A scoring system to predict the risk of death during induction with anthracycline plus cytarabine-based chemotherapy in patients with de novo acute myeloid leukemia.

BACKGROUND: A prognostic index to predict induction death in adult patients receiving induction chemotherapy for de novo acute myeloid leukemia (AML) was developed. METHODS: The authors analyzed 570 patients (aged 16-70 years) included in 2 multicenter trials of the CETLAM Group to develop a scoring system (study cohort). The scoring system was tested in 209 patients from an external single institution (validation cohort). Induction regimens consisted of anthracycline and cytarabine combination with or without etoposide. Induction death was defined as death in the first 42 days without evidence of leukemic resistance. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of induction death was 11% in the study cohort and 18% in the validation cohort. Median age was 48 years in the study cohort and 56 years in the validation cohort (P < .001). Multivariate analysis in the study cohort showed the following adverse risk factors for induction death: leukocyte count >100 × 10(9) /L, serum creatinine >1.2 mg/dL, and age ≥50 years. According to these factors, the authors developed a predictive score: low risk (no risk factors), intermediate risk (1 factor), and high risk (2 or 3 factors). The cumulative incidence of induction death in the 3 respective groups was 5%, 13%, and 26% (P < .001). The scoring system was applied in the validation cohort, resulting in cumulative incidence rates of induction death of 6%, 19%, and 32%, for the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk categories, respectively (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: By using this validated and simple scoring system, the risk of induction death in patients with AML can be predicted accurately. The score may be helpful to design risk-adapted induction strategies.

Feasibility and results of autologous stem cell transplantation in de novo acute myeloid leukemia in patients over 60 years old. Results of the CETLAM AML-99 protocol.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The benefits of high-dose cytarabine, anthracyclines and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are greater in younger rather than in older patients. We assessed the proportion of patients over 60 years with de novo AML who qualified for intensive therapy and determined the feasibility and results of autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) in first complete remission (CR). DESIGN AND METHODS: Induction therapy included idarubicin, cytarabine and etoposide. Patients who achieved CR received one cycle of mitoxantrone and cytarabine and ASCT as consolidation therapies. RESULTS: Over a 4-year period, 258 patients were registered of whom 135 (52%) were enrolled for intensive treatment. The CR rate was 61%, advanced age (p=0.033) and unfavorable cytogenetics (p=0.015) emerged as independent negative prognostic factors for CR. The 2-year overall survival (OS) was 23 % (CI 14%-30%) and was poorer in patients with unfavorable cytogenetics (p=0.035), age over 70 years (p=0.019) or leukocytosis (p=0.006). Only 27% of the potential candidates underwent ASCT. The probability of 2-year leukemia-free survival after consolidation was 39% (CI 6%-71%) for these patients and 22% (CI 6% - 39%) for candidate patients not undergoing ASCT (p=0.07). INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS: Over 25% of the patients 60 to 70 years with de novo AML benefit from standard intensive treatment. In these patients, ASCT has a tolerable toxicity and may have a positive impact on leukemia-free survival.