Facts and Hopes on Biomarkers for Successful Early Clinical Immunotherapy Trials: Innovative Patient Enrichment Strategies.

Despite the clinical validation and unequivocal benefit to patients, the development of cancer immunotherapies is facing some key challenges and the attrition rate in early phases of development remains high. Identifying the appropriate patient population that would benefit most from the drug is on the critical path for successful clinical development. We believe that a systematic implementation of patient enrichment strategies early in the drug development process and trial design, is the basis for an innovative, more efficient, and leaner clinical development to achieve earlier a clear proof of concept or proof of failure. In this position article, we will describe and propose key considerations for the implementation of patient enrichment strategies as an opportunity to provide decision-enabling data earlier in the drug development process. We introduce an innovative multidimensional tool for immuno-oncology drug development that focuses on facilitating the identification and prioritization of enrichment-relevant biomarkers, based on the drug mechanism of action. To illustrate its utility, we discuss patient enrichment examples and use a case in the field of cancer immunotherapy, together with technical and regulatory considerations. Overall, we propose to implement fit for purpose enrichment strategies for all investigational drugs as early as possible in the development process. We believe that this will increase the success rate of immuno-oncology clinical trials, and eventually bring new and better medicines to patients faster.

Impact of genetic variants involved in the lipid metabolism pathway on progression free survival in patients receiving bevacizumab-based chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer: a retrospective analysis of FIRE-3 and MAVERICC trials.

Background: Antiangiogenic drug (AAD)-triggered oxygen and nutrient depletion through suppression of angiogenesis switches glucose-dependent to lipid-dependent metabolism. Blocking fatty acid oxidation can enhance AAD-mediated anti-tumor effects in colorectal cancer (CRC). Therefore, we hypothesised that genetic variants in the lipid metabolism pathway may predict clinical outcomes [overall response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS)] in metastatic CRC (mCRC) patients receiving bevacizumab-based first-line treatment. Methods: Genomic DNA from blood samples of patients enrolled in FIRE-3 (a global, randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial, between 2007-6-23 and 2012-9-19, discovery cohort: FOLFIRI/bevacizumab arm, n = 107; control cohort: FOLFIRI/cetuximab arm, n = 129) and MAVERICC (a global, randomised, open-label, phase II study, between 2011-8 and 2015-7, in United States, Canada, Estonia, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, and Portugal. Validation cohort: FOLFIRI/bevacizumab arm, n = 163) trials, was genotyped using the OncoArray-500 K beadchip panel. The impact on OS and PFS of 17 selected SNPs in 7 genes involved in the lipid metabolism pathway (CD36, FABP4, LPCAT1/2, CPT1A, FASN, ACACA) was analysed using Kaplan-Meier curves, the log-rank test for univariate analyses and likelihood ratio tests of Cox proportional hazards regression parameters for multivariable analyses. ORR and SNP associations were evaluated using Chi-square or Fisher's exact tests. Findings: In the discovery cohort, patients with FASN rs4485435 any C allele (n = 21) showed significantly shorter PFS (median PFS: 8.69 vs 13.48 months) compared to carriers of G/G (n = 62) in multivariable (HR = 2.87; 95%CI 1.4-5.9; p = 0.00675) analysis. These data were confirmed in the validation cohort in multivariable analysis (HR = 2.07, 95%CI: 1.15-3.74; p = 0.02), but no association was observed in the cetuximab cohort of FIRE-3. In the comparison of bevacizumab vs cetuximab arm in FIRE-3, a significant interaction was shown with FASN rs4485435 (p = 0.017) on PFS. Interpretation: Our study demonstrates for the first time, to our knowledge, that FASN polymorphisms may predict outcome of bevacizumab-based treatment in patients with mCRC. These findings support a possible role of the lipid metabolism pathway in contributing to resistance to anti-VEGF treatment. Funding: This work was supported by the National Cancer Institute [P30CA 014089 to H.-J.L.], Gloria Borges WunderGlo Foundation, Dhont Family Foundation, Victoria and Philip Wilson Research Fund, San Pedro Peninsula Cancer Guild, Ming Hsieh Research Fund, Eddie Mahoney Memorial Research Fund, Shanghai Sailing Program (22YF1407000), China National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents (BX20220084), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2022M710768), National Natural Science Foundation of China (82202892).

Sintilimab versus docetaxel as second-line treatment in advanced or metastatic squamous non-small-cell lung cancer: an open-label, randomized controlled phase 3 trial (ORIENT-3).

BACKGROUND: Treatment options for Chinese patients with locally advanced or metastatic squamous-cell non-small-cell lung cancer (sqNSCLC) after failure of first-line chemotherapy are limited. This study (ORIENT-3) aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of sintilimab versus docetaxel as second-line treatment in patients with locally advanced or metastatic sqNSCLC. METHODS: ORIENT-3 was an open-label, multicenter, randomized controlled phase 3 trial that recruited patients with stage IIIB/IIIC/IV sqNSCLC after failure with first-line platinum-based chemotherapy. Patients were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive either 200 mg of sintilimab or 75 mg/m2 of docetaxel intravenously every 3 weeks, stratified by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) in the full analysis set (FAS). Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), duration of response (DoR) and safety. RESULTS: Between August 25, 2017, and November 7, 2018, 290 patients were randomized. For FAS, 10 patients from the docetaxel arm were excluded. The median OS was 11.79 (n = 145; 95% confidence interval [CI], 10.28-15.57) months with sintilimab versus 8.25 (n = 135; 95% CI, 6.47-9.82) months with docetaxel (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-0.96; P = 0.025). Sintilimab treatment significantly prolonged PFS (median 4.30 vs. 2.79 months; HR: 0.52; 95% CI, 0.39-0.68; P < 0.001) and showed higher ORR (25.50% vs. 2.20%, P < 0.001) and DCR (65.50% vs. 37.80%, P < 0.001) than the docetaxel arm. The median DoR was 12.45 (95% CI, 4.86-25.33) months in the sintilimab arm and 4.14 (95% CI, 1.41-7.23) months in the docetaxel arm (P = 0.045). Treatment-related adverse events of grade ≥ 3 were reported in 26 (18.1%) patients in the sintilimab arm and 47 (36.2%) patients in the docetaxel arm. Exploratory biomarker analysis showed potential predictive values of expression levels of two transcription factors, including OVOL2 (HR: 0.35; P < 0.001) and CTCF (HR: 3.50; P < 0.001)，for sintilimab treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with docetaxel, sintilimab significantly improved the OS, PFS, and ORR of Chinese patients with previously treated locally advanced or metastatic sqNSCLC.

fdrci: FDR confidence interval selection and adjustment for large-scale hypothesis testing.

Motivation: Approaches that control error by applying a priori fixed discovery thresholds such as 0.05 limit the ability of investigators to identify and publish weak effects even when evidence suggests that such effects exist. However, current false discovery rate (FDR) estimation methods lack a principled approach for post hoc identification of discovery thresholds other than 0.05. Results: We describe a flexible approach that hinges on the precision of a permutation-based FDR estimator. A series of discovery thresholds are proposed, and an FDR confidence interval selection and adjustment technique is used to identify intervals that do not cover one, implying that some discoveries are expected to be true. We report an application to a transcriptome-wide association study of the MAVERICC clinical trial involving patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Several genes are identified whose predicted expression is associated with progression-free or overall survival. Availability and implementation: Software is provided via the CRAN repository (https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/fdrci/index.html). Supplementary information: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics Advances online.

Genetic variants involved in the cGAS-STING pathway predict outcome in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: Data from FIRE-3 and TRIBE trials.

BACKGROUND: The activation of stimulator of interferon genes (STING) was reported to enhance cetuximab-mediated natural killer cell activation and dendritic cell maturation. Polymorphisms in genes in the cyclic GMP-AMP synthase (cGAS)-STING pathway may affect innate immune response. Therefore, we hypothesised that genetic variants in the cGAS-STING pathway may predict the efficacy of cetuximab-based treatment in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. METHODS: Genomic DNA from blood samples of patients enrolled in FIRE-3 (cetuximab arm, n = 129; bevacizumab arm, n = 107) and TRIBE (bevacizumab arm, n = 215) was genotyped using the OncoArray-500K bead chip panel. Seven selected single nucleotide polymorphisms in 3 genes (cGAS, STING and interferon B1 (IFNB1)) were analysed for the association with overall survival and progression-free survival. RESULTS: In the cetuximab cohort, patients with STING rs1131769 any T allele showed significantly shorter overall survival (36.3 versus 56.1 months) than carriers of C/C in both univariate [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.08; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-4.07; P = 0.03] and multivariate (HR = 2.98; 95% CI: 1.35-6.6; P = 0.0085) analyses; patients carrying IFNB1 rs1051922 G/A and A/A genotype showed a significantly shorter progression-free survival than carriers of G/G allele in both univariate (G/A versus G/G, 10.2 versus 14.1 months, HR = 1.84; 95% CI 1.23-2.76; A/A versus G/G, 10.7 versus 14.1 months, HR = 2.19; 95% CI 0.97-4.96; P = 0.0077) and multivariate analyses (G/A versus G/G, HR = 2; 95% CI 1.22-3.3; A/A versus G/G, HR = 2.19, 95% CI 0.92-5.26, P = 0.02). These associations were not observed in the bevacizumab arm of FIRE-3 or TRIBE. CONCLUSION: These results suggest for the first time that germline polymorphisms in STING and IFNB1 genes may predict the outcomes of cetuximab-based treatment in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

Clinical and biomarker analyses of sintilimab versus chemotherapy as second-line therapy for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a randomized, open-label phase 2 study (ORIENT-2).

This randomized, open-label, multi-center phase 2 study (NCT03116152) assessed sintilimab, a PD-1 inhibitor, versus chemotherapy in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after first-line chemotherapy. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), while exploratory endpoint was the association of biomarkers with efficacy. The median OS in the sintilimab group was significantly improved compared with the chemotherapy group (median OS 7.2 vs.6.2 months; P = 0.032; HR = 0.70; 95% CI, 0.50-0.97). Incidence of treatment-related adverse events of grade 3-5 was lower with sintilimab than with chemotherapy (20.2 vs. 39.1%). Patients with high T-cell receptor (TCR) clonality and low molecular tumor burden index (mTBI) showed the longest median OS (15.0 months). Patients with NLR < 3 at 6 weeks post-treatment had a significantly prolonged median OS (16.6 months) compared with NLR ≥ 3. The results demonstrate a significant improvement in OS of sintilimab compared to chemotherapy as second-line treatment for advanced or metastatic ESCC.

Germline polymorphisms in genes maintaining the replication fork predict the efficacy of oxaliplatin and irinotecan in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: The TIMELESS-TIPIN complex protects the replication fork from replication stress induced by chemotherapeutic drugs. We hypothesised genetic polymorphisms of the TIMELESS-TIPIN complex may affect the response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) of cytotoxic drugs in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). METHODS: We analysed data from the MAVERICC trial, which compared FOLFOX/bevacizumab and FOLFIRI/bevacizumab in untreated patients with mCRC. Genomic DNA extracted from blood samples was genotyped using an OncoArray. Eight functional single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in TIMELESS and TIPIN were tested for associations with clinical outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 324 patients were included (FOLFOX/bevacizumab arm, n = 161; FOLFIRI/bevacizumab arm, n = 163). In the FOLFOX/bevacizumab arm, no SNPs displayed confirmed associations with survival outcomes. In the FOLFIRI/bevacizumab arm, TIMELESS rs2291739 was significantly associated with OS in multivariate analysis (G/G vs. any A allele, hazard ratio = 3.06, 95% confidence interval = 1.49-6.25, p = 0.004). TIMELESS rs2291739 displayed significant interactions with treatment regarding both PFS and OS. CONCLUSIONS: TIMELESS rs2291739 might have different effects on therapeutic efficacy between oxaliplatin- and irinotecan-based chemotherapies. Upon further validation, our findings may be useful for personalised approaches in the first-line treatment of mCRC.

Updated Overall Survival Data and Predictive Biomarkers of Sintilimab Plus Pemetrexed and Platinum as First-Line Treatment for Locally Advanced or Metastatic Nonsquamous NSCLC in the Phase 3 ORIENT-11 Study.

INTRODUCTION: Sintilimab plus chemotherapy significantly prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) compared with chemotherapy alone in nonsquamous NSCLC in the ORIENT-11 study. Updated overall survival (OS) and PFS data and corresponding biomarker analyses are reported here. METHODS: In this study, a total of 397 patients with previously untreated, locally advanced or metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC were assigned to sintilimab plus chemotherapy combination treatment (combo) group or placebo plus chemotherapy treatment group. The patients were stratified by programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression levels. Immune signature profiles from tumor RNA sequencing and PD-L1 immunohistochemistry were correlated with clinical outcome to identify predictive biomarkers. RESULTS: As of January 2021, with median follow-up of 22.9 months, median OS was significantly improved in the combo group compared with the placebo plus chemotherapy treatment group (not reached versus 16.8 mo; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45-0.79, p = 0.0003). High or medium immune cell infiltration was strongly associated with improved PFS in the combo group, in contrast to absent or low immune cell infiltration, which suggests that chemotherapy could not prime "immune deserts" to obtain benefit from programmed cell death protein-1 inhibition. In particular, high major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class II presentation pathway expression was significantly correlated with prolonged PFS (HR = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.19-0.54, p < 0.0001) and OS (HR = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.20-0.64, p = 0.0005) in the combo group. Importantly, patients with low or absent PD-L1 but high MHC class II expression could still benefit from the combo treatment. In contrast, MHC class I antigen presentation pathway was less relevant in this combination setting. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of sintilimab to chemotherapy resulted to significantly longer OS in nonsquamous NSCLC. Expression of MHC class II antigen presentation pathway could identify patients benefiting most from this combination.

RNA-Binding Protein Polymorphisms as Novel Biomarkers to Predict Outcomes of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Meta-analysis from TRIBE, FIRE-3, and MAVERICC.

RNA-binding proteins (RBPs) regulate many posttranscriptional cellular activities. Accumulating evidence suggests associations between RBPs with colonic tumorigenesis and chemosensitivity. We investigated the prognostic and predictive values of SNPs of genes encoding RBPs in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), using clinical and genomic data from three randomized clinical trials of standard first-line chemotherapy for mCRC (TRIBE, FIRE-3, and MAVERICC). Genomic DNA extracted from blood samples was genotyped using an OncoArray. We tested 30 candidate SNPs of 10 major RBP-related genes with additive models. Prognostic values were estimated by meta-analysis approach. Treatment-by-SNP interactions were tested to estimate predictive values for targeted drugs and cytotoxic backbone chemotherapies. This study included 884 patients. The meta-analysis revealed prognostic values of LIN28B rs314277 [HR, 1.26; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-1.49, P = 0.005, FDR-adjusted P = 0.072 for overall survival (OS)] and LIN28B rs314276 (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.08-1.44, P = 0.002, FDR-adjusted P = 0.062 for OS). Although some SNPs showed potentially predictive values, these associations were not confirmed after FDR adjustment. In conclusion, the results of this study are warranting additional studies to provide the evidence that RBP-related SNPs may be associated with the prognosis of patients with mCRC treated with standard first-line chemotherapies. In addition, further studies are warranted to study the predictive value.

Immunogenic cell death pathway polymorphisms for predicting oxaliplatin efficacy in metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Immunogenic cell death (ICD) is a tumor cell death involving both innate and adaptive immune responses. Given published findings that oxaliplatin, but not irinotecan, drives ICD, we investigated whether single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the ICD pathway are associated with the efficacy of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). METHODS: Two randomized clinical trials data were analyzed: discovery cohort, FOLFOX/bevacizumab arm (MAVERICC); validation cohort, FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab arm (TRIBE); and two control cohorts, FOLFIRI/bevacizumab arms (both trials). Genomic DNA extracted from blood samples was genotyped. Ten SNPs in the ICD pathway were tested for associations with clinical outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 648 patients were included. In the discovery cohort, three SNPs were significantly associated with clinical outcomes in univariate analysis: CALR rs1010222 with progression-free survival (G/G vs any A, HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.43-0.88), ANXA1 rs1050305 with overall survival (OS) (A/A vs any G, HR=1.87, 95% CI 1.04-3.35), and LRP1 rs1799986 with OS (C/C vs any T, HR=1.69, 95% CI 1.07-2.70). Multivariate analysis confirmed the trend, but statistical significance was not reached. In the validation cohort, ANXA1 rs1050305, and LRP1 rs1799986 were validated to have the significant associations with clinical outcome. No significant associations of these SNPs were observed in the two control cohorts. Treatment-by-SNP interaction test confirmed the predictive values. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive utility of ICD-related SNPs for the efficacy of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy was demonstrated, warranting further validation studies to be translated into personalized treatment strategies using conventional cytotoxic agents in mCRC.

Development of a gene expression-based prognostic signature for IDH wild-type glioblastoma.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to develop a gene expression-based prognostic signature for isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) wild-type glioblastoma using clinical trial datasets representative of glioblastoma clinical trial populations. METHODS: Samples were collected from newly diagnosed patients with IDH wild-type glioblastoma in the ARTE, TAMIGA, EORTC 26101 (referred to as "ATE"), AVAglio, and GLARIUS trials, or treated at UCLA. Transcriptional profiling was achieved with the NanoString gene expression platform. To identify genes prognostic for overall survival (OS), we built an elastic net penalized Cox proportional hazards regression model using the discovery ATE dataset. For validation in independent datasets (AVAglio, GLARIUS, UCLA), we combined elastic net-selected genes into a robust z-score signature (ATE score) to overcome gene expression platform differences between discovery and validation cohorts. RESULTS: NanoString data were available from 512 patients in the ATE dataset. Elastic net identified a prognostic signature of 9 genes (CHEK1, GPR17, IGF2BP3, MGMT, MTHFD1L, PTRH2, SOX11, S100A9, and TFRC). Translating weighted elastic net scores to the ATE score conserved the prognostic value of the genes. The ATE score was prognostic for OS in the ATE dataset (P < 0.0001), as expected, and in the validation cohorts (AVAglio, P < 0.0001; GLARIUS, P = 0.02; UCLA, P = 0.004). The ATE score remained prognostic following adjustment for O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation status and corticosteroid use at baseline. A positive correlation between ATE score and proneural/proliferative subtypes was observed in patients with MGMT non-methylated promoter status. CONCLUSIONS: The ATE score showed prognostic value and may enable clinical trial stratification for IDH wild-type glioblastoma.

Combination of variations in inflammation- and endoplasmic reticulum-associated genes as putative biomarker for bevacizumab response in KRAS wild-type colorectal cancer.

Chemotherapy combined with the angiogenesis inhibitor bevacizumab (BVZ) is approved as a first-line treatment in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Limited clinical benefit underpins the need for improved understanding of resistance mechanisms and the elucidation of novel predictive biomarkers. We assessed germline single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 180 mCRC patients (Angiopredict [APD] cohort) treated with combined BVZ + chemotherapy and investigated previously reported predictive SNPs. We further employed a machine learning approach to identify novel associations. In the APD cohort IL8 rs4073 any A carriers, compared to TT carriers, were associated with worse progression-free survival (PFS) (HR = 1.51, 95% CI:1.03-2.22, p-value = 0.037) and TBK1 rs7486100 TT carriers, compared to any A carriers, were associated with worse PFS in KRAS wild-type (wt) patients (HR = 1.94, 95% CI:1.04-3.61, p-value = 0.037), replicating previous findings. Machine learning identified novel associations in genes encoding the inflammasome protein NLRP1 and the ER protein Sarcalumenin (SRL). A negative association between PFS and carriers of any A at NLRP1 rs12150220 and AA for SRL rs13334970 in APD KRAS wild-type patients (HR = 4.44, 95% CI:1.23-16.13, p-value = 0.005), which validated in two independent clinical cohorts involving BVZ, MAVERICC and TRIBE. Our findings highlight a key role for inflammation and ER signalling underpinning BVZ + chemotherapy responsiveness.

Disease Monitoring Using Post-induction Circulating Tumor DNA Analysis Following First-Line Therapy in Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: We assessed plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) level as a prognostic marker for progression-free survival (PFS) following first-line metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) therapy. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: The Sequencing Triplet With Avastin and Maintenance (STEAM) was a randomized, phase II trial investigating efficacy of bevacizumab (BEV) plus 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin/oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) and 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin/irinotecan (FOLFIRI), administered concurrently or sequentially, versus FOLFOX-BEV in first-line mCRC. Evaluation of biomarkers associated with treatment outcomes was an exploratory endpoint. Patients in the biomarker-evaluable population (BEP) had 1 tissue sample, 1 pre-induction plasma sample, and 1 post-induction plasma sample collected ≤60 days of induction from last drug date. RESULTS: Among the 280 patients enrolled in STEAM, 183 had sequenced and evaluable tumor tissue, 118 had matched pre-induction plasma, and 54 (BEP) had ctDNA-evaluable sequencing data for pre- and post-induction plasma. The most common somatic variants in tumor tissue and pre-induction plasma were TP53, APC, and KRAS. Patients with lower-than-median versus higher-than-median post-induction mean allele fraction (mAF) levels had longer median PFS (17.7 vs. 7.5 months, HR, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.17-0.63). Higher levels of post-induction mAF and post-induction mean mutant molecules per milliliter (mMMPM), and changes in ctDNA (stratified by a 10-fold or 100-fold reduction in mAF between pre- and post-induction plasma), were associated with shorter PFS. Post-induction mAF and mMMPM generally correlated with each other (ρ = 0.987, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA quantification in post-induction plasma may serve as a prognostic biomarker for mCRC post-treatment outcomes.

Stromal organization as predictive biomarker for the treatment of colon cancer with adjuvant bevacizumab; a post-hoc analysis of the AVANT trial.

PURPOSE: Intra-tumoral stroma has become increasingly important in understanding tumor biology, tumor progression and clinical outcome. The amount itself, quantified as the tumor-stroma ratio (TSR), has proven to be prognostic in stage I-III colon cancer. Also, alterations in stromal organization have been found to provide prognostic and predictive information in certain cancers. Here, we evaluated the predictive value of stromal organization in high-risk stage II and III colon cancer with respect to adjuvant bevacizumab and chemotherapy. METHODS: In a post-hoc analysis, stromal organization was microscopically determined in hematoxylin and eosin-stained primary tumor tissue samples of 1226 patients enrolled in the AVANT trial. RESULTS: We found that patients with tumors with a disorganized stroma showed different survival rates after the addition of bevacizumab compared to standard oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy regimens. However, overall this difference was not significant with a HR of 0.94 (95% CI 0.57-1.55; p = 0.80) for disease-free survival (DFS) and 1.01 (95% CI 0.51-1.99; p = 0.99) for overall survival (OS). Subgroup analysis, however, revealed that stromal organization combined with TSR allowed the identification of stroma-high patients with absolute cumulative survival benefits up to 15% when bevacizumab was added to oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy regimens. CONCLUSIONS: In high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer, we found that subgroup analysis of the combined parameters stromal organization and TSR allows for the identification of patients with absolute cumulative DFS and OS benefits of up to 15%, when adding bevacizumab to the currently recommended oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy. Stromal organization itself does, however, not serve as an independent prognostic or predictive parameter.

Impact of polymorphisms within genes involved in regulating DNA methylation in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer enrolled in three independent, randomised, open-label clinical trials: a meta-analysis from TRIBE, MAVERICC and FIRE-3.

BACKGROUND: CpG island DNA hypermethylation and global DNA hypomethylation are hallmark characteristics of colorectal cancer (CRC). Therefore, we aim to explore the effect of genetic variations within the genes that regulate the DNA methylation and demethylation pathways on outcomes in patients with metastatic CRC (mCRC) treated with first-line therapy and enrolled in three independent, randomised, open-label clinical trials. METHODS: A total of 884 patients with mCRC enrolled in TRIBE, MAVERICC and FIRE-3 trials were included. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within genes involved in DNA methylation and demethylation pathways were analysed. The prognostic value of each SNP across all treatment arms was quantified using the inverse-variance-weighted effect size, a meta-analysis approach implemented in the METASOFT software. RESULTS: In the meta-analysis, DNMT3A rs11681717 was significantly associated with overall survival (hazard ratio = 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.46; P = 0.002; false discovery rate [FDR] = 0.016), accounting for seven tests in the DNA methylation pathway. In addition, there was suggestive evidence of association for ten-eleven translocation (TET) genes variance with tumour response (TET1 rs3814177, odds ratio [OR] = 0.76, 95% CI 0.59-0.97, P = 0.025, FDR = 0.087; TET3 rs7560668, OR = 1.44; 95% CI 1.10-1.89; P = 0.009; FDR = 0.062). CONCLUSIONS: We showed that polymorphisms within the genes responsible for the DNA methylation and demethylation machineries are correlated with outcomes in patients with mCRC who were enrolled in three independent, randomised, open-label, phase II/III clinical trials. In addition, we demonstrated the feasibility of a meta-analysis approach to identify stronger and more convincing association between gene polymorphisms and outcome, potentially leading the way to a new method of analysis for similar data set.

AMPK variant, a candidate of novel predictor for chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer: A meta-analysis using TRIBE, MAVERICC and FIRE3.

AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK) is a key sensor of energy homeostasis and regulates cell metabolism, proliferation and chemotherapy/radiotherapy sensitivities. This study aimed to explore the relationship between the AMPK pathway-related single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and clinical outcomes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We analyzed a total of 884 patients with mCRC enrolled in three randomized clinical trials (TRIBE, MAVERICC and FIRE-3: where patients were treated with FOLFIRI, mFOLFOX6 or FOLFOXIRI combined with bevacizumab or cetuximab as the first-line chemotherapy). The association between AMPK pathway-related SNPs and clinical outcomes was analyzed across the six treatment cohorts, using a meta-analysis approach. Our meta-analysis showed that AMPK pathway had significant associations with progression-free survival (PFS; p < 0.001) and overall survival (OS; p < 0.001), but not with tumor response (TR; p = 0.220): PRKAA1 rs13361707 was significantly associated with favorable PFS (log HR = -0.219, SE = 0.073, p = 0.003), as well as PRKAA1 rs10074991 (log HR = -0.215, SE = 0.073, p = 0.003), and there were suggestive associations of PRKAG1 rs1138908 with unfavorable OS (log HR = 0.170, SE = 0.083, p = 0.041), and of UBE2O rs3803739 with unfavorable PFS (log HR = 0.137, SE = 0.068, p = 0.042) and OS (log HR = 0.210, SE = 0.077, p = 0.006), although these results were not significant after false discovery rate adjustment. AMPK pathway-related SNPs may be predictors for chemotherapy in mCRC. Upon validation, our findings would provide novel insight for selecting treatment strategies.

MAVERICC, a Randomized, Biomarker-stratified, Phase II Study of mFOLFOX6-Bevacizumab versus FOLFIRI-Bevacizumab as First-line Chemotherapy in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: MAVERICC compared the efficacy and safety of modified leucovorin/5-fluorouracil/oxaliplatin plus bevacizumab (mFOLFOX6-BV) with leucovorin/5-fluorouracil/irinotecan plus bevacizumab (FOLFIRI-BV) in patients with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).Patients and Methods: MAVERICC was a global, randomized, open-label, phase II study. Primary objectives were to assess associations between (i) excision repair cross-complementing 1 (ERCC1) expression with progression-free survival (PFS), and (ii) plasma VEGF A (VEGF-A) with PFS in patients with previously untreated mCRC receiving mFOLFOX6-BV or FOLFIRI-BV. Before randomization, patients were stratified by tumoral ERCC1/ß-actin mRNA expression level and region. RESULTS: Of 376 enrolled patients, 188 each received mFOLFOX6-BV and FOLFIRI-BV. PFS and overall survival (OS) were comparable between FOLFIRI-BV and mFOLFOX6-BV, with numerically higher PFS [HR = 0.79; 95% CI (confidence interval): 0.61-1.01; P = 0.06] and OS (HR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.56-1.04; P = 0.09) observed for FOLFIRI-BV. In the high ERCC1 subgroup, PFS and OS were comparable between treatment groups (PFS, HR = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.56-1.26; P = 0.40; OS, HR = 0.80; 95% CI: 0.51-1.26; P = 0.33). Across treatment groups, high plasma VEGF-A levels (>5.1 pg/mL) were observed with shorter PFS (HR = 1.19; 95% CI: 0.93-1.53; P = 0.17) and significantly shorter OS (HR = 1.64; 95% CI: 1.20-2.24; P < 0.01) versus low levels (≤5.1 pg/mL). Safety findings for FOLFIRI-BV or mFOLFOX6-BV were comparable with those reported previously. CONCLUSIONS: First-line FOLFIRI-BV and mFOLFOX6-BV had comparable PFS and OS, similar to results in patients with high baseline tumor ERCC1 levels. There were no new safety signals with these bevacizumab-containing regimens.

89Zr-atezolizumab imaging as a non-invasive approach to assess clinical response to PD-L1 blockade in cancer.

Programmed cell death protein-1/ligand-1 (PD-1/PD-L1) blockade is effective in a subset of patients with several tumor types, but predicting patient benefit using approved diagnostics is inexact, as some patients with PD-L1-negative tumors also show clinical benefit1,2. Moreover, all biopsy-based tests are subject to the errors and limitations of invasive tissue collection3-11. Preclinical studies of positron-emission tomography (PET) imaging with antibodies to PD-L1 suggested that this imaging method might be an approach to selecting patients12,13. Such a technique, however, requires substantial clinical development and validation. Here we present the initial results from a first-in-human study to assess the feasibility of imaging with zirconium-89-labeled atezolizumab (anti-PD-L1), including biodistribution, and secondly test its potential to predict response to PD-L1 blockade (ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers NCT02453984 and NCT02478099). We imaged 22 patients across three tumor types before the start of atezolizumab therapy. The PET signal, a function of tracer exposure and target expression, was high in lymphoid tissues and at sites of inflammation. In tumors, uptake was generally high but heterogeneous, varying within and among lesions, patients, and tumor types. Intriguingly, clinical responses in our patients were better correlated with pretreatment PET signal than with immunohistochemistry- or RNA-sequencing-based predictive biomarkers, encouraging further development of molecular PET imaging for assessment of PD-L1 status and clinical response prediction.

Predictive potential of tumour-stroma ratio on benefit from adjuvant bevacizumab in high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer.

BACKGROUND: The tumour-stroma ratio (TSR) has proven to be an independent prognostic factor in colon cancer. METHODS: Haematoxylin eosin tissue slides of patients from the AVANT trial were microscopically scored for TSR and categorised as stroma -low or stroma -high. Scores were correlated to the primary and secondary endpoint disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Patients with stroma-high tumours (N = 339, 28%) had a significantly shorter DFS (p < 0.001) compared to stroma-low tumours (N = 824, 68%). In the bevacizumab-FOLFOX-4 arm, DFS was significantly shorter compared to FOLFOX-4 in stroma-low tumours, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.94 (95% CI 1.24-3.04; p = 0.004). In stroma-high tumours a trend for better DFS was seen in bevacizumab-FOLFOX-4 vs. FOLFOX-4 (HR 0.61 (95% CI 0.35-1.07; p = 0.08)). For bevacizumab-XELOX vs. FOLFOX-4, this was not seen (stroma-low HR 1.07 (95% CI 0.64-1.77; p = 0.80); stroma-high HR 0.78 (95% CI 0.47-1.30; p = 0.35)). OS showed the same pattern for bevacizumab-FOLFOX-4 vs. FOLFOX-4 with a HR of 2.53 (95% CI 1.36-4.71; p = 0.003) for stroma-low and HR 0.50 (95% CI 0.22-1.14; p = 0.10) for stroma-high tumours. For bevacizumab-XELOX vs. FOLFOX-4, HR 1.13 (95% CI 0.55-2.31; p = 0.74) for stroma-low tumours and HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.37-1.51; p = 0.41) for stroma-high tumours. CONCLUSIONS: This exploratory analysis suggests a significantly shorter DFS and OS in stroma-low tumours with addition of bevacizumab to intravenous oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy, contrary to stroma-high tumours, where a beneficial trend is observed.

MODUL-a multicenter randomized clinical trial of biomarker-driven maintenance therapy following first-line standard induction treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer: an adaptable signal-seeking approach.

PURPOSE: The old approach of one therapeutic for all patients with mCRC is evolving with a need to target specific molecular aberrations or cell-signalling pathways. Molecular screening approaches and new biomarkers are required to fully characterize tumours, identify patients most likely to benefit, and predict treatment response. METHODS: MODUL is a signal-seeking trial with a design that is highly adaptable, permitting modification of different treatment cohorts and inclusion of further additional cohorts based on novel evidence on new compounds/combinations that emerge during the study. RESULTS: MODUL is ongoing and its adaptable nature permits timely and efficient recruitment of patients into the most appropriate cohort. Recruitment will take place over approximately 5 years in Europe, Asia, Africa, and South America. The design of MODUL with ongoing parallel/sequential treatment cohorts means that the overall size and duration of the trial can be modified/prolonged based on accumulation of new data. CONCLUSIONS: The early success of the current trial suggests that the design may provide definitive leads in a patient-friendly and relatively economical trial structure. Along with other biomarker-driven trials that are currently underway, it is hoped that MODUL will contribute to the continuing evolution of clinical trial design and permit a more 'tailored' approach to the treatment of patients with mCRC.