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2.
N Engl J Med ; 389(19): 1741-1752, 2023 Nov 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37937776

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In 2021, the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) recommended reporting actionable genotypes in 73 genes associated with diseases for which preventive or therapeutic measures are available. Evaluations of the association of actionable genotypes in these genes with life span are currently lacking. METHODS: We assessed the prevalence of coding and splice variants in genes on the ACMG Secondary Findings, version 3.0 (ACMG SF v3.0), list in the genomes of 57,933 Icelanders. We assigned pathogenicity to all reviewed variants using reported evidence in the ClinVar database, the frequency of variants, and their associations with disease to create a manually curated set of actionable genotypes (variants). We assessed the relationship between these genotypes and life span and further examined the specific causes of death among carriers. RESULTS: Through manual curation of 4405 sequence variants in the ACMG SF v3.0 genes, we identified 235 actionable genotypes in 53 genes. Of the 57,933 participants, 2306 (4.0%) carried at least one actionable genotype. We found shorter median survival among persons carrying actionable genotypes than among noncarriers. Specifically, we found that carrying an actionable genotype in a cancer gene was associated with survival that was 3 years shorter than that among noncarriers, with causes of death among carriers attributed primarily to cancer-related conditions. Furthermore, we found evidence of association between carrying an actionable genotype in certain genes in the cardiovascular disease group and a reduced life span. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of the ACMG SF v3.0 guidelines, we found that approximately 1 in 25 Icelanders carried an actionable genotype and that carrying such a genotype was associated with a reduced life span. (Funded by deCODE Genetics-Amgen.).


Subject(s)
Disease , Genomics , Longevity , Humans , Alleles , Genetic Testing , Genetic Variation , Genotype , Iceland/epidemiology , Longevity/genetics , Disease/genetics , Cardiovascular Diseases/genetics , Neoplasms/genetics
3.
Nat Genet ; 55(12): 2149-2159, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37932435

ABSTRACT

Clonal hematopoiesis (CH) arises when a substantial proportion of mature blood cells is derived from a single hematopoietic stem cell lineage. Using whole-genome sequencing of 45,510 Icelandic and 130,709 UK Biobank participants combined with a mutational barcode method, we identified 16,306 people with CH. Prevalence approaches 50% in elderly participants. Smoking demonstrates a dosage-dependent impact on risk of CH. CH associates with several smoking-related diseases. Contrary to published claims, we find no evidence that CH is associated with cardiovascular disease. We provide evidence that CH is driven by genes that are commonly mutated in myeloid neoplasia and implicate several new driver genes. The presence and nature of a driver mutation alters the risk profile for hematological disorders. Nevertheless, most CH cases have no known driver mutations. A CH genome-wide association study identified 25 loci, including 19 not implicated previously in CH. Splicing, protein and expression quantitative trait loci were identified for CD164 and TCL1A.


Subject(s)
Clonal Hematopoiesis , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Aged , Clonal Hematopoiesis/genetics , Hematopoiesis/genetics , Mutation/genetics , Hematopoietic Stem Cells/metabolism
4.
Nature ; 622(7982): 348-358, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37794188

ABSTRACT

High-throughput proteomics platforms measuring thousands of proteins in plasma combined with genomic and phenotypic information have the power to bridge the gap between the genome and diseases. Here we performed association studies of Olink Explore 3072 data generated by the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project1 on plasma samples from more than 50,000 UK Biobank participants with phenotypic and genotypic data, stratifying on British or Irish, African and South Asian ancestries. We compared the results with those of a SomaScan v4 study on plasma from 36,000 Icelandic people2, for 1,514 of whom Olink data were also available. We found modest correlation between the two platforms. Although cis protein quantitative trait loci were detected for a similar absolute number of assays on the two platforms (2,101 on Olink versus 2,120 on SomaScan), the proportion of assays with such supporting evidence for assay performance was higher on the Olink platform (72% versus 43%). A considerable number of proteins had genomic associations that differed between the platforms. We provide examples where differences between platforms may influence conclusions drawn from the integration of protein levels with the study of diseases. We demonstrate how leveraging the diverse ancestries of participants in the UK Biobank helps to detect novel associations and refine genomic location. Our results show the value of the information provided by the two most commonly used high-throughput proteomics platforms and demonstrate the differences between them that at times provides useful complementarity.


Subject(s)
Blood Proteins , Disease Susceptibility , Genomics , Genotype , Phenotype , Proteomics , Humans , Africa/ethnology , Asia, Southern/ethnology , Biological Specimen Banks , Blood Proteins/analysis , Blood Proteins/genetics , Datasets as Topic , Genome, Human/genetics , Iceland/ethnology , Ireland/ethnology , Plasma/chemistry , Proteome/analysis , Proteome/genetics , Proteomics/methods , Quantitative Trait Loci , United Kingdom
6.
Br J Cancer ; 129(7): 1142-1151, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37596405

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The TNM system is used to assess prognosis after colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosis. Other prognostic factors reported include histopathological assessments of the tumour, tumour mutations and proteins in the blood. As some of these factors are strongly correlated, it is important to evaluate the independent effects they may have on survival. METHODS: Tumour samples from 2162 CRC patients were visually assessed for amount of tumour stroma, severity of lymphocytic infiltrate at the tumour margins and the presence of lymphoid follicles. Somatic mutations in the tumour were assessed for 2134 individuals. Pre-surgical levels of 4963 plasma proteins were measured in 128 individuals. The associations between these features and prognosis were inspected by a Cox Proportional Hazards Model (CPH). RESULTS: Levels of stroma, lymphocytic infiltration and presence of lymphoid follicles all associate with prognosis, along with high tumour mutation burden, high microsatellite instability and TP53 and BRAF mutations. The somatic mutations are correlated with the histopathology and none of the somatic mutations associate with survival in a multivariate analysis. Amount of stroma and lymphocytic infiltration associate with local invasion of tumours. Elevated levels of two plasma proteins, CA-125 and PPP1R1A, associate with a worse prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Tumour stroma and lymphocytic infiltration variables are strongly associated with prognosis of CRC and capture the prognostic effects of tumour mutation status. CA-125 and PPP1R1A may be useful prognostic biomarkers in CRC.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/metabolism , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Microsatellite Instability , Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf/genetics , Mutation
7.
Front Psychol ; 14: 1157315, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37275694

ABSTRACT

With the explosive growth of human knowledge especially in the twenteeth century with even greater facilitation of access to knowledge, the world of even relatively recent great thinkers becomes daunting as seen from a modern viewpoint. Recently, humans ignored the existence of the complex intracellular world of cell organs, giant information molecules such as DNA, societies of specialized worker molecules (proteins), and generally the surprising nanoscale world visible to humanity since only a few decades ago. Moreover, computational power and video technology were inaccessible to all scientists from, for example, Aristotle to Freud, so new views and ideas seem to be expected about phenomena at all scales including nano and human. Some have arrived very recently. Thus urgently needed knowledge about the biology of animal and human behavior received the first Nobel Prize as late as 1973, in Physiology and Medicine, shared by Karl von Frisch, Konrad Lorenz, and Niko Tinbergen. Lorenz's Nobel lecture was entitled "Analogy as a Source of Knowledge" which did not mention self-analogy (self-similarity) as none of the species studied were part of others and knowledge of the nanoscale phenomena at the heart of this article had barely become available. The views and empirical findings presented in this article depend on such recent intracellular nanoscale insights and the development of a set of mathematical patterns, called T-system, of which only two are considered, the self-similar (i.e., parts having a structure similar to the whole) T-pattern and the derived T-string, a T-patterned material string (here, polymer or text). Specially developed algorithms implemented in the THEMETM software for T-pattern detection and analysis (TPA) allowed the detection of interaction T-patterns in humans, animals, and brain neuronal networks, showing self-similarity between animal interaction patterns and neuronal interaction patterns in their brains. TPA of DNA and text also showed unique self-similarity between modern human literate mass societies and the protein societies of their body cells, both with Giant Extra-Individual Purely Informational T-strings (GEIPIT; genomes or textomes) defining the behavioral potentials of their specialized citizens. This kind of society is here called T-society and only exists in humans and proteins, while the self-similarity between them only exists in human T-societies.

8.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 7532, 2022 12 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36477188

ABSTRACT

Population fluctuations are widespread across the animal kingdom, especially in the order Rodentia, which includes many globally important reservoir species for zoonotic pathogens. The implications of these fluctuations for zoonotic spillover remain poorly understood. Here, we report a global empirical analysis of data describing the linkages between habitat use, population fluctuations and zoonotic reservoir status in rodents. Our quantitative synthesis is based on data collated from papers and databases. We show that the magnitude of population fluctuations combined with species' synanthropy and degree of human exploitation together distinguish most rodent reservoirs at a global scale, a result that was consistent across all pathogen types and pathogen transmission modes. Our spatial analyses identified hotspots of high transmission risk, including regions where reservoir species dominate the rodent community. Beyond rodents, these generalities inform our understanding of how natural and anthropogenic factors interact to increase the risk of zoonotic spillover in a rapidly changing world.


Subject(s)
Rodentia , Humans , Animals
9.
Commun Biol ; 5(1): 525, 2022 06 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35650273

ABSTRACT

The characteristic lobulated nuclear morphology of granulocytes is partially determined by composition of nuclear envelope proteins. Abnormal nuclear morphology is primarily observed as an increased number of hypolobulated immature neutrophils, called band cells, during infection or in rare envelopathies like Pelger-Huët anomaly. To search for sequence variants affecting nuclear morphology of granulocytes, we performed a genome-wide association study using band neutrophil fraction from 88,101 Icelanders. We describe 13 sequence variants affecting band neutrophil fraction at nine loci. Five of the variants are at the Lamin B receptor (LBR) locus, encoding an inner nuclear membrane protein. Mutations in LBR are linked to Pelger-Huët anomaly. In addition, we identify cosegregation of a rare stop-gain sequence variant in LBR and Pelger Huët anomaly in an Icelandic eight generation pedigree, initially reported in 1963. Two of the other loci include genes which, like LBR, play a role in the nuclear membrane function and integrity. These GWAS results highlight the role proteins of the inner nuclear membrane have as important for neutrophil nuclear morphology.


Subject(s)
Pelger-Huet Anomaly , Genome-Wide Association Study , Granulocytes/metabolism , Humans , Iceland , Neutrophils/metabolism , Pelger-Huet Anomaly/genetics
10.
Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis ; 22(5): 297-299, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35580214

ABSTRACT

Pathogens might affect behavior of infected reservoir hosts and hence their trappability, which could bias population estimates of pathogen prevalence. In this study, we used snap-trapping data on Puumala orthohantavirus (PUUV)-infected (n = 1619) and noninfected (n = 6940) bank voles (Myodes glareolus) from five vole cycles, normally representing increase, peak, and decline phase, to evaluate if infection status affected trapping success. If PUUV infection, as previously suggested, increases activity and/or mobility, we would expect a higher proportion of infected than noninfected specimens in the first trapping night. However, the proportion of PUUV-infected voles did not differ across the three trapping nights. We conclude that PUUV infection did not affect trapping success, confirming snap trapping as an appropriate trapping method for studies on PUUV prevalence and likely other orthohantaviruses.


Subject(s)
Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome , Puumala virus , Rodent Diseases , Animals , Arvicolinae , Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome/veterinary
11.
Transfus Med ; 32(2): 128-134, 2022 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35212061

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the frequency of iron deficiency (ID) and anaemia in blood donors in Iceland and the impact of serum ferritin (SF) testing policy change. BACKGROUND: Blood donations contribute to ID and/or anaemia in whole blood donors (WBD). SF may be used to monitor blood donor iron stores. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included WBD and new donors (ND) in the Icelandic Blood Bank in 1997-2019. SF was measured for ND and intermittently for WBD until October 2017, but thereafter for all WBD and ND at every visit. In January 2018, the SF threshold increased from 14 to 16 µg/L for ND and from 8 to 10 µg/L for WBD. RESULTS: The study included 85 370 SF results from 243 369 visits of 32 910 donors. Median SF was higher for males than females, both for ND (88.0 vs. 31.2 µg/L, p < 0.001) and WBD (before 2018: 43.0 vs. 22.0 µg/L, p < 0.001). After the policy change in 2018, median SF increased for both male WBD (to 45.2 µg/L, p < 0.001) and female WBD (to 25.7 µg/L, p < 0.001). ID (SF <15 µg/L) was present in 10.6% of female ND and 0.5% of male ND. After policy change, the proportion of WB donations associated with ID decreased for males (from 6.4% to 4.0%) and females (from 18.9% to 14.1%). ID anaemia was present at some time in 3.7% of female WBD and 1.2% of male WBD. CONCLUSION: This nationwide study showed that ID in WB donors is common, especially among females, but monitoring SF may improve donor management.


Subject(s)
Anemia, Iron-Deficiency , Anemia , Iron Deficiencies , Anemia, Iron-Deficiency/epidemiology , Blood Donors , Female , Humans , Iceland/epidemiology , Iron , Male
12.
Ambio ; 51(3): 508-517, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34228253

ABSTRACT

Many zoonotic diseases are weather sensitive, raising concern how their distribution and outbreaks will be affected by climate change. At northern high latitudes, the effect of global warming on especially winter conditions is strong. By using long term monitoring data (1980-1986 and 2003-2013) from Northern Europe on temperature, precipitation, an endemic zoonotic pathogen (Puumala orthohantavirus, PUUV) and its reservoir host (the bank vole, Myodes glareolus), we show that early winters have become increasingly wet, with a knock-on effect on pathogen transmission in its reservoir host population. Further, our study is the first to show a climate change effect on an endemic northern zoonosis, that is not induced by increased host abundance or distribution, demonstrating that climate change can also alter transmission intensity within host populations. Our results suggest that rainy early winters accelerate PUUV transmission in bank voles in winter, likely increasing the human zoonotic risk in the North.


Subject(s)
Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome , Puumala virus , Animals , Arvicolinae , Climate Change , Humans , Seasons
13.
Nat Genet ; 53(12): 1712-1721, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34857953

ABSTRACT

The plasma proteome can help bridge the gap between the genome and diseases. Here we describe genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of plasma protein levels measured with 4,907 aptamers in 35,559 Icelanders. We found 18,084 associations between sequence variants and levels of proteins in plasma (protein quantitative trait loci; pQTL), of which 19% were with rare variants (minor allele frequency (MAF) < 1%). We tested plasma protein levels for association with 373 diseases and other traits and identified 257,490 associations. We integrated pQTL and genetic associations with diseases and other traits and found that 12% of 45,334 lead associations in the GWAS Catalog are with variants in high linkage disequilibrium with pQTL. We identified 938 genes encoding potential drug targets with variants that influence levels of possible biomarkers. Combining proteomics, genomics and transcriptomics, we provide a valuable resource that can be used to improve understanding of disease pathogenesis and to assist with drug discovery and development.


Subject(s)
Blood Proteins/genetics , Disease/genetics , Proteome/genetics , Biomarkers/blood , Blood Proteins/metabolism , Female , Gene Frequency , Genetic Variation , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Quantitative Trait Loci
14.
Commun Biol ; 4(1): 1132, 2021 09 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34580418

ABSTRACT

Platelets play an important role in hemostasis and other aspects of vascular biology. We conducted a meta-analysis of platelet count GWAS using data on 536,974 Europeans and identified 577 independent associations. To search for mechanisms through which these variants affect platelets, we applied cis-expression quantitative trait locus, DEPICT and IPA analyses and assessed genetic sharing between platelet count and various traits using polygenic risk scoring. We found genetic sharing between platelet count and counts of other blood cells (except red blood cells), in addition to several other quantitative traits, including markers of cardiovascular, liver and kidney functions, height, and weight. Platelet count polygenic risk score was predictive of myeloproliferative neoplasms, rheumatoid arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, hypertension, and benign prostate hyperplasia. Taken together, these results advance understanding of diverse aspects of platelet biology and how they affect biological processes in health and disease.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/analysis , Genetic Variation , Phenotype , Platelet Count , Quantitative Trait Loci , Female , Humans , Male
15.
Viruses ; 13(7)2021 07 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34372523

ABSTRACT

The picornavirus named 'Ljungan virus' (LV, species Parechovirus B) has been detected in a dozen small mammal species from across Europe, but detailed information on its genetic diversity and host specificity is lacking. Here, we analyze the evolutionary relationships of LV variants circulating in free-living mammal populations by comparing the phylogenetics of the VP1 region (encoding the capsid protein and associated with LV serotype) and the 3Dpol region (encoding the RNA polymerase) from 24 LV RNA-positive animals and a fragment of the 5' untranslated region (UTR) sequence (used for defining strains) in sympatric small mammals. We define three new VP1 genotypes: two in bank voles (Myodes glareolus) (genotype 8 from Finland, Sweden, France, and Italy, and genotype 9 from France and Italy) and one in field voles (Microtus arvalis) (genotype 7 from Finland). There are several other indications that LV variants are host-specific, at least in parts of their range. Our results suggest that LV evolution is rapid, ongoing and affected by genetic drift, purifying selection, spillover and host evolutionary history. Although recent studies suggest that LV does not have zoonotic potential, its widespread geographical and host distribution in natural populations of well-characterized small mammals could make it useful as a model for studying RNA virus evolution and transmission.


Subject(s)
Evolution, Molecular , Host Specificity , Mammals/virology , Parechovirus/classification , Parechovirus/genetics , Phylogeny , Picornaviridae Infections/epidemiology , 5' Untranslated Regions , Animals , Europe/epidemiology , Genetic Variation , Genotype , Mammals/classification , Picornaviridae Infections/virology
16.
Semin Hematol ; 58(3): 131, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34389104

Subject(s)
Biology , Iron , Humans
17.
Viruses ; 13(7)2021 06 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34203238

ABSTRACT

The development of new diagnostic methods resulted in the discovery of novel hepaciviruses in wild populations of the bank vole (Myodes glareolus, syn. Clethrionomys glareolus). The naturally infected voles demonstrate signs of hepatitis similar to those induced by hepatitis C virus (HCV) in humans. The aim of the present research was to investigate the geographical distribution of bank vole-associated hepaciviruses (BvHVs) and their genetic diversity in Europe. Real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) screening revealed BvHV RNA in 442 out of 1838 (24.0%) bank voles from nine European countries and in one of seven northern red-backed voles (Myodes rutilus, syn. Clethrionomys rutilus). BvHV RNA was not found in any other small mammal species (n = 23) tested here. Phylogenetic and isolation-by-distance analyses confirmed the occurrence of both BvHV species (Hepacivirus F and Hepacivirus J) and their sympatric occurrence at several trapping sites in two countries. The broad geographical distribution of BvHVs across Europe was associated with their presence in bank voles of different evolutionary lineages. The extensive geographical distribution and high levels of genetic diversity of BvHVs, as well as the high population fluctuations of bank voles and occasional commensalism in some parts of Europe warrant future studies on the zoonotic potential of BvHVs.


Subject(s)
Arvicolinae/virology , Genetic Variation , Hepacivirus/genetics , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/veterinary , Animals , Animals, Wild/virology , Europe , Female , Hepacivirus/classification , Hepatitis C/transmission , Humans , Male , Mammals/virology , Phylogeny , Rodentia/virology
18.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 3633, 2021 06 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34131116

ABSTRACT

A pressing concern in the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and other viral outbreaks, is the extent to which the containment measures are halting the viral spread. A straightforward way to assess this is to tally the active cases and the recovered ones throughout the epidemic. Here, we show how epidemic control can be assessed with molecular information during a well characterized epidemic in Iceland. We demonstrate how the viral concentration decreased in those newly diagnosed as the epidemic transitioned from exponential growth phase to containment phase. The viral concentration in the cases identified in population screening decreased faster than in those symptomatic and considered at high risk and that were targeted by the healthcare system. The viral concentration persists in recovering individuals as we found that half of the cases are still positive after two weeks. We demonstrate that accumulation of mutations in SARS-CoV-2 genome can be exploited to track the rate of new viral generations throughout the different phases of the epidemic, where the accumulation of mutations decreases as the transmission rate decreases in the containment phase. Overall, the molecular signatures of SARS-CoV-2 infections contain valuable epidemiological information that can be used to assess the effectiveness of containment measures.


Subject(s)
Benchmarking/methods , COVID-19/epidemiology , Epidemics , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Animals , COVID-19/virology , Humans , Iceland/epidemiology , Molecular Epidemiology , Mutation , RNA, Viral
19.
Commun Biol ; 4(1): 655, 2021 06 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34079037

ABSTRACT

Soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a chronic inflammation marker associated with the development of a range of diseases, including cancer and cardiovascular disease. The genetics of suPAR remain unexplored but may shed light on the biology of the marker and its connection to outcomes. We report a heritability estimate of 60% for the variation in suPAR and performed a genome-wide association meta-analysis on suPAR levels measured in Iceland (N = 35,559) and in Denmark (N = 12,177). We identified 13 independently genome-wide significant sequence variants associated with suPAR across 11 distinct loci. Associated variants were found in and around genes encoding uPAR (PLAUR), its ligand uPA (PLAU), the kidney-disease-associated gene PLA2R1 as well as genes with relations to glycosylation, glycoprotein biosynthesis, and the immune response. These findings provide new insight into the causes of variation in suPAR plasma levels, which may clarify suPAR's potential role in associated diseases, as well as the underlying mechanisms that give suPAR its prognostic value as a unique marker of chronic inflammation.


Subject(s)
Receptors, Urokinase Plasminogen Activator/blood , Receptors, Urokinase Plasminogen Activator/genetics , Adolescent , Adult , Biomarkers/blood , C-Reactive Protein/genetics , C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Chromosome Mapping , Cohort Studies , Female , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Inflammation Mediators/blood , Male , Multifactorial Inheritance , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Quantitative Trait, Heritable
20.
Arthritis Rheumatol ; 73(11): 2025-2034, 2021 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33982893

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Biomarkers for diagnosis and progression of osteoarthritis (OA) are lacking. This study was undertaken to identify circulating biomarkers for OA that could predict disease occurrence and/or progression to joint replacement. METHODS: Using the SomaScan platform, we measured 4,792 proteins in plasma from 37,278 individuals, of whom 12,178 individuals had OA and 2,524 had undergone joint replacement. We performed a case-control study for identification of potential protein biomarkers for hip, knee, and/or hand OA, and a prospective study for identification of biomarkers for joint replacement. RESULTS: Among the large panel of plasma proteins assessed, cartilage acidic protein 1 (CRTAC1) was the most strongly associated with both OA diagnosis (odds ratio 1.46 [95% confidence interval 1.41-1.52] for knee OA, odds ratio 1.36 [95% confidence interval 1.29-1.43] for hip OA, and odds ratio 1.33 [95% confidence interval 1.26-1.40] for hand OA) and progression to joint replacement (hazard ratio 1.40 [95% confidence interval 1.30-1.51] for knee replacement and hazard ratio 1.31 [95% confidence interval 1.19-1.45] for hip replacement). Patients with OA who were in the highest quintile of risk of joint replacement, based on known risk factors (i.e., age, sex, and body mass index) and plasma CRTAC1 level, were 16 times more likely to undergo knee replacement within 5 years of plasma sample collection than those in the lowest quintile, and 6.5 times more likely to undergo hip replacement. CRTAC1 was not associated with other types of inflammatory arthritis. A specific protein profile was identified in those patients who had undergone joint replacement prior to plasma sample collection. CONCLUSION: Through a hypothesis-free approach, we identified CRTAC1 in plasma as a novel promising candidate biomarker for OA that is both associated with occurrence of OA and predictive of progression to joint replacement. This biomarker might also be useful in the selection of suitable patients for clinical trial enrollment.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement , Calcium-Binding Proteins/blood , Osteoarthritis/blood , Adult , Aged , Biomarkers/blood , Case-Control Studies , Disease Progression , Female , Humans , Iceland , Male , Middle Aged , Osteoarthritis/diagnosis , Osteoarthritis/surgery , Prospective Studies , Proteomics
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