Age-specific mortality trends in heart failure over 25 years: a retrospective Danish nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Despite advances in heart failure care reducing mortality in clinical trials, it remains unclear whether real-life cohorts have had similar improvements in life expectancy across the age spectrum. We aimed to investigate how mortality trends changed in patients with heart failure over the past 25 years, stratified by age groups. METHODS: Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients with new-onset heart failure aged 18-95 years. The 5-year all-cause mortality risk and the absolute risk difference of mortality between patients with heart failure and age-matched and sex-matched heart failure-free controls were assessed using Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression models. Mortality trends were analysed across five calendar periods (1996-2000, 2001-05, 2006-10, 2011-15, and 2016-20) and three age groups (<65 years, 65-79 years, and ≥80 years). FINDINGS: 194 997 patients with heart failure were included. Mortality significantly decreased from 1996-2000 (66% [95% CI 65·5-66·4]) to 2016-20 (43% [42·1-43·4]), with similar results shown in all age groups (<65 years: 35% [33·9-36·1] to 15% [14·6-16·3]; 65-79 years: 64% [63·1-64·5] to 39% [37·6-39·6]; and ≥80 years: 84% [83·1-84·3] to 73% [71·7-73·9]). Adjusted mortality rates supported these associations. The absolute risk difference declined notably in younger age groups (<65 years: 29·9% [28·8-31·0] to 12·7% [12·0-13·4] and 65-79 years: 41·1% [40·3-41·9] to 25·1% [24·4-25·8]), remaining relatively stable in those aged 80 years or older (30·6% [29·9-31·3] to 28% [27·2-28·8]). INTERPRETATION: Over 25 years, there has been a consistent decrease in mortality among patients with heart failure across age groups, albeit less prominently in patients aged 80 years or older. Further insight is needed to identify effective strategies for improving disease burden in older patients with heart failure. FUNDING: None. TRANSLATION: For the Danish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists according to level of frailty in people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in Denmark: a cross-sectional, nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Whether frailty influences the initiation of two cardioprotective diabetes drug therapies (ie, SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists) in people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease is unknown. We aimed to assess rates of initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists according to frailty in people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. METHODS: For this cross-sectional, nationwide study, all people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in Denmark between Jan 1, 2015, and Dec 31, 2021, from six Danish health-data registers were identified. People younger than 40 years, with end-stage renal disease, with registered contraindications to SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists, or with previous use of either drug therapy were excluded. The Hospital Frailty Risk Score was used to categorise people as either non-frail, moderately frail, or severely frail. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyse the association between frailty and initiation of an SGLT2 inhibitor or a GLP-1 receptor agonist. FINDINGS: Of 119 390 people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease, 103 790 were included. Median follow-up time was 4·5 years (IQR 2·7-6·1) and median age across the three frailty groups was 71 years (64-79). 65 959 (63·6%) of 103 790 people were male and 37 831 (36·5%) were female. At index date, 66 910 (64·5%) people were non-frail, 29 250 (28·2%) were moderately frail, and 7630 (7·4%) were severely frail. Frailty was associated with a significantly lower probability of initiating therapy with an SGLT2 inhibitor or a GLP-1 receptor agonist than in people who were non-frail (moderately frail hazard ratio 0·91, 95% CI 0·88-0·94, p<0·0001; severely frail 0·75, 0·70-0·80, p<0·0001). This association persisted after adjustment for age, sex, socioeconomic status, year of inclusion, duration of type 2 diabetes, duration of cardiovascular disease, polypharmacy, and comorbidity. INTERPRETATION: In people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in Denmark, frailty was associated with a significantly lower probability of SGLT2-inhibitor or GLP-1 receptor-agonist initiation, despite their benefits. Formulating clear and updated guidelines on the use of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists in people who are frail with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease should be a priority. FUNDING: Department of Cardiology, Herlev and Gentofte University Hospital. TRANSLATION: For the Danish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Initiation of Medical Therapy for Heart Failure Patients According to Kidney Function: A Danish Nationwide Study.

Background: Use of medical therapies for heart failure (HF) patients with moderate kidney dysfunction is low. We hypothesized that lack of initiation of HF therapy reflects the clinicians' reluctance in very elderly and frail patients more than kidney dysfunction itself. Methods: HF patients were identified from nationwide registers between 2014 and 2021. Information was obtained on eGFR, frailty status, and prescription of HF therapy. Patients were divided into three groups: normal kidney function (eGFR ≥ 60); moderate kidney dysfunction (GFR between 30 and 59); and severe kidney dysfunction (GFR < 30). Multivariate Cox models were used to study the association of eGFR, age, and frailty with use of HF therapy. Results: Of the 42,320 HF patients included those with lower eGFR were significantly older and frailer (median age 74.3 years and 37.8% frail). The crude initiation rate of all three drug classes decreased with decreasing eGFR in a stepwise fashion. After adjusting for age and frailty status, initiation of MRA decreased with decreasing kidney function (moderate kidney function HR 0.80(95% CI 0.77-0.84) and severe kidney function HR 0.24(0.21-0.27)). After adjusting for age and frailty status, initiation of RAS inhibitor and BB was not significantly lower for moderate kidney dysfunction (HR 0.97(0.93-1.02), and HR 1.06(0.97-1.16, respectively)). Initiation of RAS inhibitor was significantly lower for patients with severe kidney dysfunction, HR 0.45(0.41-0.50), but not for BB initiation HR 1.09(1.05-1.14). Conclusion: In a real-world HF cohort, patients with moderate and severe kidney dysfunction were associated with reduced use of MRA irrespective of age and frailty. Reduced use of RASi was associated with severe kidney dysfunction, whereas for patients with moderate kidney dysfunction, reduced use was mainly driven by aging and frailty. Reduced use of BB seemed to be primarily explained by aging and frailty.

Discontinuation and reinitiation of SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1R agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes: a nationwide study from 2013 to 2021.

Background: Small observational studies have observed poor persistency to sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2-i) and glucacon-like-peptide-1-receptor agonists (GLP1-RA), contrary to what has been reported in clinical trials. Therefore, we investigated the risk of discontinuing SGLT2-is and GLP1-RAs in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in a nationwide population. Methods: From Danish nationwide registers, all first-time users of SGLT2-is and GLP1-RAs from 2013 to 2021 were identified. Adherence over the first year of therapy, the five-year risk of discontinuing therapy for the first time and the subsequent one-year probability of reinitiating therapy, was assessed. The Aalen-Johansen estimator was used to account for censoring and competing risks and multivariable Cox regression models were used to identify covariates associated with discontinuation. Findings: A total of 77,745 first-time users of SGLT2-is (64% male, median age 64 [interquartile range 56-72]) and 56,037 first-time users of GLP1-RAs (56% male, median age 61 [53-70]) were included. The absolute five-year risk of discontinuing therapy was 56% (95% CI: 55-57) and 45% (45-46) for SGLT2-i- and GLP1-RA users, respectively, with a significantly decreased risk over the period studied. The subsequent one-year probability of reinitiating therapy was 24% (95% CI: 24-25) for initial SGLT2-i users and 26% (25-27) for GLP1-RA users. Interpretation: Approximately half of the users of SGLT2-is and GLP1-RAs discontinued therapy within five years, respectively. However, a large proportion of these patients reinitiated therapy during the following year. Further insight into the reasons for discontinuation and initiatives to reduce the time to reinitiation in eligible patients are warranted. Funding: The work was funded by an unrestricted research grant from 'Department of Cardiology, Herlev and Gentofte University Hospital'.

Heart Failure Following Anti-Inflammatory Medications in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Fluid retention and endothelial dysfunction have been related to use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been linked to both a decline in kidney function and subclinical cardiomyopathy. OBJECTIVES: The authors hypothesized that short-term use of NSAIDs could lead to subsequent development of incident heart failure (HF) in patients with T2DM. METHODS: Using nationwide Danish registers, we identified patients diagnosed with T2DM during 1998 to 2021 and included patients without previous HF, rheumatic disease, or use of NSAIDs 120 days before diagnosis. Associations between NSAIDs and first-time HF hospitalization were investigated using a case-crossover design with 28-day exposure windows, and ORs with 95% CIs were reported. RESULTS: Included were 331,189 patients with T2DM: 44.2% female, median age of 62 years (IQR: 52-71 years); 23,308 patients were hospitalized with HF during follow-up, and 16% of patients claimed at least 1 NSAID prescription within 1 year. Short-term use of NSAIDs was associated with increased risk of HF hospitalization (OR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.27-1.63), most notably in subgroups with age ≥80 years (OR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.39-2.28), elevated hemoglobin (Hb) A1c levels treated with 0 to 1 antidiabetic drug (OR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.00-2.88), and without previous use of NSAIDs (OR: 2.71; 95% CI: 1.78-4.23). CONCLUSIONS: NSAIDs were widely used and were associated with an increased risk of first-time HF hospitalization in patients with T2DM. Patients with advanced age, elevated HbA1c levels, and new users of NSAID seemed more susceptible. These findings could guide physicians prescribing NSAIDs.

Clinical cardiovascular phenotypes and the pattern of future events in patients with type 2 diabetes.

IMPORTANCE: Updated guidelines on diabetes recommend targeting sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) at patients at risk of heart failure (HF) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) at those at greater risk of atherothrombotic events. OBJECTIVE: We estimated the risk of different cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and newly established cardiovascular disease. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Patients with T2D and newly established cardiovascular disease from 1998 to 2016 were identified using Danish healthcare registers and divided into one of four phenotype groups: (1) HF, (2) ischemic heart disease (IHD), (3) transient ischemic stroke (TIA)/ischemic stroke, and (4) peripheral artery disease (PAD). The absolute 5-year risk of the first HF- or atherothrombotic event occurring after inclusion was calculated, along with the risk of death. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcome was the first event of either HF or an atherothrombotic event (IHD, TIA/ischemic stroke or PAD) in patients with T2D and  new-onset cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: Of the 37,850 patients included, 40% were female and the median age was 70 years. Patients with HF were at higher 5-year risk of a subsequent HF event (17.9%; 95% confidence interval (CI) 17.1-18.8%) than an atherothrombotic event (15.8%; 15.0-16.6%). Patients with IHD were at higher risk of a subsequent atherothrombotic event (24.6%; 23.9-25.3%) than developing HF, although the risk of HF was still substantial (10.6%; 10.2-11.1%). Conversely, patients with PAD were at low risk of developing HF (4.4%; 3.8-5.1%) but at high risk of developing an atherothrombotic event (15.9%; 14.9-17.1%). Patients with TIA/ischemic stroke had the lowest risk of HF (3.2%; 2.9-3.6%) and the highest risk of an atherothrombotic event (20.6%; 19.8-21.4). CONCLUSIONS: In T2D, a patient's cardiovascular phenotype can help predict the pattern of future cardiovascular events.

Impact of socioeconomic position on initiation of SGLT-2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes - a Danish nationwide observational study.

BACKGROUND: Low socioeconomic position may affect initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) and glucacon-like-peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We examined the association between socioeconomic position and initiation of SGLT-2i or GLP-1RA in patients with T2D at time of first intensification of antidiabetic treatment. METHODS: Through nationwide registers, we identified all Danish patients on metformin who initiated second-line add-on therapy between December 10, 2012, and December 31, 2020. For each time period (2012-2014, 2015-2017, and 2018-2020), we used multivariable multinomial logistic regression to associate disposable income, as proxy for socioeconomic position, with the probability of initiating a specific second-line treatment at time of first intensification. We reported probabilities standardised to the distribution of demographics and comorbidities of patients included in the last period (2018-2020). FINDINGS: We included 48915 patients (median age 62 years; 61·7% men). In each time period, high-income patients were more often men and had less comorbidities as compared with low income-patients. In each time period, the standardised probability of initiating a SGLT-2i or a GLP-1RA was significantly higher in the highest income group compared with the lowest: 11·4% vs. 9·5% (probability ratio [PR] 1·21, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1·01-1·44) in 2012-2014; 22·6% vs. 19.6% (PR 1·15, CI 1·05-1·27) in 2015-2017; and 65·8% vs. 54·8% (PR 1·20, CI 1·16-1·24) in 2018-2020. The differences by income were consistent across multiple subgroups. INTERPRETATION: Despite a universal healthcare system, low socioeconomic position was consistently associated with a lower probability of initiating a SGLT-2i or a GLP-1RA. These disparities may widen the future socioeconomic gap in cardiovascular outcomes. FUNDING: The work was funded by unrestricted grants from 'Region Sjaelland Den Sundhedsvidenskabelige Forskningsfond' and 'Murermester Lauritz Peter Christensen og hustru Kirsten Sigrid Christensens Fond'.

The burden of cardiovascular outcomes in heart failure patients with new-onset, prevalent, and without type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of new-onset type 2 diabetes (T2D) in heart failure (HF) remains unknown. We aimed to describe the cardiovascular outcome profile in HF patients with new-onset, no and prevalent T2D. METHODS: We constructed a cohort of patients with first HF admission between 1998 and 2016 from nationwide Danish registers. Outcomes were ischemic event, HF event, and death from other causes. The landmarking approach and the Aalen Johansen estimator were used together to estimate 5-year absolute and 5-year relative risk of the outcomes in HF patients with new-onset, no and prevalent T2D. Risk among subgroups were investigated by stratification. RESULTS: A total of 139 264 HF patients were included between 1998 and 2016, of which 29 078 patients had prevalent T2D. A total of 11 819 developed new-onset T2D. The 5-year risks of ischemic event in new-onset, no, and prevalent T2D were: 17.9% [17.2; 18.6], 18.8% [18.6; 19.0], and 26.1% [25.6; 26.7]. The 5-year risks of HF event were: 31.5% [30.6; 32.3], 30.7% [30.5; 31.0], and 33.6% [33.0; 34.2]. For other causes of death, the 5-year risks were: 20.9% [20.2; 21.7], 18.6% [18.4; 18.8], and 18.9% [18.4; 19.3]. The 5-year risk ratios of HF event or death from other causes versus ischemic event were: 2.9 [2.8; 3.1], 2.6 [2.6; 2.7], and 2.0 [2.0; 2.1] in patients with new-onset, no, and prevalent T2D. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with new-onset T2D, death from other causes were more likely to occur than an ischemic event, whereas in patients with prevalent T2D and no T2D, ischemic events were more common.

Effects of empagliflozin on estimated extracellular volume, estimated plasma volume, and measured glomerular filtration rate in patients with heart failure (Empire HF Renal): a prespecified substudy of a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: SGLT2 inhibitors are a promising treatment option in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction. We aimed to investigate the effects of empagliflozin on estimated extracellular volume, estimated plasma volume, and measured glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction. METHODS: Empire HF Renal was a prespecified substudy of the investigator-initiated, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled Empire HF trial. The study was done at Herlev and Gentofte University Hospital (Herlev, Denmark), with patients recruited from four Danish heart failure outpatient clinics. Patients with New York Heart Association class I-III symptoms, with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 40% or lower, and on guideline-directed heart failure therapy were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either oral empagliflozin 10 mg or matched placebo once daily for 12 weeks. The allocation sequence was computer-generated. Patients and study investigators were masked to treatment allocation. The coprimary prespecified renal outcomes were the between-group difference in the changes in estimated extracellular volume, estimated plasma volume, and measured GFR from baseline to 12 weeks. All analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population (apart from safety analyses, which were done in patients who received at least one dose of study drug), with no interim analyses done during the trial. The Empire HF trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03198585, and EudraCT, 2017-001341-27. FINDINGS: Between June 29, 2017, and July 15, 2019, we assessed 391 patients for eligibility, of whom 120 (31%) were randomly assigned to empagliflozin or placebo, including 105 (88%) without diabetes. In intention-to-treat analyses, 60 (100%) patients in the empagliflozin group and 59 (98%) patients in the placebo group were included for estimated extracellular volume and estimated plasma volume, and 59 (98%) patients in the empagliflozin group and 58 (97%) patients in the placebo group were included for measured GFR. Empagliflozin treatment resulted in reductions in estimated extracellular volume (adjusted mean difference -0·12 L, 95% CI -0·18 to -0·05; p=0·00056), estimated plasma volume (-7·3%, -10·3 to -4·3; p<0·0001), and measured GFR (-7·5 mL/min, -11·2 to -3·8; p=0·00010) compared with placebo. Five (8%) of 60 patients in the empagliflozin group and three (5%) of 60 patients in the placebo group had one or more serious adverse events. INTERPRETATION: In patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction, empagliflozin reduced estimated extracellular volume, estimated plasma volume, and measured GFR after 12 weeks. Fluid volume changes might be an important mechanism underlying the beneficial clinical effects of SGLT2 inhibitors. FUNDING: Research Council at Herlev and Gentofte University Hospital, Research and Innovation Foundation of the Department of Cardiology at Herlev and Gentofte University Hospital, Capital Region of Denmark, Danish Heart Foundation, and AP Møller Foundation for the Advancement of Medical Science.

Establishing post mortem criteria for the metabolic syndrome: an autopsy based cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Individuals who suffer from mental illness are more prone to obesity and related co-morbidities, including the metabolic syndrome. Autopsies provide an outstanding platform for the macroscopic, microscopic and molecular-biological investigation of diseases. Autopsy-based findings may assist in the investigation of the metabolic syndrome. To utilise the vast information that an autopsy encompasses to elucidate the pathophysiology behind the syndrome further, we aimed to both develop and evaluate a method for the post mortem definition of the metabolic syndrome. METHODS: Based on the nationwide Danish SURVIVE study of deceased mentally ill, we established a set of post mortem criteria for each of the harmonized criteria of the metabolic syndrome. We based the post mortem (PM) evaluation on information from the police reports and the data collected at autopsy, such as anthropometric measurements and biochemical and toxicological analyses (PM information). We compared our PM evaluation with the data from the Danish health registries [ante mortem (AM) information, considered the gold standard] from each individual. RESULTS: The study included 443 deceased individuals (272 male and 171 female) with a mean age of 50.4 (± 15.5) years and a median (interquartile range) post mortem interval of 114 (84-156) hours. We found no significant difference when defining the metabolic syndrome from the PM information in comparison to the AM information (P = 0.175). The PM evaluation yielded a high specificity (0.93) and a moderate sensitivity (0.63) with a moderate level of agreement compared to the AM evaluation (Cohen's κ = 0.51). Neither age nor post mortem interval affected the final results. CONCLUSIONS: Our model of a PM definition of the metabolic syndrome proved reliable when compared to the AM information. We believe that an appropriate estimate of the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome can be established post mortem. However, while neither the PM nor the AM information is exhaustive in terms of defining an individual's health status, a superlative estimate may be obtained by combining the PM and the AM information. With this model, we open up the possibility of utilising autopsy data for future studies of the metabolic syndrome.