Association of Left Atrial Function With Incident Chronic Kidney Disease in Older Adults.

Objective: To examine the association of left atrial (LA) function with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) and assess the clinical utility of adding LA function to a CKD risk prediction equation. Patients and Methods: We included 4002 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants without prevalent CKD (mean ± SD age, 75±5 years; 58% female, 18% Black). Left atrial function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) was evaluated by 2D-echocardiograms on 2011 to 2013. Chronic kidney disease was defined as greater than 25% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, end-stage kidney disease, or hospital records. Cox proportional hazards models were used. Risk prediction and decision curve analyses evaluated 5-year CKD risk by diabetes status. Results: Median follow-up was 7.2 years, and 598 participants developed incident CKD. Incidence rate for CKD was 2.29 per 100 person-years. After multivariable adjustments, the lowest quintile of LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain (vs highest quintile) had a higher risk of CKD (hazard ratios [95% CIs]: 1.94 [1.42-2.64], 1.62 [1.19-2.20], and 1.49 [1.12-1.99]). Adding LA reservoir strain to the CKD risk prediction equation variables increased the C-index by 0.026 (95% CI: 0.005-0.051) and 0.031 (95% CI: 0.006-0.058) in participants without and with diabetes, respectively. Decision curve analysis found the model with LA reservoir strain had a higher net benefit than the model with CKD risk prediction equation variables alone. Conclusion: Lower LA function is independently associated with incident CKD. Adding LA function to the CKD risk prediction enhances prediction and yields a higher clinical net benefit. These findings suggest that impaired LA function may be a novel risk factor for CKD.

Age of Diabetes Diagnosis and Lifetime Risk of Dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

OBJECTIVE: The impact of age of diabetes diagnosis on dementia risk across the life course is poorly characterized. We estimated the lifetime risk of dementia by age of diabetes diagnosis. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We included 13,087 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who were free from dementia at age 60 years. We categorized participants as having middle age-onset diabetes (diagnosis <60 years), older-onset diabetes (diagnosis 60-69 years), or no diabetes. Incident dementia was ascertained via adjudication and active surveillance. We used the cumulative incidence function estimator to characterize the lifetime risk of dementia by age of diabetes diagnosis while accounting for the competing risk of mortality. We used restricted mean survival time to calculate years lived without and with dementia. RESULTS: Among 13,087 participants, there were 2,982 individuals with dementia and 4,662 deaths without dementia during a median follow-up of 24.1 (percentile 25-percentile 75, 17.4-28.3) years. Individuals with middle age-onset diabetes had a significantly higher lifetime risk of dementia than those with older-onset diabetes (36.0% vs. 31.0%). Compared with those with no diabetes, participants with middle age-onset diabetes also had a higher cumulative incidence of dementia by age 80 years (16.1% vs. 9.4%), but a lower lifetime risk (36.0% vs. 45.6%) due to shorter survival. Individuals with middle age-onset diabetes developed dementia 4 and 1 years earlier than those without diabetes and those with older-onset diabetes, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Preventing or delaying diabetes may be an important approach for reducing dementia risk throughout the life course.

Population Attributable Fraction of Total Stroke Associated with Modifiable Risk Factors in the United States.

Stroke is a leading cause of death in the United States across all race/ethnicity and sex groups, though disparities exist. We investigated the potential for primary prevention of total first stroke for Americans aged 20 and older, stratified by sex and race/ethnicity. Specifically, we calculated population attributable fractions (PAF) of first stroke for 7 potentially modifiable risk factors: smoking, physical inactivity, poor diet, obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and atrial fibrillation. PAFs are a function of (1) the relative risk of first stroke for people with the exposure and (2) the prevalence of the risk factor in the population. Relative risks came from recent meta-analyses and sex-race/ethnicity-specific prevalence estimates came from the 2015-2018 NHANES or Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (for atrial fibrillation only). Approximately 1/3 (35.7% [CI: 21.6%-49.0%]) for women, 32.7% [CI: 19.2%-45.1%] for men) of strokes were attributable to the 7 risk factors we considered. A 20% proportional reduction in stroke risk factors would result in approximately 37,000 fewer strokes annually in the United States. The estimated PAF was highest for non-Hispanic Black women (39.3% [CI: 24.8%-52.3%]) and lowest for non-Hispanic Asian men (25.5% [CI: 14.6%-36.2%]). For most groups, obesity and hypertension were the largest contributors to stroke rates.

Lung Function and Brain MRI Outcomes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study.

Background: Brain imaging studies may provide etiologic insight into observed links between lung function and dementia and stroke. Objective: We evaluated associations of lung function measures with brain MRI markers of vascular and neurodegenerative disease in the ARIC Neurocognitive Study, as few studies have examined the associations. Methods: Lung function was measured at participants' midlife in 1990-1992 (mean age = 56±5 years) and later-life in 2011-2013 (mean age = 76±5 years), and brain MRI was performed in 2011-2013. Linear regression models were used to examine the associations of lung function with brain and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volumes, and logistic regression models were used for cerebral infarcts and microbleeds, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: In cross-sectional analysis (i.e., examining later-life lung function and MRI markers, n = 1,223), higher forced-expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were associated with larger brain and lower WMH volumes [e.g., 8.62 (95% CI:2.54-14.71) cm3 greater total brain volume per one-liter higher FEV1]. No association was seen with microbleeds in the overall sample, but higher FVC was associated with lower odds of microbleeds in never-smokers and higher odds in ever-smokers. In the cross-temporal analysis (i.e., associations with midlife lung function, n = 1,787), higher FVC levels were significantly associated with lower later-life brain volumes. Conclusions: Our results support modest associations of better lung function with less neurodegenerative and cerebrovascular pathology, although findings for microbleeds were unexpected in ever-smokers.

Association of Cumulative Systolic Blood Pressure With Left Atrial Function in the Setting of Normal Left Atrial Size: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Lower left atrial (LA) function is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease events; data on risk factors for impaired LA function are limited. We evaluated the effect of cumulative systolic blood pressure (cSBP) from midlife to older age on LA strain in adults with normal LA size. METHODS: We included participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study with LA strain measured on the visit 5 echocardiogram (2011-13), excluding those with atrial fibrillation and LA volume index >34 mL/m2. The cSBP was calculated from visit 1 (1987-89) through visit 5. Linear regression models were used to evaluate associations between cSBP and LA strain measures. RESULTS: A total of 3,859 participants with a mean (SD) age of 75.2 (5.0) years were included in the analysis; 725 (18.8%) were Black and 2,342 (60.7%) were women. After adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular disease risk factors, heart failure, and coronary heart disease, each 10 mm Hg increase in cSBP was associated with 0.32% (95% CI, -0.52%, -0.13%) and 0.37% (95% CI, -0.51%, -0.22%) absolute reduction in LA reservoir and conduit strain, respectively. Associations were attenuated after adjustment for left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function and mass (-0.12%: 95% CI, -0.31, 0.06 for reservoir strain; and -0.24%: 95% CI -0.38%, -0.10% for conduit strain). In subgroup analyses, the association of cSBP with conduit strain was statistically significant among those with normal LV systolic and diastolic function. CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative exposure to elevated blood pressure from midlife to late life was modestly associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain in older adults with normal LA size, mostly related to the effect of blood pressure on LV function and mass. However, the association of cSBP and LA conduit strain in subgroups with normal LV function suggests that LA remodeling in response to hypertension occurs before LV dysfunction is detected on echocardiography.

Bleeding risk from anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis in patients with multiple myeloma: a MarketScan analysis.

Background: Multiple myeloma (MM) is associated with high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Anticoagulant prophylaxis is frequently recommended but underutilized partly due to the absence of studies assessing bleeding risk. Objectives: To determine the rate of severe (hospitalized) bleeding from thromboprophylaxis in patients treated for MM and identify clinical risk factors for bleeding in this population. Methods: Using the MarketScan database, we analyzed 6656 patients treated for MM between 2013 and 2021. Concomitant thromboprophylaxis was defined using prescription claims. Hospitalized bleeding was identified through the Cunningham algorithm. Bleeding rates were compared by thromboprophylaxis status, and Cox regression identified risk factors for bleeding. Results: Anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis was used in 6.6% (436) patients treated for MM. Patients on thromboprophylaxis had a higher rate of immunomodulatory-based therapy (63.8% vs 46.7%; P < .01) and lower rate of antiplatelet use (2.1% vs 4.7%; P < .01). Bleeding occurred in 1.4% of them during median follow-up of 1.3 years. Rate of severe bleeding was not different between those on prophylaxis (7.8 per 1000 person-years) and those not on prophylaxis (10.1 per 1000 person-years). No association was identified between thromboprophylaxis and bleeding. Factors associated with increased bleeding included age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.38 per 10 years increase in age), comorbidity index (HR, 1.18 per SD increase), history of bleeding (HR, 1.54), hypertension (HR, 1.87), and renal disease (HR, 1.56). Conclusion: Risk of serious bleeding from thromboprophylaxis in patients treated for MM was low, and concomitant anticoagulant therapy did not result in increased bleeding risk. Clinical risk factors for bleeding included age, comorbidity index, bleeding history, hypertension, and renal disease.

Percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion and risk of stroke, hospitalized bleeding and death in Medicare beneficiaries.

PURPOSE: Among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), a nonpharmacologic option (e.g., percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion [LAAO]) is needed for patients with oral anticoagulant (OAC) contraindications. Among beneficiaries in the Medicare fee-for-service coverage 20% sample databases (2015-18) who had AF and an elevated CHA2DS2-VASc score, we assessed the association between percutaneous LAAO versus OAC use and risk of stroke, hospitalized bleeding, and death. METHODS: Patients undergoing percutaneous LAAO were matched to up to five OAC users by sex, age, date of enrollment, index date, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and HAS-BLED score. Overall, 17 156 patients with AF (2905 with percutaneous LAAO) were matched (average ± SD 78 ± 6 years, 44% female). Cox proportional hazards model were used. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 10.3 months. After multivariable adjustments, no significant difference for risk of stroke or death was noted when patients with percutaneous LAAO were compared with OAC users (HRs [95% CIs]: 1.14 [0.86-1.52], 0.98 [0.86-1.10]). There was a 2.94-fold (95% CI: 2.50-3.45) increased risk for hospitalized bleeding for percutaneous LAAO compared with OAC use. Among patients 65 to <78 years old, those undergoing percutaneous LAAO had higher risk of stroke compared with OAC users. No association was present in those ≥78 years. CONCLUSION: In this analysis of real-world AF patients, percutaneous LAAO versus OAC use was associated with similar risk of death, nonsignificantly elevated risk of stroke, and an elevated risk of bleeding in the post-procedural period. Overall, these results support results of randomized trials that percutaneous LAAO may be an alternative to OAC use for patients with contraindications.

Self-Rated Health in Middle Age and Risk of Hospitalizations and Death: Recurrent Event Analysis of the ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Self-rated health is a simple measure that may identify individuals who are at a higher risk for hospitalization or death. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the association between a single measure of self-rated health and future risk of recurrent hospitalizations or death. PARTICIPANTS: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a community-based prospective cohort study of middle-aged men and women with follow-up beginning from 1987 to 1989. MAIN MEASURES: We quantified the associations between initial self-rated health with risk of recurrent hospitalizations and of death using a recurrent events survival model that allowed for dependency between the rates of hospitalization and hazards of death, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors. KEY RESULTS: Of the 14,937 ARIC cohort individuals with available self-rated health and covariate information, 34% of individuals reported "excellent" health, 47% "good," 16% "fair," and 3% "poor" at study baseline. After a median follow-up of 27.7 years, 1955 (39%), 3569 (51%), 1626 (67%), and 402 (83%) individuals with "excellent," "good," "fair," and "poor" health, respectively, had died. After adjusting for demographic factors and medical history, a less favorable self-rated health status was associated with increased rates of hospitalization and death. As compared to those reporting "excellent" health, adults with "good," "fair," and "poor" health had 1.22 (1.07 to 1.40), 2.01 (1.63 to 2.47), and 3.13 (2.39 to 4.09) times the rate of hospitalizations, respectively. The hazards of death also increased with worsening categories of self-rated health, with "good," "fair," and "poor" health individuals experiencing 1.30 (1.12 to 1.51), 2.15 (1.71 to 2.69), and 3.40 (2.54 to 4.56) times the hazard of death compared to "excellent," respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Even after adjusting for demographic and clinical factors, having a less favorable response on a single measure of self-rated health taken in middle age is a potent marker of future hospitalizations and death.

Social relationships, amyloid burden, and dementia: The ARIC-PET study.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess whether social relationships in mid-life reduce the risk of dementia related to amyloid burden. METHODS: Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were assessed for social support and isolation (visit 2; 1990-1992). A composite measure, "social relationships," was generated. Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET); (visit 5; 2012-2014). Incident dementia cases were identified following visit 5 through 2019 using ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of mid-life social relationships and elevated brain amyloid to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among 310 participants without dementia, strong mid-life social relationships were associated independently with lower dementia risk. Elevated late-life brain amyloid was associated with greater dementia risk. DISCUSSION: Although mid-life social relationships did not moderate the relationship between amyloid burden and dementia, these findings affirm the importance of strong social relationships as a potentially protective factor against dementia.

Use of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors and Angiotensin Receptor-Neprilysin Inhibitors in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Heart Failure From 2021 to 2022: An Analysis of Real-World Data.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNi) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) has not been described. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the MarketScan databases for the period January 1, 2021 to July 30, 2022. Validated algorithms were used to identify patients with AF and HF, and to classify patients into HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We assessed the prevalence of SGLT2i and ARNi use overall and by HF type. Additionally, we explored correlates of lower use, including demographics and comorbidities. The study population included 60 927 patients (mean age, 75 years; 43% women) diagnosed with AF and HF (85% with HFpEF, 15% with HFrEF). Prevalence of ARNi use was 11% overall (30% in HFrEF, 8% in HFpEF), whereas the corresponding figure was 6% for SGLT2i (13% in HFrEF, 5% in HFpEF). Use of both medications increased over the study period: ARNi from 9% to 12% (22%-29% in HFrEF, 6%-8% in HFpEF), and SGLT2i from 3% to 9% (6%-16% in HFrEF, 2%-7% in HFpEF). Female sex, older age, and specific comorbidities were associated with lower use of these 2 medication types overall and by HF type. CONCLUSIONS: Use of ARNi and SGLT2i in patients with AF and HF is suboptimal, particularly among women and older individuals, though use is increasing. These results underscore the need for understanding reasons for these disparities and developing interventions to improve adoption of evidence-based therapies among patients with comorbid AF and HF.

Associations Between Mid-Life Psychosocial Measures and Estimated Late Life Amyloid Burden: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-PET Study.

Background: Psychosocial factors are modifiable risk factors for Alzheimer's disease (AD). One mechanism linking psychosocial factors to AD risk may be through biological measures of brain amyloid; however, this association has not been widely studied. Objective: To determine if mid-life measures of social support and social isolation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study cohort are associated with late life brain amyloid burden, measured using florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET). Methods: Measures of social support and social isolation were assessed in ARIC participants (visit 2: 1990-1992). Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir PET standardized uptake value ratios (SUVRs; visit 5: 2012-2014). Results: Among 316 participants without dementia, participants with intermediate (odds ratio (OR), 0.47; 95% CI, 0.25-0.88), or low social support (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.22-0.83) in mid-life were less likely to have elevated amyloid SUVRs, relative to participants with high social support. Participants with moderate risk for social isolation in mid-life (OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.14-0.74) were less likely to have elevated amyloid burden than participants at low risk for social isolation. These associations were not significantly modified by sex or race. Conclusions: Lower social support and moderate risk of social isolation in mid-life were associated with lower odds of elevated amyloid SUVR in late life, compared to participants with greater mid-life psychosocial measures. Future longitudinal studies evaluating mid-life psychosocial factors, in relation to brain amyloid as well as other health outcomes, will strengthen our understanding of the role of these factors throughout the lifetime.

Obstructive sleep apnea, nocturnal hypoxemia, and retinal microvasculature: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

Study Objectives: Retinal microvascular pathology (RMP) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are both cardiovascular disease risk factors. Limited data exists on their interrelationship. We tested the hypotheses that OSA and nocturnal hypoxemia would be associated with RMP and vessel calibers. Methods: We conducted a quasi-cross-sectional analysis of 1625 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Sleep Heart Health Study. Participants completed in-home polysomnography monitoring (1996-1998) and were categorized by OSA severity (apnea-hypopnea index: <5, 5-14.9, and ≥15) and proportion of total sleep time with oxygen saturation < 90% (T90). Retinal photography (1993-1995) was used to assess RMP and measure vascular diameters (central retinal arteriolar equivalent [CRAE] and central retinal venular equivalent [CRVE]). Logistic and linear models were adjusted for demographics, behaviors, and BMI. Results: Of the participants, 19% had OSA (AHI > 15) and 4% had RMP. Severe OSA was not associated with RMP [OR (95% CI): 1.08 (0.49 to 2.38)] or CRAE in adjusted models. OSA severity showed a positive linear relationship with CRVE; adjusted mean CRVE for those with OSA was 195.8 µm compared to 193.2 µm for those without OSA (Ptrend = 0.03). T90 was strongly associated with CRVE, but not with RMP or CRAE. Adjusted mean CRVE for T90 ≥ 5% was 199.0 and 192.9 for T90 < 1% (ptrend < 0.0001). Conclusions: OSA and T90 were not associated with RMP or CRAE. However, both OSA and T90 ≥ 5% were associated with wider venules, which may be early and indicative changes of increased inflammation and future risk of stroke and CHD.

Plasma Ferritin Levels, Incident Heart Failure, and Cardiac Structure and Function: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Whether iron deficiency contributes to incident heart failure (HF) and cardiac dysfunction has important implications given the prevalence of iron deficiency and the availability of several therapeutics for iron repletion. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to estimate the associations of plasma ferritin level with incident HF overall, HF phenotypes, and cardiac structure and function measures in older adults. METHODS: Participants in the ongoing, longitudinal ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who were free of prevalent HF and anemia were studied. The associations of plasma ferritin levels with incident HF overall and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Linear regression models estimated the cross-sectional associations of plasma ferritin with echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function. RESULTS: The cohort included 3,472 individuals with a mean age of 75 ± 5 years (56% women, 14% Black individuals). In fully adjusted models, lower ferritin was associated with higher risk for incident HF overall (HR: 1.20 [95% CI: 1.08-1.34] per 50% lower ferritin level) and higher risk for incident HFpEF (HR: 1.28 [95% CI: 1.09-1.50]). Associations with incident HFrEF were not statistically significant. Lower ferritin levels were associated with higher E/e' ratio and higher pulmonary artery systolic pressure after adjustment for demographics and HF risk factors but not with measures of left ventricular structure or systolic function. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults without prevalent HF or anemia, lower plasma ferritin level is associated with a higher risk for incident HF, HFpEF, and higher measures of left ventricular filling pressure.

Impact of Sleep Disorders and Disturbed Sleep on Brain Health: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association.

Accumulating evidence supports a link between sleep disorders, disturbed sleep, and adverse brain health, ranging from stroke to subclinical cerebrovascular disease to cognitive outcomes, including the development of Alzheimer disease and Alzheimer disease-related dementias. Sleep disorders such as sleep-disordered breathing (eg, obstructive sleep apnea), and other sleep disturbances, as well, some of which are also considered sleep disorders (eg, insomnia, sleep fragmentation, circadian rhythm disorders, and extreme sleep duration), have been associated with adverse brain health. Understanding the causal role of sleep disorders and disturbances in the development of adverse brain health is complicated by the common development of sleep disorders among individuals with neurodegenerative disease. In addition to the role of sleep disorders in stroke and cerebrovascular injury, mechanistic hypotheses linking sleep with brain health and biomarker data (blood-based, cerebrospinal fluid-based, and imaging) suggest direct links to Alzheimer disease-specific pathology. These potential mechanisms and the increasing understanding of the "glymphatic system," and the recognition of the importance of sleep in poststroke recovery, as well, support a biological basis for the indirect (through the worsening of vascular disease) and direct (through specific effects on neuropathology) connections between sleep disorders and brain health. Given promising evidence for the benefits of treatment and prevention, sleep disorders and disturbances represent potential targets for early treatment that may improve brain health more broadly. In this scientific statement, we discuss the evidence supporting an association between sleep disorders and disturbances and poor brain health ranging from stroke to dementia and opportunities for prevention and early treatment.

Familial Hypercholesterolemia Variant and Cardiovascular Risk in Individuals With Elevated Cholesterol.

Importance: Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is a genetic disorder that often results in severely high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and high risk of premature coronary heart disease (CHD). However, the impact of FH variants on CHD risk among individuals with moderately elevated LDL-C is not well quantified. Objective: To assess CHD risk associated with FH variants among individuals with moderately (130-189 mg/dL) and severely (≥190 mg/dL) elevated LDL-C and to quantify excess CHD deaths attributable to FH variants in US adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: A total of 21 426 individuals without preexisting CHD from 6 US cohort studies (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Heart Study Offspring cohort, Jackson Heart Study, and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were included, 63 of whom had an FH variant. Data were collected from 1971 to 2018, and the median (IQR) follow-up was 18 (13-28) years. Data were analyzed from March to May 2023. Exposures: LDL-C, cumulative past LDL-C, FH variant status. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations between FH variants and incident CHD. The Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model projected excess CHD deaths associated with FH variants in US adults. Results: Of the 21 426 individuals without preexisting CHD (mean [SD] age 52.1 [15.5] years; 12 041 [56.2%] female), an FH variant was found in 22 individuals with moderately elevated LDL-C (0.3%) and in 33 individuals with severely elevated LDL-C (2.5%). The adjusted hazard ratios for incident CHD comparing those with and without FH variants were 2.9 (95% CI, 1.4-6.0) and 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-4.9) among individuals with moderately and severely elevated LDL-C, respectively. The association between FH variants and CHD was slightly attenuated when further adjusting for baseline LDL-C level, whereas the association was no longer statistically significant after adjusting for cumulative past LDL-C exposure. Among US adults 20 years and older with no history of CHD and LDL-C 130 mg/dL or higher, more than 417 000 carry an FH variant and were projected to experience more than 12 000 excess CHD deaths in those with moderately elevated LDL-C and 15 000 in those with severely elevated LDL-C compared with individuals without an FH variant. Conclusions and Relevance: In this pooled cohort study, the presence of FH variants was associated with a 2-fold higher CHD risk, even when LDL-C was only moderately elevated. The increased CHD risk appeared to be largely explained by the higher cumulative LDL-C exposure in individuals with an FH variant compared to those without. Further research is needed to assess the value of adding genetic testing to traditional phenotypic FH screening.

Performance of the pooled cohort equations in cancer survivors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.

BACKGROUND: Cancer survivors may have elevated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Therefore, we tested how accurately the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2013 pooled cohort equations (PCEs) predict 10-year ASCVD risk in cancer survivors. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the calibration and discrimination of the PCEs in cancer survivors compared to non-cancer participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. METHODS: We evaluated the PCEs' performance among 1244 cancer survivors and 3849 cancer-free participants who were free of ASCVD at the start of follow-up. Each cancer survivor was incidence-density matched with up to five controls by age, race, sex, and study center. Follow-up began at the first study visit at least 1 year after the diagnosis date of the cancer survivor and finished at the ASCVD event, death, or end of follow-up. Calibration and discrimination were assessed and compared between cancer survivors and cancer-free participants. RESULTS: Cancer survivors had higher PCE-predicted risk, at 26.1%, compared with 23.1% for cancer-free participants. There were 110 ASCVD events in cancer survivors and 332 ASCVD events in cancer-free participants. The PCEs overestimated ASCVD risk in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants by 45.6% and 47.4%, respectively, with poor discrimination in both groups (C-statistic for cancer survivors = 0.623; for cancer-free participants, C = 0.671). CONCLUSIONS: The PCEs overestimated ASCVD risk in all participants. The performance of the PCEs was similar in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: Our findings suggest that ASCVD risk prediction tools tailored to survivors of adult cancers may not be needed.