Child-Pugh versus MELD score in predicting survival in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt.

BACKGROUND: In patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), prognostic scores may identify those with a poor prognosis or even those with a clear survival benefit. The Child-Pugh score (CPS) is well established but several drawbacks have led to development of the model of end stage liver disease (MELD). AIM: The aim of the study was to compare the predictive power of CPS and MELD, to validate the original MELD formula, and to assess the predictive value of the determinants used in the two prognostic scores outside of a study setting. PATIENTS: A total of 501 patients underwent elective TIPS placement and 475 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. METHODS: Data of all patients undergoing elective TIPS in one university hospital and four community hospitals in Vienna, Austria, between 1991 and 2001, were analysed retrospectively. The main statistical tests were Cox proportional hazards regression model, the log rank test, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and concordance c statistics. RESULTS: Median follow up was 5.2 years and median survival was 4.6 years. During follow up, 230 patients died, 75 within three months after TIPS placement. In stepwise proportional hazards analyses, independent predictors of death were creatinine level, bilirubin level, age, and refractory ascites. MELD was better in predicting survival in a stepwise Cox model but both scores were equally predictive in c statistics for one month, three month, and one year survival. Renal function was the strongest independent predictor of survival. CONCLUSIONS: Although MELD was the primary predictor of overall survival in multivariate analysis, c statistics showed that both scores can be used for patients undergoing TIPS with equal accuracy. For assessing prognosis in patients undergoing TIPS implantation, there seems little reason to replace the well established Child-Pugh score.

Molecular monitoring of the tumor load predicts progressive disease in patients with multiple myeloma after high-dose therapy with autologous peripheral blood stem cell transplantation.

The clinical relevance of the assessment of minimal residual disease (MRD) in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) to predict disease recurrence has not been proven. In the present study, we retrospectively analyzed the tumor load in peripheral blood (PB) and bone marrow (BM) samples of 13 patients with MM both in remission after high-dose therapy (HDT) with autologous PBSC transplantation (PBSCT) and at the time of progressive disease (PD). For six patients, subsequent samples obtained in remission could be included in the study. Tumor cells were assessed by means of quantitative PCR with allele-specific oligonucleotides (ASO-qPCR) based on the method of limiting dilutions. PD was documented with ASO-qPCR in BM samples (median concentration of tumor cells in remission vs at PD: 0.18% vs 4.6%) representing a significant increase by a median factor of 8.7. In PB, the median tumor load was 799 cells/ml in remission and 23 400 cells/ml at PD. With a median factor of 45, the increase was much more pronounced. Comparing the results of the molecular monitoring in PB with those of the determination of the monoclonal protein, routinely applied as parameter for the course of the disease, revealed a superiority of the molecular monitoring because of the significantly higher increase in the tumor load. Analyzing the subsequent remission samples showed an increase of the malignant cells in four out of six PB samples and in all four BM samples available, indicating the potential of ASO-qPCR for an early PD recognition.

Thrombopoietic cytokines and reversal of thrombocytopenia after liver transplantation.

OBJECTIVES: Thrombopoietin (TPO), the key regulator of platelet production, is mainly produced by the liver and reduced expression of TPO could cause thrombocytopenia in liver cirrhosis. Reversal of thrombocytopenia by orthotopic liver transplantation seems to be mediated through an increase in TPO plasma levels after transplantation, but other cytokines with thrombopoietic activity could augment the actions of TPO on post transplant platelet recovery. DESIGN: Measurement of thrombopoietic cytokines before and for 14 days post liver transplantation in a cohort of thrombocytopenic liver transplant patients. METHODS: TPO, interleukin-3 (IL-3), IL-6, and IL-11 plasma levels as well as peripheral platelet count were analysed in thrombocytopenic patients with liver disease undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation (17 patients) and followed for 14 days after the intervention. RESULTS: Before liver transplantation, TPO plasma levels were undetectable and IL-3, IL-6, and IL-11 levels were normal. Sixteen out of 17 patients showed a significant rise of TPO levels within 2 days after transplantation, with a peak between days 4 and 6, while IL-3 and IL-6 levels did not show a significant rise. IL-11 levels remained normal. Platelet counts were significantly higher than pretransplantation levels by day 14 post transplantation. CONCLUSION: Restitution of normal TPO production by liver replacement seems to be of key importance for reversal of thrombocytopenia in liver disease. The early acting thrombopoietic factor IL-3 and the late acting factors IL-6 and IL-11 do not play a major role for recovery of peripheral platelet count after orthotopic liver transplantation.

Preoperative TNM-classification is a better prognostic indicator for recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation than albumin mRNA in peripheral blood. Liver Transplant Oncology Group.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Survival after orthotopic liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma is limited by a high rate of tumor recurrence. A polymerase chain reaction assay based on the detection of albumin mRNA expression in peripheral blood for detection of hematogenous micrometastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma has been described, which may help to select candidates for orthotopic liver transplantation. METHODS: The prognostic value of a highly sensitive nested reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction assay was evaluated in comparison with the TNM-classification of the International Union against Cancer in a population of liver transplant candidates. RESULTS: Eighty patients with liver disease and 42 control patients were evaluated. Six of 21 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and 11 of 59 patients with other diseases of the liver were positive for albumin reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction, making this assay an indicator of ongoing liver damage without absolute specificity for hepatocellular carcinoma. Twelve patients with hepatoma were followed after liver transplantation and seven of those patients had a tumor recurrence within 12 months. Six of these patients with recurrence had International Union against Cancer stage IV A tumors preoperatively, while only one of them was positive for albumin reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction before transplantation. Only one patient with a stage I to III tumor had a recurrence within 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Detection of albumin mRNA in peripheral blood by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction seems to be an unreliable marker for assessing hematogenous spread of hepatocellular carcinoma. With International Union against Cancer stage IV A being a much better predictor of tumor recurrence, the practical value of albumin mRNA reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction for patient selection in liver transplant candidates seems to be very limited.

Is inadequate thrombopoietin production a major cause of thrombocytopenia in cirrhosis of the liver?

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Thrombocytopenia secondary to cirrhosis of the liver and portal hypertension is a well-known complication of advanced stage liver disease, but theories about the underlying pathogenetic mechanisms, mostly centering on splenic sequestration and destruction of platelets, have failed to solve the problem so far. METHODS: Peripheral platelet count and thrombopoietin levels in human plasma were measured in 28 patients with cirrhosis of the liver. Seven of those patients underwent orthotopic liver transplantation and five patients portal decompression by transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. Thrombopoietin plasma levels were followed for 14 days after the interventions. RESULTS: No measurable thrombopoietin was detectable in the plasma of 28 thrombocytopenic patients with cirrhosis of the liver, in contrast to thrombocytopenic patients without liver disease. Seven of these patients with cirrhosis underwent orthotopic liver transplantation, resulting in a rise of thrombopoietin levels within 2 days after transplantation. The rise in platelet number followed with a mean lag of 6 days, and shortly thereafter, thrombopoietin levels returned to levels below the limit of detection. Five patients with thrombocytopenia, who underwent only decompression of portal hypertension, showed no rise in either thrombopoietin levels or platelet count. CONCLUSIONS: Thrombocytopenia associated with liver disease may at least in part be attributable to inadequate thrombopoietin production in the failing liver.

Non-market economies in health. Introduction.

This paper introduces analyses of the state of health and of the health-care system in four Eastern European countries. The analyses focus on the issue of inequality in countries which share many characteristics including non-market economies, rapid urbanization and industrialization, and health systems which formally aim to provide equal access and treatment to all citizens. The measurement of social inequality in a non-market economy dominated by the state economy cannot be based on traditional class divisions; nor is income a good indicator of class position, salaries for professional and non-manual workers being lower than the average. Major relevant variables for which data are available are occupation, educational level and area of residence. Despite many system similarities the countries differ sharply in the level of resources devoted to health care and in health status based on mortality rates.

The Polish country profile: economic crisis and inequalities in health.

Class position based on educational level is strongly associated with health status in Poland. Whilst infant mortality continues to fall, life expectancy at age 45 is lower particularly for males. Cause of death analysis shows a steady but slow fall in poverty-type diseases and a big increase in deaths from circulatory diseases and malignant neoplasms. Multiple regression analyses suggest that the main causal factors in inequality result from economic failure, differences in living conditions and lifestyles rather than from the evident inefficiencies in the health-care system itself. But there are significant inequalities in access to health care and especially to quality care.

International comparative analysis: main findings and conclusions.

This paper compares the experience of health and inequality reviewed in the Bulgarian, Hungarian, Polish and Soviet profiles. With health systems very similar in formal organization and stated aims, health status based on death rates has followed very similar tendencies in each country. Sharp post-war falls in infant death slowed down from the 60s onwards, but continued to fall. Life expectancy also increased but again from the late 60s began to fall, particularly for middle-aged men. Inequalities in health-care provision and access have been paralleled by inequalities in health outcome between areas and socio-economic groups. Comparative analysis, however, suggests that the dysfunctions of the health system have only been contributing factors to more fundamental causes stemming from socio-economic conditions, cultural and collective behaviour and the priorities of the political and economic system. Written before the transforming political events of late 1989, the reviews emphasise the need for change and a search for more effective and equitable systems and policies.

Skin thickness and collagen content in progressive systemic sclerosis and localized scleroderma.

Skin biopsies of uniform location and surface area (7 mm diameter) were obtained from the extensor aspect of the forearm of 147 patients with progressive systemic sclerosis (PSS) (107 with diffuse scleroderma, 40 with the CREST syndrome variant) and 58 individuals with normal skin. After careful removal of all subcutaneous fatty tissue, the skin cores were weighed and their water and hydroxyproline content determined. Despite recent claims to the contrary, it was found that there is a marked and highly significant increase in the thickness of the skin during the indurative phase of PSS, and that this is associated with a proportionate increase in total dermal collagen content. A similar degree of thickening was found in the skin of patients with eosinophilic fasciitis and acromegaly. A close correlation was observed between clinical estimation of the degree of skin thickening and the weight of the skin biopsy cores. Change in the weight of skin cores was observed during the course of illness of the patients with PSS and may serve as a useful measurement of alteration in the degree of skin thickening.