Medical costs associated with chronic kidney disease progression in an Asian population with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

AIM: We aim to examine difference in incremental direct medical costs between non-progressive and progressive chronic kidney disease (CKD) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Singapore. METHODS: This was a prospective study on 676 patients with T2DM attending a diabetes centre in a regional hospital. Annual direct medical costs were extracted from the administrative database. Ordinary least squares regression was used to estimate contribution of CKD progression to annual costs, adjusting for demographics and baseline clinical covariates. RESULTS: Over mean follow-up period of 2.8 ± 0.4 years, 266 (39.3%) had CKD progression. The excess total follow-up medical costs from baseline was S$4243 higher in progressors compared to non-progressors (P = 0.002). The mean cost differential between the two groups increased from S$2799 in Stages G1-G2 to S$11180 in Stage G4. Inpatient cost accounted for 63.4% of total cost of progression. When stratified by glomerular filtration rate stages, the respective total mean annual costs at stages glomerular filtration rate Stages G3a-G3b and G4 were S$3290 (132%; P = 0.001) and S$4416 (135%; P = 0.011) higher post-progression. CONCLUSION: Chronic kidney disease progression in T2DM is associated with high medical costs. The cost of progression is higher with higher severity of CKD stage at baseline and could be largely driven by inpatient admission.

Impact of haemoglobin A1c trajectories on chronic kidney disease progression in type 2 diabetes.

AIM: To characterize haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) trajectories and examine their associations with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study on 770 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) attending a diabetes centre in 2002-2017. Group-based trajectory modelling was used to identify HbA1c trajectories. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine association between the trajectories and CKD progression which was defined as deterioration across the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes estimated glomerular filtration rate categories with ≥25% drop from baseline. RESULTS: We identified four HbA1c trajectories: 'near-optimal stable' (49.1%), 'moderate stable' (37.9%), 'moderate-increasing' (6.0%) and 'high-decreasing' (7.0%). Over a median follow-up period of 4.6 years (interquartile range 2.5-5.6), CKD progression occurred in 35.6% of patients. The risk of CKD progression was significantly higher in the moderate-increasing with adjusted hazard ratios (HR) 2.23 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09-4.57). After additional adjustment for mean HbA1c, the association between the moderate-increasing subgroup and CKD progression remained significant at HR 3.07 (95% CI 1.08-8.77). CONCLUSION: Moderate-increasing HbA1c trajectory is associated with renal disease progression in patients with T2DM, independent of mean HbA1c. The deleterious effects of deteriorating HbA1c trajectory highlight the importance of achieving sustained good glycaemic control in diabetes management.

Effect of long-term glycemic variability on estimated glomerular filtration rate decline among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: Insights from the Diabetic Nephropathy Cohort in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: In the present study, we examined the association between HbA1c variability and renal disease progression based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Singapore. METHODS: Glycemic burden and renal function were retrospectively assessed in 1628 patients in 2002-2014. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the relationships between HbA1c variability (expressed as HbA1c coefficient of variation [HbA1c-CV] in quartiles), HbA1c intrapersonal mean (HbA1c-IM), and eGFR decline, adjusted for baseline covariates. RESULTS: Among patients with relatively good glycemic control (i.e. HbA1c-IM below the median cohort value [8.0%]), HbA1c-CV Quartile 4 was associated with eGFR decline (odds ratio [OR] 1.88; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-3.25). The OR for HbA1c-CV Quartile 4 was 2.20 (95% CI 1.24-3.89) after additional adjustment for HbA1c-IM. Where HbA1c-IM was above the median cohort value, HbA1c-CV Quartiles 3 and 4 were associated with eGFR decline, with ORs of 2.60 (95% CI 1.48-4.55) and 3.29 (95% CI 1.89-5.76) respectively. After further adjusting for HbA1c-IM, the ORs for Quartiles 3 and 4 were 2.69 (95% CI 1.53-4.74) and 3.51 (95% CI 1.98-6.21), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Variability in HbA1c is strongly and independently associated with eGFR decline in patients with T2DM independent of mean HbA1c. The findings may highlight the importance of sustained stable glycemic control in management of diabetes mellitus.

Use of aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs increases risk for diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), including aspirin, have been implicated in diverticular complications. We examined the influence of aspirin and NSAID use on risk of diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding in a large prospective cohort. METHODS: We studied 47,210 US men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study cohort who were 40-75 years old at baseline in 1986. We assessed use of aspirin, nonaspirin NSAIDs, and other risk factors biennially. We identified men with diverticulitis or diverticular bleeding based on responses to biennial and supplementary questionnaires. RESULTS: We documented 939 cases of diverticulitis and 256 cases of diverticular bleeding during a 22-year period of follow-up evaluation. After adjustment for risk factors, men who used aspirin regularly (≥2 times/wk) had a multivariable hazard ratio (HR) of 1.25 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.47) for diverticulitis and a HR of 1.70 (95% CI, 1.21-2.39) for diverticular bleeding, compared with nonusers of aspirin and NSAIDs. Use of aspirin at intermediate doses (2-5.9 standard, 325-mg tablets/wk) and frequency (4-6 days/wk) were associated with the highest risk of bleeding (multivariable HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.34-4.02, and multivariable HR, 3.13; 95% CI, 1.82-5.38, respectively). Regular users of nonaspirin NSAIDs also had an increased risk of diverticulitis (multivariable HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.40-2.11) and diverticular bleeding (multivariable HR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.15-2.64), compared with men who denied use of these medications. CONCLUSIONS: Regular use of aspirin or NSAIDs is associated with an increased risk of diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding. Patients at risk of diverticular complications should carefully consider the potential risks and benefits of using these medications.

Physical activity decreases diverticular complications.

OBJECTIVES: Little is known about the effect of physical activity on diverticular complications. This study prospectively examined the associations between physical activity and diverticular bleeding and diverticulitis. METHODS: We studied 47,228 US males in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study cohort who were aged 40-75 years and free of diverticular disease, gastrointestinal cancer, and inflammatory bowel disease at baseline in 1986. Men reporting newly diagnosed diverticular disease on biennial follow-up questionnaires were sent supplemental questionnaires outlining details of diagnosis and treatment. Physical activity was assessed every 2 years. Men recorded the average time per week spent in eight recreational activities, and flights of stairs climbed per day. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate relative risks (RRs). RESULTS: During 18 years of follow-up, 800 cases of diverticulitis and 383 cases of diverticular bleeding were identified. Total cumulative physical activity was associated with a decreased risk of diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding. After adjustment for potential confounders, the RR for men in the highest quintile of total activity (> or = 57.4 metabolic equivalent hours per week (MET-h/week) was 0.75 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.58-0.95) for diverticulitis and 0.54 (95% CI, 0.38-0.77) for bleeding, as compared with men in the lowest quintile (< or = 8.2 MET-h/week). Vigorous activity was inversely related to diverticulitis in a high vs. low comparison (multivariable RR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.86) and bleeding (multivariable RR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.41-0.90), whereas nonvigorous activity was not. These results were similar for recent (simple updated) and baseline activity. CONCLUSIONS: Data from this large prospective cohort suggest that physical activity lowers the risk of diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding. Vigorous activity appears to account for this association.

Obesity increases the risks of diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Studies of obesity and diverticular complications are limited. We assessed the relationship between body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio and diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of 47,228 male health professionals (40-75 years old) who were free of diverticular disease in 1986 (baseline) was performed. Men reporting newly diagnosed diverticular disease on biennial follow-up questionnaires were sent supplemental questionnaires. Weight was recorded every 2 years, and data on waist and hip circumferences were collected in 1987. RESULTS: We documented 801 incident cases of diverticulitis and 383 incident cases of diverticular bleeding during 18 years of follow-up. After adjustment for other risk factors, men with a BMI >or= 30 kg/m(2) had a relative risk (RR) of 1.78 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-2.94) for diverticulitis and 3.19 (95% CI, 1.45-7.00) for diverticular bleeding compared with men with a BMI of <21 kg/m(2). Men in the highest quintile of waist circumference, compared with those in the lowest, had a multivariable RR of 1.56 (95% CI, 1.18-2.07) for diverticulitis and 1.96 (95% CI, 1.30-2.97) for diverticular bleeding. Waist-to-hip ratio was also associated with the risk of diverticular complications when the highest and lowest quintiles were compared, with a multivariable RR of 1.62 (95% CI, 1.23-2.14) for diverticulitis and 1.91 (95% CI, 1.26-2.90) for diverticular bleeding. Adjustment for BMI did not change the associations seen for waist-to-hip ratio. CONCLUSIONS: In this large prospective cohort, BMI, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio significantly increased the risks of diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding.

Nut, corn, and popcorn consumption and the incidence of diverticular disease.

CONTEXT: Patients with diverticular disease are frequently advised to avoid eating nuts, corn, popcorn, and seeds to reduce the risk of complications. However, there is little evidence to support this recommendation. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether nut, corn, or popcorn consumption is associated with diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding. DESIGN AND SETTING: The Health Professionals Follow-up Study is a cohort of US men followed up prospectively from 1986 to 2004 via self-administered questionnaires about medical (biennial) and dietary (every 4 years) information. Men reporting newly diagnosed diverticulosis or diverticulitis were mailed supplemental questionnaires. PARTICIPANTS: The study included 47,228 men aged 40 to 75 years who at baseline were free of diverticulosis or its complications, cancer, and inflammatory bowel disease and returned a food-frequency questionnaire. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident diverticulitis and diverticular bleeding. RESULTS: During 18 years of follow-up, there were 801 incident cases of diverticulitis and 383 incident cases of diverticular bleeding. We found inverse associations between nut and popcorn consumption and the risk of diverticulitis. The multivariate hazard ratios for men with the highest intake of each food (at least twice per week) compared with men with the lowest intake (less than once per month) were 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.63-1.01; P for trend = .04) for nuts and 0.72 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.92; P for trend = .007) for popcorn. No associations were seen between corn consumption and diverticulitis or between nut, corn, or popcorn consumption and diverticular bleeding or uncomplicated diverticulosis. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, prospective study of men without known diverticular disease, nut, corn, and popcorn consumption did not increase the risk of diverticulosis or diverticular complications. The recommendation to avoid these foods to prevent diverticular complications should be reconsidered.