Economic evaluation of camrelizumab plus rivoceranib versus sorafenib as first-line therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States and China.

BACKGROUND: Camrelizumab combined with rivoceranib has been proven effective for treating unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). However, their higher prices than sorafenib could impose a substantial economic burden on patients. AIM: This study aimed to evaluate the relative cost-effectiveness of the combination of camrelizumab and rivoceranib versus sorafenib as first-line therapy for patients with uHCC from the perspective of the US and Chinese payers. METHOD: Using data from the CARES-310 trial, a partitioned survival model (PSM) was developed, considering the perspectives of the US and Chinese payers. The model employed a 15-year time horizon and a biweekly cycle. Direct medical costs and utility data were collected from previous studies and open-access databases. Primary outcomes included quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Price simulations, sensitivity analyses, and subgroup analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The ICER for the US and China was $122,388.62/QALY and $30,410.56/QALY, respectively, falling below the willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds of $150,000/QALY for the US and $35,898.87/QALY for China. Price simulations indicated the cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab plus rivoceranib when the price of camrelizumab (200 mg) remained below $6275.19 in the US and $558.09 in China. The primary determinant of cost-effectiveness in both regions was the cost of camrelizumab. CONCLUSION: The combination of camrelizumab and rivoceranib is a cost-effective first-line therapy for uHCC in both the US and China. Lowering their prices could significantly influence their cost-effectiveness and accessibility to patients. These findings will guide clinicians in treating uHCC and help decision-makers formulate value-based drug pricing strategies.

Evaluating the impact of PD-1 inhibitor treatment on key health outcomes for cancer patients in China.

BACKGROUND: There is a lack of studies examining the influence of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitors on the health outcomes of cancer patients in China. AIM: This study aimed to evaluate prospective health outcomes associated with introducing PD-1 inhibitor treatment in China over five years. METHOD: We constructed a partitioned survival model to assess disparities in health outcomes over a 5-year time frame between two scenarios: one involving the availability of PD-1 inhibitor class with standard of care and the other involving standard of care alone. The impact on various health outcomes were assessed, including life years (LYs) gained, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, progression-free survival (PFS) years gained, the reduction in the number of grade 3-5 adverse events (AEs), and the improvement in objective remission rates (ORR). A sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the robustness and reliability of the model. RESULTS: From 2023 to 2027, the incorporation of PD-1 inhibitor class treatments was anticipated to yield substantial improvements in health outcomes, with an estimated increase of 1,336,332 LYs (+ 24.7%), 1,065,359 QALYs (+ 30.3%), and 1,177,564 PFS years (+ 57.4%) compared to standard of care alone. Simultaneously, the number of grade 3-5 AEs decreased by 334,976 (- 13.0%), and the ORR saw a 19.1% increase (+ 105.6%) relative to standard of care treatment alone. CONCLUSION: This study provides a analysis of the potential beneficial effects on health outcomes in the Chinese population after introducing PD-1 inhibitor class treatment. The findings suggest the PD-1 inhibitor class will significantly improve patient survival.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of serplulimab in combination with cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil chemotherapy compared to cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil chemotherapy as first-line treatment for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in China.

Background: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of serplulimab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone in treating advanced/metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) within the Chinese health care system. Methods: A partitioned survival model based on ASTRUM-007 trial patient characteristics was developed. Efficacy, safety, and medical/economic data were obtained from the trial and real-world clinical practice. Costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated for both treatment strategies. Sensitivity, subgroup, and scenario analyses were performed to assess the uncertainty impact. Results: Serplulimab combined with chemotherapy yielded an ICER of US$ 53,538.27/QALY. Deterministic sensitivity analysis identified patient survival and serplulimab price as influential parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed a 47.33% probability of cost-effectiveness at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of US$ 53,541/QALY and 0.05% at three times China's GDP per capita. Subgroup analysis revealed that patients with a programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression combined positive score (CPS) ⩾10 had a lower hazard ratio (0.59) and ICER (US$ 29,935.23/QALY), with a 95.36% probability of cost-effectiveness. Scenario analysis demonstrated that the drug donation discount policy significantly increased the likelihood of cost-effective serplulimab-chemotherapy combinations in Jiangsu, Fujian, and Guangdong at 99.99%, 99.90%, and 94.16%, respectively. Conclusion: Compared to chemotherapy alone, serplulimab combined with chemotherapy is currently not a cost-effective first-line treatment for advanced/metastatic ESCC in China. However, as serplulimab plus chemotherapy regimens evolve and price competition among programmed death 1 (PD-1) inhibitors intensifies, this combination may become a cost-effective treatment option.

Assessing Serplulimab's Value in Treating Advanced Esophageal Cancer in China In China, esophageal cancer patients often need chemotherapy due to late diagnosis. Serplulimab, an expensive new treatment, is not cost-effective when combined with chemotherapy for most patients. However, for specific patient groups with a PD-L1 expression CPS ⩾ 10, it is both effective and affordable. This finding helps health care leaders create better pricing strategies.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Tislelizumab Plus Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatment for Advanced or Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in China.

Background: Tislelizumab plus chemotherapy improved overall survival compared to chemotherapy alone, while maintaining an acceptable level of safety. But it's still unclear which strategy is the most cost-effective. The objective of the study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of tislelizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line therapy for patients with advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) versus chemotherapy alone. Methods: A partitioned survival model with three states was constructed based on the RATIONALE-306 trial. The model's time horizon was ten years, and its cycle was three weeks. Only direct medical costs were considered from the healthcare perspective in China. Calculations were performed on total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). One-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were performed to determine the uncertainty regarding model parameters. Results: Tislelizumab plus chemotherapy provided 1.35 QALYs for $26,450.77, while chemotherapy alone provided 0.89 QALY for $16,687.15. Compared to chemotherapy alone, tislelizumab had an ICER of $21,062.09/QALY. At the threshold of three times the Chinese GDP per capita ($38,253/QALY), the PSA indicated that tislelizumab had a 96.4% likelihood of being designated cost-effective. At the threshold of 1.5 times the Chinese GDP per capita ($19,126.5/QALY), the PSA indicated that tislelizumab had a probability of 48.7% of being designated cost-effective. Conclusion: Tislelizumab plus chemotherapy as the first treatment for patients with advanced or metastatic ESCC may be a cost-effective option compared to chemotherapy alone at 3 times Chinese GDP per capita.

How National Health Insurance Coverage Policy Affected the Use of Trastuzumab and Rituximab in China: A Bicentric Retrospective Study.

Background: Cancer is a significant health concern and is China's leading cause of mortality. Targeted therapies, such as trastuzumab and rituximab, have enhanced clinical treatment efficacy. However, their high costs burden patients and healthcare systems considerably. Patient demographic factors further influence the utilization of these expensive drugs. On September 1, 2017, China implemented the National Health Insurance Coverage (NHIC) policy, necessitating additional real-world evidence to assess its impact on patients. Methods: Data on human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer and CD20-positive non-Hodgkin B-cell lymphoma patients were gathered in Jiangsu Cancer Hospital and Fujian Cancer Hospital from September 2015 to August 2019, including demographic and clinical information. All eligible patients were divided into two groups. Univariate analysis and multivariable logistic regression were used to investigate the differences between subgroups. An interrupted time-series regression was used to examine the change in trastuzumab and rituximab utilization percentages. Results: Before and after the NHIC policy, utilization of trastuzumab increased from 61.13% to 75.10%, and the increase was statistically significant. Rituximab therapy increased statistically significantly from 64.79% to 74.88%. The key factor influencing trastuzumab and rituximab use was the NHIC policy. With policy implementation, medical insurance status, occupations, and cancer disease stage affected trastuzumab and rituximab use. Conclusion: The NHIC policy is essential to the utilization of trastuzumab and rituximab, and the patient's income level and repayment abilities continue to impact the use of innovative anti-cancer drugs. Appropriate steps, such as reducing the urban-rural gap and broadening medical insurance coverage, would enable more people to access novel anti-cancer drugs.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of toripalimab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for advanced non-small cell lung cancer in China.

Background: Toripalimab is the first domestic anti-tumor programmed death 1 antibody marketed in China. The CHOICE-01 trial (identifier: NCT03856411) demonstrated that toripalimab plus chemotherapy can significantly improve the clinical outcomes of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. However, whether it is cost-effective remains unknown. Given the high cost of combination therapy, a cost-effectiveness analysis of toripalimab plus chemotherapy (TC) versus chemotherapy alone (PC) for the first-line treatment of patients with advanced NSCLC is required. Methods: A partitioned survival model was adopted to predict the course of disease in advanced NSCLC patients on TC or PC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system over a 10-year horizon. The survival data were obtained from the CHOICE-01 clinical trial. Cost and utility values were obtained from local hospitals and kinds of literature. Based on these parameters, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of TC vs. PC was measured, and one-way sensitivity analyses, probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA), and scenario analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the model. Results: In the base case, TC was associated with an incremental cost of $18510 and an incremental quality-adjusted life year (QALY) of 0.57 compared with PC, resulting in an ICER of $32237/QALY which was lower than the willingness to pay (WTP) threshold ($37654/QALY), TC was cost-effective. The health utility value of progression-free survival, the price of toripalimab, and the cost of best supportive care were factors that significantly influenced the ICER, but no change in any of them could change the model result. TC showed a 90% probability of being a cost-effective option at a WTP threshold of $37,654/QALY. In the 20 and 30-year time horizons, the results remained unchanged and TC remained cost-effective when the second-line treatment was switched to docetaxel. Conclusion: At a WTP threshold of $37,654 per QALY, TC was cost-effective compared to PC for patients with advanced NSCLC in China.

Prognostic value of apparent diffusion coefficient in neuroendocrine carcinomas of the uterine cervix.

Objectives: This research was designed to examine the associations between the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values and clinicopathological parameters, and to explore the prognostic value of ADC values in predicting the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage and outcome of patients suffering from neuroendocrine carcinomas of the uterine cervix (NECCs). Methods: This retrospective study included 83 patients with NECCs, who had undergone pre-treatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) between November 2002 and June 2019. The median follow-up period was 50.7 months. Regions of interest (ROIs) were drawn manually by two radiologists. ADC values in the lesions were calculated using the Functool software. These values were compared between different clinicopathological parameters groups. The Kaplan-Meier approach was adopted to forecast survival rates. Prognostic factors were decided by the Cox regression method. Results: In the cohort of 83 patients, nine, 42, 23, and nine patients were in stage I, II, III, and IV, respectively. ADCmean, ADCmax, and ADCmin were greatly lower in stage IIB-IVB than in stage I-IIA tumours, as well as in tumours measuring ≥ 4 cm than in those < 4 cm. ADCmean, FIGO stage, and age at dianosis were independent prognostic variables for the 5-year overall survival (OS). ADCmin, FIGO stage, age at diagnosis and para-aortic lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic variables for the 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) in multivariate analysis. For surgically treated patients (n = 45), ADCmax was an independent prognostic parameter for both 5-year OS and 5-year PFS. Conclusions: ADCmean, ADCmin, and ADCmax are independent prognostic factors for NECCs. ADC analysis could be useful in predicting the survival outcomes in patients with NECCs.

Comparative cost-effectiveness of first-line pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy vs. chemotherapy alone in persistent, recurrent, or metastatic cervical cancer.

Background: Treating persistent, recurrent, or metastatic cervical cancer remains challenging. Although pembrolizumab, combined with chemotherapy and bevacizumab, offers a promising first-line option, its cost-effectiveness within the Chinese healthcare system has not been established. Methods: A partitioned survival model was constructed using patient data from the KEYNOTE-826 trial. Efficacy, safety, and economic data from both trial and real-world practices were utilized to determine the costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the treatment strategies. Comprehensive insights were gained through the sensitivity and subgroup analyses. Results: Over five years, the combination of pembrolizumab, chemotherapy, and bevacizumab offered an additional 1.18 QALYs compared to that provided by standard treatments. This regimen increased the costs by US$ 134,502.57, resulting in an ICER of US$ 114,275.67 per QALY, relative to traditional treatment costs. The ICER for the pembrolizumab regimen was further calibrated to be US$ 52,765.69 per QALY. Both ICER values surpassed China's established willingness-to-pay threshold. Importantly, subgroup analysis revealed enhanced cost-effectiveness in patients presenting with a programmed death-ligand 1 combined positive score (PD-L1 CPS) ≥10. Conclusion: Introducing pembrolizumab alongside chemotherapy and bevacizumab may not be a cost-effective primary strategy for advanced cervical cancer against current standards. However, for patients with a PD-L1 CPS ≥10, the therapeutic and economic outcomes could be improved by adjusting the pembrolizumab price.

Cost-Effectiveness of Nivolumab Immunotherapy vs. Paclitaxel or Docetaxel Chemotherapy as Second-Line Therapy in Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in China.

This study aimed to evaluate and compare nivolumab's cost-effectiveness with chemotherapy in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma from the Chinese healthcare system perspective. To this end, the researchers utilized a partitioned survival model with three mutually exclusive health stages. The characteristics of the patients used as inclusion and exclusion criteria in this model were the same as those used for patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in the ATTRACTION-3 study. The ATTRACTION-3 trial, which took place between January 7, 2016 and November 12, 2018, also yielded important clinical data. Data on medical and economic preferences were collected from real-world clinical practices. Costs, quality-adjusted life years, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were calculated for the two therapy options. The model uncertainty was investigated using a deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. When compared to chemotherapy, nivolumab was linked with an increase of 0.28 quality-adjusted life years with an increased cost of US$ 36,956.81 per patient in the base case analysis of a hypothetical sample of 419 patients. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio in the deterministic sensitivity analysis was US$ 132,029.46/quality-adjusted life year, with a 48.02% probability of being cost-effective at willingness-to-pay thresholds of US$ 132,029.22/quality-adjusted life year. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio remained greater than US$ 80,000/quality-adjusted life year in the deterministic sensitivity analyses. To be more cost-effective and remain below the threshold of 37,653 US$/quality-adjusted life year, which the Chinese population can afford, nivolumab's price would have to be lowered sharply by 53.50%. Nivolumab is clinically beneficial but not cost-effective when compared to chemotherapy. A substantial reduction in nivolumab's drug acquisition cost would be necessary to make it cost-effective for immunotherapy.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Camrelizumab Immunotherapy versus Docetaxel or Irinotecan Chemotherapy as Second-Line Therapy for Advanced or Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab immunotherapy versus docetaxel or irinotecan chemotherapy as second-line therapy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), which was evaluated in the ESCORT trial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A partitioned survival model was developed to reflect the costs and effectiveness of the ESCORT trial. The clinical efficacy data, safety data, and health-related costs and utilities were derived from published data from clinical trials or health administration departments in China. Adverse event-related costs, drug administration, and other expenses were derived from a single center of Fujian Medical University Cancer Hospital in 2021. All survival analyses were performed with SPSS software. Overall survival was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method, and progression-free survival was estimated with the life table method. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the uncertainty of the model. Incremental cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were calculated. RESULTS: Camrelizumab therapy had 0.232 QALYs at an incremental cost of USD$9959.44 compared with the chemotherapy group with 0.158 QALYs at an incremental cost of USD$8601.67. The ICER was USD$18393.12/QALY. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that when the willingness-to-pay threshold reached USD$31200/QALY, which is nearly three times the Chinese gross domestic product per capita, camrelizumab had an 80% possibility of being cost-effective versus docetaxel or irinotecan chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: Camrelizumab is a cost-effective option compared with docetaxel or irinotecan chemotherapy in patients with advanced ESCC as second-line therapy in China.