DUCHEN: an interactive computer program for calculating heterozygosity (carrier) risks in X-linked recessive lethal diseases, and its application in Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

The program DUCHEN calculates the probability that a woman is a carrier of an X-linked, lethal recessive disease on the basis of information in the woman's family and any available biochemical data. It is easily used by persons without computer knowledge or experience. The present version can accommodate families consisting of up to 100 people in seven generations. Risks may be estimated on the basis of pedigree information only, or with the inclusion of one or more types of biochemical test results. Biochemical data are incorporated with pedigree information into final risks using the powerful statistical technique of logistic discrimination, a procedure particularly suited for the separation of non-normal populations on the basis of overlapping quantitative characteristics. Mutation rates are specified separately for males and females. DUCHEN is available in FORTRAN 77, IBM BASIC, and Applesoft BASIC, and may be used on a variety of mainframe or microcomputers. The model was used to calculate risks for 375 girls and women in 46 families with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD); serum creatine kinase tests had been carried out on 167 of these subjects who were of reproductive age. Carrier probabilities equal to or lower than the population risk (0.0004) were obtained for 21% of the aunts and 43% of the cousins of affected boys from families with an isolated case of DMD and for 14% of the cousins of affected boys from families with a known DMD history. DUCHEN should assist counsellors in determining which members of large families should be further examined using either standard biochemical carrier detection methods or DNA marker studies.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Serum myoglobin in Duchenne muscular dystrophy carrier detection: a comparison with creatine kinase and hemopexin using logistic discrimination.

Logistic discrimination was used to assess the effectiveness of serum myoglobin (Mb), creatine kinase (CK), and hemopexin (H) measurements in identifying Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) carriers. Subjects included 36 obligate carriers, 46 age-matched control women, 30 mothers of isolated cases, and 14 DMD patients. The percentages of obligate carriers with logistic carrier probabilities exceeding the upper normal 95th centile (or 97.5th centile) were: CK alone, 63% (50%); Mb alone, 65% (62%); CK and Mb, 66% (62%); CK and H, 78% (65%); CK H and Mb, 72% (65%). In this study, Mb identified more carriers than CK at the 97.5% level, but there was no advantage in using Mb measurements with CK. CK provided slightly better overall separation of the control and carrier groups than Mb. CK, Mb, and H in combination provided significantly better separation than CK and H, or CK alone.