No significant changes in topsoil carbon in the grasslands of northern China between the 1980s and 2000s.

The grasslands of northern China store a large amount of soil organic carbon (SOC), and the small changes in SOC stock could significantly affect the regional C cycle. However, recent estimates of SOC changes in this region are highly controversial. In this study, we examined the changes in the SOC density (SOCD) in the upper 30cm of the grasslands of northern China between the 1980s and 2000s, using an improved approach that integrates field-based measurements into machine learning algorithms (artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF)). The RF-generated SOCD averaged 5.55kgCm-2 in the 1980s and 5.53kgCm-2 in the 2000s, and the change ranged from -0.17 to 0.22kgCm-2 at the 95% confidence level, suggesting that the overall SOCD did not vary significantly during the study period. However, the change in SOCD exhibited large regional variability; the topsoil of the Inner Mongolian grasslands experienced significant C loss (4.86 vs. 4.33kgCm-2), while that of the Xinjiang grasslands exhibited an accumulation of C (5.55 vs. 6.46kgCm-2). Furthermore, the topsoil C in the Tibetan alpine grasslands remained relatively stable (6.12 vs. 6.06kgCm-2). A comparison of the different grassland types indicated that SOCD significantly decreased in typical steppe, whereas it increased in mountain meadow, and remained stable in the other grasslands (alpine meadow, alpine steppe, mountain steppe and desert steppe). Climate change could partly explain the changes in the SOCD of the different grassland types. Increases in precipitation could lead to SOC accumulation in temperate grasslands and SOC loss in alpine grasslands, while climate warming is likely to cause SOC loss in temperate grasslands. Overall, our study suggests that the grasslands of northern China remained a neutral SOC sink between the 1980s and 2000s.

Effects of shrub encroachment on soil organic carbon in global grasslands.

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of shrub encroachment on soil organic carbon (SOC) content at broad scales and its controls. We conducted a meta-analysis using paired control data of shrub-encroached grassland (SEG) vs. non-SEG collected from 142 studies worldwide. SOC contents (0-50 cm) were altered by shrub encroachment, with changes ranging from -50% to + 300%, with an effect size of 0.15 (p < 0.01). The SOC contents increased in semi-arid and humid regions, and showed a greater rate of increase in grassland encroached by leguminous shrubs than by non-legumes. The SOC content decreased in silty and clay soils but increased in sand, sandy loam and sandy clay loam. The SOC content increment was significantly positively correlated with precipitation and temperature as well as with soil bulk density but significantly negatively correlated with soil total nitrogen. We conclude the main effects of shrub encroachment would be to increase topsoil organic carbon content. As structural equation model revealed, soils properties seem to be the primary factors responsible for the extent of the changes, coarse textured soils having a greater capacity than fine textured soils to increase the SOC content. This increased effect appears to be secondarily enhanced by climate and plant elements.