatments such as surgery and flap grafting are usually applied to close TCFs. We report a case of a large TCF with an area of ~3.0 cm × 1.0 cm. Here, we describe a relatively convenient approach for the management of a patient with a large TCF. In our treatment strategy, a coverd tracheal stent was used to cover the defect by bronchoscopy, the bronchial defect was closed with a local turnover flap, the structure was reinforced with biodegradable material (RapidSorb Plate 2.0), and then transplantation of a deltopectoral flap was performed. It is worth noting that the patency of the trachea was maintained during the whole surgery course. No recurrence or complications occurred after the 12-month follow-up. The large TCF was successfully treated with bronchoscopic intervention, biodegradable material and flap grafting, and without cartilage grafting.

Acute mediastinitis associated with tracheobronchial tuberculosis and aspergillosis: a case report and literature review.

Acute mediastinitis (AM) is a rare but life-threatening disease. Here, we report a case of AM secondary to endobronchial tuberculosis (EBTB) and pseudomembranous Aspergillus tracheobronchitis (PMATB) co-infection. EBTB was confirmed by tissue culture for Mycobacterium tuberculosis and GeneXpert MTB/RIF (Cepheid, Sunnyvale, CA, USA) detection (simultaneous detection of M. tuberculosis and resistance to rifampin) using endobronchial biopsies; PMATB was confirmed by histopathology. Even with antibiotic treatment and systemic support treatment, the patient died of massive hemoptysis on day 10 after admission. When immunocompromised hosts have AM, especially with central airway involvement, EBTB and aspergillosis should be considered potential causes. Bronchoscopy is helpful for rapid diagnosis and administering precise treatment.

Endobronchial Valves for the Treatment of Bronchopleural Fistula and Pneumothorax Caused by Pulmonary Cryptococcosis in an AIDS Patient.

Cryptococcal disease is an opportunistic infection that occurs primarily among people with advanced HIV disease and is an important cause of morbidity and mortality. Spontaneous pneumothorax (SP) is rare in acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis (PC), but when it occurs, rapid and effective treatment is crucial to the prognosis, with mortality rates varying from 30 to 60%. SP is related to pneumonia mainly due to bacterial infections and pneumocystic jirovecii pneumonia (PJP). However, SP caused by PC is rare. When it occurs, it is often fatal and refractory, which is a challenge both for patients and clinicians. Here, we report a case of SP during the treatment of cryptococcal disease in a patient with AIDS. The pneumothorax remained despite chest tube drainage and evolved into a bronchopleural fistula that was confirmed by the Chartis system. The pneumothorax was significantly resolved following the placement of 2 endobronchial valves (EBVs). The patient tolerated the procedure very well and the pneumothorax gradually resolved. When immunocompromised patients suffer from refractory pneumothorax or prolonged air leaks, EBV implantation may be a feasible and minimally invasive procedure for this vulnerable population.

Multiple extramedullary plasmacytomas of the trachea and pharyngeal tissue: a case report and literature review.

Extramedullary plasmacytoma (EMP) is an infrequent form of plasma cell dyscrasia that presents as a mass of monoclonal plasma cells located in extramedullary soft tissues with no skeletal component. EMP constitutes ~4% of all plasma cell neoplasms and occurs mostly in the upper respiratory tract. Here, we report a rare case of multiple EMPs involving the trachea, laryngopharynx, and oropharynx, which caused symptoms of airway obstruction as the only clinical manifestation. The patient was diagnosed by histopathology of the tissue from bronchoscopic resection and successfully managed with bronchoscopic intervention to treat lesions in the trachea and radiotherapy combined with surgical resection to treat lesions in the pharynx. There was no recurrence after 14 months of follow-up. Endoscopic intervention plays a key role in the rapid diagnosis and treatment of EMP involving the central airways.