ABSTRACT
BackgroundAs the COVID-19 epidemic is spreading, incoming data allows us to quantify values of key variables that determine the transmission and the effort required to control the epidemic. We determine the incubation period and serial interval distribution for transmission clusters in Singapore and in Tianjin. We infer the basic reproduction number and identify the extent of pre-symptomatic transmission. MethodsWe collected outbreak information from Singapore and Tianjin, China, reported from Jan.19-Feb.26 and Jan.21-Feb.27, respectively. We estimated incubation periods and serial intervals in both populations. ResultsThe mean incubation period was 7.1 (6.13, 8.25) days for Singapore and 9 (7.92, 10.2) days for Tianjin. Both datasets had shorter incubation periods for earlier-occurring cases. The mean serial interval was 4.56 (2.69, 6.42) days for Singapore and 4.22 (3.43, 5.01) for Tianjin. We inferred that early in the outbreaks, infection was transmitted on average 2.55 and 2.89 days before symptom onset (Singapore, Tianjin). The estimated basic reproduction number for Singapore was 1.97 (1.45, 2.48) secondary cases per infective; for Tianjin it was 1.87 (1.65, 2.09) secondary cases per infective. ConclusionsEstimated serial intervals are shorter than incubation periods in both Singapore and Tianjin, suggesting that pre-symptomatic transmission is occurring. Shorter serial intervals lead to lower estimates of R0, which suggest that half of all secondary infections should be prevented to control spread.
ABSTRACT
<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To investigate the effect of smoking on the microRNAs (miRNAs) expression in pneumoconiosis patients.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Real-time qPCR was used to measure the expression levels of miR-21, miR-200c, miR-16, miR-204, miR-206, miR-155, let-7g, miR-30b, and miR-192 in 36 non-smoking patients with pneumoconiosis and 38 smoking patients with pneumoconiosis, and the differences in expression levels between the two groups were evaluated by two-independent samples t-test.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The expression of miR-192 in serum showed a significant difference between non-smoking and smoking pneumoconiosis patients (P < 0.05), and it decreased gradually in smoking patients with stage I and II pneumoconiosis. In the serum of all pneumoconiosis patients, the expression level of miR-16 was the highest, while the expression level of miR-204 was the lowest.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Pneumoconiosis patients have differential expression of miRNAs in serum, and smoking has an effect on the miRNAs expression in pneumoconiosis patients.</p>
Subject(s)
Humans , MicroRNAs , Pneumoconiosis , Metabolism , Polymerase Chain Reaction , SmokingABSTRACT
This paper examines recent developments and applications of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to various problems in computational biology, including multiple sequence alignment, homology detection, protein sequences classification, and genomic annotation.
