Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modeling of maintenance therapy for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

In the treatment of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), current protocols combine initial high-dose multiagent chemotherapy with prolonged oral therapy with 6-mercaptopurine (6MP) and low-dose methotrexate (MTX) maintenance therapy. Decades of research on ALL treatment have resulted in survival rates of approximately 90%. However, dose-response relationships vary widely between patients and insight into the influencing factors, that would allow for improved personalized treatment management, is insufficient. We use a detailed data set with measurements of thioguanine nucleotides and MTX in red blood cells and absolute neutrophil count (ANC) to develop pharmacokinetic models for 6MP and MTX, as well as a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) model capable of predicting individual ANC levels and thus contributing to the development of personalized treatment strategies. Here, we show that integrating metabolite measurements in red blood cells into the full PKPD model improves results when less data is available, but that model predictions are comparable to those of a fixed pharmacokinetic model when data availability is not limited, providing further evidence of the quality of existing models. With this comprehensive model development leading to dynamics similar to simpler models, we validate the suitability of this model structure and provide a foundation for further exploration of maintenance therapy strategies through simulation and optimization.

Optimized and Personalized Phlebotomy Schedules for Patients Suffering From Polycythemia Vera.

Polycythemia vera (PV) is a slow-growing type of blood cancer, where the production of red blood cells (RBCs) increase considerably. The principal treatment for targeting the symptoms of PV is bloodletting (phlebotomy) at regular intervals based on data derived from blood counts and physician assessments based on experience. Model-based decision support can help to identify optimal and individualized phlebotomy schedules to improve the treatment success and reduce the number of phlebotomies and thus negative side effects of the therapy. We present an extension of a simple compartment model of the production of RBCs in adults to capture patients suffering from PV. We analyze the model's properties to show the plausibility of its assumptions. We complement this with numerical results using exemplary PV patient data. The model is then used to simulate the dynamics of the disease and to compute optimal treatment plans. We discuss heuristics and solution approaches for different settings, which include constraints arising in real-world applications, where the scheduling of phlebotomies depends on appointments between patients and treating physicians. We expect that this research can support personalized clinical decisions in cases of PV.