Machine Learning Models to Predict the Risk of Rapidly Progressive Kidney Disease and the Need for Nephrology Referral in Adult Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Early detection of rapidly progressive kidney disease is key to improving the renal outcome and reducing complications in adult patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We aimed to construct a 6-month machine learning (ML) predictive model for the risk of rapidly progressive kidney disease and the need for nephrology referral in adult patients with T2DM and an initial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. We extracted patients and medical features from the electronic medical records (EMR), and the cohort was divided into a training/validation and testing data set to develop and validate the models on the basis of three algorithms: logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). We also applied an ensemble approach using soft voting classifier to classify the referral group. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), precision, recall, and accuracy as the metrics to evaluate the performance. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values were used to evaluate the feature importance. The XGB model had higher accuracy and relatively higher precision in the referral group as compared with the LR and RF models, but LR and RF models had higher recall in the referral group. In general, the ensemble voting classifier had relatively higher accuracy, higher AUROC, and higher recall in the referral group as compared with the other three models. In addition, we found a more specific definition of the target improved the model performance in our study. In conclusion, we built a 6-month ML predictive model for the risk of rapidly progressive kidney disease. Early detection and then nephrology referral may facilitate appropriate management.

Artificial intelligence-aided diagnosis model for acute respiratory distress syndrome combining clinical data and chest radiographs.

Objective: The aim of this study was to develop an artificial intelligence-based model to detect the presence of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) using clinical data and chest X-ray (CXR) data. Method: The transfer learning method was used to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) model with an external image dataset to extract the image features. Then, the last layer of the model was fine-tuned to determine the probability of ARDS. The clinical data were trained using three machine learning algorithms-eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), random forest (RF), and logistic regression (LR)-to estimate the probability of ARDS. Finally, ensemble-weighted methods were proposed that combined the image model and the clinical data model to estimate the probability of ARDS. An analysis of the importance of clinical features was performed to explore the most important features in detecting ARDS. A gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) model was used to explain what our CNN sees and understands when making a decision. Results: The proposed ensemble-weighted methods improved the performances of the ARDS classifiers (XGB + CNN, area under the curve [AUC] = 0.916; RF + CNN, AUC = 0.920; LR + CNN, AUC = 0.920; XGB + RF + LR + CNN, AUC = 0.925). In addition, the ML model using clinical data to present the top 15 important features to identify the risk factors of ARDS. Conclusion: This study developed combined machine learning models with clinical data and CXR images to detect ARDS. According to the results of the Shapley Additive exPlanations values and the Grad-CAM techniques, an explicable ARDS diagnosis model is suitable for a real-life scenario.