Exercise Systolic Blood Pressure Response During Cycle Ergometry is Associated with Future Hypertension in Normotensive Individuals.

AIMS: We aimed to investigate the association between the exercise systolic blood pressure (SBP) response and future hypertension (HTN) in normotensive individuals referred for cycle ergometry, with special regard to reference exercise SBP values, and exercise capacity. METHODS: In this longitudinal cohort study, data from 14,428 exercise tests were cross-linked with Swedish national registries on diagnoses and medications. We excluded individuals with a baseline diagnosis of cardiovascular disease or HTN. The peak exercise SBP (SBPpeak) was recorded and compared to the upper limit of normal (ULN) derived from SBPpeak reference equations incorporating age, sex, resting SBP and exercise capacity. To evaluate the impact of exercise capacity, three SBP to work rate slopes (SBP/W-slopes), were calculated, relative to either supine or seated SBP at rest or to the first exercise SBP. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRadjusted [95% Confidence interval, CI]) for incident HTN during follow-up, in relation to SBP response metrics, were calculated. RESULTS: We included 3,895 normotensive individuals (49±14 years, 45% females) with maximal cycle ergometer tests. During follow-up (median 7.5 years) 22% developed HTN. Higher SBPpeak and SBPpeak>ULN were associated with incident HTN (HRadjusted 1.19 [1.14-1.23] per 10 mmHg, and 1.95 [1.54-2.47], respectively). All three SBP/W-slopes were positively associated to incident HTN, particularly the SBP/W-slope calculated as supine-to-peak SBP (HRadjusted 1.25 [1.19-1.31] per 1 mmHg/10W). CONCLUSION: Both SBPpeak>ULN based on reference values and high SBP/W-slopes were associated with incident HTN in normotensive individuals and should be considered in the evaluation of the cycle ergometry SBP response.

We examined the systolic blood pressure response during maximal bicycle exercise testing in individuals without hypertension or established cardiovascular disease, and found that: When applying reference values for peak systolic blood pressure during cycling exercise, accounting for age, sex, resting blood pressure and exercise capacity, exceeding the upper limit of normal was associated with twice as high relative risk of future hypertension, compared to having a peak systolic blood pressure within normal limits. A steep increase in exercise blood pressure in relation to the increase in work rate was also associated with future hypertension but did not always coincide with elevated peak systolic blood pressure.

Echocardiographic estimation of pulmonary artery wedge pressure: invasive derivation, validation, and prognostic association beyond diastolic dysfunction grading.

AIMS: Grading of diastolic function can be useful, but indeterminate classifications are common. We aimed to invasively derive and validate a quantitative echocardiographic estimation of pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) and to compare its prognostic performance to diastolic dysfunction grading. METHODS AND RESULTS: Echocardiographic measures were used to derive an estimated PAWP (ePAWP) using multivariable linear regression in patients undergoing right heart catheterization (RHC). Prognostic associations were analysed in the National Echocardiography Database of Australia (NEDA). In patients who had undergone both RHC and echocardiography within 2 h (n = 90), ePAWP was derived using left atrial volume index, mitral peak early velocity (E), and pulmonary vein systolic velocity (S). In a separate external validation cohort (n = 53, simultaneous echocardiography and RHC), ePAWP showed good agreement with invasive PAWP (mean ± standard deviation difference 0.5 ± 5.0 mmHg) and good diagnostic accuracy for estimating PAWP >15 mmHg [area under the curve (95% confidence interval) 0.94 (0.88-1.00)]. Among patients in NEDA [n = 38,856, median (interquartile range) follow-up 4.8 (2.3-8.0) years, 2756 cardiovascular deaths], ePAWP was associated with cardiovascular death even after adjustment for age, sex, and diastolic dysfunction grading [hazard ratio (HR) 1.08 (1.07-1.09) per mmHg] and provided incremental prognostic information to diastolic dysfunction grading (improved C-statistic from 0.65 to 0.68, P < 0.001). Increased ePAWP was associated with worse prognosis across all grades of diastolic function [HR normal, 1.07 (1.06-1.09); indeterminate, 1.08 (1.07-1.09); abnormal, 1.08 (1.07-1.09), P < 0.001 for all]. CONCLUSION: Echocardiographic ePAWP is an easily acquired continuous variable with good accuracy that associates with prognosis beyond diastolic dysfunction grading.

Comparison of diagnostic accuracy of current left bundle branch block and ventricular pacing ECG criteria for detection of occlusion myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Electrocardiographic detection of patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) can be difficult in patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB) or ventricular paced rhythm (VPR) and several ECG criteria for the detection of OMI in LBBB/VPR exist. Most recently, the Barcelona criteria, which includes concordant ST deviation and discordant ST deviation in leads with low R/S amplitudes, showed superior diagnostic accuracy but has not been validated externally. We aimed to describe the diagnostic accuracy of four available ECG criteria for OMI detection in patients with LBBB/VPR at the emergency department. METHODS: The unweighted Sgarbossa criteria, the modified Sgarbossa criteria (MSC), the Barcelona criteria and the Selvester criteria were applied to chest pain patients with LBBB or VPR in a prospectively acquired database from five emergency departments. RESULTS: In total, 623 patients were included, among which 441 (71%) had LBBB and 182 (29%) had VPR. Among these, 82 (13%) patients were diagnosed with AMI, and an OMI was identified in 15 (2.4%) cases. Sensitivity/specificity of the original unweighted Sgarbossa criteria were 26.7/86.2%, for MSC 60.0/86.0%, for Barcelona criteria 53.3/82.2%, and for Selvester criteria 46.7/88.3%. In this setting with low prevalence of OMI, positive predictive values were low (Sgarbossa: 4.6%; MSC: 9.4%; Barcelona criteria: 6.9%; Selvester criteria: 9.0%) and negative predictive values were high (all >98.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggests that ECG criteria alone are insufficient in predicting presence of OMI in an ED setting with low prevalence of OMI, and the search for better rapid diagnostic instruments in this setting should continue.

Heart age gap estimated by explainable advanced electrocardiography is associated with cardiovascular risk factors and survival.

Aims: Deep neural network artificial intelligence (DNN-AI)-based Heart Age estimations have been presented and used to show that the difference between an electrocardiogram (ECG)-estimated Heart Age and chronological age is associated with prognosis. An accurate ECG Heart Age, without DNNs, has been developed using explainable advanced ECG (A-ECG) methods. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the explainable A-ECG Heart Age and compare its performance to a DNN-AI Heart Age. Methods and results: Both A-ECG and DNN-AI Heart Age were applied to patients who had undergone clinical cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging. The association between A-ECG or DNN-AI Heart Age Gap and cardiovascular risk factors was evaluated using logistic regression. The association between Heart Age Gaps and death or heart failure (HF) hospitalization was evaluated using Cox regression adjusted for clinical covariates/comorbidities. Among patients [n = 731, 103 (14.1%) deaths, 52 (7.1%) HF hospitalizations, median (interquartile range) follow-up 5.7 (4.7-6.7) years], A-ECG Heart Age Gap was associated with risk factors and outcomes [unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) (5 year increments): 1.23 (1.13-1.34) and adjusted HR 1.11 (1.01-1.22)]. DNN-AI Heart Age Gap was associated with risk factors and outcomes after adjustments [HR (5 year increments): 1.11 (1.01-1.21)], but not in unadjusted analyses [HR 1.00 (0.93-1.08)], making it less easily applicable in clinical practice. Conclusion: A-ECG Heart Age Gap is associated with cardiovascular risk factors and HF hospitalization or death. Explainable A-ECG Heart Age Gap has the potential for improving clinical adoption and prognostic performance compared with existing DNN-AI-type methods.

Noninvasive Imaging Methods for Quantification of Pulmonary Edema and Congestion: A Systematic Review.

Quantification of pulmonary edema and congestion is important to guide diagnosis and risk stratification, and to objectively evaluate new therapies in heart failure. Herein, we review the validation, diagnostic performance, and clinical utility of noninvasive imaging modalities in this setting, including chest x-ray, lung ultrasound (LUS), computed tomography (CT), nuclear medicine imaging methods (positron emission tomography [PET], single photon emission CT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). LUS is a clinically useful bedside modality, and fully quantitative methods (CT, MRI, PET) are likely to be important contributors to a more accurate and precise evaluation of new heart failure therapies and for clinical use in conjunction with cardiac imaging. There are only a limited number of studies evaluating pulmonary congestion during stress. Taken together, noninvasive imaging of pulmonary congestion provides utility for both clinical and research assessment, and continued refinement of methodologic accuracy, validation, and workflow has the potential to increase broader clinical adoption.

Immediate recruitment of dormant coronary collaterals can provide more than half of normal resting perfusion during coronary occlusion in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Dormant coronary collaterals are highly prevalent and clinically beneficial in cases of coronary occlusion. However, the magnitude of myocardial perfusion provided by immediate coronary collateral recruitment during acute occlusion is unknown. We aimed to quantify collateral myocardial perfusion during balloon occlusion in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: Patients without angiographically visible collaterals undergoing elective percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) to a single epicardial vessel underwent two scans with 99mTc-sestamibi myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT). All subjects underwent at least three minutes of angiographically verified complete balloon occlusion, at which time an intravenous injection of the radiotracer was administered, followed by SPECT imaging. A second radiotracer injection followed by SPECT imaging was performed 24 h after PTCA. RESULTS: The study included 22 patients (median [interquartile range] age 68 [54-72] years. The perfusion defect extent was 19 [11-38] % of the LV, and the collateral perfusion at rest was 64 [58-67]% of normal. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to describe the magnitude of short-term changes in coronary microvascular collateral perfusion in patients with CAD. On average, despite coronary occlusion and an absence of angiographically visible collateral vessels, collaterals provided more than half of the normal perfusion.

Prognostic value of peak work rate indexed by left ventricular diameter.

Left ventricular diameter (LVEDD) increases with systematic endurance training but also in various cardiac diseases. High exercise capacity associates with favorable outcomes. We hypothesized that peak work rate (Wpeak) indexed to LVEDD would carry prognostic information and aimed to evaluate the association between Wpeak/LVEDDrest and cardiovascular mortality. Wpeak/LVEDDrest (W/mm) was calculated in patients with an echocardiographic examination within 3 months of a maximal cycle ergometer exercise test. Low Wpeak/LVEDDrest was defined as a value below the sex- and age-specific 5th percentile among lower-risk subjects. The association with cardiovascular mortality was evaluated using Cox regression. In total, 3083 patients were included (8.0 [5.4-11.1] years of follow-up, 249 (8%) cardiovascular deaths). Wpeak/LVEDDrest (W/mm) was associated with cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.28 [0.22-0.36]), similar to Wpeak in % of predicted, with identical prognostic strength when adjusted for age and sex (C-statistics 0.87 for both). A combination of low Wpeak/LVEDDrest and low Wpeak was associated with a particularly poor prognosis (adjusted HR 6.4 [4.0-10.3]). Wpeak/LVEDDrest was associated with cardiovascular mortality but did not provide incremental prognostic value to Wpeak alone. The combination of a low Wpeak/LVEDDrest and low Wpeak was associated with a particularly poor prognosis.

Reference equations for breathlessness during incremental cycle exercise testing.

Background: Exertional breathlessness is commonly assessed using incremental exercise testing (IET), but reference equations for breathlessness responses are lacking. We aimed to develop reference equations for breathlessness intensity during IET. Methods: A retrospective, consecutive cohort study of adults undergoing IET was carried out in Sweden. Exclusion criteria included cardiac or respiratory disease, death or any of the aforementioned diagnoses within 1 year of the IET, morbid obesity, abnormally low exercise capacity, submaximal exertion or an abnormal exercise test. Probabilities for breathlessness intensity ratings (Borg CR10) during IET in relation to power output (%predWmax), age, sex, height and body mass were analysed using marginal ordinal logistic regression. Reference equations for males and females were derived to predict the upper limit of normal (ULN) and the probability of different Borg CR10 intensity ratings. Results: 2581 participants (43% female) aged 18-90 years were included. Mean breathlessness intensity was similar between sexes at peak exertion (6.7±1.5 versus 6.4±1.5 Borg CR10 units) and throughout exercise in relation to %predWmax. Final reference equations included age, height and %predWmax for males, whereas height was not included for females. The models showed a close fit to observed breathlessness intensity ratings across %predWmax values. Models using absolute W did not show superior fit. Scripts are provided for calculating the probability for different breathlessness intensity ratings and the ULN by %predWmax throughout IET. Conclusion: We present the first reference equations for interpreting breathlessness intensity during incremental cycle exercise testing in males and females aged 18-90 years.

Heart age estimated using explainable advanced electrocardiography.

Electrocardiographic (ECG) Heart Age conveying cardiovascular risk has been estimated by both Bayesian and artificial intelligence approaches. We hypothesised that explainable measures from the 10-s 12-lead ECG could successfully predict Bayesian 5-min ECG Heart Age. Advanced analysis was performed on ECGs from healthy subjects and patients with cardiovascular risk or proven heart disease. Regression models were used to predict patients' Bayesian 5-min ECG Heart Ages from their standard, resting 10-s 12-lead ECGs. The difference between 5-min and 10-s ECG Heart Ages were analyzed, as were the differences between 10-s ECG Heart Age and the chronological age (the Heart Age Gap). In total, 2,771 subjects were included (n = 1682 healthy volunteers, n = 305 with cardiovascular risk factors, n = 784 with cardiovascular disease). Overall, 10-s Heart Age showed strong agreement with the 5-min Heart Age (R2 = 0.94, p < 0.001, mean ± SD bias 0.0 ± 5.1 years). The Heart Age Gap was 0.0 ± 5.7 years in healthy individuals, 7.4 ± 7.3 years in subjects with cardiovascular risk factors (p < 0.001), and 14.3 ± 9.2 years in patients with cardiovascular disease (p < 0.001). Heart Age can be accurately estimated from a 10-s 12-lead ECG in a transparent and explainable fashion based on known ECG measures, without deep neural network-type artificial intelligence techniques. The Heart Age Gap increases markedly with cardiovascular risk and disease.

Prognostic implications of structural heart disease and premature ventricular contractions in recovery of exercise.

Premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) during recovery of exercise stress testing are associated with increased cardiovascular mortality, but the cause remains unknown. We aimed to evaluate the association of PVCs during recovery with echocardiographic abnormalities, and their combined prognostic performance. Echocardiographic abnormalities [reduced left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, valvular heart disease, LV dilatation, LV hypertrophy, or increased filling pressures] and PVCs during recovery were identified among patients having undergone both echocardiography and exercise stress test. Among included patients (n = 3106, age 59 ± 16 years, 55% males), PVCs during recovery were found in 1327 (43%) patients, among which the prevalence of echocardiographic abnormalities was increased (58% vs. 43%, p < 0.001). Overall, PVCs during recovery were associated with increased cardiovascular mortality (219 total events, 7.9 [5.4-11.1] years follow-up; adjusted hazard ratio (HR [95% confidence interval]) 1.6 [1.2-2.1], p < 0.001). When analyzed in combination with either presence or absence of echocardiographic abnormalities, PVCs during recovery were associated with increased risk when such were present (HR 3.3 [1.9-5.5], p < 0.001) but not when absent (HR 1.5 [0.8-2.8], p = 0.22), in reference to those with neither. Our findings provide mechanistic insights to the increased CV risk reported in patients with PVCs during recovery.

Peak exercise SBP and future risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the risk of all-cause mortality and incident cardiovascular disease associated with peak systolic blood pressure (PeakSBP) at clinical exercise testing. METHODS: Data from 10 096 clinical exercise tests (54% men, age 18-85 years) was cross-linked with outcome data from national registries. PeakSBP was compared with recently published reference percentiles as well as expressed as percentage predicted PeakSBP using reference equations.Natural cubic spline modelling and Cox regression were used to analyse data stratified by sex and baseline cardiovascular risk profile. RESULTS: Median [IQR] follow-up times were 7.9 [5.7] years (all-cause mortality) and 5.6 [5.9] years (incident cardiovascular disease), respectively. The adjusted risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval (95% CI)] for individuals with PeakSBP below the 10th percentile was 2.00 (1.59-2.52) in men and 2.60 (1.97-3.44) in women, compared with individuals within the 10th--90th percentile. The corresponding risk for incident cardiovascular disease was 1.55 (1.28-1.89, men) and 1.34 (1.05-1.71, women). For males in the upper 90th percentile, compared with individuals within the 10th--90th percentile, the adjusted risks of all-cause death and incident cardiovascular disease were 0.35 (0.22-0.54) and 0.72 (0.57-0.92), respectively, while not statistically significant in women. Spline modelling revealed a continuous increase in risk with PeakSBP values less than 100% of predicted in both sexes, with no increase in risk more than 100% of predicted. CONCLUSION: Low, but not high, PeakSBP was associated with an increased risk of mortality and future cardiovascular disease. Using reference standards for PeakSBP could facilitate clinical risk stratification across patients of varying sex, age and exercise capacity.

Age- and gender-specific upper limits and reference equations for workload-indexed systolic blood pressure response during bicycle ergometry.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend considering workload in interpretation of the systolic blood pressure (SBP) response to exercise, but reference values are lacking. DESIGN: This was a retrospective, consecutive cohort study. METHODS: From 12,976 subjects aged 18-85 years who performed a bicycle ergometer exercise test at one centre in Sweden during the years 2005-2016, we excluded those with prevalent cardiovascular disease, comorbidities, cardiac risk factors or medications. We extracted SBP, heart rate and workload (watt) from ≥ 3 time points from each test. The SBP/watt-slope and the SBP/watt-ratio at peak exercise were calculated. Age- and sex-specific mean values, standard deviations and 90th and 95th percentiles were determined. Reference equations for workload-indexed and peak SBP were derived using multiple linear regression analysis, including sex, age, workload, SBP at rest and anthropometric variables as predictors. RESULTS: A final sample of 3839 healthy subjects (n = 1620 female) were included. While females had lower mean peak SBP than males (188 ± 24 vs 202 ± 22 mmHg, p < 0.001), workload-indexed SBP measures were markedly higher in females; SBP/watt-slope: 0.52 ± 0.21 versus 0.41 ± 0.15 mmHg/watt (p < 0.001); peak SBP/watt-ratio: 1.35 ± 0.34 versus 0.90 ± 0.21 mmHg/watt (p < 0.001). Age, sex, exercise capacity, resting SBP and height were significant predictors of the workload-indexed SBP parameters and were included in the reference equations. CONCLUSIONS: These novel reference values can aid clinicians and exercise physiologists in interpreting the SBP response to exercise and may provide a basis for future research on the prognostic impact of exercise SBP. In females, a markedly higher SBP in relation to workload could imply a greater peripheral vascular resistance during exercise than in males.

The Prevalence of Advanced Interatrial Block and Its Relationship to Left Atrial Function in Patients with Transthyretin Cardiac Amyloidosis.

BACKGROUND: Advanced interatrial block (aIAB), which is associated with incident atrial fibrillation and stroke, occurs in the setting of blocked interatrial conduction. Atrial amyloid deposition could be a possible substrate for reduced interatrial conduction, but the prevalence of aIAB in patients with transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR-CA) is unknown. We aimed to describe the prevalence of aIAB and its relationship to left atrial function in patients with ATTR-CA in comparison to patients with HF and left ventricular hypertrophy but no CA. METHODS: The presence of aIAB was investigated among 75 patients (49 patients with ATTR-CA and 26 with HF but no CA). A comprehensive echocardiographic investigation was performed in all patients, including left atrial strain and strain rate measurements. RESULTS: Among patients with ATTR-CA, 27% had aIAB and in patients with HF but no CA, this figure was 21%, (p = 0.78). The presence of aIAB was associated with a low strain rate during atrial contraction (<0.91 s-1) (OR: 5.2 (1.4-19.9)), even after adjusting for age and LAVi (OR: 4.5 (1.0-19.19)). CONCLUSIONS: Advanced interatrial block is common among patients with ATTR-CA, as well as in patients with heart failure and left ventricular hypertrophy but no CA. aIAB is associated with reduced left atrial contractile function.

Typical angina during exercise stress testing improves the prediction of future acute coronary syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: The prognostic value of angina during exercise stress testing is controversial, possibly due to previous studies not differentiating typical from non-typical angina. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of typical angina alone, or in combination with ST depression, during exercise stress testing for predicting cardiovascular events. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational cohort study including all patients who performed a clinical exercise stress test at the department of Clinical Physiology, Kalmar County Hospital between 2005 and 2012. The association between typical angina/ST depression and incident acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and cardiovascular mortality were analysed using Cox regression for long-term and 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: Out of 11605 patients (median follow-up 6.7 years), 623 (5.4%) developed ACS and 319 (2.7%) died from cardiovascular causes. Compared to patients with no angina and no ST depression, typical angina and ST depression were associated with increased risk of future ACS; hazard ratio (HR) 3.5 ([95%CI] 2.6-4.7). This association was even stronger for ACS within one year (typical angina with and without concomitant ST depression; HR 20.8 (13.9-31.3) and 9.7 (6.1-15.4), respectively). Concordance statistics for ST depression in predicting ACS during long-term follow-up was 0.58 (0.56-0.60) and 0.69 (0.65-0.73) for ACS within one year, and 0.64 (0.62-0.66) and 0.77 (0.73-0.81), respectively, when typical angina was added to the model. CONCLUSIONS: Typical angina during exercise stress testing is predictive of future ACS, especially in combination with ST depression, and during the first year after the test.