Transnational Record Linkage for Tuberculosis Surveillance and Program Evaluation.

OBJECTIVE: Pre-immigration tuberculosis (TB) screening, followed by post-arrival rescreening during the first year, is critical to reducing TB among foreign-born people in the United States. However, existing U.S. public health surveillance is inadequate to monitor TB among immigrants during subsequent years. We developed and tested a novel method for ascertaining post-U.S.-arrival TB outcomes among high-TB-risk immigrant cohorts to improve surveillance. METHODS: We used a probabilistic record linkage program to link pre-immigration screening records from U.S.-bound immigrants from the Philippines (n=422,593) and Vietnam (n=214,401) with the California TB registry during 2000-2010. We estimated sensitivity using Monte Carlo simulations to account for uncertainty in key inputs. Specificity was evaluated by using a time-stratified approach, which defined false-positives as TB records linked to pre-immigration screening records dated after the person had arrived in the United States. RESULTS: TB was reported in 4,382 and 2,830 people born in the Philippines and Vietnam, respectively, in California during the study period. Of these TB cases, records for 973 and 452 cases of people born in the Philippines and Vietnam, respectively, were linked to pre-immigration screening records. Sensitivity and specificity of linkage were 89% (90% credible interval [CrI] 83, 97) and 100%, respectively, for the Philippines, and 90% (90% CrI 83, 98) and 99.9%, respectively, for Vietnam. CONCLUSION: Electronic linkage of pre-immigration screening records to a domestic TB registry was feasible, sensitive, and highly specific in two high-priority immigrant cohorts. Transnational record linkage can be used for program evaluation and routine monitoring of post-U.S.-arrival TB risk among immigrants, but requires interagency data sharing and collaboration.

Persistent latent tuberculosis reactivation risk in United States immigrants.

RATIONALE: Current guidelines limit latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) evaluation to persons in the United States less than or equal to 5 years based on the assumption that high TB rates among recent entrants are attributable to high LTBI reactivation risk, which declines over time. We hypothesized that high postarrival TB rates may instead be caused by imported active TB. OBJECTIVES: Estimate reactivation and imported TB in an immigrant cohort. METHODS: We linked preimmigration records from a cohort of California-bound Filipino immigrants during 2001-2010 with subsequent TB reports. TB was likely LTBI reactivation if the immigrant had no evidence of active TB at preimmigration examination, likely imported if preimmigration radiograph was abnormal and TB was reported less than or equal to 6 months after arrival, and likely reactivation of inactive TB if radiograph was abnormal but TB was reported more than 6 months after arrival. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Among 123,114 immigrants, 793 TB cases were reported. Within 1 year of preimmigration examination, 85% of TB was imported; 6 and 9% were reactivation of LTBI and inactive TB, respectively. Conversely, during Years 2-9 after U.S. entry, 76 and 24% were reactivation of LTBI and inactive TB, respectively. The rate of LTBI reactivation (32 per 100,000) did not decline during Years 1-9. CONCLUSIONS: High postarrival TB rates were caused by detection of imported TB through active postarrival surveillance. Among immigrants without active TB at baseline, reported TB did not decline over 9 years, indicating sustained high risk of LTBI reactivation. Revised guidelines should support LTBI screening and treatment more than 5 years after U.S. arrival.