ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Recently, the incidence of alcohol-related liver disease has been rising alarmingly in India with late presentation and short survival. Better delineation of factors affecting mortality is needed for optimal utilization of constrained resources like liver transplantation. METHODS: Baseline data of 395 patients with alcohol-related liver disease including age, clinical presentation, alcohol parameters (amount, duration, type), laboratory parameters for detecting organ failure, and prognostic scores were compared between survivor and deceased groups. Further subgroup analysis of deceased patients was done to identify factors associated with early mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and cirrhosis groups by multivariate analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Only best supportive medical therapy was offered to all. RESULTS: 80 (20.3%) patients had alcoholic hepatitis (without cirrhosis) and recovered completely with abstinence. 315 (79.7%) had evidence of either cirrhosis (n = 182, 46.1%) or ACLF (n = 133, 33.6%) at presentation and all died within the next 2 years of follow-up, earlier in the ACLF cases. All deceased patients had been heavy drinkers for long periods (>85 g/day for >17 years). Higher age, amount of alcohol consumption, number of organ failures and discriminant function score predicted severe disease and early mortality, the latter being the best predictor. The European Foundation for the study of chronic liver failure consortium (CLIF-C) score has good applicability in Indian ACLF cohorts. Serum glutamic pyruvic transaminase was normal in 73.8% of deceased patients compared to only 12.5% of survivors. Abstinence did not result in complete normalization of deranged laboratory parameters in those who died. CONCLUSION: Alcohol-related liver disease is serious with high short-term mortality, which has early identifiable but mostly irreversible factors. Urgent measures need to be taken to curb this rising menace.
