Clinical Outcomes in a Large Canadian Centralized CLL Clinic Based on Treatment and Molecular Factors over a Decade.

FISH cytogenetics, TP53 sequencing, and IGHV mutational status are increasingly used as prognostic and predictive markers in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), particularly as components of the CLL International Prognostic Index (CLL-IPI) and in directing therapy with novel agents. However, testing outside of clinical trials is not routinely available in Canada. As a centralized CLL clinic at CancerCare Manitoba, we are the first Canadian province to evaluate clinical outcomes and survivorship over a long period of time, incorporating the impact of molecular testing and the CLL-IPI score. We performed a retrospective analysis on 1315 patients diagnosed between 1960 and 2018, followed over a 12-year period, where 411 patients had molecular testing and 233 patients had a known CLL-IPI score at the time of treatment. Overall, 40.3% (n = 530) of patients received treatment, and 47.5% (n = 252) of patients received multiple lines of therapy. High-risk FISH and CLL-IPI (4-10) were associated with higher mortality (HR 2.03, p = 0.001; HR 2.64, p = 0.002), consistent with other studies. Over time, there was an increase in the use of targeted agents in treated patients. The use of Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitors improved survival in patients with unmutated IGHV and/or TP53 aberrations (HR 2.20, p = 0.001). The major cause of death in patients who received treatment was treatment/disease-related (32%, n = 42) and secondary malignancies (57%, n = 53) in those who were treatment-naïve. Our data demonstrate the importance of molecular testing in determining survivorship in CLL and underpinning the likely immune differences in outcomes for those treated for CLL.

White blood cell count trajectory and mortality in septic shock: a historical cohort study.

PURPOSE: Septic shock is associated with a mortality of 20-40%. The white blood cell count (WBC) at hospital admission correlates with prognosis in septic shock. Here, we explore whether the trajectory of WBC after admission provides further information about outcomes. We aimed to identify groups of patients with different WBC trajectories and the association of WBC trajectory with mortality. METHODS: We included adult patients with septic shock in two academic intensive care units (ICU) in Winnipeg, MB, Canada between 2006 and 2012. We used group-based trajectory analysis to group patients according to their WBC patterns over the first seven days in the ICU. Our primary analysis was the association of WBC trajectory group on 30-day mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: We included 917 patients with septic shock. The final model identified seven distinct WBC trajectories. The rising WBC trajectory was independently associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio, 3.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.86 to 6.26; P < 0.001) compared with the stable WBC trajectory. CONCLUSION: In patients with septic shock, distinct and clinically relevant groups can be identified by analyzing WBC trajectories. A rising WBC trajectory was associated with higher mortality.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Le choc septique est associé à une mortalité de 20 à 40 %. La numération leucocytaire à l'admission à l'hôpital est corrélée au pronostic en cas de choc septique. Dans ce manuscrit, nous tentons de déterminer si l'évolution de la numération leucocytaire après l'admission fournit plus d'informations sur les devenirs. Nous avons cherché à identifier des groupes de patients présentant différentes trajectoires d'évolution de numération leucocytaire et l'association entre l'évolution de la numération et la mortalité. MéTHODE: Nous avons inclus des patients adultes atteints d'un choc septique dans deux unités de soins intensifs (USI) universitaires à Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada entre 2006 et 2012. Nous avons utilisé une analyse de l'évolution basée sur le groupe pour regrouper les patients en fonction du type d'évolution de la numération leucocytaire au cours des sept premiers jours à l'USI. Notre analyse principale consistait à déterminer l'association entre le groupe d'évolution de numération leucocytaire et la mortalité à 30 jours en utilisant une régression multivariable à risque proportionnel de Cox. RéSULTATS: Nous avons inclus 917 patients atteints de choc septique. Le modèle final a identifié sept types de trajectoire d'évolution de numération leucocytaire distincts. Une évolution ascendante de la numération leucocytaire était indépendamment associée à une augmentation de la mortalité (rapport de risque, 3,41; intervalle de confiance à 95 %, 1,86 à 6,26; P < 0,001) par rapport à une évolution de numération leucocytaire stable. CONCLUSION: Chez les patients atteints de choc septique, des groupes distincts et cliniquement pertinents peuvent être identifiés en analysant les trajectoires d'évolution de la numération leucocytaire. Une évolution ascendante de la numération leucocytaire était associée à une mortalité plus élevée.

Relative vaccine efficacy of high-dose versus standard-dose influenza vaccines in preventing probable influenza in a Medicare Fee-for-Service population.

BACKGROUND: High-dose (HD) influenza vaccine, currently the most commonly used vaccine among US seniors (aged ≥ 65 years), has been shown to be more efficacious than standard-dose (SD) vaccine in multiple randomized trials. This study evaluated the real-world relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of HD vs SD over four influenza seasons. METHODS: This study included Medicare Fee-for-Service enrollees who received HD or SD at an outpatient clinic or pharmacy during influenza seasons 2011-2012 through 2014-2015. Probable influenza (an inpatient stay with an influenza diagnosis on the claim, or an outpatient visit with a rapid influenza test/culture followed by an antiviral prescription) was assessed among HD recipients matched 1:1 with SD recipients by location, vaccination date, age, and sex. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models with competing risk of death were used to adjust for residual confounding. Analyses were stratified by outpatient vs pharmacy vaccination. RESULTS: Across the four influenza seasons, there were 535,598, 1,017,552, 1,548,164, and 2,420,450 in the pharmacy cohort; and 821,662, 1,151,080, 1,559,488, and 2,421,758 in the outpatient cohort. During peak influenza season, rVEs for 2011-12 through 2014-15 were 21.8% (95% CI: -5.9%, 42.3%), 14.8% (9.3%, 19.9%), 16.9% (9.2%, 23.9%), and 17.2% (14.5%, 19.9%), respectively, in the pharmacy cohort; and 16.5% (-5.9%, 34.2%), 15.1% (10.9%, 19.1%), 10.0% (2.9%, 16.6%), and -0.2% (-3.0%, 2.5%), respectively, in the outpatient cohort. CONCLUSION: HD was consistently associated with better protection against probable influenza. The lower treatment effect observed in the outpatient cohort could reflect provider bias due to physicians triaging HD to frailer patients.

Risk factors for skin cancer and solid tumors in newly diagnosed patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia and the impact of skin surveillance on survival.

A retrospective analysis on 587 patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) assessed risk factors for skin cancer and the influence of skin cancers on survival and incidence of solid tumors (STs). Patients underwent skin surveillance and were followed for a median of 6.65 years. The relative risk for skin cancer increased prior to CLL diagnosis rising 4-fold one-year post-diagnosis. Independent predictors for skin cancer were male gender (p = .0001), age ≥70 years (p = .0036) and prior chemotherapy (p = .0116). There was no increase in mortality from skin cancer and neither skin cancer nor chemotherapy increased the risk for a ST. The development of a ST was an independent predictor of survival (p < .0001) and 43% of deaths were related to STs. Thus, regular skin surveillance can prevent increased mortality from skin cancer, but not STs, in CLL. Close skin monitoring is required for elderly males who received chemotherapy.

Assessing the risk of intussusception and rotavirus vaccine safety in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Intussusception has been identified as a rare adverse event following rotavirus immunization. We sought to determine the incidence of intussusception among infants in Canada both before and after introduction of rotavirus immunization programs. METHODS: We used Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI) Discharge Abstract Database (DAD) to identify infants under 1 y of age who were admitted to a Canadian hospital, which the exception of Quebec, which does not submit data to CIHI, with a diagnosis of intussusception (ICD-10 code K56.1, and ICD-9 code 560) between January 1st, 2003 and December 31, 2013. We compared rates of intussusception hospitalization before and after rotavirus vaccine program introduction. Rates were adjusted for calendar year, age (in months), sex and region using Poisson regression models. Denominator data for infants under 1 year, stratified by age in months, were obtained from Statistics Canada. RESULTS: Annual intussusception hospitalization rates ranged from 20-30 per 100,000 infants over the study period, with no evidence of a trend over time. Intussusception hospitalization rates were highest in infants 4 to <8 months and lowest in those under 2 months or between 10 and <12 months. Males had higher rates than females both overall and within each age group. The rate of intussusception hospitalization after rotavirus vaccine program introduction was 22.4 (95% CI: 18.3, 27.4) compared to 23.4 (95% CI: 21.5, 25.4) per 100,000 before program introduction. CONCLUSIONS: We have described baseline intussusception hospitalization rates for infants in Canada and have found no evidence of a change in rate after implementation of routine rotavirus immunization programs.

The use of relative incidence ratios in self-controlled case series studies: an overview.

BACKGROUND: The self-controlled case series (SCCS) is a useful design for investigating associations between outcomes and transient exposures. The SCCS design controls for all fixed covariates, but effect modification can still occur. This can be evaluated by including interaction terms in the model which, when exponentiated, can be interpreted as a relative incidence ratio (RIR): the change in relative incidence (RI) for a unit change in an effect modifier. METHODS: We conducted a scoping review to investigate the use of RIRs in published primary SCCS studies, and conducted a case-study in one of our own primary SCCS studies to illustrate the use of RIRs within an SCCS analysis to investigate subgroup effects in the context of comparing whole cell (wcp) and acellular (acp) pertussis vaccines. Using this case study, we also illustrated the potential utility of RIRs in addressing the healthy vaccinee effect (HVE) in vaccine safety surveillance studies. RESULTS: Our scoping review identified 122 primary studies reporting an SCCS analysis. Of these, 24 described the use of interaction terms to test for effect modification. 21 of 24 studies reported stratum specific RIs, 22 of 24 reported the p-value for interaction, and less than half (10 of 24) reported the estimate of the interaction term/RIR, the stratum specific RIs and interaction p-values. Our case-study demonstrated that there was a nearly two-fold greater RI of ER visits and admissions following wcp vaccination relative to acp vaccination (RIR = 1.82, 95 % CI 1.64-2.01), where RI estimates in each subgroup were clearly impacted by a strong healthy vaccinee effect. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated in our scoping review that calculating RIRs is not a widely utilized strategy. We showed that calculating RIRs across time periods is useful for the detection of relative changes in adverse event rates that might otherwise be missed due to the HVE. Many published studies of vaccine-associated adverse events could have missed/underestimated important safety signals masked by the HVE. With further development, our application of RIRs could be an important tool to address the HVE, particularly in the context of self-controlled study designs.

Postal recruitment and consent obtainment from index cases of narcolepsy.

BACKGROUND: Access to research volunteers may be hampered by low numbers of cases and few eligible participants for rare diseases in clinical settings. METHODS: We recruited volunteers and obtained informed consent by mail from narcolepsy cases in a case-control study, and here in we report feasibility, response rate, timeliness and cost. We invited index cases into the study by mail through their care-giving physicians then mailed study information and consent forms to cases that indicated interest in the study. RESULTS: Of the 33 index cases invited, 15 (45.0%) expressed interest in the study, and of those, 14 (93.3%) returned their signed informed consents by mail. The median number of days from invitation to consent return was 39, interquartile range = 45, and the cost per consent obtained from the recruited subjects was $ 23.61. CONCLUSION: In this setting, postal recruitment for biomedical research on rare conditions is feasible and time and cost effective.

Acute promyelocytic leukaemia is characterized by stable incidence and improved survival that is restricted to patients managed in leukaemia referral centres: a pan-Canadian epidemiological study.

Timely diagnosis and care are major determinants of the outcome in acute promyelocytic leukaemia (APL), a malignancy whose incidence may be increasing. The Canadian Cancer Registry (CCR) and health system represent valuable settings to study APL epidemiology. We analysed the CCR, which contains data on all Canadians with APL. To provide clinical information lacking in the CCR, we obtained data from five leukaemia referral centres during a similar time period. Between 1993 and 2007, there were 399 APL in Canada. Age-standardized incidence was 0·083/100,000 and was stable over time. The early death (ED) rate was 21·8% (10·6% in patients <50 years old and 35·5% for those aged >50 years), with no improvement over time. Five-year overall survival (OS) was 54·6% (73·3% in patients <50 years; 29·1% older patients). In the referral cohort, 131 patients were diagnosed between 1999 and 2010. ED was 14·6% and 2-year OS was 76·5%. Within this cohort, ED and OS improved over time, although advanced patient age remained an adverse determinant of OS. In Canada, APL incidence is unexpectedly low and temporally stable. ED was higher than reported in clinical trials, but similar to reports from other registries. In contrast, ED was lower in referral centres and improved with time.

Innovative technology for web-based data management during an outbreak.

Lack of automated and integrated data collection and management, and poor linkage of clinical, epidemiological and laboratory data during an outbreak can inhibit effective and timely outbreak investigation and response. This paper describes an innovative web-based technology, referred to as Web Data, developed for the rapid set-up and provision of interactive and adaptive data management during outbreak situations. We also describe the benefits and limitations of the Web Data technology identified through a questionnaire that was developed to evaluate the use of Web Data implementation and application during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic by Winnipeg Regional Health Authority and Provincial Laboratory for Public Health of Alberta. Some of the main benefits include: improved and secure data access, increased efficiency and reduced error, enhanced electronic collection and transfer of data, rapid creation and modification of the database, conversion of specimen-level to case-level data, and user-defined data extraction and query capabilities. Areas requiring improvement include: better understanding of privacy policies, increased capability for data sharing and linkages between jurisdictions to alleviate data entry duplication.

Risk factors for stunting among under-fives in Libya.

OBJECTIVE: Stunting is a chronic condition reflecting poor nutrition and health. Our aim was to ascertain major predictors of stunting in children <5 years old in Libya. POPULATION AND METHODS: A nationally representative, cross-sectional, two-stage stratified cluster sample survey enrolled 4549 under-fives from 6707 households. Logistic regression was used to determine individual risk factors in bivariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Anthropometric measurements were available for 4498 children. Among the 929 stunted children (20.7 %), 495 were boys (53.3 %) and 434 were girls (46.5 %). In multivariate analysis, risk factors were young age (1-2 years: OR = 2.32, 95 % CI 1.67, 3.22; 2-3 years: OR = 1.64, 95 % CI 1.22, 2.21), resident of Al-Akhdar (OR = 1.67, 95 % CI 1.08, 2.58), being a boy (OR = 1.28, 95 % CI 1.05, 1.55), having a less educated father (illiterate: OR = 2.10, 95 % CI 1.17, 3.77; preparatory school: OR = 1.71, 95 % CI 1.11, 2.65), poor psychosocial stimulation (no family visits or trips: OR = 1.52, 95 % CI 1.07, 2.16; father rarely/never plays with child: OR = 2.24, 95 % CI 1.20, 4.16), filtered water (OR = 8.45, 95 % CI 2.31, 30.95), throwing garbage in the street (OR = 13.81, 95 % CI 2.33, 81.72), diarrhoea (OR = 1.58, 95 % CI 1.09, 2.29) and low birth weight (OR = 1.8, 95 % CI 1.17, 2.40). Protective factors were older age of father (OR = 0.53, 95 % CI 0.32, 0.90) and water storage (OR = 0.70, 95 % CI 0.54, 0.90). These variables only explained 20 % of cases of stunting. CONCLUSION: Various multilevel actions are needed to improve nutritional status of under-fives in Libya. At risk-groups include those with young age (1-3 years), resident of Al-Akhdar region, boys, father's low educational level, poor psychosocial stimulation, poor housing environment, diarrhoea and low birth weight.

Comparison of psychosocial outcomes in head and neck cancer patients receiving a coping strategies intervention and control subjects receiving no intervention.

This feasibility study aimed at comparing psychosocial outcomes in head and neck cancer patients receiving the Nucare program with a group of control subjects receiving no intervention. A prospective, nonrandomized study design was used. The Nucare program, a short-term psychoeducational coping strategies intervention, was the test intervention. Control subjects were matched to intervention subjects by cancer stage and time since cancer diagnosis. Outcomes were quality of life and depressive symptoms evaluated at baseline and 3 to 4 months later. One hundred thirty-eight subjects were recruited, and outcome data were available on 101 subjects. At outcome evaluation, compared with their baseline scores, the intervention group had improved physical and social functioning, global quality of life, fatigue, sleep disturbance, and depressive symptoms; the control group showed no changes in quality of life or depressive symptoms. The results suggest that the Nucare program may improve quality of life and reduce depressive symptoms in head and neck cancer patients.