Multiple biomarkers measurement to estimate the duration of atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: An accurate estimation of the duration of atrial fibrillation is critical for its safe management. Recent studies suggested that copeptin, carbohydrate antigen-125, galectin-3 and growth differentiation factor-15 are increased in atrial fibrillation. We examined the ability of these markers to identify patients presenting with atrial fibrillation of ≤48 versus >48 h duration. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of a prospective study that included patients with atrial fibrillation of known duration. RESULTS: A total of 98 patients were analysed, 47 with atrial fibrillation ≤48 h and 51 with >48 h. In patients presenting with atrial fibrillation of ≤48 versus >48 h duration, the mean carbohydrate antigen-125 concentration was 16.9 ± 12.5 versus 30.9 ± 36.3 U/mL (P = 0.01), and growth differentiation factor-15 concentration was 1320 ± 889 versus 2608 ±2163 pg/mL (P < 0.001). Copeptin concentration was not independently associated with atrial fibrillation duration. The galectin-3 concentration did not differ between groups. Area under the ROC curve to identify patients with atrial fibrillation ≤48 h was 0.869 for carbohydrate antigen-125, 0.853 for growth differentiation factor-15. CONCLUSION: The plasma concentrations of carbohydrate antigen-125, growth differentiation factor-15 and copeptin, but not galectin-3, are higher in patients presenting with atrial fibrillation of >48 h duration than in those with atrial fibrillation ≤48 h. The ability to discriminate recent atrial fibrillation offered by carbohydrate antigen-125 and growth differentiation factor-15 seems high.