ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: A prognostic model for patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) progressing after platinum-based therapy was constructed from data from the phase III vinflunine trial. However, prognostic information for patients treated with other regimens is limited. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We pooled individual patient data from 7 second-line studies and analyzed the influence of factors of interest on overall survival (OS) through univariate and multivariate analysis. A prognostic model was constructed, and data from an independent series were used for validation. RESULTS: The data from 193 patients were pooled. The second-line chemotherapy regimen was single-agent taxane in 54 patients (28%), a platinum-based combination in 47 (24%), and a non-platinum combination in 92 (48%). On multivariate analysis, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥ 1, hemoglobin < 10 g/dL, and metastatic patterns other than lymph node-only metastasis emerged as independent adverse prognostic factors. Patients with all 3 factors (poor risk), 1 to 2 factors (intermediate risk), and no factors (good risk) had a median OS of 3.1, 8.7, and 16.5 months, respectively (P < .0001). The corresponding median OS for the validation series (n = 44) was 3.3, 8.1, and 13.3 months (P = .023). Furthermore, platinum-based regimens were independently associated with an OS benefit compared with other regimens (hazard ratio, 0.31; 95% confidence interval, 0.18-0.53; P < .0001). CONCLUSION: We have proposed and validated a prognostic model for patients with metastatic UC who were eligible for second-line therapy. The proposed model could prove helpful for risk stratification. Furthermore, our data suggest that testing second-line platinum-based regimens in randomized trials is warranted.
Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/drug therapy , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/drug therapy , Carboplatin/administration & dosage , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/mortality , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/secondary , Cisplatin/administration & dosage , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Lymph Nodes/pathology , Lymphatic Metastasis , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/mortality , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/pathology , Vinblastine/administration & dosage , Vinblastine/analogs & derivativesABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary metastasectomy for sarcoma is a widely accepted practice. Nevertheless, no previous studies has been reported the outcomes following metastasectomy compared with chemotherapy for patients with resectable and isolated pulmonary metastases. Our aim is to compare these modalities for the subset of patients with resectable metastases. Furthermore, the outcomes for patients with unresectable lung metastases are reported. METHODS: Sarcoma patients with isolated lung metastases were identified and their computed axial tomography scans were reviewed by a thoracic surgeons' committee. Patients were divided into three groups: A: patients with resectable metastases treated with metastasectomy (n=29), B: patients with resectable metastases who received systemic therapy (n=17) and C: patients with unresectable metastases (n=25). Survival outcomes were plotted and compared through log-rank test for osteosarcoma and non-osteosarcoma patients. RESULTS: Seventy-one patients (32 with osteosarcoma and 39 with non-osteosarcoma) were eligible. Progression-free survival (PFS) was superior in patients who belonged to Group A compared with Groups B and C (8.0, 4.3 and 2.2 months, respectively, P=0.0002). Furthermore, overall survival (OS) was superior in patients who belonged to Group A compared with Groups B and C (39.6, 20.0 and 7.8 months, respectively, P<0.0001). A subanalysis for osteosarcoma patients showed superior PFS and OS for Group A vs B (median PFS 21.6 and 3.65 months, respectively, P=0.011 and median OS 34.0 and 12.4 months, respectively, P=0.0044). For non-osteosarcoma patients, there were no such significant survival differences between Groups A and B. Overall, patients who belonged to Group A had significantly lower mean percentage of their follow-up time spent admitted at hospital, and a trend towards lower requirements for home oxygen therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Pulmonary metastasectomy is associated with improved survival of osteosarcoma patients with resectable lung metastases. For non-osteosarcoma patients, the survival benefit of metastasectomy over chemotherapy is uncertain and warrants further evaluation. Patients with unresectable metastases have poor prognosis.
