ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Pretreatment stratification tools can help in clinical decision making in prostate cancer. To date, none incorporates well-established routinely reported adverse prognostic pathologic features such as intraductal carcinoma of prostate (IDC) or cribriform pattern 4 (CC). OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of addition of CC and/or IDC on the Cancer of Prostate Risk Assessment (CAPRA) and National Cancer Comprehensive Network (NCCN) tools for predicting biochemical recurrence free survival (BCR-FS) and event-free survival (EFS) across multiple patient cohorts. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Matched prostate biopsies and radical prostatectomies from institutions in Toronto, Wisconsin and Rotterdam. The presence/absence of CC/IDC was recorded on all biopsies. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Relationship to outcome was assessed using Cox proportional hazard models, ANOVA and Harrell's concordance index. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: We included 1326 patients (Toronto- 612, Wisconsin- 542, Rotterdam- 172) with median follow up of 4.2 years (IQR 2.9-6.4 years); 306 (23.1%) had CC/IDC on biopsy with 207 (20.9%) BCR and 154 (11.6%) events (metastases/death). Addition of CC/IDC improved stratification in CAPRA scores 3 to 5 for BCR-FS (c-index increase 0.633-0.658, P < .001) and scores 6-10 for EFS (c-index increase 0.653-0.697, P < .001). For NCCN, all risk groups apart from score 1 to 2 showed improvement in BCR-FS (c-index increase 0.599-0.636, P < 0.001) and EFS prediction (c-index increase 0.648-0.697, P < .001). Sub-analysis of grade group (GG) 2 biopsies showed similar findings. The retrospective nature and inclusion of cases only reported by genitourinary pathologists are study limitations. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical benefit of the addition of CC/IDC to both CAPRA and NCCN pretreatment tools was validated in 3 cohorts, including the subset of biopsy GG2 prostate cancer patients. PATIENT SUMMARY: Including additional pathologic features to existing pretreatment, clinical decision making tools improves the ability to predict prostate cancer recurrence, cancer spread and death of disease.
